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Sinn Fein and how do they form a government dilemma

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 74,022 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Come on folks.

    Back up the conspiracy claims.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,060 ✭✭✭pureza




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 74,022 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Do you have anything to back up this?

    the advice being given right left and centre in the busiiness world is to protect yourself against a Sinn Féin government now while you still can

    'left, right and centre' is a big claim.

    Is it yet another one that won't be backed up and therefore consigned to the sensationalism/scaremongering folder?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,966 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    I have posted links from the OECD and from academic studies that show that there is a link between high personal income taxes and low FDI, but the evidence is ignored, all because it doesn't fit the narrative of Sinn Fein good, everyone else bad.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 74,022 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Haven't we seen that before? Ansbacher etc.

    I have no doubt there will be greedy people fretting. How would they not with all the sensationalism about.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 74,022 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    I have shown the reality in the countries listed that striking a balance seems to be the key to maintaining healthy FDI.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,060 ✭✭✭pureza


    Heh

    You're not being real again as usual

    Business people,high earners and the legal profession aren't publishing articles

    They're just doing

    Boards.ie punters like yourself aren't a priority



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,966 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    "Whatabout Portugal" and some other countries was the start and end of your contribution. Nothing to back it up, not a single academic study, not a single economic argument.

    All of the evidence points to high personal income tax rates discouraging FDI. All of it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 74,022 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    So you cannot back up your claim.

    Thank you for that.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,060 ✭✭✭pureza


    Back to you not being real again I see

    Thank you for that



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 74,022 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    So how is it affecting the countries I listed.

    I know the theory and I accept that if that is all you do...increase income tax to unsustainable levels you will get corporate flight. That isn't rocket science.

    However there is like everything nuance and balance that can be achieved. And the countries listed seem to have achieved it.

    Seems to me, SF have been hard at work allaying the fears of FDI investors and they are certainly not intimating flight or anything like it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 74,022 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    You made the claim. Up to you to back it up when asked.

    Seems to me if somebody claims something is happening 'left, right and centre' that they must be basing it on something.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,966 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    You are the one making the unsupported claim that the economists and academics are wrong and that it isn't affecting the countries you listed.

    You claim that they "seem" to have achieved balance, but Portugal, for example, is a much poorer country than Ireland. You also haven't set out how their income tax arrangements have gone up while FDI has also gone up.

    As you say in your own post #2456 those who make claims have to back them up.

    You have made the outrageous claim that a series of economists and academics are wrong in stating that higher personal income taxes reduces FDI, you claim that Portugal (and let's just take one of your spurious examples) is a country where higher personal income taxes don't deter FDI, and you have made this claim without any evidence that Portugal has higher personal tax rates than Ireland and that Portugal has been able to get similar levels of FDI as Ireland. But you have the gall to ask others to back up their claims when you are going around making a completely nonsensical claim against all the evidence and refusing to back up that gibberish claim.

    Someone else might draw conclusions as to what you are at. I will just present the evidence above.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 74,022 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    I didn't say they were 'wrong', I actually accepted the premise.

    What I am saying is that it is not the case in the countries listed and I'm offering a reason why that is - they have achieved a balance that seems to work for everyone. Tjey seem to have accepted that the balance achieved is better than increased FDI (which is not necessarily a good thing to be so reliant on, which is something I think we will also have to face down the road)

    I have challenged you to show corporate or personnel flight or a damaging lack of FDI investment, in what is quite a list of like countries. As yet you have failed to do that and cling to a general rule.

    *You seem to once again be trying to insist I am making a point about Portugal for some bizarre reason as well.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,966 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    You have presented zero evidence that it is not the case in the countries listed - Portugal was one of those you listed, so I am limiting it to Portugal to make it easier on you, come back with the stats from Portugal that back you up.

    You have presented zero evidence that even if your theory that it is not the case in the countries listed, that the reason is the one you have advanced.

    You have presented zero evidence that those countries believe that the balance achieved is better than increased FDI.

    All of the above runs counter to the established economic and academic norms. In other words, when it comes to economics and FDI, you are the flat earther or climate change denier, and until you produce something more than zero evidence, that is how your "arguments" should be treated.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 74,022 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    I can find no evidence of corporate or personnel flight from the countries listed. I can find nobody expressing concerns about attracting professionals from abroad in those countries.

    By all means if I have missed something post the information.

    These are the things that are claimed will happen here if there is a rise in personal income tax rates.

    I have simply challenged those making these seemingly sensationalist claims to show where this has happened.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,966 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    As I said, that is equivalent of somebody saying that they can find no evidence that the world is round, so all the experts are wrong and that they can find no evidence that there is climate change, so all the experts are wrong on that as well. You will probably tell us next that you can find no evidence that 5G masts and Covid vaccines are safe so all the experts are wrong on those.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 74,022 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    It is you who make the claim: higher income taxes will cause corporate flight, and personnel flight.

    I have challenged that view.

    I have posted a list of countries with higher personal tax rates than here , some of them 5 and 6% higher and asked you to show how that causes what you claim in those countries.

    P.S. To put it another way - how come the rule you quoted has not applied in those countries?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,242 ✭✭✭Emblematic


    That is what I meant by full employment: the practical maximum level of employment achievable.

    If we have this, then continued job creation strategies being dominant may not be optimal for the country. That is not to say we should stop creating jobs but rather that other strategies for improving living conditions may become relatively more important.

    For example, imagine a large multinational corporation expands into a particular area with close to full employment promising the creation of, say, a thousand new jobs.

    In times of high unemployment, this is almost entirely good news. Unemployed people people of various skill levels get a chance of a job, the chance to buy a house and raise a family.

    In times of full employment however, it means more people moving into the area, longer waiting times for medical services, difficulty finding school places, higher rents and house prices on already highly priced accommodation. Queues for rental properties etc.

    Like I said earlier, this does not mean we stop creating jobs. It means, rather, that job creation takes its place among other strategies like building more housing units, increasing school places, training and education and so on.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,966 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    All of those countries have lower levels of FDI than Ireland.

    In order to show that the experts are wrong, you need to produce a country, any country, with a similar wealth profile as Ireland, which manages to combine high and increasing levels of personal taxation with high and increasing levels of FDI.

    There isn't one, but off you go. Until then, best that your deluded economic theories are filed alongside flat earthers.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,966 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    And Public Expenditure, Environment and Foreign Affairs.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,242 ✭✭✭Emblematic


    Is high and increasing FDI the way to go though as the overriding economic strategy? It made sense in dark days of the 1980s and worked well for a couple of decades but might constantly increasing FDI as the dominant national strategy have run its course? Again, like the job creation strategy (of which attracting FDI is part), it does not mean we drive out FDI, but rather re-balance the strategy taking into account the current needs of the country.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,966 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    For a small open economy, there are few other options.

    We could adopt the 1930s FF strategy of self-reliance, echoes of which are in the 2020s Sinn Fein economic playbook, but what are your policy options, and how would you fund them?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 74,022 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    No, I do not need to provide anything as I am not making any claims.

    It is you guys who are claiming corporate flight and personnel flight is a given.

    I have challenged you to show where that has happened. You won't do that because you can't.

    Don't try and switch the claim to 'increasing FDI levels'.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,242 ✭✭✭Emblematic


    That is a bit of a straw man to be honest. I don't think anyone is suggesting that we return to any 1930s self-reliance strategy. In fact I specifically said that we are not talking about driving out FDI.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,966 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    Nonsense talk about "rebalancing" the economy means what?

    Does it mean that we don't get Intel to build the next generation factory here? Let the jobs go to India instead?

    Big questions. Do we take advantage of our position as an internet hub and combine the climate location, the intersection of hardware and build lots more data centres?

    If we forego these opportunities, and Sinn Fein, the subject of this thread, want to forego them, then this country starts on a downward path. We could be the Argentina of this century.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 74,022 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Does it mean that we don't get Intel to build the next generation factory here?

    They already have EVEN with the threat of the Shinners looming.

    The position we know is: SF have been hard at work allaying the fears of the last few years scaremongering and one of Irelands senior firms Deloitte seem to be happy with what they said about corporate FDI.

    They have some concerns about personal taxation but most people have. We'll see if those concerns transfer into corporate flight or personnel flight. It doesn't seem to have happened elsewhere in the EU zone or outside it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,242 ✭✭✭Emblematic


    Again extreme examples. FDI is a good thing but when it means that we have ever increasing demands on limited resources, we may need temper the strategy with, for example, the requirement that inward investors contribute to building accommodation, for example, if they are putting a strain on it. This might result in a reduced overall level of FDI but this might be better for the country overall.

    I know you will respond by saying this will turn us into Argentina or Venezuela or some other crisis-hit country, but I would suggest to you that that is evidently not the case. Most developed countries don't go to the extreme lengths Ireland does to attract FDI and yet most countries are not Argentina or Venuzeuala or anything like them.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,966 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    Argentina was a rich country in the early twentieth century. It isn't now, because it didn't change and move with the times, continually reinvesting and reinventing itself. By turning our back on FDI and relying on the stock of FDI already built up, we would be doing the same.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,242 ✭✭✭Emblematic


    I don't agree with a lot of Sinn Fein policies but I think, if they do get in, it will be because of one-dimensional policies of the mainstream parties. It is not FDI that is the problem it is that any given strategy that works for the benefit of the country at one point in history, fails to be optimal eventually. Ordinary people start to realize this and make voting decisions based on it.

    Another example of this would be GDP growth. We've been pursuing this for decades now to the extent that it has become meaningless and no longer has any relation to the economic welfare of citizens. In fact when other more accurate measures are used, it turns out Ireland is nowhere near the upper levels in the EU and we are gradually falling behind. Other countries are overtaking us.

    But GDP growth was at one point the correct thing to pursue, and its growth did contribute massively to the welfare of the country. It is just that a particular strategy at one point eventually stops being the correct strategy.



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