Irish GE 2024: - Middle Ireland vs Rural Ireland vs United Ireland

FF 21% not 31%

Independents at 17% and growing is an interesting one.

That's traditionally been either a "None of the above" or a "I like my specific local independent" option.

I'm wondering now, with everything that's happened so far this year, with regards to migrant protests, does it also include an Anti migrant element. With all of the main parties having the same stance on the matter there is no political home for that vote currently so I think it will end up with whatever independent shouts the loudest about it in their constituency.

I think we will learn a lot about whether that is the case or not at next years local elections.

Politicians are unlikely to be explicitly anti-migrant (apart from the National Party no-hoper types). Instead it'll be more of a NIMBY type message where they'll say they've no issues with migrants but also make it known that they will oppose resettling migrants absolutely anywhere in their constituency/local area.

While that sounds interesting you and a lot of people are forgetting that next June will be the Local Elections / European Elections.

The dilapidated grants seem to be making a difference. A lot of old buildings in villages and rural areas are finally viable to buy and renovate.

So much housing stock not being used

FG are up 3 % to 20% in this poll, government combined is on 47%

Will SF find enough candidates? They have an exceptionally low number of Councillors, a reasonable number are co-options after the 2020 GE so have never faced the public at all; and they either need to replace (Wynne) or really, really should (Ryan, Cronin, maybe more) some of the 2020 winners too.

I wouldn't have the confidence of the Government making it to after that election, and certainly it will only have a few months of council actions to look at at best.

Cronin went out *on the first count as a sitting councillor* which is exceptionally rare anyway, and then became a TD 9 months later.

8th, and his running mate who was not a sitting councillor got in. Nowhere near as embarrassing

Cronin did absolutely zero as a councillor and that's why she lost her seat. She's even more absent locally as a TD and it's not cause of doing great works in the Dáil, but she's probably safe unless deselected. Which they really should do as they have a free go at that seat and surely have to have someone better?

He's right thought as regards that demographic and their difficulties. I'd pull it back further though - to 20 to 45 yr olds. We have them at home ourselves - were renting and had to give it up to try and save. Students crippled with long commutes from rural area. They talk about the failure of recent governments and want a fresh start. And it's not just them that will turn from the present lot but also parents and relatives.

...i think this really is the turning point, we have a growing number of older generations. i.e. parents, grandparents, uncles and aunts etc, now starting to realise their off spring are in serious trouble, ffg are in real trouble, but unfortunately irelands response is gonna be sf, yippee!