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"average Dublin house prices should fall to ‘the €300,000 mark" according to Many Lou McD.

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,557 ✭✭✭✭Idbatterim


    government have no issue giving out new free luxury homes in prime locations, for many neverworks...



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,327 ✭✭✭✭Donald Trump



    Not sure why you are arguing for the sake of arguing. I made it clear that I did not see the original post and I also made it clear that I based the calculation on the claim that it was 10x from the mid-1990's which was implied at the time as it was made when the topic was 1990's vs today.

    Here ya go, to make it easy for you like


    And this is the initial post in that particular exchange which indicates the 10X was 1990's vs today


    But you keep doing you! (And your "Christ on a bike" dramatics!)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,254 ✭✭✭MegamanBoo


    I've a fair idea alright.

    I'm not talking about what it costs now, I'm talking about what it should cost with everyone involved making a decent living.

    Per hour union trade rates aren't that high.

    Material costs aren't that high.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,474 ✭✭✭✭GreeBo


    Yeah, and as has been pointed out, its not over 5x, its just over 3x and also it was 1980.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,557 ✭✭✭✭Idbatterim


    nail. hammer. head! these people may have worked "hard" they could afford a decent house in a decent area, that same job now, what would it get you in that area? probably a fcuking tent!


    My parents bought a wreck on a house in 1989 for around the average salary, that same house now in the same condition, would cost roughly ten times the average salary... I am aware interest rates were higher then.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,474 ✭✭✭✭GreeBo


    Define "should" cost for us please? Whats is based on. Whats a "decent" living?

    How far back in the supply chain are you going to go? i.e. how realistic are your made up material costs?

    tbh this feels very much like some pseudo socialist nonsense where I pay for my house out of the bread and milk on my farm.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,327 ✭✭✭✭Donald Trump



    I was perfectly correct given the assumptions which I clearly outlined from the start, taken from what the other poster said. If you want to keep going on about it, take your pointless mission up with them directly. I doubt they'd care, but knock yourself out.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,474 ✭✭✭✭GreeBo


    Perhaps working the same job as someone did 40 years ago isnt a great strategy? Coal mining used to be a great gig, not so great now. Its almost like times change and if you dont move with them, then your expectations need to move.


    What could be the cause of that 10x jump? Could it be demand perhaps? How do you propose we solve that demand. Build a couple more storeys onto your parents house so you can live upstairs?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,927 ✭✭✭Beta Ray Bill


    Can't really tell you what they should be can certainly tell you they should not be as high as they are.

    The issue here is that there are people sitting on heaps of properties renting them out at stupid money (HAP is a contributing factor).

    There's others that are just sitting on empty derelict properties waiting for a developer to come along.

    The solution here is Tax, Use the property for something meaningful or sell it or pay heavy tax on it. And also Limit the number of properties and individual can own. If they want to own more than say 2, then the 3rd and any others properties needs to be in a Ltd Company.

    All "the market" needs is regulation.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,848 ✭✭✭Jack Daw


    You really think people don't move with the time and are stuck in supposedly dead industries and that is what is stopping them owning a home?

    Most people in their 20's and 30's today put far more effort into their education and careers than their parents generation and yet are still not able to afford a house despite doing everything right.

    People of my parents generation could do the bare minimum , no college and just normal jobs and be able to afford to buy their own house .You had that attitude today you'd barely be able to find somewhere to rent never mind a place to buy.

    There is something wrong with the system when the current generation who make much more effort get less opportunities to own a home than the previous generation who made much less of an effort.

    All the data points to home ownership being much more unattainable today than it was for the previous generation yet you've decided to just ignore this.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,474 ✭✭✭✭GreeBo


    There are more bloody people trying to live in the same place, of course its more expensive!

    Seriously, this is demand 101. You cant magic it away because you will never be able to satisfy all the demand in the high demand areas, due to that awkward "land" problem.


    We could build 100,000 homes in Skibbereen tomorrow and there would still be the same demand to live in parts of Dublin. When there is demand, more of the people with more of the money will get what they want compared to those with less money. If you crash house prices all you are doing is making the people who have less money compete even more against the people who have more money.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,848 ✭✭✭Jack Daw


    The issue is that government policy over the past 15 years means that they think it is OK to have this situation to exist and screw the younger generation over in comparison to previous generations.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,474 ✭✭✭✭GreeBo


    And what do you think any other party could have done differently?

    How did SF do any other time they were in charge of housing for any area?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,254 ✭✭✭MegamanBoo


    I'm building a large home office/granny flat at the moment.

    72sq m cavity walls. Slate roof, insulated concrete floor.

    In terms of materials not far off a typical semi d.

    Blocks are costing me about 4k.

    Slates I think 2k

    I'm going to pump the walls but were I going to 150mm pir which I think are today's regs, I'd be looking at 5k.

    My site is wet and sloped so a bit trickier than a typical semi-d but I'm looking at about 8k materials there. Foundation concrete, steel, insulation.

    Post edited by MegamanBoo on


  • Posts: 14,708 [Deleted User]


    I hate to break it to you kid, there were people in 1989 who couldn’t afford your parents house. They probably whinged that in 1969 their parents bought a wreck.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,474 ✭✭✭✭GreeBo



    It sounds so cozy, those lovely concrete blocks to rub up against every night, lying on that cozy solid concrete floor looking up at the slates as the rain patterns against them, I'm sold!

    From now on houses should cost 10K, anything else is a complete rip off. Btw can you share the video of how you get the slates to hang in mid air? Also how you get them up there without any scaffolding etc? At least you never have to worry about woodworm or rot, since your house doesnt appear to have any timber. Though maybe it does and I just cant see it as you dont have any wiring or lighting either.

    You really are a hardcore builder, its a pity your house wont have any, might help with the sloping site? then again some drainage might help also, but you dont appear to have any of that pesky stuff. I guess there is no point as there are no fascias to hang gutters from, unless you can get them to float like the slates?

    Seriously, I cant wait for your vlog on youtube.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,557 ✭✭✭✭Idbatterim


    Shutting down residential during covid was genius... you could say that allowing this amount of immigration , is not to only look like we are being the " good guys" you could look at it and say its a cynical move to increase property prices , hotel values and returns etc

    Money looks after money...



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,327 ✭✭✭✭Donald Trump



    Dav10, you post a lot on here and give the impression of being of the older generation and late in your career. We'll assume that you have progressed through your career and are at the peak of your earning capacity up to now. You don't need to give us absolute figures, but is your annual income from employment more than 20% of the value of your house? For some people that will be the case, for others it won't.


    In ones own career, you get the benefit of regular inflation increases to your income as well as jumps for promotion etc. due to experience and taking on more responsibilities.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,557 ✭✭✭✭Idbatterim


    You trolling ? Reformimg the farcial planning system. Proper land taxes, proper property taxes. Less commercial development, the docklands has ten times more office space, than residential accommodation. Allow higher density. Reduce the " standards" that result in the mental cost of new apartments. Hey! Buy a lambo on a fiat budget, genius idea...



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    At least SF is putting some different thinking into the situation.

    As for the rest of the points here.

    Polices have to be enacted which means home ownership is seen as providing a home for yourself and not as a vehicle for building wealth.

    The fact that some can buy in South County Dublin or Clontarf or Howth and some have to buy in the far reaches of Wicklow or Meath is normal it's not unfair nor has it anything to do with social housing in South County Dublin or Clontarf.

    As for buying in the 1980s it wasn't easier it was different thats if you had a job in the first place seeing as unemployment was 17.1% in 1986 let alone massive emigration.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,848 ✭✭✭Jack Daw


    Loads of policy changes they could make.

    So many empty houses all across the country that have been allowed to rot, this issue could be addressed fairly easily of they wanted.

    You could allow more high rise apartment buildings in cities.

    Build more houses in areas that need them.

    Start training programmes to get unemployed people off the dole and into a trade so this reduces the labour shortage, seems the lefties in Ireland like to let the unemployed rot for eternity rather than do something to improve their lives.

    etc etc

    The issue could be solved if the government wanted but they don;t, s soon as MLMcD suggesting trying to lower house prices you had Varadkar come out immediately and rail against and suggestion of trying to reduce the cost of housing.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,438 ✭✭✭Flaneur OBrien



    1: You seem to be under some insane idea that staff that work in say, a supermarket in Dalkey shouldn't be able to live there. What is that about? Where you have nice areas, you have service staff. Those staff need housing. They should also be able to raise a family near where they work. Do you think all service jobs should be worked by students or something?

    2: "It's pie in the sky stuff, what your parents, grandparents and so on had." Right, why is that?

    3: Say I'm a single man from the area, I apply for a one bed apt in my area, get it. I then meet the woman of my dreams, so we apply for either a two bed apt in the same area, or a 3 bed if we're hoping for a family. We get a 3 bed house, raise a family. fast forward 20 years. It's only myself, the marriage didn't work out, but the last of the kids have gone to college. I don't need the 3 bedrooms anymore, so apply for a two bed, so the kids have somewhere to stay when they come over. And when I get into retirement age, there's one bed assisted living flats I can move into.

    You may say this is pie in the sky, I see it as aspirational and something to work toward as a society.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Is it Cuba or the former East German Republic we are all going to live in :)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,438 ✭✭✭Flaneur OBrien


    Neither, I'd like to stay in Ireland. 🤷‍♂️



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,474 ✭✭✭✭GreeBo


    So which party do you think would have or will make those changes?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,254 ✭✭✭MegamanBoo


    I thought it quite obvious I was only giving some example costs.

    Let's face it the cost of materials make up a relatively small amount of the 375k we now see for the average semi-d.

    As for labour costs. I was quoted 5k recently by a local builder for what amounted to 2-3 days work.

    The wages his tradesmen would have been paid, including holidays and prsi, about 800. Typical of some of the price gouging going on now.

    https://connectunion.ie/new-electrical-contracting-industry-rates-of-pay/

    I did the job myself in the end, might even put the results on my vlog. ;)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,474 ✭✭✭✭GreeBo


    1) They can probably live in BallyBrack, I dont know why you think they should be able to live in one of the most affluent areas in the capital city?

    2) I think I mentioned it already, but I'll say it again, there are more people living here now than when your parents and grandparents lived here but we are still using the same old 3 dimensional space to build in.

    3) Say you dont start out looking for the state to provide you with a house in the area you grew up in. Say you take personal responsibility and make your own way in life, or, failing that, you accept that if you want to rely on the state for housing, that you have to take what you get, where you get it.

    Why would anybody buy their own house if the state is giving them away anywhere you want to live?

    Btw your little analogy is a great example of why its pie in the sky stuff. When you are busy applying for that 2 bed downsizing, you are blocking the next young couple from getting that same 2 bed.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,557 ✭✭✭✭Idbatterim


    In this banana Republic? Non of them... but it shows how resistant to dealing with the problem they are, that they will accept large seat losses to maintain the status quo. They had to increase supply, but upping the amount that can be borrowed, does increase supply but even better for them, it also increases property prices. ..



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,474 ✭✭✭✭GreeBo


    Please don't go down the rabbit hole of nonsense with "status quo" and "fat cat bankers" and "money looks after money".



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,438 ✭✭✭Flaneur OBrien


    I'm not going to spend the night arguing with someone I have nothing in common with.

    You cannot expect to have a good and long lasting community, if you don't have have a few generations of the same family living there. The councils and govt should realise that. That goes for supplying housing for younger people in Dalkey/Blackrock/Howth as much as it does supplying jobs in Mayo and Roscommon.

    People should be welcome where they grew up and there should be a concerted effort to keep that going.

    Anything else is just kicking a can down the road.



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