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Irish Property Market chat II - *read mod note post #1 before posting*

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Comments

  • Posts: 12,836 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    It would be far cheaper to just build on all of the current vacant sites than pay market price for The Castle or Milltown….



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,516 ✭✭✭Blut2


    Thats extremely speculative/light on facts, but theres an interesting stat buried in it:

    "51% of people over the age of 50 are set to downsize to smaller homes, citing an AARP report"

    51% of older people downsizing is a massively more efficient use of housing than what we have in Ireland.

    I'd assume the singificant property taxes in the US are largely responsible for this - we really should be increasing ours substantially.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 2,991 ✭✭✭PommieBast


    Or just as likely there being a stock of decent places to downsize to. Ireland jacking up property taxes without the supply being there is a pure money-grab.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,777 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    Property taxes increase supply - they disincentivise property hoarding.

    Current pittance rate sees many family homes kept empty because nobody in the family wants to see it go yet but also nobody needs it, so they remain idle 90% of the year at little cost to the owners.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 781 ✭✭✭engineerws


    Agree. My mother lives in an estate where a lot of homeowners are now elderly.

    The older ones should all be kicked out and made to live somewhere that they don't know anyone so that they can die alone and without any of the supports they have worked towards all their lives. Sounds fair.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,919 ✭✭✭Rocket_GD


    Some small good news on the property front, I've been informed that the Development Contribution Waiver is due to be extended until at least the end of this calendar year.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,516 ✭✭✭Blut2


    Plenty of regions as a whole, and most middle class suburbs in general, in the US have housing markets with a serious lack of properties to downsize to.

    But property taxes are as high as 2.5% per year in some US states. You can bet that absolutely encourages downsizing to better use the property that is available.

    Positive effects on the housing market aside too taxing wealth with property taxes is also one of the more fair "money-grabs" the state can do - that revenue could be used to decrease income taxes on people actually working.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,457 ✭✭✭SharkMX


    Have you seen the fantastic places they can downsize to?

    If I was over there i think i would nearly like to buy one of those retirement places first in my 30s and skip the whole downsizing part.

    And then, have you seen what you can downsize to in Ireland if you are old?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,036 ✭✭✭Villa05


    Latest CSO data shows an acceleration in prices with the mid west @ 11%, close to double the the average of 6



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,516 ✭✭✭Blut2


    But its pretty much the definition of a chicken and egg scenario. Given the historical and current norm in Ireland is older people staying in large, largely unsuitable, housing, why would developers build local retirement communities for which theres no demand when they can build very profitable student housing, or expensive townhouses, instead?

    The financial incentives are whats required to create change of behaviour and the demand, and the demand then results in the supply.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 335 ✭✭gaming_needs90


    This explains the 130k increase on asking price of the last house in Clare I looked at :(



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,036 ✭✭✭Villa05




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,777 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    Misleading stuff - the rezoning was largely to minimise ribbon development and sprawl and instead see house building in a sustainable way (i.e. develop more central sites first)

    Developers lobbying for this want to make a quick buck by building more housing estates on the outskirts of towns and cities again like back in the boom. A bad decision to revisit zoning for this purpose



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,036 ✭✭✭Villa05


    Yet 20% plus of new housing output is one off homes in rural areas, while nimbys carry far too much power in central areas in the planning process. Pandering to local populism

    Failure built into the system



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,341 ✭✭✭✭Fitz*


    A house has come up for sale, with no internal pictures so I said I'd have a look at Google maps to see the layout etc. There was a sale agreed sign outside the house, in 2019, so delved deeper.

    Sold for €260,000 in 2019

    Sold for €285,000 in 2023

    Sold again for €319,000 in 2023

    on the market now for €400,000 in 2024.

    Is this a case of bad neighbours / long term tennants or classic house flipping? Seems a bit weird to be on the market so much.



  • Posts: 14,768 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    If it needs a lot of work, buyers possibly struggling to get builders, or renovations are costing more than expected. Whatever it is, there is some very nice short term profits being made by owners.

    Why not link the ad?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 333 ✭✭Hawkeye123


    Everyday I am seeing news reports of a probable ECB rate cut in June, but I don`t believe that will happen. I think Philip Lane and others will continue to hint it will probably happen but come June, I reckon they will postpone it until August and in August, they will postpone it again. Basically, they have no intention of cutting rates until the stock market and proprty market crash first. They don`t want the markets to crash so they promise rate cuts to encourage those with debts not to give up and continue making payments but come June, there will be no rate cut. Quote me in June, if I am wrong.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,620 ✭✭✭combat14


    also concerns about all out war in Middle east region potentially driving oil and other commodity prices higher so looks like ECB nervous to act just yet



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,341 ✭✭✭✭Fitz*


    Here it is. They've attached no inside images, but they do have plan drawings attached. Maybe there is structural issues. If there is, that price is a disgrace. Good area tbf, but of it needs work it is greedy.



  • Posts: 14,768 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Those are building drawings dated 2021 if you look at both sets of plans, the extended house is very different from the current one. As I said in my earlier post, the likely cause of the property changing hands is the availability/cost to construction. The ad actually says it comes with existing planning permission which would increase it to 3k ft2 house in a desirable location , that would justify the price.

    I’ve never understood why people think selling your property for its highest value is greedy, I wonder would people who say that sell their own house for less than someone is willing to pay it and willingly give up tens of thousands of Euro.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,341 ✭✭✭✭Fitz*


    It's moreso just trying to take advantage of the current market and exploit the price.

    They bought the house 5 months ago and have put an extra 80k onto the asking price, without doing any extra work to the house. It's BER exempt. The planning plans were from 2 owners previous. That is greed.



  • Posts: 14,768 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    You decide to sell your house, do you accept the highest bid, or a lower one because you think that’s all your house is worth and forego the difference?

    You can call it greed, but unless you are a complete idiot who likes giving away money, you sell for the price the market will pay.

    Post edited by [Deleted User] on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,487 ✭✭✭herbalplants


    Remember the shills only get paid when you react to them.



  • Posts: 14,768 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    The PPR shows a much smaller old house listed for €365k in Renmore which sold for €430k in February, the buyers will undoubtedly have to spend to modernise it. If this property sells for asking or above, then the seller is a lot smarter than some here, and the buyers will have one hell of a house when it’s finished.
    We’ll just have to wait and see.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,777 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    It is bad value - the cost to modernize will bring it into a price bracket that would never be justified unless you get some very good value construction.

    Similar houses in arguably more desirable areas in Galway:

    440 and 470k for 5 beds in similar (nicer) area. And those houses are kept, unlike that one with no pictures and very dated looking house, windows and door. Usually EAs don't put up pictures for a reason.

    https://www.daft.ie/for-sale/detached-house-46-glenina-heights-dublin-road-renmore-co-galway/4593852

    https://www.daft.ie/for-sale/detached-house-18-glenina-heights-dublin-road-renmore-co-galway/5370652



  • Posts: 14,768 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Did you look into the first of those before you posted? It changed hands last June and is now on the market with an €34 k mark up, the ad actually mentions extension/development so the buyer may still have to go through planning to get to a size similar to the earlier linked house. Existing planning does add value.

    The second is also very dated, and at E1 rating, will need some money spent on it, also, much smaller than the proposed home in the earlier linked house and no planning. It might be better value if the buyer wants an old house, poor Ber and doesn’t plan upgrades/more living space , for anyone that does, again they run the risk with planning, delays, costs etc which may not make it a better prospect.

    Post edited by [Deleted User] on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,457 ✭✭✭SharkMX


    A elderly neighbor of ours years ago was selling his house. He had bids on it about 25k above the price he then agreed to sell it to another neighbors son. My Dad had a word with the mans family and told them he was being taken advantage of.

    It turned out that the guy buying the house had called in to talk about (read give the sob story) the price and they had agreed that a young couple starting out should get the house cheaper. What my Dad said to the family was that that elderly man might as well sell the house for market price and then pile up 25k in the front garden and put a match to it so it all goes up in flames. Same result.

    Anyway the house got sold at full market price in the end, but some people are just too cute.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 414 ✭✭ingo1984


    I know of two couples in the past 18 months who were fed up of being outbid and bidding going above their budget. So they approached the relevant owners/vendors, offered the asking price, explained they were from the area born and reared and working in the area. In both instances the vendor accepted their offer there and then. Some people aren't motivated by money or greed.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,163 ✭✭✭lordleitrim


    If someone is selling up to buy elsewhere, they will also be having to pay top dollar. Accusing them of greed for trying to get the best price for their own property to enable them to have sufficient funds to buy elsewhere is a bit bleeding hearts.

    Why should a house worth 400K only be sold for 200k because that's all sob story strangers Johnny and Fiona can afford? Also, you realise that if you "gift" a discount to a buyer at below the market rate, the buyers are liable for Capital Acquisition tax. That's why the PPR denotes below market rate sales. Unless someone is a family member or there are unique circumstances for doing so, selling at below market rate is just foolish.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,457 ✭✭✭SharkMX




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