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Scottish independence

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,586 ✭✭✭tinytobe


    I often see Irish independence as a blueprint or a partial blueprint to Scottish independence. One major difference would have been that the EU didn't exist at that time, nor was mainland Europe the main trading partner? Thus the motivations for independence were different also the "behaviour" or lack of it, of the English in Ireland.

    I also find it interesting that from 1921 all the way to 1948 people born in the Republic of Ireland would have had the right to a British passport. The possible reason for this, was that British citizenship law was different, it was British subject law? If it was back then possible for British citizens to vote as an absentee, this would have applied as well to holders of British passports in the Republic of Ireland, wouldn't it?

    Today Irish citizens are entitled to vote in UK elections only, once they live in the UK and are on the electoral register. However Irish citizens residing in the Republic of Ireland are clearly not entitled to vote in UK elections.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,051 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985


    The law for a British citizen in Ireland has not changed.

    In 1921 a British person in Ireland but on the electoral register in an English constituency could vote as an absentee for their English MP.

    A born and raised Irish person with a British passport in let's say Clare constituency who never lived outside Clare could not vote in Westminster post 1921 so you are wrong.

    Post independence the vast vast majority of Scottish people would not be able to vote in Westminster if Scotland became a fully independent country.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,864 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    I do not think the fight for Irish independence is relevant to Scotland - different times and different politics.



  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 92,474 Mod ✭✭✭✭Capt'n Midnight


    Irish citizens are still allowed vote in the UK in local, national and previously EU elections too, But no reciprocal arrangements on voting for head of state.

    The Irish treaty ports are one solution to the submarine issue. Another is supporting the subs from a ship and was previously done by the US right there.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,864 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    The British citizens are not allowed to vote for the head of state neither in the UK nor in Ireland. That is reciprocal.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,051 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985


    Russia rent their space launch pads post USSR and were renting Sevastopol warm water port until Ukraine ended the deal which then lead to Crimea "declaring independence"

    You also had the U.S. airbases in the U.K., Germany and elsewhere. British control of Suez back in the day and China's current building of massive ports on foreign soil.

    Trident is only a clickbait problem in the event of independence.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,690 ✭✭✭✭Peregrinus


    OK, citizenship.

    First, it’s wrong of tinytobe to say that “the SNP would insist that in an independent Scotland, it's people would still be British citizens”. The SNP says no such thing. On the contrary, the 2014 white paper explicitly envisaged the creation of a separate Scottish citizenship. Whether people who received Scottish citizenship would lose their UK citizenship would be a matter for the UK and the SNP’s whole schtick is that that what the UK would do about that would be a matter for the UK.

    Precedent: What happened when the Irish Free State broke away from the UK? It was a simpler time; there was a single status “British subject” which was conferred on everyone within the King’s dominions; the Irish Free State remained part of the King’s dominions (like Canada, Australia, New Zealand, etc) so denizens of the Irish Free State remained British subjects (like Australians, Canadians, New Zealanders) etc. There was, at that time, no separate Australian, Canadian, etc citizenship.

    There was, though, a citizenship of the Irish Free State - Irish law provided for this. But the UK authorities took the view that this was of relevance only within the Irish Free State. Someone from the IFS was a British subject and would be treated by the UK authorities like any other British subject. They might also be a citizen of the IFS, but this was of no relevance to the UK authorities.

    But things are different today. The overarching concept of “British subject” no longer exists. Each of the countries of the Commonwealth has its own separate citizenship - citizens of the UK are “British citizens”. The term “Commonwealth citizen” exists to refer to someone who has the citizenship of any Commonwealth country, but it’s not a hugely significant status within the UK, and it has no significance at all outside the UK, even in other Commonwealth countries.

    What about British colonies (or “British Overseas Territories”, as they are now called)? Not being sovereign states, they don’t have their own citizenship. Denizens of these territories have some class of British citizenship. When a colony becomes independent, a new citizenship is created, and the independence legislation will provide for who gets the new citizenship and who gets to keep British citizenship. This happened a lot between the 1960s and the 1980s, and the practice was usually something like this; taking the independence of Jamaica as an example, if you were a British citizen because of your connection with Jamaica, then on independence (1) you became a citizen of Jamaica and (2) you lost your British citizenship unless your father or your paternal grandfather was born in the UK, in which case you [were probably white and] could retain your British citizenship (as well as being a Citizen of Jamaica).

    Scotland leaving the UK is not quite the same as a colony becoming independent, but if the UK decides to apply the same thinking then Scots citizens will able to retain British Citizenship if they have a connection with rump-UK - e.g. born there, resident there at the date of Scottish independence, parent or grandparent born there. 

    In addition, the UK might very well grant Scots Citizens the same status in the UK as Irish citizens have - i.e. not foreigners, right of residence, right to vote, etc. The SNP has made it clear they would seek this, and would reciprocate, just as Ireland does. And they would seek to have Scotland participate in the UK-IRL Common Travel Area. Those both look like realistic and sensible proposals to me, and I would be surprised if the UK demurred.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 45,630 ✭✭✭✭Mr.Nice Guy


    Huge news today as the British government has announced it will block the Scottish government's gender bill. It's the first ever use of a Section 35 order, stopping a Scottish bill becoming law. Nicola Sturgeon had earlier said doing it would be an 'outrage'.

    Question now is whether the Scottish public will side with the Scottish government, feeling this is an attack on Scottish sovereignty? Or will they shrug their shoulders, let it slide, due to not liking what was in the bill in the first place? It will be interesting to see how this plays out.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,357 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    Well it is an attack on Scottish sovereignty, plain and simple, because social policy is, for the most part, a Scottish parliament competency.

    What the Sunak Government have done is to nix a Bill that they seem to feel will adversely affect UK common law, which says a lot

    At the same time, the Sturgeon administration is no doubt looking to put a few of these Trojan Horses up to London to fight independence by proxy.

    Should be a nice full blown Constitutional crisis by mid-year.



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  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Entertainment Moderators Posts: 36,711 CMod ✭✭✭✭pixelburp


    Presumably the gamble of London was that as the bill regarded a controversial matter, resting social conservativism would trump issues of sovereignty. But then the SNP was operating with the belief it had that popular good will in the first place. So who's right here? And will enough be incensed if there is frustration?

    And once again, it could be a matter that it wasn't that Scots supported the bill en masse - but it was their choice either way and not for London to interfere.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,864 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    Is Scottish common law the same as English common law?

    I thought there was significant differences between the two legal systems.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,051 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985


    Let's be honest Sunak blocked this for one reason and one reason only and thats to virtue signal.

    He is gonna look tough on the "woke" and those uppity Scots because his ideologically bankrupt government have nothing else left.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 422 ✭✭Popeleo


    Indeed, Sunak is appeasing the Daily Mail wing of his party with this but it might be short-sighted or just something he has to do against better judgement to silence the headbangers,

    I don't think the SNP will be too upset with the optics of having Westminster veto Scottish laws.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,286 ✭✭✭✭A Dub in Glasgo


    It was very much expected as the concerns about affecting reserved powers was well publicised. The disappointing thing for me is the the Scottish govt did not even bother to legislate for an independence referendum but chose the trans issue as the battle. Most people have no visibility as to why this bill was the most important thing in Scotland



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,051 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985


    It wasn't the most important thing. It was a tiny little thing that grew in opposition. It's a nothing issue.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,869 ✭✭✭CrabRevolution


    It might be a small issue but the particulars of what issue finally caused this (Uk gov blocking legislation) to happen do matter. Polls show that the trans bill is not very popular even in Scotland.

    I don't see the UK governments actions causing many to rush back to supporting the Union, but at the same time I don't think this will cause as big an uproar in Scotland as some are expecting because for a lot of people the central cause (the trans bill) just isn't something they support.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,393 ✭✭✭Grassey


    Whether people support the bill or not, people will likely fall into 2 camps 1) isn't it great we've someone protecting us from our domestic legislature going nuts or 2) how dare someone else tell us what to do.

    Content of the cause becomes irrelevant as the fight is now framed differently.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Entertainment Moderators Posts: 36,711 CMod ✭✭✭✭pixelburp


    Exactly. I've no doubt the bill had marginal support in the first instance, but by and large Scots may find it either a useful instance of London acting as a legislative backstop ... or yet another example of London interfering with Holyrood's ability to govern.

    I've no idea how Sunak is seen North of the Border, and I presume he's no less loved than Johnson ever was, but he'd want to tread carefully all the same. He's probably lucky that the Scots probably won't protest en masse over this ... but if it shifted the needle another 0.5% or 1% towards pro-independence? This is how you wake up one day and 2/3s want out of the union.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Entertainment Moderators Posts: 36,711 CMod ✭✭✭✭pixelburp


    A small creep up in support in this poll, equating to 54% support for Independence when excluding the Don't Knows.

    So no major swing, and with those Don't Knows shrinking you'd wonder how or if one persuades the No's to shift vote (or indeed vice versa).




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,286 ✭✭✭✭A Dub in Glasgo


    Two polls came out on the same day with inverse results




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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,808 ✭✭✭✭Water John


    Comparing two different polls doesn't really work, because of different methodologies applied. One looks at the trends within a poll over time.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,803 ✭✭✭satguy


    While Scotland did vote to remain in the EU, the Scots are wrong if they think this is grounds for another Scottish independence referendum.

    Because NI also voted to remain in the EU, and Westminster know that it would be the chink in the armor SF are waiting for, and will keep that door well and truly shut..

    Scotland had its chance and they passed,, Now they need to move on. Plus the EU do not want a hard border with England, and so might never let an independent Scotland join.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 45,630 ✭✭✭✭Mr.Nice Guy


    The Scots elected a Holyrood parliament that has a majority of pro-independence representatives, so it doesn't look like they are ready to move on. Are you seriously suggesting if the support for independence keeps rising, they have to remain stuck in a union that they don't consent to being in? It's not tenable in the long-term.

    The point about the EU is pure speculation. If a way can be found to keep the British border in Ireland open, then the British border in Britain should be workable.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,477 ✭✭✭AllForIt



    Keir Starmer has stated he believes that 16 (previously 18) is too young to attain a gender recognition cert. That's one aspect of the bill.

    Is he virtue signalling and appeasing the Daily Mail readership as well?

    The bill has been very contentious with one SNP minister resigning over it.




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,808 ✭✭✭✭Water John


    Ireland, the original breakaway from the empire, went for independence based on the majority of elected MPs in Ireland representing the views of the people.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,286 ✭✭✭✭A Dub in Glasgo


    and Scottish unionists previously stated that would be sufficient grounds. When those grounds were met, they moved the goalposts and moved them again when the grounds were met again



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,402 ✭✭✭✭Fr Tod Umptious


    It comes as no surprise to me anyway that the gender debate is having an adverse effect on the popularity of independence and the SNP.

    It's very much the opposite of what some people here expected when Westminster decided to envoke Section 35.

    Support for independence down to 47%




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,773 ✭✭✭donaghs


    Not everyone who disagree with Sturgeon on her gender crusade is a "Daily Mail" reactionary. e.g. Alex Salmond.

    Nicola Sturgeon’s gender ‘nonsense’ has set Scottish independence back years, says Alex Salmond (msn.com)

    I think the Isla Bryson case has given more people the courage to speak out,

    Nicola Sturgeon: Rapist Isla Bryson 'almost certainly' faking trans status - BBC News

    Which leads to another question, maybe one for the IMHO forum, does declaring your gender give full recognition of this? Unless Nicola Sturgeon thinks your faking it?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,286 ✭✭✭✭A Dub in Glasgo


    Sturgeon is toast... she has enabled the SNP to be full of self ID zealots whilst ignoring independence. A lot of genuine independence supporters have been duped



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 45,630 ✭✭✭✭Mr.Nice Guy


    Salmond's popularity ratings make Sturgeon seem like Billy Connolly. No surprise that he's using this issue as a point of attack since he's got little else. Worth pointing out too that we've had the Scottish gender law in this country for years and society hasn't collapsed. Almost as if it's a concocted culture war on the part of desperate unionists...

    I've yet to hear a compelling alternative put forward by the Sturgeon critics for what the strategy ought to be to achieve independence, and certainly nothing that would garner 50+% of the population.



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  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 92,474 Mod ✭✭✭✭Capt'n Midnight


    The EU has lots of hard borders. Including the one in Gibraltar that's managed jointly by Spain.

    It's been done to death but if push came to shove the England-Scotland border is better geographically defined and has fewer crossing so it's more like the EU's other hard borders than in NI.

    NI is a special case since most people are de facto EU citizens.

    Besides Scotland would be a good fit for EFTA membership. If they could grandfather the Common Travel Area in as a mini-Schengen, there wouldn't be much/ need for a hard border. They could continue to peg to sterling, might be cheaper as they wouldn't need to hold 100% reserves like they do today.

    https://www.efta.int/About-EFTA/Frequently-asked-questions-EFTA-EEA-EFTA-membership-and-Brexit-328676 - just change the bits that say UK with Scotland



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,508 ✭✭✭✭ArmaniJeanss


    Nicola Sturgeon resigns, in breaking news.

    Nicola Sturgeon to resign as Scotland's first minister - BBC News



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 45,630 ✭✭✭✭Mr.Nice Guy


    Very saddened to hear this. The level of criticism she was getting of late was immense and I imagine that takes a big toll. I think her loss will be felt massively. She had the personal touch, and is far better known than any of the potential SNP successors. She steered Scotland well through the Covid crisis. Must be a real chance now that the party descends into in-fighting given the amount of bickering the last few months, and with upcoming plans to set out the independence strategy that could prove divisive.

    Feels like a great day for the unionists. They're gleeful all over social media.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,381 ✭✭✭facehugger99


    Fantastic news. Sturgeon is a dangerous ideologue.


    Good riddance to her.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,594 ✭✭✭MrMusician18


    What a hill to end up dying on. To take on the UK government over a marginal issue and legislative change that had little support at home was stupidity in the extreme.

    That foray into identity politics may have set independence back years. If you're going to take a stand on something in the knowledge that you'll fail, you ought to be sure your supporters are behind you.

    She was an able politician but was an odd and ultimately politically fatal misstep to make.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,197 ✭✭✭Sudden Valley


    Probably the right time. 8 years is a long time to be in charge and Scotland is no closer to independence. Not many leaders get to leave graciously so I think it is the right call.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,484 ✭✭✭Brussels Sprout


    Bit of a shock. I know she got terrible abuse online and the right wing press hated her. Right now the Daily Mail are covering the story by picturing her and that controversial prisoner side by side on their front page.



    One last kick on the way out basically. I'd expect nothing more from those vermin.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,402 ✭✭✭✭Fr Tod Umptious


    Right now the Daily Mail are covering the story by picturing her and that controversial prisoner side by side on their front page.

    But that's why she is resigning.

    She made a utter mess of the whole gender recognition bill and the fallout of the prison debacle.

    Why wouldn't they go hand in hand.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Entertainment Moderators Posts: 36,711 CMod ✭✭✭✭pixelburp


    I think this might be the larger issue here: when she took the job the movement felt energised and it seemed like Sturgeon was the right person to take the ball and run all the way to the touchline. Alex Salmond had his time, but here was a younger head to get the job done.

    Independence has kinda stalled and she seems a bit bereft of ideas; the Trans Issue, whilst one I support in a broad sense to be clear, was the wrong item to pin to Westminster as proof Scottish interests were being stymied. It needed to be something shocking, something tangible that effected ordinary Scots (and with the best will in the world, while Trans people are being embraced more by communities, they remain a niche demographic at best).

    Of course, being as it was something relating to the kind of Red Meat the right-wing cohoorts love to print outrage and paranoia over, they're only going to peddle this narrative that Sturgeon was rejected by all those "anti-woke" ... when I think reality was something more nuanced, more related to the broader cause. Even before the Trans bill, it was obvious the right-wing press hated Sturgeon and delighted in pulling her down (as often they do with female leaders).

    Where to now for Independence? The SNP are going to need to think very hard on what's next. Obviously their reason d'etre is to gain an Independent Scotland but maybe, just maybe, they need to dial back the rhetoric & narrative that a 2nd Ref. is needed now. That they instead continue to prove they can lead Scotland better than Tory or London government ever can, and independence might happen without their direct intervention.

    It's obvious the issue isn't going away with the Yes vote still hovering around the 50-55% mark - but the brain trust needs to get together and figure out how you get that into the mid-60s for a 2nd Ref. to become a necessity again.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,197 ✭✭✭Sudden Valley


    I dont see it ever happening. The Scots dont seem angry enough or confident enough to break away but if SNP are not constantly agitating for it they have no alternative strong ideological position. Sturgeon has left her party and country in quite good nick so has be one of the most successful politicians in the uk for quite a long time



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,484 ✭✭✭Brussels Sprout



    Is it? She was literally asked was that why she was resigning and she said it wasn't. Who's to say she didn't look at someone like Jacinda Adern and be inspired by her deciding to walk away. She's been in her job 3 years longer than Adern was in hers after all. Who's to say that it's not because of a whole host of other reasons.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,402 ✭✭✭✭Fr Tod Umptious


    She was literally asked was that why she was resigning and she said it wasn't.

    Of course she'd say that.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,286 ✭✭✭✭A Dub in Glasgo


    I am not surprised she is going but I am surprised at the timing. She announced a special SNP conference a few months ago to 'discuss' next steps on the plebiscite election after the Supreme Court threw out the case. That conference is 4-5 weeks away and now she resigns. I think it is more likely to to do with the missing £600k from independence supporters than she is knackered and does not have the gumption to carry on.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,864 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    She actually said that she was at a funeral the previous day. It was for a friend and fellow activist and it struck her that no-one says at a funeral that the deceased was sorry that they did not spend more time in the office - or words to that affect.

    Had enough and went out before failure forced her out.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,594 ✭✭✭MrMusician18


    You actually believe that? How naïve!

    She left because she could see she could read the room. With the trans solo run, she setthe actual goal of her party - independence, back years. That matters and certainly upset a lot of party folk. Like Arden though, she jumped before she was pushed.

    All that trans stuff was a complete own goal and has pointed out to Scots that having a Westminster backstop could be useful for protecting themselves from ideologically driven policy that they don't support in Holyrood. It's just another stick to beat independence with, and worst of all one that Sturgeon conjured up herself.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,286 ✭✭✭✭A Dub in Glasgo


    The people in Scotland need to take no lessons on any parliament driving through an ideological agenda especially from Westminster



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,337 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    Well, as someone else said N. Sturgeon has a lot of convenient memory losses though when it comes to why she supports abusive msps, why she had secret meetings to hand out government contracts at her home with no records or officials present, when she knew about a dodgy loan (£100,000 ? )her own husband made to the party she leads, about what happened to over half a million in funds for for the Independent Scotland campaign that’s gone missing and is subject to police investigation etc.

    Scottish independence not only sounds a lot like Brexit (UXit?) that many have sounded the alarms about it. It reeks of “grass is greener on the other side” with incredibly little to back it up. Sturgeon kept making promises she wouldn’t be able to keep (, like paying the Scottish share of the UK national debt, like paying the pensions and unemployment of those in Scotland from the taxes of those in Scotland, like how the EU would somehow let her choose Scotland’s currency over the Euro?) and others. Scottish independence has been voted on. It was totally unrealistic and it has been a “no” for years. 



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,864 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    Yes, I do.

    Look at Lucinda Adhern - more or less the same story. She (NS) has been at the top of her party, and it has plateaued, so time to go. Only failure will follow so get out at the top if you can. No point in hoping to get a nice eulogy.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,586 ✭✭✭tinytobe


    I think that there were more than just a couple unknowns about Scottish Independence. From currency, to citizenship, the funding of the NHS Scotland, military and defense, NATO membership and how easily or "seamlessly" as it was promised Scotland would be part of the EU.

    Regardless of what Sturgeon and the SNP claimed or said, I wouldn't believe a word, that an independent Scotland would get to keep the British pound or be able to retain British citizenship, if they decided to leave. The reality is that leaving really means leaving and everything you've had before will be gone. It's the same lie, as Brexit UK, getting to keep all the freedoms with the EU, but at the same time leaving the EU.

    Sturgeon has a lot of domestic issues, from the Scottish NHS to education, she did not succeed at the first independence referendum, and was unable to get a 2nd one.

    The odd thing is, that Sturgeon was rather popular and liked in Scotland, but at the same time she failed to deliver at nearly everything else.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 45,630 ✭✭✭✭Mr.Nice Guy


    These are sobering findings for SNP voters. No obvious replacement stands out. Forbes apparently has strong religious beliefs that would appear to put her into conflict with much of the party. Could they try one of the younger candidates? Seems like a big ask given what's at stake in the coming years, yet the more experienced heads like Robertson and Swinney don't appear to garner a great deal of enthusiasm?



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