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Russia - threadbanned users in OP

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,467 ✭✭✭zv2


    What happens if 40 million Ukrainians pack their bags and go to Europe?

    It looks like history is starting up again.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,362 ✭✭✭Sigma101


    I see people on this very thread calling for countries to be kicked out of the EU ... Great result for Russia!

    Russia's long-term project to foster right-wing populism in Europe and stoke unrest in the Union is finally paying dividends.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 653 ✭✭✭glen123


    There is no longer 40 million in Ukraine :) But many never left to date being close to the front line so I am not sure why would the whole population suddenly take off.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,871 ✭✭✭yagan


    All nations posture for their domestic audience on hand to mouth issues, remember Greece's snap referendum on a bailout deal that hadn't even been fully negotiated?

    On the other hand Czechia recently ousted a anti EU admin for a staunch pro EU/Ukraine defense. Orban liked playing Russia off the rest of us, but now Hungary has the highest inflation in the EU thanks to his dependence on Russian energy. Like in Russia the national media there plays the game too for an older audience who only speak a language for which there are hardly any alternatives views, so Orban doesn't even have to apply heavy censorship.

    I won't be surprised if the grain issue is resolved in a week.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,467 ✭✭✭zv2


    If Ukraine fails they will flee, mainly to Europe.

    It looks like history is starting up again.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 653 ✭✭✭glen123


    50% of Mariupol was demolished. It has been under Russian occupation since last year. Has everyone left the city? No.

    Those that left not all went to Europe either.

    Irrespective, New president will not necessarily result in Ukraine's failure.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,545 ✭✭✭Virgil°


    and

    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-09-21/poland-says-it-s-still-supplying-ukraine-with-weapons


    The Polish government sought to walk back remarks by Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki that the country had stopped weapons shipments to Ukraine, tapping the brakes on an escalating dispute that’s shaken a key wartime alliance.

    “Poland is only carrying out previously agreed supplies of ammunition and armaments, including those resulting from the contracts signed with Ukraine,” spokesman Piotr Muller said.

    The premier’s remarks on weapons shipments added fuel to a widening rift with Ukraine over a grain-import ban, undermining a relationship that’s been key to Kyiv’s effort to fend off the Russian invasion. Morawiecki earlier threatened to expand import restrictions to other Ukrainian products.

    The prime minister’s statement on ending the delivery of military aid to Ukraine was misunderstood and wrongly interpreted, a government official said on condition of anonymity on Thursday.

    The spiraling war of words between Warsaw and Kyiv has prompted concern from regional governments committed to supporting Ukraine. Lithuanian Defense Minister Arvydas Anusauskas told reporters that cutting off aid to Kyiv wasn’t on the table in talks with his Polish counterpart the day before.

    On the contrary, “we discussed aid to Ukraine, the Ramstein format, coalitions, supplies - that is, the complete opposite things,” Anusauskas said.

    Seems like the tensions between Poland and Ukraine are beginning to soften a bit. Hopefully it was all overblown. In the same way that time news were reporting that Ben Wallace had said Ukraine weren't being grateful enough.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,227 ✭✭✭amandstu


    If Ukraine falls because Europe cannot put its hands in its pockets then Ukraine will hold it to blame even as it finds refuge there.


    I doubt Europe can afford that eventuality.(Russia will be very emboldened -what is left of it anyway)


    Reports on CNN of a large attack on an air base in Crimea now.

    https://edition.cnn.com/europe/live-news/russia-ukraine-war-news-09-21-23/h_60f6a53fba31c9f6002f6a9db30d7811



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,355 ✭✭✭joseywhales


    And who will fund these eastern states? Before they become some kind of powerhouse they can start by becoming a net contributor to eu funds.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling




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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    This is something Poland needs to figure out if they think they are going to be the top dog in Europe, they need to up their own contributions to Europe they don't pay much more than us for a population almost 10x our population and that's before we look at the rest of the Baltic



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,023 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    This is likely one of the key reasons. The far right are third in polls and could end up being "king-maker". This move will help appease their base.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,216 ✭✭✭pcardin


    I'm confused with this comment. All 3 Baltic states together is only slightly bigger population than Ireland. And decreasing. Baltics is a buffer zone, they never expressed or shown any hints of being any sort of top dog.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 698 ✭✭✭TedBundysDriver


    Personally i think this is a move from Poland to put the sh its up the rest of the western world in terms of backing for Ukraine. Nations are still dragging their heels and not doing enough in terms of military or financial support. This could have all been over months ago if we'd given Ukraine everything they asked for and more. Poland have probably had enough of the politics and are more than likely itching for a wayward Russian missile to strike and kill inside their borders so they can be let off the leash.

    Amnesty International’s new investigation shows that Israel imposes a system of oppression and domination against Palestinians across all areas under its control: in Israel and the OPT, and against Palestinian refugees, in order to benefit Jewish Israelis. This amounts to apartheid as prohibited in international law.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,216 ✭✭✭pcardin


    Ok, but that is arguable too. In case of war EU vs Fascist ruSSland it will be Poles and people from Baltics dying first. Long before any German or French soldier falls. Yes, of course, nobody asked them to place their countries next door to vatniks, but hey, it is what it is. They will be fighting and dying, the least the rest can do is foot the bill, no?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,227 ✭✭✭amandstu


    Certainly Poland can be considered a "top dog" in the struggle against Russian expansonism. They will likely be the first to suffer directly with their lives if push comes to shove.


    This war is in large part about supporting those in the first lines with our cash.Not a huge ask for the wealthiest countries on the planet.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,216 ✭✭✭pcardin




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    There's is no bill to foot,

    The EU isn't there to fund military conflicts regardless of who and where it starts , that's like Germany saying we should get the lions share because if ww3 brakes out we will be nuked and others won't, as it stands the EU is massively funding Ukraine and the war effort and Ukrainian economy and likely we will be footing the rebuilding cost ,but yet Ukraine are not an EU state ,so should they get a big say in the EU and NATO



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,857 ✭✭✭.Donegal.


    Top beneficiary. A far cry from top dog.

    Poland was the biggest monetary benefactor from the EU, coming out with 11.9 billion euros earned, far ahead of Greece (4.3 billion euros) and Hungary (4.1 billion euros).

    image.jpeg




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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,857 ✭✭✭.Donegal.


    Yeah but when polls show that less than half of slovakians and Lithuanians think western democracy is good for their country and Hungary(need I say more) maybe they’re just not compatible with the EU. Hungary for example has caused plenty of problems for the EU from within it.

    Idk what the solution is but if a country isn’t compatible within the EU and takes the piss while receiving billions for that membership at what point do you tell them to just F off?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 105 ✭✭doyle55


    Ukraine and Poland ‘agree’ on grain solution as Slovakia lifts ban. From FT.

    "Ukraine’s agriculture minister Mykola Solskyi said he and his Polish counterpart Robert Telus had “agreed to find a solution” over a stand-off that saw Poland, Hungary and Slovakia this week prolong bans on Ukrainian grain imports.

    Solskyi’s statement came as Slovakia’s agriculture ministry announced it had agreed to set up a licensing system for Ukrainian grain imports, allowing its ban to be lifted.

    Solskyi on Wednesday said he held productive talks with Slovakia and Hungary."



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,137 ✭✭✭Mike3549


    Would you have any links???

    Can't talk for slovakians, but its hard to believe that only less than half of lithuanians support western democracy.

    Unless results were:

    Yes-47%

    No-10%

    Not sure/idk-43%

    Edit: found that article, says fck all.

    1000 people asked, says nothing about their age, location. Theres a lot of russians living in Lithuania compared to other baltic states, who still dont speak Lithuanian and watch only russian "real" news. And still a lot of people over 50/60 think that it was a lot better in USSR.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,622 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    We might not be dealing with a rational actor in Putin,but despite what Manic Moran said previously I doubt others in the Russian military will blindly follow a command that likely leads to their own demise.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,227 ✭✭✭amandstu


    The EU will face consequences from any military /political defeat of Ukraine.


    It is our interests that this does not happen .We must invest in our futures.


    Ukraine is as European as we are in real terms (a better ally than Hungary it seems at the moment)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    But as it stands the ban is still in place , ane this plan currently only involves Slovakia



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,216 ✭✭✭pcardin


    Agree. Very doubtful myself on this re Lithuania. It sounds like stats guy stopped 4 person group on streets of Lithuania to ask the question and it happened to be the group of local vatniks.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,871 ✭✭✭yagan


    I said grain issue would be sorted within the week, and not two hours pass and already Poland are mending fences.

    How can Poland ever consider itself a powerhouse if it can't let parish pump issues dominate their geopolitical necessities?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,362 ✭✭✭Sigma101


    As you can imagine the stats are nuanced. The figures that .Donegal. is referring to probably stem from a survey from a reputable Slovak research organisation from earlier this year. Respondents in all east European countries were overwhelmingly in favour of democracy. When participants were asked separately about their support for "liberal democracy" (without context) the picture was more mixed. This is in large part due to Russian covert efforts to denigrate "liberalism" through support for populist parties throughout Europe and to undermine western democracies that are perceived to have liberal policies on immigration, LGBT rights, freedom of speech, freedom to demonstrate etc. 

    Screenshot 2023-09-21 152412.jpg




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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,857 ✭✭✭.Donegal.


    Around 5% of Lithuania population is Russian. There’s a bigger Polish community there than Russians. Ethnic Lithuanians make up about five-sixths of the country's population. Lithuania has the most homogeneous population in the Baltic States.

    Reading on the Globsec poll it lists 49% not 47% that believe a western style democracy is best while 27% believe an powerful leader who does not have to bother with parliament or elections is best.

    The figures from Eastern Europe are startling

    Latvia pro democracy 43%, anti 35%

    Bulgaria 35%, 45%

    Slovakia 49%, 38%

    Romania 50%, 34%

    Estonia is a lot more pro democracy with 65%, 17%(while almost 1 in 4 are ethnic Russian)

    Austria the most “western” nation in the poll is 92%, 7%.

    Globsec who conducted the poll, are based in Slovakia.



This discussion has been closed.
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