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Russia - threadbanned users in OP

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,539 ✭✭✭✭Sleepy


    @Gatling according to one comment I saw on Twitter, a lot of that equipment is due to be replaced in the near future and perhaps this is a "before you scrap/decommission the following, we have use for them" type of list?

    Could the request for Heavy lift aircraft be about getting armour across the Dnipro? Or simply about being able to improve logistics capability?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    They seem to be asking the latest of everything not the stuff due to be scrapped, as far as I'm aware they have no where to land heavy lift aircraft outside of their main airports so I can't see them being used to cross the Dnipro unless they are planning to drop cargo from altitude and even at that they are an easy target to hit with long Range air2 air missles, or drone even



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,273 ✭✭✭RoyalCelt


    I read that BBC interview where it sounds like hell for Ukrainian marines over the river. And a lot of reports suggesting man power is an issue. But the Russians they interview from that front shared the exact same sentiment. Both sides suffer here.

    Regardless I've noticed a lot of worrying commentary from the Ukrainian side. Should Ukraine at risk of being stretched pause any notions of attacking Russian lines especially in the East? Go into full defensive mode even if this means for the next 4 or 5 year's. Preserve as much man power and equipment as possible even if that means no ground regained. Ensure you can last a long war.


    I have to agree with the NATO advice in hindsight. Ukraine should be focusing 100% of their attacking efforts in Kherson. Not over 3 or 4 different areas. Shortening the gap to the sea of Azov is worth 10 time's shortening the gap to Luhansk or taking a settlement in the East.

    Their efforts this year gained about 10km at certain points. But they didn't commit most of their Western gear or focus in a single area. Maybe next year if they obtain fighter jets for air superiority and focus 100% of efforts here they could take 20km. Potentially push past Tokmak and really put the Russians under pressure in the south.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 99 ✭✭mikefromcork


    Posters who stated obviously wanted the counter offensive had to have failed on here weeks ago where were called putinbots etc...



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,395 ✭✭✭✭Furze99


    What military equipment would a NATO army use if tasked to drive Russian forces out of Ukraine?

    There's a day of reckoning coming for those supporting Ukraine, a crossroads.

    And a real danger as Biden has pointed out, that NATO inc US forces will be dragged in. Maybe it's inevitable as things stand.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 323 ✭✭duck.duck.go


    What’s your solution? Give in to Putin and have all of this repeat again in a couple of years??

    Only last year most of the items on today’s list would have raised eyebrows, yet here we are




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,611 ✭✭✭Rawr


    Pretty much this. There is a difference between posting updates of any operational difficulties the AFU might have, and enthusastically hunting out slithers of unsubstaniated data (or even Russian dis-information in some cases) in full throated attempts to support their Pro-Russia position and to seed doubt in the support of Ukraine.

    Even if that information becomes actual news later, it is still obvious what these posters who we have christened "Putinbots" are trying to do. That also includes, by the way, posters who lurk on this thread, press like on Putinbot posts and provide single-sentence pro-Russia snippets before disappearing again.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,604 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    What about the right wing twats who also voted to block it. Why did you not mention them ?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    To me the biggest issue now going forward is the lack of any real progress,yes they gained a few km here and there but for most part they haven't managed any significant gains despite the tens of billions in equipment being given to them along with now ignoring the tactical intelligence and planning from the US and NATO,all the while demanding more and more assistance,the Germans are now suggesting one fund of 20 billion for countries to contribute rather than Ukraine asking for donations and fundings separately while other countries are then seeking to be repaid for what they have donated,I get the feeling going forward people will want to see real progress or they may not be willing to keep handing over billions in equipment and money to a non NATO/EU country and they don't have a say in what and when it's used



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling




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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 323 ✭✭duck.duck.go


    Because their position was expected as voting along party lines is more important than anything to them, just like we expect Russians to commit evil we expect republicans to be twats, nothing new there

    Yet Bernie’s vote could have led to a completely different outcome



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,604 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    Well I was wrong about the counter offensive.

    I thought Russian defensive lines would collapse. Clearly they haven't. Surovikin defenses were no doubt a big part in this, but trying to conduct an offensive without at least parity in the air was a near impossible task on reflection. This conflict,as has been stated many times, can't be allowed to end in a stalemate. It will only embolden other actors watching on that if you can wait it out then the west's resolve will crumble- which is what Putin was banking on all along.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 323 ✭✭duck.duck.go


    So no answer or attempt to participate in debate? Why do you post here then??



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,326 ✭✭✭fly_agaric


    God I remember you used to give some dogs abuse to the posters that were far more pessimistic about Ukraine making a lot progress than you back in late 2022 (days of Spring or Summer in Crimea?).

    I almost think my memory is failing me, such is your reversal this year.

    You used to post to lay into countries that appeared to be questioning Ukraine's strategy (the old, defunct, arguments on give Ukraine all means necessary to push Russia back vs Ukraine cedeing some territory for a "peace" deal), or questioning any of Ukraine's equipment asks, or seen as not delivering their military requirements rapidly enough!

    Now it is unrelenting pessimism and quite regular criticism of Ukraine over various issues!

    Do you still think US/NATO should intervene directly [at least I think you used to believe that?] (not just give Ukraine plenty of weapons and support)?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    Alot of people were of the same opinion,how many has the collapse starting been mentioned on here specifically and it's usually the same people say that the Russians have no men ,no artillery,Barrels ,tanks , aircraft and vehicles and yet they have kept the Ukrainians in trenches , only recently the Russians received a number of new Sukhoi aircraft with more to come in the next 12 -18 months, zelensky went to Amsterdam and claimed that the Dutch was handling over 42 F16s which was not agreed on yet it's still be pushed that they are getting 60 + F16s this year but countries like Denmark have said 4/5 aircraft but only if they satisfy the danish requirements on training and logistics first, and then others will follow over a several year period,

    If zelensky and the Ukrainian military aren't going to listen to the US and NATO commanders they will slowly lose support for those who have been giving them the most



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,327 ✭✭✭RGARDINR


    To be fair there probably is not many countries who think they could outlast the west's resolve. China/Russia. I can't think of any other.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 323 ✭✭duck.duck.go


    Listen to US and NATO commanders about what exactly?

    Would you care expand with references too



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    Didn't give anyone dogs abuse ,and as I've said from the very start if they don't get the full support to fight Russia they will struggle to remove russia from all of Ukraine,I hoped they would have smashed they way to meltipol and cut the Russians forces in half and they head to Crimea, but no the Ukrainians decided they know how to fight a modern war by using trench warfare,they received tens of billions in weapons and equipment, hundreds of tanks and IFVs and yet they are no where to be seen bar in propaganda videos or the odd video here's a lone Bradley fighting in a field with no other vehicles in support or dismounted infantry,you cant win war using tactics like that,

    I've said it since day one the best option might just be for Nato to go in and fight for the Ukrainians ,

    Divisions have started to appear in the US and neighbouring countries and it's now looking divisions between zelensky and Zaluzhny ,all the while Ukrainian forces are on social media begging for the most basic of equipment that they haven't received from boots , helmets,plate carriers and sapi plates to socks and uniforms that fit ,

    Questions are getting asked



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 323 ✭✭duck.duck.go


    Did you find examples of Zelensky not listening to US and NATO commanders you claimed a few posts up?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,326 ✭✭✭fly_agaric


    Okay, sorry not dogs abuse (in the personal sense of that term!), you rubbished their positions/opinions.

    Going back to article you posted earlier, don't think it was realistic to expect Ukraine's military (or their population) to be so gung ho for a do or die roll of the dice offensive with a small outdated air support and very little in way of long range weapons (UK/French cruise missiles that are in short supply modified somehow to fire off those old jets, nothing at all really from US afaik, which is shocking) to back it up.

    I think their Western advisers are a bit delusional expecting them to risk large numbers of lives, and large amounts of what may also be irreplacable military equipment under circumstances they would never accept for themsleves.

    As it happens, with what we are seeing in US politics + a shameful failing of will there (likely no new congressional spending on Ukraine this year) may have been for the best that they husbanded weapons they did get somewhat.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,725 ✭✭✭macraignil


    I liked the idea of a collapse in the defensive lines putin's troops set up in occupied Ukraine but it was not US or NATO troops on the ground and by all accounts there appears to have been much more land mines supported by artillery, drones and aircraft in those defensive lines for a major breakthrough to have been established as many would have hoped. The Ukrainians are the ones who are fighting to free their country from putin's occupation so I give much more value to what they have said about the war over the summer just gone and from sources I have seen they consider that they have made progress. To me it is not so much in territory that they have progressed but in weakening the military forces putin has sent to Ukraine with another update on major progress in destroying putin's military machine across the front lines yesterday.

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    Each day they are making big strides in depleting the ability of putin's forces to fight and with committed aid to Ukraine from countries with a much greater economic power than putin has, I fail to see how he can believe time is on his side. Free democratic countries will always have debate between politicians but already the EU has committed to more aid for Ukraine than the USA has and this is understandable as to defeat putin will work out to be money well spent for the EU when Europe sees the benefits of peace once again. According to this site the aid promised from the EU now amounts to 77billion euro while the USA has committed to a further 25billion and the EU also outstrips the USA in aid already dispersed. Much talk also of the arms industry in the EU and in Ukraine itself being built up which will have knock on effects on what the armed forces of Ukraine can do to putin's forces.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    They could have made advances without airsupport, Russia don't have air superiority in Ukraine and never did ,this war so far has been an Old fashioned artillery duel and trench war fare ,I don't think Ukraine has the military Leadership or experience to successfully procecute a war against Russia,we keep hearing Russia is loosing this many men and Ukraine aren't suffering high levels of losses at all ,when in fact both sides are losing large numbers,it's a meat grinder for both but unless there is a big change somewhere very little is going to change, a few F16s are not going to change the situation in the ground



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,323 ✭✭✭Field east


    Again , there is no mention of the severity/ impact of the actions carried out by UKr BEHIND THE LINES - and most of these actions have an intermediate/ long term effect



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 323 ✭✭duck.duck.go


    Death by a thousand cuts is a viable strategy for Ukraine, the Soviets were driven out of Afghanistan in same manner by being driven insane and the whole bullshit 70 year experiment starting to collapse under the weight of contradictions. Putin’s regime is built on even shakier ground than USSR



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,119 ✭✭✭Jinglejangle69


    The US knew and said the counter offensive would fail before it began.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,830 ✭✭✭.Donegal.


    Actually it needed 60 votes to pass so his vote wouldn’t have made a difference and Bernie stated he voted against it because it also included funding israel weapons which he is opposed to, not Ukraine.




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,904 ✭✭✭eire4


    All 50 of them! As it happens I think the bill needed 60 votes to pass so it wasn't even close which ever way Bernie Sanders voted or not because every single Republican voted against it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,904 ✭✭✭eire4


    No Bernie Sanders vote did not change the outcome one iota. The bill needed 60 votes to pass so it was the Republicans who all 50 of voted against the bill who were to blame.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,326 ✭✭✭fly_agaric


    On "they could have made advances without air support", I don't know, maybe, but was a big gamble involving a lot of lives, maybe future of their country. It is not how the US/NATO fights (if Ukraine is supposed to be fighting in a "US/NATO" way now, and you accuse it of not doing so). Some kind of air support is on call and lots of long range (cruise) missiles are available. I expect that will be true in any war that US/allies will fight, even if they don't gain full air superiority and aircraft they put up are at a much higher risk than in recent US wars (as they would be in Ukraine, even were the US/NATO itself fighting I think).

    Yes, I understand both are losing a lot of men and equipment, with Russia coming off much worse afaik. What Russia are doing here does not seem sustainable for them, but of course Ukraine is a much smaller country and if its backers don't have the will or courage to provide right level of support and then keep it up long enough, it is in trouble. That is what Putin is hoping for. Ukraine might be able to "get by" without getting much more US support (i.e. Ukraine may be capable of holding more or less where it is or Russia may only be able to creep forward with these giant losses, as now) but it will finish possibility of Ukraine regaining lost territory IMO, and that is bad news.

    On US/NATO I never agreed with you that they should intervene directly here unless it looked like Ukraine would be overrun after surviving the initial attack. That still seems unlikely to me now no matter what the US does. I agree a handful of F16s from Europeans are not enough. I think many more of those Putin "red lines" + "escalations" should have been breached decisively, and the ones that were finally crossed in the end like providing IFVs, tanks, aircraft, missiles etc. should have been ignored far earlier and in a bigger way. Even to extent of sending "advisers" if numbers of trained people in the background is a blocker for Ukraine getting provided weapons up and running quickly. Anyway, that is the past. What was done (or not done) back then is done.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    Doesn't seem to be having any major effect on the current situation,if anything Russia in increasing troops inside of Ukraine,if adviika falls in the next while it might might things even worse



This discussion has been closed.
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