Russia - threadbanned users in OP

In Makhachkala, Dagestan.. wonder is Putin expecting opposition to his latest mobilization plans from there? They created problems there with protests etc last mobilization. Maybe Mr. Mayor was not dedicated enough to Vladimir?

They will probably just sit at the border to keep some Ukrainian forces away from the front line. What else can they do, try to drive down the road towards Kiev again. Their best could not do that against an unprepared Ukraine army. They would get absolutely shredded if they tried that again.

They're good at corruption so it's no surprise they won those bids.

Seems the claims from the Russians that they killed "600 soldiers" are the usual lies / BS from the Kremlin. European journalists who visited the site could find no evidence that the two missiles had hit any buildings (it appears they completely missed their target). Appears to be just propaganda for the domestic Russian audience and the Putin bots.

And then you have the question of will Belarussian Soldiers be prepared to cross the border and actually fight Ukrainians? Lukashenko is on a very sticky and precarious wicket with his own people as it stands. All it might take to trigger another revolution there would be bodybags returning in any kind of Nrs.

9000 since February,

It's plan B from Putin to annex Belarus to save face from losing the war in Ukraine. There'll be bs about Poland ready to invade Belarus and external threats and Putin is taking Belarus under his wing to save it from war.

If Belarus join a russian invasion from the north or if they don't and are instead subject to a new russian invasion themselves, you'd have to think in either case, there would be western support(Particularly Poland) for resistance there, potentially spreading this war. Politically supporting a Belarussian resistance/coup is not an escalation from the support being provided in Ukraine, basically still not a direct engagement of Russia.

I think it would be too risky as it still would involve an offensive action that they are unlikely to be capable of. If they cross the border Ukraine may consider it a green light to strike equipment, ammo depots and barracks in Belarus.

Assuming Ukraine can identify barracks of Russian military in Belarus, could/ should or would they launch a few missiles into them. By way of anticipating a defensive need.

No-one could be naïve enough to think that the Ukrainians haven't been shoring up their northern border. They're hardly going to have diverted all their forces to the southern and eastern fronts and leave that whole flank wide open. Prior to the invasion phase, the Ukrainians were building trenches and things along it , and by time Russia might try to cross there again, Ukraine will have had another 10 months or so to improve all those defensive structures based on what they learned in the prior attempt. Russia would need considerable tactical innovation to overcome what awaits them, there. 'Russia' and 'innovation' don't sit that well together as words.

That's not to mention the craziness of attempting to open another front when they've stalled on the other two and intelligence experts are predicting that they're rapidly diminishing in ability to mount any kind of offensive campaign. The only conclusion is that it's an attempt to dilute Ukrainian troop concentrations elsewhere. I can foresee a possibility of even that backfiring as a fortified northern front becomes a training ground for Ukrainian reservists.

Actually they've contributed plenty to the arts and sciences even in the 21st century, from pianists like Daniil Trifonov to filmmakers like Tsvyagintsev and Nobel prize winners in various fields (it should be noted these people also tend to be anti Putin and anti war). Russian society is in a dreadful state but to say absolutely zero good has come out of it in 20 years is an exaggeration.

And they have also contributed to madness and mayhem worldwide, no more-so than in the last year. Stop defending the scum for the few positives they have, it's boring rogber.

Idiot? Where in my post did I criticize the very few decent Russkis comrade?

1000 orcs killed in the last 36 hours. The orc offensive has failed.