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"average Dublin house prices should fall to ‘the €300,000 mark" according to Many Lou McD.

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,262 ✭✭✭✭Geuze


    I would 100% vote for any party that can actually boost supply, even if my house value falls 20%.

    I hope that happens.

    I value the good of the rest of society, and my children, over my own personal wealth.

    I did not do anything to cause my house to gain 25% during the last few years, it is an un-earned gain.

    Post edited by Geuze on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,037 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,037 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    This is very true.

    The majority of adults do own a home, mortgaged or outright.

    Unemployment is very low and we have the largest number of people employed in the history of the state.

    Lots of people are doing very well.

    You only need to take a walk around Dublin in the week and see the number of people out shopping, socialising in bars & restaurants etc.

    Now that doesnt help the folks trying to get on the property ladder, of course. But that cohort is a minority.

    We have a higher homeownership rate currently than anytime in almost 15 yrs.

    There are a majority of the population, over 70%, who may well not want to see house price falls and are doing just fine.

    How many of those folks want to see a SF govt?

    Post edited by BlueSkyDreams on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,723 ✭✭✭Finty Lemon


    Exactly, the housing issue resonates and SF indeed have convinced many that Ireland is an outlier regarding housing.

    However, anyone that has tried 'escaping' Dublin for Melbourne, Vancouver etc soon learn the problems are as bad or worse elsewhere.

    SF are not serious about housing. They are serious about using housing to build themselves into a position for a tilt at the only issue that matters to them.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,088 ✭✭✭Clo-Clo


    IS Sinn Fein was serious about housing they would stop the blocking of housing which has gone on for years

    Plus when they had the chance, running DCC, they would have built houses and not ended up with less units than when they started

    Sinn Fein are using housing to get into government, plus when they get into government they will blame the previous government for why they can't fix it. They have already started over 12 months ago when the online supporters group started across all media the "oh housing is so bad it won't be fixed in one term" narrative.

    If they get into government expect the excuses to come thick and fast about why they can do nothign about housing. Best we could hope for is them to not f*ck it up anymore , byt the comment so far from Eoin and Mary Lou it will be a disaster



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,254 ✭✭✭MegamanBoo


    No, I'm able to look beyond my current situation and see the struggles others face, and that will impact me in future too, regardless of whether I currently own a home.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,254 ✭✭✭MegamanBoo


    Where are you getting that home ownership rates have increased?

    I believe we had somewhere around 80% in the early 90s, dropping to around 66% these days.

    Any figures I've seen show them dropping faster amongst younger cohorts and those not on higher incomes.

    https://www.irishtimes.com/business/economy/2022/07/06/falling-home-ownership-rates-will-leave-future-retirees-financially-exposed-study-finds/



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,088 ✭✭✭Clo-Clo


    Depends on which charts but home ownerships rates are going up

    FYI young people can be on higher incomes than older people. Plenty in my company a lot younger than me and on a lot more money than I will ever earn because they have a different skill.



    Screenshot 2024-01-04 at 20.38.30.png




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,037 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    Yes it dropped from a peak in the 90s, but 2022 was the highest precentage of ownership since 2010, albeit very small margins.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,254 ✭✭✭MegamanBoo




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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,309 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    What defines homeownership?

    An adult that owns their own home?

    Or an adult that lives in a home owned by them or a family member?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,723 ✭✭✭Finty Lemon


    Home ownership in Serbia is 95% and 94.8% in Romania

    59% in Denmark and 64% in Sweden.

    In isolation, home ownership % and chamges to it, might not be a great indicator of an economy's status



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,920 ✭✭✭✭Frank Bullitt




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,262 ✭✭✭✭Geuze


    There isn't any.

    All EOB has said is that they plan to build 4,000 new houses a year, for starters, and sell them at close to the hard construction costs.

    What impact that would have on the overall market is hard to say.

    If the 4,000 lucky buyers were going to buy other houses, then the demand for other houses will fall a bit.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,066 ✭✭✭HerrKuehn


    I don't necessarily disagree with the idea he is proposing there, if the state is giving a large subsidy to a buyer, there remains an indefinite claw back which I think is fair enough. However, it is not comparable to buying a house normally, it is really comparing apples and oranges. There will some set affordable price that you would need to sell it on for later (Which is fair enough, I don't think the aim is to enrich people with state subsidies), but it is not comparable to buying a house and being able to get the full market price for it later.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,088 ✭✭✭Clo-Clo




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,851 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    (1) There is also a shortage of facilities. ETBs can't cope with the numbers for Phase 2 presenting for training. Spending money isn't a solution on its own, as for the North, having had Sinn Fein in charge of education up there, it is a complete mess. The State already pays students to study construction, not like in other areas like IT and pharma where the students study at their own expense.

    (2) That doesn't make sense. For someone who claims to have studied economics, I am a little despairing at what I am reading. You want to offer long-term stability to construction employees in public sector employment. Even Leaving Cert economics will explain to you that this is an inefficient and more expensive use of resources that will cost more in the longer term. I am fine with it as a policy option, if people want the State to set up a company to build houses, so be it. However, I am absolutely fed up with the lies coming from people who claim to be trained in economics that it will somehow be cheaper when the opposite is true as we see with the Children's Hospital. Let the State build houses, give carpenters and bricklayers jobs for life in the public service, but don't pretend it will be cheaper.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,194 ✭✭✭Emblematic


    I very much agree with this. A large part of the problem is the electorate itself.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,216 ✭✭✭Trampas


    Can just imagine builders on the public payroll. How long before they start complaining that the private sector is on more money than them and be looking for rises and saying they’re going on strike.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,616 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    Exactly. Few if any capital cities in the developed world never mind the EU would probably have houses (not apartments) at an average price of €300k. We are a high wage economy, everyone knows our public sector wages for example are on average among the highest paid in the world.

    Claiming to want an average price of 300k for a house in the capital city is an easy but lazy way to try to get votes from the more gullible / stupid, but how would it be achieved?

    Might as well say pints should be €3 and a BMW should cost €20,000 and there will be one for everyone who votes SF. As you say, it shows how inexperienced SF are when it comes to the real world.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,418 ✭✭✭Flaneur OBrien


    The state (through a building entity that is owned/operated by the state) isn't building the Childrens Hospital though. BAM Ireland is. From their own website: "Established in 1958, BAM Ireland is the largest multinational construction business operating nationally with expertise and experience in the delivery of many of Ireland’s flagship infrastructural and building projects."



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,851 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    Is there anyone seriously claiming that the State can build houses cheaper than buying them?

    Leave aside the costs of land, I am asking the question about the State building houses, whether by doing it themselves with a whole new bureaucratic State body or contracting it out ala Children's Hospital?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,948 ✭✭✭orangerhyme


    SF are a bunch of morons and anyone who votes for them is also.

    Anyone can make false promises.

    Mary Lou studied English Literature AFAIK. So what does she know about the construction industry.

    The IRA were well known for being anti drugs whilst taking money from drug dealers. They were doing this in Dublin not too long ago.

    The best we can hope for is construction capacity edging upwards and home completions also.

    We could hit 35,000 units next year definitely.

    We can then increase incrementally towards 45,000.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,616 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    I never called the SCSI stupid. It seems the only stupid ones are SF and their gullible voters.

    As quoted elsewhere construction costs in Dublin at the moment are nearly €2900 per sq.m. According to the Society of Chartered Surveyors Ireland (SCSI), the average cost of building a 3-bedroom house in Dublin is €371,311. That excludes site purchase costs, site development works incl roads, paths, landscaping, services, planning and development costs and fees, developer profit, etc,etc.

    I have huge respect for the SCSI and hundreds if not thousands of quantity surveyors etc who have degrees and experience and spend their working lives calculating the price of housing etc.

    And SF say house prices in Dublin should be on average 300k. What does Mary Lou McD - who has no qualifications in anything other than English literature as far as I know - or her aspiring Minister for Finance (who dropped out of his course in Letterkenny I. T. or whatever it is or was called ) know about how to run - as opposed to destroy - an economy?


    What next, her saying pints should be €3 and new BMWs 10 or 20k each, for each of her voters? Lots of designer clothes? A 5 bed house with ensuites in Cabra for everyone on avg industrial wage?

    Post edited by Boards.ie: Mike on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,616 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    Food is essential too, tell Mary Lou to say that a loaf of Bread should be €1, and a steak 'n chips €12.

    Post edited by Boards.ie: Mike on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,474 ✭✭✭✭GreeBo


    "shelter" and a 3-bed semi-d with a garden in the location that I choose are not the same thing. One is essential, one is preferential.

    Post edited by Boards.ie: Mike on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,948 ✭✭✭orangerhyme


    FG performed an economic miracle. They took us from the brink of disaster to one of the best economies in the world in less than 10 years.

    They're obviously not perfect but they should be commended for what they've done right.

    I see no competence or intelligence in SF. Just populist bluster.

    Also you don't need to spend €1500 on an apartment. You can house share for €700.

    Alternatively you can rent a brand new 2 bed apartment for €2100. Assuming no couples, put one person in the sitting room and then a bedroom each, which works out at €700 a month which isn't bad.

    Almost every western city is in a housing crisis and we're doing better than others.

    Also the housing crisis is at a turning point at the moment based on data.

    Post edited by Boards.ie: Mike on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,066 ✭✭✭HerrKuehn


    Yes, but I guess that would have happened anyway, and what have they ever done for me? 😂



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,194 ✭✭✭Emblematic


    Though I think going forward I think we should be aiming for a target where, say, a single person on an ordinary wage in Dublin can afford to rent a one bed apartment while saving for a deposit to purchase a similar type apartment.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,948 ✭✭✭orangerhyme


    I don't like the perception that FG only care about corporations and the upper middle class and SF are the people's champions.

    SF have opposed 100s of housing projects.

    See Jennifer Carroll MacNeill recently talking about the work she does in early intervention, her passion is obvious but people label her posh.



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