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Russia - threadbanned users in OP

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,909 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    Its very unlikely such a decision on Ukraine will be the only issue they are out of step with rest of EU on / will be honouring their responsibilities.

    A major obstacle will be if there are more than 1 bad faith 'actor' ... each of which could veto action against the other.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,337 ✭✭✭fly_agaric


    The EU is a fair bit deeper and tighter than a "political bloc", like it is the G7 or G20 or something. It has some nation state attributes...you have the Euro currency, the single market, a court, the parliament etc.

    Anyway, the EU is sanctioning Russia. The EU is supporting Ukraine's independence. Those are the collective EU positions now. It is fairly obvious that this is going to be the majority position and position of the largest countries, and it is desirable for the EU and NATO not to either have Ukraine fail, or have Russia succeed.

    Slovakia is an EU member, and a NATO member too (google says since 2004).

    Sure, a future govt. there can in theory do what they want (within the law), they can reverse course, chuck the EU veto about when it comes to many Ukraine war issues which need unanimity or even flout EU law and wait for penalties/CJEU cases etc., as we see themselves and Hungary and Poland doing over Ukrainian grain, but in the long run at some point it is not really compatible with further membership.

    In fact situation with Hungary has amazed me in how far it has been indulged (edit: it is partly thanks to the Polish "shield" they have, especially over last few years after all the other members have run out of road with them), but IMO something will crack eventually if you have several NATO/EU members all openly siding with Russia and cosying up to Putin, even if they are legally entitled to. You cannot ride two horses, it is as simple as that.

    They won't be kicked out, that cannot happen but eventually they will be isolated. The others will attempt to work around them to continue to support Ukraine; if they push their ability to veto stuff etc. too far or openly aid Russia/act as a 5th column and if those who want to support Ukraine find the EU made dysfuctional as structure to do that by these spoilers, they might create new legal realities.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,545 ✭✭✭Virgil°


    The invasion of Ukraine isn't going any further than where we been for a last 12 months,there is absolutely zero chance any EU states get invaded by Russia in the next several decades at least and at that NATO won't allow it,

    We are only in this position precisely because the countries individually rallied and supplies f***tons of military aid to Ukraine. If the Orbans and Trumps of world had their way Ukraine would have received nothing and been rolled over. Then we'd be looking a scenario where Putin may indeed have thought that NATO simply wouldn't act.

    The EU won't start kicking out countries because they veto decisions on a non EU state or states if anything it would lead to splits in the EU

    It's Poland whom are opposing the expulsion provision from Artcle 7. ANd obviously Hungary. What you're saying makes no sense, its the opposite. If Poland went along with this article then Hungary would be gone and the bloc would be united. Free from the Russian cuckoo that is Hungary.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,478 ✭✭✭RoyalCelt


    Anyone else getting redirected to phishing adverts from this thread? Only ever happens when I'm on board's. What's going on?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,769 ✭✭✭macraignil


    There were only recently reports of putin's suicide drones landing in Romania near grain shipment facilities the moskovytes were targeting so I have very little faith in your predictions.

    Not sure what your assurances given to moderators were to get your thread ban lifted but your lazy repetition of your opinions as facts mean I will be avoiding the thread going forward anyway.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,909 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,369 ✭✭✭Field east


    So TTT, you have no problem if another country levelled a significant part of your country, bombed the sh-t out of it razed to the last building. A lot of villages , hamlets, bombed infrastructure , kidnapped and raped at will, etc, etc, etc, etc

    and you would have no problem in some countries supporting all of this and in this case Russia has a right to do what it is doing.

    And you would have no problem in your country continuing on doing business , etc, etc with such countries supporting Russia as if nothing of any significance is going on - when in actual fact there is something PROFOUNDLY IMORRIALLY WRONG by any persons measure going on



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    Something has been going on with some kind of attack,there's a thread on feedback about it ,

    I thought it was just me kept getting red warnings about pages being unsafe while trying to post on here



  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,692 ✭✭✭✭antodeco


    Interesting about the suggested reports Poland won't send any more weaponry to Ukraine. I always felt that there was a risk having countries emptying their coffers and having nothing left for themselves, but at the same time, is it severe enough that they can't send, or they just won't send because of the grain exports?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29,979 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985


    Many EU countries participate in the things you list. As do the Israelis who are backed by many an EU nation.

    Half of Africa and the Middle East will be rolling around the floor laughing at you up on your high horse about bombings.

    The EU can't just make up rules as it goes along just because we now have a war that is media friendly.

    To compare it to Europe's last big war for a second. Should the EU have split up or kicked people out because some backed the Croats over the Serbs or vice versa ?



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    Nobody would be gone from the block they would lose voting rights for a period but not expelled from the bloc ,

    Article 7 of the Treaty on European Union allows for the possibility of suspending European Union (EU) membership rights (such as voting rights in the Council of the European Union) if a country seriously and persistently breaches the principles on which the EU is founded as defined in Article 2 of the Treaty on European Union (respect for human dignity, freedom, democracy, equality, the rule of law and respect for fundamental rights, including the rights of persons belonging to minorities). Nevertheless, that country’s membership obligations remain binding.


    In accordance with Article 7, on the proposal of one third of EU Member States, or of the European Parliament or of the European Commission, the Council, acting by a majority of four fifths of its members, having obtained the Parliament’s consent, may determine that there is a clear risk of a serious breach of these fundamental principles by a Member State, and address appropriate recommendations to it.


    "Article 354 of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union lays down the voting procedures to be used by the main EU institutions when a Member State faces the application of Article 7. The country in question does not take part in the vote. It is not included in the calculation of the one third of countries required for the proposal or the four fifths required for the majority. Parliament’s consent requires a two-thirds majority"

    Then we will get the discussions should states be suspended for not agreeing on something happening with or in non EU state,



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,857 ✭✭✭.Donegal.


    Moscow will be loving Poland saying there are done sending weapons to Ukraine. It will be sold to the home audience as the west is cracking under the pressure and victory is close. Which is total bs but when has that ever stopped them.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    The same Poland who has massively invested in defence and military industry and has publicly Said they expect to have a direct conflict with Russia in a few years , I don't think Russia Will be spinning it as some kind of victory, Russia who's struggles with an army that didn't exist a few years ago, imagine what happens when Poland decides it's payback time ,



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,474 ✭✭✭✭TheValeyard


    I doubt it's the grain issue. I'd say more that Poland is low on its old stock that it can give.

    All eyes on Kursk. Slava Ukraini.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,474 ✭✭✭✭TheValeyard




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    I think going forward there's not a lot of stock anywhere in Europe to give,all of the exsoviet stocks are either in Ukraine or already destroyed,we already know artillery shells are low too across NATO,yes production has been increased some what projections for maximum capacity is 2028 at least before that happens ,it's not just Poland it's everyone being affected military stock wise



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,120 ✭✭✭selectamatic


    Perhaps but the grain issue is massive for the people affected. Expecting Eastern bloc tillage farmers to accept the collapse of local grain prices while globally it's never been dearer is something that'll never work no matter how much solidarity there is from a moral perspective regarding the war.

    Bulgarian farmers are seriously p1ssed too after their minister for Ag called farmer protestors terrorists/terrorist sympathisers due to their views on Ukrainian grain.

    The EU should really be stepping in to put an emergency floor in local grain price markets to ensure EU tillage farmers located on the Ukrainian border can stay profitable.

    Allowing EU and global merchants buy Ukrainian grain at below cost and then selling it for truly massive profits isn't going to help the global grain crisis and it won't do a thing to alleviate the long-term threat of famine in some African countries if anything it'll prolong/heighten issues.

    It's also not great for Ukraine either. Sure it's better than leaving it to rot but not by a whole pile.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 849 ✭✭✭blackwave


    Also bear in mind that there are elections in Poland coming up very soon. A lot of PIS's base is in rural areas and they need to be seen to be tough on this to keep the base happy as it is likely to be a close election.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,393 ✭✭✭ZX7R


    Grain has been a massive issue before the war and has been for decades.

    Doesn't matter what government is in power the issue will still be there.

    Before the start of the war Ukraine pull the licence for the transport of goods by rail from Poland and EU because Poland at the time stated to inforce restrictions on the important of grain from Ukraine restrictions issued by the EU.

    Tit for tat has been going on over grain but doesn't main the headlines normally.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,734 ✭✭✭20silkcut


    Remember none of this would be happening if Putin had not invaded Ukraine. The Ukranian grain would not be in Poland. The possible friendly fire rocket attack etc . It is shocking to behold the devastation and division one disruptive ass hole can cause.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,574 ✭✭✭rogber


    Poland confirms no more weapons to Ukraine, instead will focus on defending itself.




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,949 ✭✭✭Hande hoche!


    The Polish weapons development is an interesting development. If they continue to refurbish and repair various damaged Ukrainian equipment they could still have an very important role. Also they are one of the main conduits for arms entering the country.

    It may also reflect a strategy to get other allies to provide more equipment. Say the Americans and their M1 tanks.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Entertainment Moderators Posts: 36,711 CMod ✭✭✭✭pixelburp


    Is that what the stopping of supply amounts to then? Basically Poland pulling back all those vital arms as a tactic to get Ukraine to step back on the grain issue? If you still want weapons ... etc etc.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,393 ✭✭✭ZX7R


    More I'd say they don't have much left to give Ukraine weapons wise.

    But as always with politics timing of statements is everything



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,369 ✭✭✭Field east


    So we keep the same rules/attitudes / regulations etc,etc,etc,etc as we have had from time aaaaaaaaway back without ever REVIEWING THEM- and we class ourselves as becoming even more civilised /‘progressive as time marches on .

    Just because some country did something wrong to another country in the past does not therefor make it ok for any other country to repeat the same.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,395 ✭✭✭✭Furze99


    And this is why of course Russia declined to extend the grain export agreement via the Black Sea. They correctly identified this as a way to drive a wedge between Ukraine and neighbouring EU states. Just like promoting migration into EU states to try and destabilise/ push costs onto us, they have contrived to force this issue to cause splits.

    What's odd is that Ukraine and EU have fallen for it. Both know this was a sensitive issue last year and had potential to cause trouble again. It's in neither's interests to fall out over this, so why have they allowed this to develop as it has???



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,106 ✭✭✭Christy42


    Hashtag both sides.



    On Poland they have been exceptionally generous and need to ensure that their own defense is ready for exceptionally hostile countries nearby. I think the grain thing is overblown and just a bit of a political football. Poland is aware that stopping Russia in Ukraine is the best way to keep war away from it's own borders in the future.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    Poland are trying to push the notion of they should be an EU powerhouse,they want to see the traditional Franco/German dominated eu replaced with the power going to Poland and the Baltics which they believe should have a bigger say in not just the EU but NATO too ,at the rate of investment in their military industry Poland will be eventually the largest and most modern military force in Europe and NATO,that can change the balance of things for everyone,we in theory could have the western EU states and a separate Eastern states aka Baltics Baying to more control,



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 652 ✭✭✭glen123


    All this is also damaging to Zelenskiy's popularity inside his own country. He lost support in the West of Ukraine long before the war and now after the announcement from Poland FB is flooded with posts from Ukrainians saying more or less that he is an idiot and Poland, please forgive us. If elections are to take place next year, Ukraine will have a new president. Ukrainians aren't into habit of voting for the same person more than once as it is (only Kuchma managed to get voted in more than once back in the 90s) so I really don't understand his tweets and making this grain issue as public as possible instead of trying to sort it behind closed doors which is what Duda would have preferred according to his interview to Bloomberg.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,798 ✭✭✭✭josip


    ...and making this grain issue as public as possible instead of trying to sort it behind closed doors which is what Duda would have preferred according to his interview to Bloomberg.

    I love the unintended irony in the above.



This discussion has been closed.
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