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Fighter jets for the Air Corps?

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 475 ✭✭delusiondestroyer


    We don't have major air incidents and constant air incursions and considering our geographical location and decades apon decades of safe skies.. Evidence suggests that a big Airforce for Ireland would in fact be a complete waste, it would add no ability to our peacekeeping missions and would only be used rarely to police the air.

    The value just isnt there and there is no evidence to suggest that we desperately need one.



  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 17,031 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    I am inclined to agree with this situation both today and for the next, oh, decade. Russia would need at least that amount of time to rebuild their capabilities even if they decided to withdraw all forces back across the border from Ukraine tomorrow. However, they do at least have a base to start from.

    For Ireland to attain the basic level of self sufficiency indicated by the Commission is likely to also take at least a decade, however. It is not the case that the government will turn around tomorrow, announce a couple billion dollars, and Ireland's capability suddenly increases next year to meet a threat which does not exist at the time. By the time Ireland can have such a capability, a realistic threat may well exist again, if not from Russia but from another source. Geopolitics can change over time as well.

    I would also observe that a risk assessment process does not merely take into account likelihood of an event occurring, but it also takes into account the severity of the effect if it does happen. Thus, for example, the composite risk of, say, drug smugglers flying Cessnas into the country (not incredibly unlikely, but not really an immediate risk to the safety of the population) could end up the same as the composite risk of hijacked airliner or armed raid on Shannon (remote likelihood, but a significant harm to Ireland's populace if it does).



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,962 ✭✭✭✭Flinty997


    Russia has lots resources especially of strategic aircraft that it can use to cause trouble around the world if it so wishes. Putin has spent considerable resources trying to build to those back up. Ironically some having been bought back from Ukraine and some decommissioned and scrapped by Ukraine.

    The Ukraine war is still limited in that is only using up certain types of resources.

    Not that Russia is the only reason you need to police your airspace.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 313 ✭✭mupper2


    While I have made my feelings known on establishing a fast jet capabilities at the moment I also think that most people, doubly so for Irish people (jesus knows how far behind the Irish gov is) don't realise the post CW bubble we have lived in for the last 3 decades is gone and it ain't coming back.

    Unlike the first go around Ireland isn't going to be isolated from it by geography, politics or the fact we were dirt poor AKA "The Albania of Western Europe" and their will be sides to pick.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,459 ✭✭✭sparky42


    And the fact that we have already picked sides since joining the EU (arguably we had since WW2 just didn’t do anything about it), this “military neutral but not political neutral” BS doesn’t matter a jot to anyone outside of Ireland, they see us as part of the West just the same as everyone else, and given what our economy is now certainly a target.

    Yes there are more pressing matters to attend to for the DF, but the current situation seems unlikely to go on as is regarding control of our airspace long term.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 475 ✭✭delusiondestroyer


    I'm sorry but WHO exactly are we "certainly a target" of?

    You talk as if there is a 2nd cold war coming which is not the case and never will be..

    Russia is collapsing in everyway possible from population to military. The US is so far ahead of them if wouldn't even be competitive.

    So I'll ask again who exactly is it you think is going to attack us?

    And how exactly do you think this nation would pull this attack off?

    And what would they even achieve by such an attack in the first place...

    Stating stuff like that without backing it up with anything tangible is just scaremongering.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,751 ✭✭✭saabsaab


    If we're looking for threats then look no further..

    'The Russian Embassy in Dublin has warned that Ireland will suffer “all consequences” if Irish citizens are encouraged to fight in Ukraine.

    The same will happen if Russia considers Ireland a “direct participant” in the war between Russia and Ukraine, according to a statement from the embassy posted on a social media site.

    Former minister of foreign affairs Charlie Flanagan has now called for Russian Ambassador Yuriy Filatov and his staff to be expelled from the country, describing the statement as “threatening, intimidating, and chilling”



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 475 ✭✭delusiondestroyer


    Just so im correct here, you believe that Russia is a threat to Ireland?

    You believe a full scale Russian attack on Ireland is very likely so much so that we should immediately start ramping up military spending in preparation for war?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 475 ✭✭delusiondestroyer




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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,962 ✭✭✭✭Flinty997


    I've always liked the idea of light fighter with limited A2A capability. But I don't think it was popular on this thread.

    The other point it's not that much cheaper than the Gripen and indeed compared to late model F16 the Gripen is a much lighter aircraft anyway.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,759 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    Have your special needs been identified or are you still on the waiting list?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,759 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    Why would it have been popular?

    We have zero need for a fixed wing tactical support aircraft and even if our mechanised infantry did come up to 21st Century standard, the natural air support would be helicopters and drones.

    In terms of jet aircraft, we need an interceptor with decent range and endurance. If it happens to have some air-to-ground capability, that's a bonus.



  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 17,031 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    [MOD]Warning given. Direct personal insult.[/MOD]

    It's worth noting that though we are of the communal opinion that Delusion is wrong on the matter of policy both on the basis of our own common sense and government reporting, his is an attitude which is not uncommon to the Irish populace. If we are to fix that, then a better form of engagement is necessary.



  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 17,031 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran



    I submit that we're in one again. Sortof. It's more 'tepid' than cold, even the proxy wars during the cold war tended to have the major combatants not get personally involved.

    The most likely direct military threat to Ireland will be Russia, and this is likely so for some time. Note, 'will be', which is fortunate because, as I said earlier, it will take time for Ireland to gain any form of capability to put up any form of deterrence or even warning. Direct military intervention is not, however, the only reason why an air intercept capability is needed. Does Ireland, for example, not place TFRs for large gatherings of global leaders? If so, how are they practically enforced?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 475 ✭✭delusiondestroyer


    Thanks for warning..@Larbre34..Disgraceful behaviour, special needs isnt something that should be mocked and tbh shows the caliber of person allowed to thrive on here. I am not going to lower myself to getting into a back and forth with him as I carry myself with far more class and I am simple superior to him. Its water off a ducks back but tbh when discussing with alot in this community snide remarks and insults seems to be the go too when you ask them questions they simply cannot answer.

    Simple questions like:

    Who is going to attack us?

    Why are they going to attack us?

    What realistically would be gained from attacking Ireland?


    Of course I know these questions cant be answered because what they are advocating for and claiming has 0 basis in reality.. Instead I ask these questions to try and show the person that there beliefs or what they are being told simply isn't true when approached with logic.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 510 ✭✭✭AerLingus747


    don't you get it... no body want to attack Ireland, so you don't need any air cover, even with high level politicians... nobody will want to attack Ireland or the people in it from the air... plus the RAF are just a few mins away, they'll do it no probs.


    /s



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,175 ✭✭✭thomil


    I think you need the concept of a "interceptor" out of your mind. All modern fighter aircraft are designed to be multi-role aircraft, especially those that Ireland would likely get if the government decided to go down the route of getting some fast jet capability, i.E. F/A-50s, late model F-16s or Saab JAS-39s. These days, the role of an aircraft is principally decided by the weapons you hang on the hard points. And honestly, if Ireland were to decide to go down the fighter route, not acquiring A2G weapons in addition to A2A weapons would be just a waste of resources.

    Good luck trying to figure me out. I haven't managed that myself yet!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 93 ✭✭RavenP


    @AerLingus747 "don't you get it... no body want to attack Ireland, so you don't need any air cover, even with high level politicians... nobody will want to attack Ireland or the people in it from the air... plus the RAF are just a few mins away, they'll do it no probs."

    There are two problems with this reasoning, firstly we canot be sure, or even reasonably confident, that the threat level you mention will stay that way, and since it takes time to develop Air Defence capability, perhaps a decade, we potentialy need to be thinking about AD now. The second problem is that the UK is no longer a reliable partner, and it is making unhappy noise, via military magazines, but also in the Tory press, the Daily Telegraph, Daily Express in particular, to say that they are not happy that Ireland appears rely on the UK for defence a century after indy. This may mean hat the UK is considering withdrwing its assistance, or asking Ireland to pay for it, which, you can bet, will be no cheaper than Ireland acquiring AD capability itself.

    Other problems, as discussed in the thread above, is that the RAF is no longer the force it was, and in a conflict situation, it would not have the aircraft or aircrews to protect both Britain and Ireland.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 510 ✭✭✭AerLingus747




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  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 17,031 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    [MOD]Don’t push it. Moderator has already addressed the issue, you are yourself delving into back-seat-moderation and insult territory[/MOD]



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,751 ✭✭✭saabsaab


    It's a head in the sand form of denial when one country threatens another and those threatened don't accept the threat as being real.

    In war or even peace there can be many reasons why a country will attack another. Denial of resources to a rival, making an example of said country or just a a short cut or weak point to another target. Even changing a government in order to replace it with a more favourable regime.

    It's too late to start to prepare for an attack when it happens.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 475 ✭✭delusiondestroyer


    Facts Are we have decades apon decades of safe skies.

    The outlandish statement is that we desperately need air cover reality and facts state otherwise.

    Ye cant even attempt to explain how anyone would even attempt to attack Ireland which is genuinely laughable its so out of the range of possibility you cant even attempt to make up a scenario that would even be semi realistic lol

    The Facts side with my statements 0 major incidents in years

    No urgency to acquire aircraft as they aren't need thank god.

    If what you lot were saying on here was anywhere even near reality we would be buying aircraft so i stand by my point i am indeed correct.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,751 ✭✭✭saabsaab


    This seems to be our best bet..

    A recent Royal United Services Institute (RUSI) paper written by two military analysts suggested that the Gripen stands out as the "most suitable candidate in terms of operational requirements" for potential Western jets for Ukraine. Many of the points they raised to make that case demonstrate why that aircraft is also well-suited for Ireland's requirements. For one, they note, the Gripen "was designed from the outset for ease of maintenance, and can be refueled, re-armed and given basic maintenance by teams of just six ground crew using two vehicles on small airbases or highways in cold weather."

    "Moreover," the analysts wrote, "only one of each crew needs to be a highly trained maintainer; the rest can be conscripts or even troops."

    Such a design is undoubtedly highly favorable for a country with no experience maintaining modern fighters.

    The Gripen can also carry the European Meteor beyond visual range air-to-air missile as well as long-range RBS-15 anti-ship missiles. Both capabilities could enable Ireland to swiftly neutralize threats to its airspace and waters from long distances. These capabilities alone would represent a verifiable game-changer for Irish defenses. Also, the Gripen's short takeoff and landing (STOL) capabilities enabled by its canards allow it to operate from small or even makeshift runways such as civilian highways. That feature could also prove ideal for Ireland. A fleet of 20 Gripens distributed across small airfields throughout the country would make all the difference for Irish air and maritime defense.

    Such a procurement would also show the rest of Europe that Ireland is serious about addressing the many severe shortcomings that presently exist in its national defenses.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 93 ✭✭RavenP


    @delusiondestroyer

    If the facts are decades of no major incidents, then surely you would argue that the UK does not need any air defences either? Would you make that argument?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 475 ✭✭delusiondestroyer




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,751 ✭✭✭saabsaab


    More Russian potential threats..

    'The Defence Forces has confirmed it monitored four Russian navy and commercial vessels as they travelled off the Irish coast last week.

    The group included the Admiral Grigorovich, which is armed with cruise missiles and has been used in attacks on Ukraine since the start of Russian’s invasion in February 2022.

    Russia military ships, or ships connected to the Russia Government, have become frequent visitors to Irish waters in recent years prompting concern among some experts that they are mapping or interfering with subsea cables off the Irish west coast.

    The latest group also included the Kama, which regularly accompanies the Grigorovich and acts as a support vessel. The other two ships were not identified.'



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 475 ✭✭delusiondestroyer


    Source?

    You have already stated in a previous post that we have already been attacked by the Russians....



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 93 ✭✭RavenP


    @delusiondestroyer

    "You do realize that the UK is in NATO right?"

    The UK is a sovereign state, like Ireland. It could choose to shut down the RAF, even leave nato, and no one could do nothing, and by your criterion of need , which is decades without any action carried out against it, is does not need an airforce.

    Reduction ad absurdum....

    Your argument is clearly ridiculous if you say one country does not need an airforce if the criterion is met, but not another country of the criterion is met. I have come to the conclusion that your motive here is no more to prove that you are terribly clever. At least everyone can see that you are failing to do that.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 475 ✭✭delusiondestroyer


    Except it doesn't choose that it chooses to be in NATO thus why it has an Airforce...comparing Ireland to the UK is apples and Oranges also the UK has many enemies unlike Ireland polar opposites basically its shocking I've to explain this to you.

    You have been ranting and raving for fighter jets for pages now for a threat you cant even explain and yet believe you are 100% correct its genuinely hilarious.

    The only one that can't answer basic questions here is you.

    You tried to be clever with your UK example and got embarrassed the UK has an Airforce because it is required to do so and has actual use for one and is a big player on the global stage.

    Ireland doesn't have an Airforce because it is a neutral country with 0 credible threats as proven by your inability to give even one example of one and how they would attack Ireland.

    Checkmate.



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