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Irish Property Market chat II - *read mod note post #1 before posting*

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,625 ✭✭✭fliball123


    Overblown?? come on -

    no redundancies when the economy is falling apart.

    pay rises no matter how good, bad or ugly you are at your job.

    The tax payers pockets and over 200Billion of loans to continue pay rise after increment after pay rise.

    Pensions that us mere mortals in the private sector cannot afford.

    Paid over 20% more on average than those of us working in the private sector.

    All negotiations entered into on wage increases have gov on one side unions on the the other and the pay rises being discussed have a direct impact on all of their take home pay as in the more of an increase the more both sides get. Not to mention inflation only gets mentioned when it suits the narrative of how much more they should all be getting paid and not a whisper of pay cuts when inflation has been a lot less then their pay rises.

    I think you mean overpaid not overblown :)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,839 ✭✭✭mcsean2163


    Thanks, I didn't realise how it works.

    Single adult

    €40,000

    2 Adults

    No Children

    €42,000

    No wonder there's so much talk of not getting married etc. Basically discourages working..... Madness.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 645 ✭✭✭J_1980


    single adults get pokey 1beds. Families all get houses/ large apts.

    much easier to house singles. Waiting list is far shorter.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,037 ✭✭✭Villa05


    Pokey 1 beds are more expensive than 3 bed houses. I suspect many singles on 30 to 40k are sharing or living with parents, many may not be aware they qualify for assistance



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,839 ✭✭✭mcsean2163


    Never knew how it worked, a pokey one bed would've been fine for me starting out. In fairness, rent used to be a LOT cheaper...



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 414 ✭✭ingo1984




  • Posts: 573 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Is that not what the majority of the people complaining about landlords have been requesting? Small/accidental landlords out and professional landlords to increase their presence in the Irish rental market.

    Are we now upset that professional landlords are using favourable tax treatment to allow them to build up a large property portfolio and extracting maximum rents for their units.

    Was there an expectation that they would start providing low cost rentals?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 491 ✭✭SwimClub


    The important thing is that they are willing to provide security of tenure, you will never be asked to leave your pokey one bed in Gardner street once you pay your 2k rent a month.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 75,229 ✭✭✭✭L1011


    If you go back 10-15 years ago on here you'll find threads of people pleading for corporate landlords to come in to the market. Poor service, poor maintenance and no fault evictions for weak or fake reasons being the reasons given to prefer them over single unit owners.

    I'm not sure what people expected to happen when they did come in!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 21,927 ✭✭✭✭Bass Reeves


    LA have very few one bed units. It's costs little more to build a two bed than a one bed. Basically you are adding 9-10 sq metres to a small unit. Living area, bedroom and bathroom are similar in both units.

    Most single people who are in good health are unlikely to get a LA unit. They invariably end up in the private system. The HAP will only generally cover a room in a shared unit for a single adult.

    What has happened is that one beds units are targeted by couples. However not single adults get the couple hap rate.

    This is especially true of young single workers moving into large urban centers. Most do not realize they are entitled to a HAP payment even in shared accomodation. They might not get the full single rate but they might get 50-80% of it.

    42k is a substantial wage for a young adult starting out.

    Slava Ukrainii



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 21,927 ✭✭✭✭Bass Reeves


    Go back even 7-8 years REITs were going to be the best thing since the sliced pan. I pointed out at the time that in trying to replicate what was elsewhere we were failing to take into account how property was so much more expensive to build compared to when these original institutions started renting on the Continent 50+years ago and that the REITS in Ireland would have higher costs

    Slava Ukrainii



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 277 ✭✭Guildenstern


    Yes, that was the case and yes, that professional approach would mean they would provide a better service. The downside is it leads to a monopoly which along with the dysfunction that had now developed, result, sky high rents!!

    An example if you keep just tweaking away on policy initiatives one issue gets solved but brings on another one. And on and on we go.



  • Posts: 573 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    While professional landlords would be less likely to reclaim a rental unit for the reasons allowed by the RTB I wouldn't say that ongoing security of tenure will be a given.

    I'm sure as rental prices will continue to rise over the long term especially when there are less providers of rental units available. Once they have the market sufficiently cornered these wealthy individuals will use a portion of their income to lobby the government to allow them to keep rents on existing rentals at pace with what the market can afford.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 277 ✭✭Guildenstern


    It is characters such as these who upto 2019/2020 were engaging in entering into 10/15/20 year term leasing schemes with the State mostly through deals with ever desperate councils who couldn't keep up with demand.

    This had been going on for years with paddy public taking little interest until the media put the spotlight on what was going on with the development of houses in Maynooth. Middle Ireland eventually woke up to the fact that houses were being sold off as block purchases. Houses that in a normal market would have been first time buyer territory.

    Leasing opportunities has now been replaced by building up portfolios of PRS. I'd say the strategy is to build a portfolio and sell off to a fund. Kerching!!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,786 ✭✭✭DownByTheGarden


    I really dont understand why anyone is surprised at all.

    Ive seen this video and several others like it, posted every now and again for the last decade or so. There were more even older ones basically saying the same thing going back to when rent controls started in Ireland. There used to be great examples around the world of what rent controls did. But now Ireland is the poster child for this folly.





  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,132 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    But everyone is not the same. If someone in another company gets a pay rise, there could be all sorts of variables behind it. Is his/her company profitable? Is he/she providing a service that is in demand? Is he or she underpaid by industry standards and thus could get a higher salary elsewhere. My brother recently got a 10% rise, so he told me. He, however, works in a different industry and is a far, far more talented and skilled individual than I am. Thus, it's apples and oranges, once again.

    In the case of the civil service, many (though certainly not all) people in there are working in jobs that in reality are not required. There is massive bloat in the civil service, and many of these jobs simply aren't needed. In such a situation, the individual working in that job has no right to expect a pay rise. They should simply be happy that they have a job at all.

    Please don't think that I'm saying this out of acrimony. I'm sure many civil servants are fine people, but there's no free lunch at the end of the day. If they get a large salary increase across the board, taxpayers will have to pay for it, and it would only worsen inflation.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,786 ✭✭✭DownByTheGarden


    But thats the nature of the beast. If a workforce is on x relative to Y then when Y goes up X is going to go up too. Otherwise its a salary cut.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 613 ✭✭✭BoxcarWilliam99


    They are getting a rise this month. They got a backdated rise last year too . They will be getting a further rise again later in the year on top.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,497 ✭✭✭coolshannagh28


    One of the implications of the visit of the troika was an end to mom and pop landlords and a move to a more European model of long term rentals with security of tenure etc, we chose the Irish version which was big US capital incentivised by tax breaks and rock bottom prices with the end result of monopoly and scarcity . In exchange we have got massively increased tech/pharma investment and a rapidly increasing tax take in a sort of quid pro quo , you cant have your bread and eat it .



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,132 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    Honestly, I think that the entire civil service needs to be audited (independently) and massively reduced in size. With the money saved, the staff who are needed could be given a pay rise. However, that's not happening, and we all know that.

    Bless them ....



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  • Posts: 573 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    So we have moved on from small landlords being responsible for the accommodation crisis to it being public service workers fault now?

    In our quest on boards to find out who's responsible for the accommodation crisis might I suggest we target pensioners next. Look at them all sitting at home slippers on in front of the fire watching countdown. Not working, the state throwing money at them and the mortgage paid. Am I doing this right?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,132 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    No one is blaming civil servants. We're discussing economic and fiscal policy and decisions that can and have contributed to rising costs.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,786 ✭✭✭DownByTheGarden


    Pensioners are actually blamed. It comes up every now and again. People will blame anybody but themselves.

    The best thing we can do for housing supply, both rental and sale, in Ireland would be to ban turkeys from voting.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,132 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    There's plenty of blame to go around, and there's no single cause of the crisis; there never is.

    My own two cents is that this is decades in the making, and the root cause is neo-liberalism/globalism that sees us chasing infinite GDP growth. All countries in the West are suffering broadly similar problems to Ireland. It's not just housing; every social system is in decline, and everything is becoming more and more expensive.



  • Posts: 573 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Correct putting more money into the system will increase costs across the board including accommodation.

    As a result are we saying that nobody in Ireland should get pay increases in order to curb price increases? Or are we saying that only civil servants shouldn't get pay rises as the money comes from the exchequer and will cost the tax payer?

    If that's the case should it not be said that the government should curb spending on welfare, social housing, education and health care too to save the tax payer money. Increase taxes, interest rates and eliminate minimum wage to starve the economy of money in order to drive prices down?

    I'm not a civil servant but I think the majority of the jealousy aimed towards civil servants comes from those who chased the yankey dollar and gave up their rights to join a union to collectively bargain. When they see civil servants unite to get pay increases and they fail to achieve the same on the back of their annual performance review they see red. Its not like the civil service is a closed system anybody can apply once they are suitably qualified and experienced.

    Dragging civil servants into a discussion about the Irish property market was very strange and I don't think it warrants any more discussion.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 491 ✭✭SwimClub


    Single civil servants aren't the problem in the housing crisis, but if two of them get together as a couple they have significant buying power and push up prices and that becomes a problem. We might need a law, no marriage amongst civil servants, or else come up with a new legal caste where civil servants can't outbid non civil servants on property as their wages are paid by taxes. The problem obviously is that they are all so detestable that no-one outside the public sector will consider a mixed private sector/public sector relationship, so if we ban intra sector marriage it might be considered unfair by some. 🤣



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,037 ✭✭✭Villa05


    We spend over 10 billion a year on education

    To train a teacher, nurse guard requires 20 years of education

    Approx 60k sit the leaving every year

    10billion/60k students = 165,000 per year * 20 years = 3,300,000 to train someone to post grad level. Every graduate we lose because of unaffordable accomodation is throwing away over 3,000,000 of spending.

    To allow a situation occur where such a person needs to emigrate to source affordable accomodation is criminal in my opinion

    Figures from 2020

    If I've made a mistake in my calculations, please, somebody correct me



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,786 ✭✭✭DownByTheGarden


    I couldnt believe the amount of teachers that left my kids school last summer. And then I finds out that even more are leaving this summer.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,625 ✭✭✭fliball123


    The issue here is public sector wages are going up at near inflation levels yet when their wage increases were way more than inflation for 6/7 years before 2020/21 they had no pay cuts. The questions is why should they be getting a pay rise in the first place over and above agreed increments as I said its not like we are going to see any greater efficiencies, they are already paid 20% more than those in the private sector and of course it all has a knock on to their pensions that will have to be paid and this at a time where the government are floating upping PRSI to cover pensions/ All private sector companies have not got the bank of TAX PAYER and over 200billion in borrowing to give a pay rise on the contrary businesses are hitting the wall at a higher frequency from 2/3 years ago as the current costs to do business in this country cannot be carried by a very high % of businesses and the bank over draught has gotten a hell of a lot more expensive over the last 12 months and will be going higher and higher for the duration of 2023 so 2023/24 will see a lot of companies hitting the wall.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,132 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    The wages of tech workers has come up many times on this board, and rightly so. The huge salaries that are available in the IT industry here have certainly contributed to housing price inflation here.

    The salient point here is that when a large number of people are in receipt of a large salary, there are knock-on effects in the economy as a whole.



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