Advertisement
Help Keep Boards Alive. Support us by going ad free today. See here: https://subscriptions.boards.ie/.
If we do not hit our goal we will be forced to close the site.

Current status: https://keepboardsalive.com/

Annual subs are best for most impact. If you are still undecided on going Ad Free - you can also donate using the Paypal Donate option. All contribution helps. Thank you.
https://www.boards.ie/group/1878-subscribers-forum

Private Group for paid up members of Boards.ie. Join the club.

Breaking - Shooting and Explosion at Concert Hall in Moscow

191012141528

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,708 ✭✭✭eightieschewbaccy


    And as I've just pointed out, it's because Russia has an existing history of suspected state terrorism and that's by historians, journalists and former FSB agents(one of which was assassinated). Most countries simply don't have such a history.



  • Posts: 753 ✭✭✭ Hattie Mammoth Clothesline


    Putin is a compulsive liar, I wouldn't trust anything he says at face value.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,120 ✭✭✭✭Sand


    Apparently the place the gunmen were arrested was geolocated to a motorway heading to the Ukrainian border. There was a turnoff which would have led them on the main route to the Belarus border, but they had already passed it and continued on the route to Ukraine. Them heading to the Ukrainian border is odd, but for whatever reason they were heading there when arrested.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 86,683 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    Why is that odd? It would be odd of them to head toward Belarus (Putin's staunch allies) please propose where you think they should have gone

    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/121935040/#Comment_121935040



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,120 ✭✭✭✭Sand


    As Tajiks, towards Central Asia perhaps masquerading as migrant workers heading home? Hundreds of thousands of Tajiks in Russia doing jobs, heading back and forth routinely.

    Or if they're Islamic extremists, maybe south to the Caucuses which has a history of sympathisers and extremist groups?

    Or just go to ground and hide out in Moscow with local sympathisers.

    I cant speak from experience here, but any of the above would seem like a better option than all climbing into the same car you arrived in and driving (on a main route) towards a border that is heavily militarised and watched. But it's already weird that these Islamic extremists wanted to a) not be martyred and b) get paid. Let's see where the investigation goes.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,261 ✭✭✭Jinglejangle69


    You believe the story they were heading towards Ukraine why?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,208 ✭✭✭jmreire


    That was very convenient for the FSB, wasn't it? Imagine, after a major crime, with the hue and cry in full swing, they would head straight for the Russian - Ukraine border, one of the most heavily guarded borders in the world at the moment. Trigger happy guards on both sides, mines etc. No way I'd believe that.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,120 ✭✭✭✭Sand


    Because...the measurable distance between their location and the location of the Ukrainian border decreased between the attack and their arrest?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,708 ✭✭✭eightieschewbaccy


    And why should we trust the Russian government to report accurate information? They're not exactly known for their honesty.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,166 ✭✭✭✭nullzero
    °°°°°


    There's definitely a tendency to apply a level of critical thinking to explanations offered by Russia that isn't applied elsewhere. Not to say that such an approach isn't warranted in Russias case more that western governments can say literally anything and people appropriate it at face value.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,208 ✭✭✭jmreire


    Maybe nowhere? Still in Moscow, secure in a Muslim enclave? Or by now back in Chechnya? Dagestan? Or any of the intervening republics? For sure they're not in Russian custody anyway.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,102 ✭✭✭aidanodr


    Related gift article at THE ATLANTIC on many points you mention - gifted by Anne Applebaum:

    A decade ago, when foreign fighters were flowing into Syria, the Islamic State’s capital, Raqqa, became a sort of Epcot of global jihad

    Russia alone contributed as many as 4,000, according to President Vladimir Putin

    The connection between Russia and ISIS is, in other words, overdetermined. The cruelty of the killing and even the choice of venue—a concert hall—are all awfully familiar to anyone acquainted with jihadism in Russia. What comes next will be familiar too. The horrific videos and claims of responsibility have already arrived. Next will be a brutal reply from the Russian state. Whether that reply will be addressed to the attack’s actual authors is an open question.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,102 ✭✭✭aidanodr




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,120 ✭✭✭✭Sand


    Meduza, an independent Russian media organisation based in Latvia, has apparently geolocated the arrest site to near a town called Khatsun. They might be right, or they might be wrong but they're extremely hostile to the Russian government (hence in Latvia).



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,208 ✭✭✭jmreire


    Personally, I wouldn't believe him either, but what you or I believe is of little consequence to Putin, it's what the 140 odd million Russians believe what counts, and for them, like it or not, failure to believe in what Putin says is a criminal offence, punishable by serious jail time.

    Post edited by Boards.ie: Mike on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,120 ✭✭✭✭Sand


    Okay, I'll bite - what is the theory you are hinting at?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,708 ✭✭✭eightieschewbaccy


    https://meduza.io/en/news/2024/03/23/meduza-geolocates-arrest-video-of-moscow-terrorism-suspect-to-town-85-miles-from-ukrainian-border

    Being selective with what they said "Alizade’s apparent arrest location is less than five miles south of the intersection of the M3 and P-120 highways, which leads west to the border with Belarus and south to Ukraine. The location seemingly bolsters Russian state officials’ claim that the suspects were heading to Ukraine. However, the Federal Security Service has been accused before of staging arrest videos. After the 2017 terrorist attack in the St. Petersburg subway system, for example, experts at the Memorial human rights group concluded that the FSB filmed its agents arresting suspects outside Moscow, even though they’d actually been apprehended elsewhere.".,



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,120 ✭✭✭✭Sand


    How so? They say themselves their own independent geolocation bolsters the view that they were heading to Ukraine?

    Unless you want to get into jet fuel cant melt steel girders territory (and please, feel free) then it is what it is.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,708 ✭✭✭eightieschewbaccy


    There's nothing preventing them from staging an arrest at that location and the footage is from the FSB. I'll repeat the quote "However, the Federal Security Service has been accused before of staging arrest videos. After the 2017 terrorist attack in the St. Petersburg subway system, for example, experts at the Memorial human rights group concluded that the FSB filmed its agents arresting suspects outside Moscow, even though they’d actually been apprehended elsewhere.".


    Either way, there's no indication that Ukraine had anything to do with this attack. The only ones claiming that they were responsible are Russia.



  • Posts: 753 ✭✭✭ Hattie Mammoth Clothesline


    We have some people on this thread defending Russia on the basis of "why wouldn't the attackers have headed toward Ukraine", when days before the Ukraine invasion, Russia said they had no intentions of invading Russia. But apparently Russia is to be believed this time, acting in honest and good faith.

    But they are suddenly to be believed now; the same Russia that massacred 300+ civilians in the 1999 bombings that escalated a war that brought Putin to prominence to begin with. In other words, Putin has no problem killing Russians if it means pursuing his own political goals.

    It beggars belief how people will trust Putin / Russia given their track record in lies, distortion, and mass murder of their own civilians.

    And by the way, when was the last time ISIS fighters sought to fled toward a country for protection rather than fight to the end, as they have done everywhere else?



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,120 ✭✭✭✭Sand



    So you think they were arrested in some other place, and then transported towards the Ukrainian border, with 2 being released to flee into the woods just so they could be recaptured again, with one doing a great impression of a person suffering from shock? Was the Russian security forces cutting off one gunman's ear and feeding it to him part of the script, or just improv on the part of the Russian actor in your opinion?

    I cant rule your Alex Jones crisis actors theory entirely out. But its just a lot more probable they were fleeing towards the location they were were arrested at, and which was independently geolocated to where the Russians claimed it was. If new evidence comes to light, I'll reconsider.


    I think the people claiming false-flag need to take into account that so far the Russians have not officially assigned responsibility to anyone, not even the Ukrainian state. They seem to be waiting for the investigation to conclude. That seems wise.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,208 ✭✭✭jmreire


    Agreed, making a beeline for Ukraine is non-runner, except in the FSB play book. This attack was well planned, down to the last detail, it was all done very professionally, from start to finish, and by finish, I mean the perpetrators escape plan.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 371 ✭✭lizzyjane


    Luckily for us its Putin in charge and not this deranged lunatic.

    Post edited by Boards.ie: Mike on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,708 ✭✭✭eightieschewbaccy


    If you actually look back at my earlier posts, I view this as an ISIL attack. However I have said, we have pretty sound reasons to not trust the conclusions that Russia make in such an investigation because they've used such investigations to cover up their own failures or sometimes their own involvement(that's completely factual btw) and in this case, potentially to pin the blame on whoever they feel like. I haven't claimed anyone is an actor, I simply quoted the source you cited which states that the FSB are known for doing staged arrests to create a specific kind of image.


    Do you genuinely believe that Russia will do a transparent investigation of this? I'm not sure if it's naivete on your part or just some weird level of fandom for Putin. In any normal country, you'd have the press investigating this as well but that's not gonna be allowed cause the state controls the narrative. If they want to blame Ukraine, they will regardless of if there's evidence.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 723 ✭✭✭engineerws


    Reading through the comments... it seems many have a boner for the US/UK/NATO. Putin is a liar but UK/ US are not?

    We are allied to greater and lesser degrees with US/UK/NATO and not Russia. We need to hold our allies to a higher standard than our foes otherwise why are we allied with them?

    The USA armed the Syrian rebels https://www.pbs.org/newshour/show/u-s-strategy-arming-syrian-rebels-didnt-work and many of those arms ended up with ISIS. I remember being confused in 2016 when someone called someone an Assad sympathiser. I didn't know anything about Assad. Why were the USA involved in Syria at all?

    Syria borders Israel.

    This is from former FBI agent Mark Waurck https://meaninginhistory.substack.com/p/update-on-the-moscow-terror-attack

    I think it is fair to say tHat's the Russian position.

    The Western position is that ISISK was responsible

    As an Irish person, there's no reason for me to believe either side. The American's and British are notorious liars. Iraq war / Birmingham six. I know less of Putin's lies probably as I don't live near Russia. Why should I believe any of them? What has Russia got to gain from killing its own where Putin is already enormously popular? What has the UK/ USA got to gain? Maybe Russia can use it as an excuse to get more aggressive in Ukraine (hard to imagine how they get more aggeesive without going nuclear)?

    FWIW, I sincerely hope this is not going down a nuclear path. For one, I wont get to repair the water pump if we're all dead and I'm determine to repair it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,208 ✭✭✭jmreire


    It's not actually a theory, it's just how I saw / see it playing out, and what I wrote is pretty self-explanatory, I think anyway. If there's a part you don't understand, or have a problem with, shoot away and I'll answer as best I can, OK?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,208 ✭✭✭jmreire


    No, it's not an automatic fight to the death and glorious martyrdom for ISIS members. Thats the ultimate aim when cornered or killed in action, but not otherwise. You must kill as many unbelievers as possible while you can, and if every ISIS jihadi got killed on his first action, they would quickly run out of members. So, no, it's not automatic martyrdom.

    Post edited by Boards.ie: Mike on


  • Posts: 753 ✭✭✭ Hattie Mammoth Clothesline


    Days after Putin is elected, and he is granted the perfect opportunity for escalation.

    Do you really think that's a coincidence?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,208 ✭✭✭jmreire


    The FSB, throughout their history, will do anything needed according to the official script, and if the script says that the perpetrators were apprehended heading towards the Ukrainian border, that's exactly what will happen. The perpetrators will duly be arrested heading for the border. People, who have never been to or lived in Russia, make the very basic mistake that Russia has the same kind of society that we in the west enjoy ie: Laws, rules and regulations that our society lives by. Thats not the case in Russia. I've heard Russia described as a mafia run filling station. And its a pretty apt description. All Russian law, including constitutional law (which Putin has literally driven a coach and 4 through) is subject to Putins interpretation. And of course, that means that anything that any of the Russian state branches do, is covered. Be it legal or not.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,208 ✭✭✭jmreire


    I'd say that the planning for the actual attack has been in the works for quite a while, even before the elections. But the question is what had Putin to do with it? Was it part of his overall plan, as you suggest? I don't know for 100% certainty, but, little or nothing happens in Putins Russia without his say so. And all this business of catching the gunmen heading for the Ukrainian border stinks to high heaven to me. So, on a balance, I'd say that yes, it's all part of Putin's master plan.

    Post edited by Boards.ie: Mike on


Advertisement