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"average Dublin house prices should fall to ‘the €300,000 mark" according to Many Lou McD.

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,428 ✭✭✭circadian


    There needs to be legislation that prevents companies from gouging any time incentives or grants come in. Any incentive to reduce building costs will inevitably cause prices to increase as some suppliers raise prices, the demand is there so it's a low risk high gain move.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,947 ✭✭✭orangerhyme


    I don't understand your point.

    It's a standard price for a shell of a building.

    The location is beautiful but you're far away from everywhere.

    It could do well as an Airbnb though.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,718 ✭✭✭paddyisreal


    Yep happy with trade wages going down . Needs too big time same as house prices. got an electrician quote last week for 2 cables to be ran, 2500 euro for a half a day's work lol reminded me of a quote to build a stone wall during the last boom. Crazy **** again at the moment. Anyway prices houses need to drop and I know a think or two on how pensions work..



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 313 ✭✭BillyHaelyRaeCyrus


    What about working class Dublin people who work in Dublin? Are they not allowed to live in Dublin anymore?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,718 ✭✭✭paddyisreal


    That's actually quiet impressive, can you remember the name of the site ?



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,187 ✭✭✭I.R.Y.E.D


    Hopefully they increase funding and access to mental health services



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,375 ✭✭✭deirdremf


    It's literally impossible to do it.

    God knows why she said it.

    It would require a property crash.

    Prices are unsustainable as they are. so - There will be a property crash, it's not a question of whether but of how soon. The wars in Palestine and Ukraine are likely to bring it about sooner rather than later; most of us are already aware that the cost of living is increasing fast, and prices will increase further due to the closure of the Red Sea, and the resulting increased shipping costs, along with shortages of some Chinese & other Asian goods in the short to medium term.

    The world we have known in recent decades is coming to an end as many countries in what used to be known as the 2nd and 3rd worlds reject the US Rules-Based-Order. One sign of this change is the rise of the Right all over Europe, Trump & Bolsonaro in the Americas.

    The last crash saw prices drop and drop - until FG/Lab came to power and immediately introduced measures to shore up and then drive up property prices again.

    The fact of the introduction of those measures means that the crash never actually finished - there was still some way to go at the time. A website called thepropertypin.com was set up to discuss housing, and for several years was a very lively site on housing, the economy and related matters. One day, around the spring of 2012 I think it was, a poster who had been very critical of government policy over the previous several years, called "the bottom" of the crash in Dublin. It was completely counter-intuitive as prices had been dropping and had shown no sign of stopping - and employment hadn't picked up either, nor had wages. That poster turned out to be right, but it was due to government interference in the market to bring up prices again, and not to "the fundamentals".



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    So, a couple with two children live in Dublin they want their low or lowish-paid civil servant daughter and her civil servent bf to buy a house the max mortgage they will get is 300k, however, their electrician son currently working on a residential development in Lucan aged 24 is on over a grade a week plus a few nixers at the weekend is not to be affected, nor is the value of their house to go down its their pension after all.

    Tell me how anyone squares that circle.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,481 ✭✭✭Former Former Former


    It’s you who is out of touch I’m afraid

    You claim to be working 60 hours a week and earning 40k. If that’s true you’re earning minimum wage. There isn’t a major city anywhere in the developed world where a single person with no savings and a minimum wage job can buy his own home. That’s the reality.

    if you want to believe SF have a secret plan to fix a problem that literally no other government in any country has been able to solve, that’s fine but my bet is you’ll be here in ten years wondering when you’re going to get your free house.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,947 ✭✭✭orangerhyme


    What's impressive?

    I thought it was extremely shallow. It's no harm having interests but shouldn't his favourite website be the Economist or something like that. Or Skyscrapercity even?

    I can't remember. I can't even remember what I heard him on. It might've been a site to buy cheap vintage designer clothes. I'm not into clothes or fashion.

    Is there a culture show on Todayfm Matt Cooper where they ask your favourite books, music, film etc? I'm not sure.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,947 ✭✭✭orangerhyme


    If by working class you mean a tradesman and his wife, then they can afford to buy in Dublin no problem.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    100 years ago and today are miles apart. For example, 100 years ago there was mass unemployment in the country which meant there was a huge availability of labour to construct those houses.

    Try getting a builder nowadays to do an extension, you'll be lucky. Where are we going to find the thousands of tradesmen required to mass build social housing units? The country is at full employment today.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,327 ✭✭✭✭Donald Trump



    Hold on, give me a fundamental analysis on why that number should be the "standard price for a shell of a building"?


    Suppose you had a blank slate tomorrow in which you had the magic power to start again and create your own system over the country from scratch - would you decide to have a system where that "shell of a building" would be worth every penny taken home by a 30 year old teacher for three years?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 313 ✭✭BillyHaelyRaeCyrus


    I made according to my wage slips 55.6k this year. The banks dont accept second income or bonuses for a mortgage. My base salary from my main job is 40k



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,187 ✭✭✭I.R.Y.E.D


    Wouldn't be for me personally as I prefer not having to worry about neighbours when I play music, work on projects etc.

    Plenty of people having issues getting on the property ladder, same as it was pre and post 2008.

    Wouldn't like to go back renting, but it was as it always been a necessity



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 313 ✭✭BillyHaelyRaeCyrus


    I mean the hundreds of thousands of people in white collar office jobs, retail jobs, hospitality jobs, nurses, teachers, civil servants etc making sub 50k salaries.

    And god forbid they be single.

    If you want to know why people vote Sinn Fein, think of how much looking down your noses on people on average and below average wage you show



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    So will you salary be lowered as well or is it only building workers whose salary will be lowered?



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    The lifetime dole scroungers living in social housing inside the canals should be turfed out of the city and their social housing be made available to people who want to work in Dublin City. But that's never going to happen unfortunately.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 313 ✭✭BillyHaelyRaeCyrus


    According to people here its those like me paying half our salaries in rent and working two jobs to fund it that should be turfed out of the city

    Because I asked why is being done for us to keep us housed when we retire



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,375 ✭✭✭deirdremf


    Not so, mariaalice.

    Supply and demand are the very basis of economics. In other words, for prices to decrease either you increase supply or decrease demand; and by building more social houses (i.e. more supply) you take pressure off the housing market, and thus lower demand; prices decrease as a result.

    That may or may not end up driving salaries down, but more likely will result in reducing pressure to increase wages, which ends up being the same thing.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 313 ✭✭BillyHaelyRaeCyrus


    For most renters, you could half our salaries but with the traditional social housing rent of 15% of income we would be better off. Than again everyone renting who is not on hap (Im not) could easily afford a mortgage but our restrictive lending stops that



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,947 ✭✭✭orangerhyme


    90,000 is very cheap.

    That's it's value in the current market.

    You could spend 150,000 making it habitable and make the money back on Airbnb in 15 years easy. Then it's all profit and you own outright a huge asset.

    The Beara peninsula is considered one of the most beautiful parts of Ireland or Europe even.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,947 ✭✭✭orangerhyme




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 313 ✭✭BillyHaelyRaeCyrus


    Public Relations with extra work as a sub editor



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,327 ✭✭✭✭Donald Trump



    How are you going to make your money back on this imagined future airbnb house when you are also using it to solve the dilemma of all the Dublin-based workers (or even one of them) who is going to move there to live?

    I asked for a fundamental analysis of why it is worth that. The reason being that it cannot be worth that fundamentally. It is only at that value now because of a broken system.


    You may not have realised it, but your own response perfectly encapsulates one of the major issues - that being the commoditisation of houses and having a system that allows a relatively select few to profit at the expense of the already less-well-off



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,375 ✭✭✭deirdremf


    Last month when I visited, Dublin wasn't a major city.

    It's a largish provincial city (calling itself a Capital City) in the Anglo-Saxon world; which is possibly why Mary Lou made the comparison with Sheffield.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,947 ✭✭✭orangerhyme


    The market bottomed out in 2013.

    Despite the crash, our population was still rising and our economy began to recover quite quickly.

    Our construction industry was completely destroyed.

    We were building less than 10,000 units a year back then.

    So if demand is greater than supply, then prices will rise. It's basic economics.

    The problem was the government didn't interfere enough in the property market.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    That's reasonable, now to solve the real thorn the amount of wealth tied up in land, especially around urban areas who is going to take the hit there?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 313 ✭✭BillyHaelyRaeCyrus


    Im thinking strongly of moving to Bristol, Glasgow or Edinburgh (did a stint in London ten years ago to get work experience with an agency). I have a good few friends living over there, same wages but 1/2 the rents and only 5% requirement on a mortgage that according to one mate who bought in Glasgow is 5 times your income over there



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,327 ✭✭✭✭Donald Trump



    The problem is that it interferes far too much. Both directly and indirectly.



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