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Inside Dublin’s Housing Crisis

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,922 ✭✭✭✭Flinty997


    I think it's focusing on symptoms not underlying causes. As such is a deflection.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,121 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    Then what do you say the underlying causes are?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,922 ✭✭✭✭Flinty997


    The problems have existed for quarter of a century. Recent immigration is too recent to be a cause.



  • Posts: 12,694 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    We do not have unfettered migration, unless you mean the unfortunate Ukrainians.

    The population density in Ireland is 73 per Km2 (190 people per mi2).

    Holland 424.13 people per square kilometer.

    United Kingdom is 280 per Km2 (725 people per mi2)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,922 ✭✭✭✭Flinty997


    This is not a density issue. It's a housing capacity issue.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,121 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    As mentioned above, it is not about density. Rather, it's a matter of the availability of housing and services. To call immigration "unfettered" may be hyperbolic on my part, but I'm not so sure that it is.

    I'll accept that point. Indeed, you are correct that immigration is a symptom. The actual problem, in my eyes, is neo-liberal economic models, or globalisation as it's called sometimes.

    Post edited by RichardAnd on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,922 ✭✭✭✭Flinty997


    Neo-liberalism is not synonymous with globalisation. Even if one facilitates the other.

    I still think there is scope for a country or a govt to independently follow a more long term responsible economic, and social policies.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,297 ✭✭✭tabby aspreme


    Reading the start of this forum from 2018, regarding Coveney and Eoghan Murphy's actions is quite telling



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,067 ✭✭✭Murph85


    30,000 homes a year are being built... its a farce ... nearly triple that were built during the celtic tiger years ..

    " but there's a labour shortage" yeah there is... we don't need more commercial development, we don't need data centres. Divert those resources to residential...



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,138 ✭✭✭realitykeeper


    Let's compare your suggestion with mine. Your government led approach would mean more social housing which could be built using the large budget surplus. The problem with that is the big budget surpluses are likely to be available for a limited time and wouldn't be enough to build all the houses necessary.

    My idea of taxing housing is designed to force those who benefitted from the 200 billion borrowed since 2009 to pay for that. And by exempting new builds and first time buyers from the property tax, we will get a market driven construction boom and affordable housing for the masses.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,623 ✭✭✭Padre_Pio


    More money in commercial construction that private houses.

    The government cannot dictate what builders should work on.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,442 ✭✭✭CPTM


    Couldn't they create incentives and disincentives though. For example a heavier tax on certain building project types for the next 5 years.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,922 ✭✭✭✭Flinty997


    Boom and bust economics is what got us into this mess in the first place.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,922 ✭✭✭✭Flinty997




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,623 ✭✭✭Padre_Pio


    The govt will do nothing to dissuade business from building offices and factories. Ireland promotes itself as a friend of business.

    RE a govt construction company, the notion of that is laughable seeing how the govt completely mismanages most public infrastructure and the mess of the civil service.

    Ireland needs more builders. The eastern Europeans aren't coming like they were 15 years ago, and the recession destroyed any Irish interest in pursuing a trade. There are plenty of easier ways of making money. I know a good few lads who left construction for factory jobs with better wages and benefits.

    I would say the best the govt could hope for is to promote Ireland to some construction heavy country and hope we get inward migration, but then where do they live, and do they get the same anti-immigration rhetoric?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,067 ✭✭✭Murph85


    They can... they can change zoning, increase or introduce new tax. Of course there is more money in commercial. This mess is entirely the government's creating, I don't want to hear about bog bad developers chasing the highest returns. We voted in the government to look after our interest, not developers...



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,121 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    I agree with this. Unfortunately, as long as we're chasing the infinite growth genie, this will continue to happen. Mind you, I rather liked when the state was broke; it was less dangerous



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,138 ✭✭✭realitykeeper


    We got the boom but we chickened out of the bust by borrowing 200 billion euro. The cost of Enda Kenny's cowardice is now beginning to make itself known. Anyone who thinks we can spend our way out of an inflationary problem is mistaken.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,922 ✭✭✭✭Flinty997


    That borrowing isn't what's caused the housing crisis.

    It doesn't make sense to blame everything on FG and Enda. At this point I would not be surprised if you found a way to pin the Ukraine war on Enda and FG.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,121 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    Enda Kenny likely just did whatever his civil servant handlers told him to do. We don't have leaders in Ireland; we have pension collectors who read from a hymn sheet written by ideologues and/or lunatics. It wouldn't have mattered who was in power back then. All the major parties are more of less the same.

    That said, I agree that we threw away an opportunity in 2008. If we did not think of our own immediate comforts and rather looked to the future, we could have balanced state spending. Yes, it would have been hard, but all that we really did was to pump funny money into an already broken system. Now, 15 years later, the state has managed to inflate property prices back to near enough to where they were in 2007, and to inflate rent prices to unheard of highs. The fact that this comes at the cost of the future of younger generations doesn't seem to be an issue.

    As I've always said, the "boomer" meme is overly simplistic and not a great way to explain the current problem, but it hangs around for a reason.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,066 ✭✭✭HerrKuehn


    Most of the borrowing was spent on PS and welfare.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,922 ✭✭✭✭Flinty997


    The tail doesn't wag the dog. It was politicians, FF before and FG afterwards that dictated economic policy.

    Housing (and (construction in general) was used as an vehicles to drive us to boom and bust. But also to drive investment into the country for the recovery afterwards.

    However thats a different issue to selling off public housing, then outsourcing that demand into private housing sector. Causing supply issues in the private housing. Then driving even more demand and outsourcing that into a smorgasbord of unsuitable temporary accommodation, B&Bs, hotels and tents.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,138 ✭✭✭realitykeeper


    That was so public servants and welfare recipients could pay their mortgages. The wisdom of borrowing is subjective, notwithstanding my opinion that it is foolish. But, to borrow to spend on non profit making things is at a level of foolishness that is so implausible the possibility of corrupt intent arises.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,066 ✭✭✭HerrKuehn


    Well they had to buy food etc too, so not all on their mortgages. Maybe your solution should focus on taxing those who benefited from the borrowing. Although I can't see that really flying! Same with the Covid spending, it was only spent on some people. During the bust and subsequently I have remained in employment while paying the 8% USC on the majority of my earnings.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,922 ✭✭✭✭Flinty997


    Actually it was solely to bail out the private sector....

    ... and the secret Enda lunar base on the moon. Getting a space suit to work on a bicycle was particularly expensive.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,922 ✭✭✭✭Flinty997


    His solution is basically, is there anything to be said for another mass.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,121 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    It was both. The banks sucked up billions, but there was also an enormous gap between what the state was spending and what it was taking in in tax. That spending has only increased in recent years.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,922 ✭✭✭✭Flinty997


    No definitely just the private sector bailout and the lunar base..



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 698 ✭✭✭TedBundysDriver


    Five years since the first post and things are worse than ever. The incompetency of this government and FG in particular who've been in power for going on 12 years is astonishing. They have no interest in fixing this.

    Amnesty International’s new investigation shows that Israel imposes a system of oppression and domination against Palestinians across all areas under its control: in Israel and the OPT, and against Palestinian refugees, in order to benefit Jewish Israelis. This amounts to apartheid as prohibited in international law.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,175 ✭✭✭spaceHopper


    All of this about a post to an old thread which was written at 4am, what were they drinking / smoking.

    Some of this stems from EK but it goes back further. The solution is to stop relaying in private LL's for social housing. The state should build their own housing, not buy in new or secondhand on the open market. But we stopped building social housing back in the 90's and early 2000's

    That would free up a lot of rental stock, they would reduce rents or at least freeze them and over time with inflation and wage growth they would become more affordable.

    Houses can be valued based on the expected rental income somewhere between 10 and 20 years annual rental income, lets take 15. Monthly rent x 12 x 15. As there is more rental stock and rents are falling or frozen, you now have more affordable private houses.

    The current government don't have clue, at a time when they want to make better use of land and have families see living in apartment as viable they are lowering the building standards. We are doomed.



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