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Long term effect of Tesla Cars price drops on Tesla's Motors brand?

  • 14-01-2023 3:21pm
    #1
    Registered Users Posts: 808 ✭✭✭


    There are obvious ones with the effect on 2nd values which effects their current customers. But will they be seen as premium an niche cars in the future.

    Part of Tesla's success has been the margin the have on cars, higher price more margin. The price drops would take them competing with likes of VW and Hyundai who typically sell higher quantities lower margin.

    Both VW and Hyundai are now trying to go higher end on price to compete with premium brands likes Tesla, BMW and Mercedes brand an reputation wise (having the product to compete is the other question). Looks like Tesla are dropping to compete with not just with the mass market but also the coming Chinese wave.

    Having the tech cheap is one part of it but long term will it effect their brand.

    Look at mobile phones you don't see Apple dropping prices to compete with cheaper Chinese brands (who have the tech too). They justify their price and margin on desirability.

    I personally think long term Tesla are playing a dangerous game dropping prices 33% in a year seems to be sort term solution but will it be a long term gain.

    But no-one complaining about picking up cheap Tesla's now.

    Post edited by podge1979 on


«1345

Comments

  • Registered Users Posts: 106 ✭✭Dasein


    also has impact on PCP repayments because the future value is a key part of the calculation

    I think it's Finance Ireland providing the PCP financing, they won't have enjoyed yesterday's price cut 😂



  • Registered Users Posts: 808 ✭✭✭podge1979


    Share price effect was interesting on Friday share dropped sharply recovered and kinda leveled off. I suppose would tank more if they report too much Inventory. Drops like the are unheard of so looks it my have come from the top.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,077 ✭✭✭✭banie01


    The share price is IMO still trading far above its fair value. The realisation is dawning that Tesla are "just" a car company. The tech-bro sheen is wearing off and that share price action will now play out in competition with car company peers rather than FAANG.

    The impact of Tesla's discounting will hit the pockets of owners, finance companies and resellers hardest, if you're in a PCP deal with a GMFV? Well you're probably rolling into next deal with a bit more equity than expected.

    Dealers holding 2nd hand inventory? Have been royally screwed and that is at no net gain to Tesla. They are seeking to shift what are now ageing designs that are losing the original 1st mover advantage and have down it at the cost of their customers and the 2nd hand industry.

    this guy has been calling general trends and issues in the US car market for a while and he has some interesting takes on Tesla too.




  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 19,300 Mod ✭✭✭✭slave1


    No long term impact, there'll be more happy new Tesla owners versus disgruntled circa 2022 owners



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,670 ✭✭✭✭Danzy


    Tesla will grow market share and become a more established brand.


    There might be some unhappy people in the process but overall..



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  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 19,300 Mod ✭✭✭✭slave1


    It's their transition from luxury to mainstream, they have the factories now so volume can go up and volume will absorb overheads



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,834 ✭✭✭joe1303l


    Tesla are definitely looking to go after market share and competitive pricing of the likes of the Model Y is certainly going to get results. It’s a car that has mass market appeal, the modern day equivalent of the golf or corolla. What’s happened will be yesterdays news at some point but it could have been handled better or even went for a more creative method to win sales without crushing resale values.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,670 ✭✭✭✭Danzy




  • Registered Users Posts: 808 ✭✭✭podge1979


    Yes more established, but less premium brand? They'll be duking it out with the likes of Toyota, VW and HKMC with mass market low margin cars? Rather than playing with the BMers and Mercs.



  • Registered Users Posts: 808 ✭✭✭podge1979


    How long till the reaction of "Wow you drive a Tesla" changes to "Meh you drive a Tesla" 😁.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 2,158 ✭✭✭innrain



    Tesla wants to sell 20M cars a year by 2030. BWM or Merc sell about 2M a year. From these figures one can see that Tesla has different target audience. There might be model S or X but those are niche to the main business. Y will replace Golf or Avensis not Class S.



  • Registered Users Posts: 808 ✭✭✭podge1979


    Exactly going from premium high end brand to mass market, remember they lobbed a lot off the price of S also.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,999 ✭✭✭Jizique


    Tesla has zero hope of selling 20m cars in 2030, they would need to add 17m units of capacity over 5 years to be able to produce 20m in 2020; no new product in 3 years, history of screwing buyers with price cuts after they have purchased - the only way they produce 20m cars is if they buy Stellantis and Toyota



  • Registered Users Posts: 185 ✭✭wfdrun


    Golf cart with iPad attached. Bernard madoff.



  • Registered Users Posts: 990 ✭✭✭Fred Cryton


    Except it's not "just" a car company. The real potential value for Tesla will be in battery storage farms, which the whole world will have to move to if we are to buy into Eamon Ryans vision of the future, and in which Tesla are absolutely cutting edge. I can see a time 10 or 15 years in the future when Tesla will be primarily a renewable energy generation and storage company, with some premium cars tagged on the side. Best to think of it as a conglomerate.



  • Registered Users Posts: 808 ✭✭✭podge1979


    Mass market will not be premium, but interesting point also their approach to battery storage is to the detriment of the cars as they are yet to make them V2L or V2G capable. One of the reasons touted for this is potential internal competition with their storage side of things.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,771 ✭✭✭✭ted1


    Much bigger than a car company. Their energy business is booming. Large scale mega packs batteries going in around the world.


    also their charging network gives them a supply business



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,510 ✭✭✭Oafley Jones


    Brand perception is a funny thing. How people define the likes of premium. I look at the current Tesla lineup and I just don't see it as a premium brand at all, maybe when it was just the S & X I'd agree, but the second their focus shifted to the 3 (and subsequently the Y) and largely abandoned the 100k segment those notions were gone. Remember the 3 was to be their 35,000 dollar mass market play. And while they completely failed to deliver on those prices, those cars have have all the hallmarks of their cost centric development. I really don't know where the idea of Premium with their current offerings comes from.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,301 ✭✭✭MightyMunster


    They were already 15k cheaper than BMW and even bigger difference vs Merc.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,301 ✭✭✭MightyMunster


    Failed? Achieved it 4 years ago you mean.

    Model 3 isn't an S class Merc, Bentley or whatever you consider premium but neither is a 3 series, Audi A4. While being cheaper, faster, more efficient and much more modern inside. When the Model 3 was launched BMW were still including CD players in their cars.




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  • Registered Users Posts: 808 ✭✭✭podge1979


    What cars are you quoting there, take the X1i and i4 they would be fairly much equivalent to M3 and MY LR they were pretty much in the same price bracket before the price drop.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,205 ✭✭✭✭Mantis Toboggan




  • Registered Users Posts: 4,563 ✭✭✭eagerv


    Hate the term Premium, I personally never use it with cars. To me, Premium just means higher price, ie a great marketing tool.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,301 ✭✭✭MightyMunster


    Is this directed at me? I4 M50 "from" 85k for example vs a M3P at 65.

    The X1i I had to look up but starts in the mid 60s which was 10k more than Model 3, now 20k more. Same with the 3 series we have at home, 20k more than a M3 now too.



  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 40,027 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gumbo




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,301 ✭✭✭MightyMunster


    I especially hate it since it started being used in every other post related to a certain Munich based company



  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 40,027 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gumbo


    The Model 3 was never premium. It’s the everyday saloon. It’s the 3 series, A4 of years gone by. In a few years they will be everywhere.

    There is no premium EV in this price bracket IMO

    There be a niche version within, the same way bmw had the M3, Audi had the S4 and that’s where the Performance models will sit.

    The new price lists is where Tesla should be. Expensive enough for what you get but also cheap enough for what you get.

    For €66k, you can have a 500bhp saloon (M3P) that you can drive to mondello in, with the kids, race around the track, keeping up with everything and then drive home in with the kids in their car seats.

    Incan hit the run way club, do a few 1km runs keeping up with mega German cars that cost twice as much. I’m happy with that.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,595 ✭✭✭carsfan2


    Tesla have dropped prices because of dwindling order books and needed to stimulate things to generate business and keep their factories busy as far as I can see. I think this will work in the short term but it’s a dangerous game they are playing and will annoy existing owners who have seen huge chunks wiped off the value of their cars.

    Trust in the brand will surely be eroded and I think the shine has well and truly come off it already with the antics of Musk who is the only advertising and PR the company appear to have.

    I think the brand’s biggest problem going forward however is a lack of different looking new products. You need to make discernible changes to models to encourage new buyers and entice existing owners to trade up. There’s a reason conventional manufacturers do a mid life refresh and a whole new model every few years and publicise it and that is to maintain demand. People need to see differences between what they have and see around them to want the new car. Premium manufacturers are masters at this.

    The current model 3 may be virtually a completely different car to the original ones that rolled out but they are virtually identical to the man in the street. Even the newest model S looks the same as a seven year old one. Tesla need to copy traditional manufacturers in my view to keep going otherwise they will be bought out by a rival as their share price drops more and I think the price drops may well accelerate this drop.



  • Registered Users Posts: 808 ✭✭✭podge1979


    I4 starts at 68k, and high spec at that.

    X1i is a SUV so comparable with the MY and at similar price prior to the double price cut in the last few months starts around early 60's which the MY used to be at.



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  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 40,027 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gumbo


    €68,825 for the sport which is the old SE Trim. So base trim.

    Decent car, really well put together, but inside lets it down IMO.

    spec wise, ok pros and cons but not as high as basic Tesla. TACC, €1k extra. Adaptive lights, extra. No sunroof/glass roof. But still, it’s a bmw. It will be priced higher for the badge. That’s how it’s always been.



  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 40,027 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gumbo


    The problem with a forced design change is the current design is one of the most efficient of any car in the world. Can it be improved? We are getting to a stage where most new cars, particularly EV’s are not lookers, we are accepting their quirky style and that goes for bmw, Porsche, Audi etc They do not look as good as ICE cars do, and nobody can say that without laughing.

    Imthink we are heading into a generation where car design will be dwindling. In the same way now, the current youth generations are happy on this granny eBikes that don’t look half as good as the Raleigh Activators that we had growing up!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,711 ✭✭✭whippet


    once you think perfection has been achieved progress stops !!!

    There is always room for change and room for improvement. Tesla not changing the basic look of the car for years helps cut costs in tooling and production. As a long term play I'm not sure how buyers will take it ... would you upgrade your 5 year old Tesla for something that looks identical ? some will ... many won't



  • Registered Users Posts: 364 ✭✭Xidu


    I have M3 and I bought at higher price and I will stick w Tesla, unless Apple has a car.

    I just like the neat design of M3.

    I don’t even like S even S is way more expensive. Even if i can afford S, I still would choose M3. 😁



  • Registered Users Posts: 364 ✭✭Xidu


    As for share price, too many speculations

    you need to know in a bull market it doesn’t matter what is the company’ real value, it’s all about investors and big money playing games of the market.

    in a bear market it’s the same. Big money made a lot of profits by shorting Tesla.

    buffet always say invest in the value of the company, he is playing a loooooong term strategy.


    I still believe in short term there is always chances.


    BTW, I am still holding 130 shares of tsla bought at $140 😩


    be prepared it will go to $167 or $70 😱



  • Registered Users Posts: 364 ✭✭Xidu


    Don’t think Apple is a good example to compare in Telsa price drop case though.

    Apple has its own iOS, together w iPad, Mac, it’s their own unique design.

    phone is something everyone would use like 7/24. Car isn’t. Car is still luxury products believe or not especially in developing countries.

    thats why Apple has SE which is cheaper and designed for different markets.


    Apples’ design is like the best looking of all the phones. And they have the top 1 supply chain. If Apple can’t produce enough phones. Neither Samsung or xiaomi. So they have no worries at all.


    Tesla is different. Their adv is that they mass production EV few years ahead of others and they claim FSD and auto polit.

    other car companies like VW, Nissan, they are so smart they will catch up very quickly. Once their production line set up Tesla is in massive competition.


    while Apple is different. Plenty competition on market from day1



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,890 ✭✭✭...Ghost...


    Lots of talk here about premium, but what does that even mean anymore? Premium seems to be still associated with legacy manufacturers in Europe who make and sell expensive cars with the latest features, cutting edge technologies and great performance with quality build and materials.

    Whatever about the price drop which has wiped thousands off the price of my recently collected M3, I am still driving what I consider to be a premium car, because it has the hallmarks listed above. I've owned most of the so called premium brands and aside from the fact they were ICE vehicles, the only notable differences worth mentioning were the amount of buttons in them and the enclosed driver feeling (especially in the BMW) which was very snug.

    Unless I have good reason not to, I will stick with the Tesla brand. A new car price drop affects used car prices, but sticking with the same brand this drop just means that getting a second Tesla for the household just became way more affordable.

    Stay Free



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,595 ✭✭✭carsfan2


    Tesla never really produced a “premium” product in terms of quality compared to mainstream manufacturers. The model S and X were very high price cars but you were paying for batteries and tech not material or build quality. Therefore I think their image was one of an expensive product which shouldn’t be confused with a premium product. Now they have obviously improved their building of the cars and the interior materials they put into them that give a more upmarket feel over the years, but mainstream premium manufacturers have this in their electric cars too.

    I think Tesla if they survive on their own will be the new Volkswagen of the car market.

    They may offer what VW used to in the golf etc., a quality product that was classless yet aspired to by the general car buying public.



  • Registered Users Posts: 808 ✭✭✭podge1979


    😂 Define perfection, when you stop trying to improve that's when competitive advantage is lost. There is a whole philosophy around it "Kaizen" coming from Japanese Kai = change zen = good.



  • Registered Users Posts: 808 ✭✭✭podge1979


    Sorry don't buy that at all phone market is just a bigger market and more players. You can buy a cheap phone with pretty much the same capabilities as an iPhone but spend 5 times as much on an iPhone (which has massive margin).

    An iPhone is a luxury product and one of the reasons people buy an iPhones is because of the brand and prestige not just design. They built that from the first mover advantage they had on iPods and iPhones (similar to Tesla's first mover advantage).

    Also other great lessons learned from phone industry two brands who had first mover advantage Nokia and Blackberry they didn't strive to move and improve went low end and look where that got them.



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,563 ✭✭✭eagerv


    Interesting about car design and evolution, yes we are all used to most traditional manufacturers updating their models every 4 years or more, often just a few cosmetic tweaks to make us feel as though we need to change and get the latest and greatest. Even when they fully update the model, it is only a few mm added here or there so they can market the huge increase in interior space..😊.

    I welcome what Tesla have been doing, cars are being continuously updated even if you do not feel the need to change. If we didn't have our silly number plates would be difficult to tell the year of a Tesla.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,595 ✭✭✭carsfan2


    This is it though. The car market is not quite the same but similar to phones.

    manufacturers don’t make money updating your software for free ina car they’ve already sold you. They need to get you in a new car to keep their production lines running.

    They need to make new product sufficiently different from what you have every few years that has you wanting to change to it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 992 ✭✭✭bf


    Tesla is now a more mainstream brand than it ever was, with lots of cars on the road. This price drop May have come to a shock to many recent new to EV/Tesla, but for those who have been Tesla owners or followers for longer, this isn’t anything out of the ordinary - the profit margin they have in cars is way bigger than any other manufacturer, so they can be flexible.

    It’s just as probable that there could be a decent price rise again in next 12/18 months as another price cut



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,563 ✭✭✭eagerv


    Yes, but Tesla do change the cars, not just software. ie new battery tech, motors, features etc. But they still look the same😊



  • Registered Users Posts: 808 ✭✭✭podge1979


    Cars these days are like mobile phones on wheels and for me very similar in how first mover advantage was gained.

    Apple first mover on smart phones many followers but the went high end big margins.

    Tesla first real mover on EV looked to be taking a similar strategy to Apple higher end and big margins but they flipped really now pursuing lower margins mass market.

    Nowadays car companies do make money off after market SW updates, Tesla being the prime example and this is how the overall car market will continue to evolve. Other players like BMW exploring this also.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,834 ✭✭✭joe1303l


    If the legacy makers hold their prices and don’t go after Tesla, they are bound to put prices up again. They will want to be seen as upmarket of the inevitable glut of chinese cars that will come to Europe.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,890 ✭✭✭...Ghost...


    "manufacturers don’t make money updating your software for free ina car they’ve already sold you"

    I'd have to disagree there. One of the biggest reasons I chose a Tesla was because they regularly update and improve the cars with software updates. I bet that alone is a distinct reason many lean toward Tesla purchases and that in itself increases Tesla sales revenue and profit. The idea that an issue can be fixed over the air without having to go to the dealer is a huge plus.

    My top reasons in order of importance were:

    Safety

    Range

    OTA updates

    Desirability

    Access to public charging network

    Stay Free



  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 40,027 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gumbo


    Remote servicing too.

    A sensor failed in my interior cabin a few months back.

    Open app. Explained the dash warning. Even included a photo.

    Got text saying part ordered.

    3 days later, ranger at my door fixing it.

    Theres a lot to be said about that service.

    Imagine trying to do that with BMW or any of the other legacy mainstream brands.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,890 ✭✭✭...Ghost...


    Apple have always been about innovation and style at a high price. They have never made this a secret. However, Musk has been saying for the last decade what the plan with Tesla was. In essence; make a really desirable and expensive electric sports car for the rich...Roadster. Use this money to make a really desirable high end saloon/family car to sell at lower prices in larger numbers to the upper middle class....Model S. They added Model X in there too moreso as a higher end vehicle with more bells and whistles. Finally, use the profits to grow and produce a main stream EV for the masses to afford...Model 3. Later adding Model Y for those looking for a roomier hatch.

    Tesla had first mover advantage (more or less), but they haven't flipped at all. It was always the plan to get as many affordable EVs out there as possible while still creating an desirable and efficient product. I would say they are well within the original goals set.

    Stay Free



  • Posts: 2,725 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    I’m in the market for our first electric car and took a Tesla for a test drive. I couldn’t get over how cheap and plasticky the interior was - miles away from premium.

    It might be a personal thing, but I also think they are an extremely ugly car overall - like when you see one at lights I just can’t help but internally comment about how bland and uninspiring they look - especially that low front profile. Again, it’s probably down to mass market appeal and aerodynamics, but it certainly does not give off premium vibes.



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,563 ✭✭✭eagerv


    All they need now is the Tesla ID.3/Born😁 and they are well set up. The competition surely see this now as Disruptive Technology..



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