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Covid vaccines - thread banned users in First Post

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  • Registered Users Posts: 28,338 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    How about backing up your claims of increased excess deaths in the UK, year on year - and unless the figures are age adjusted, you know they are not valid for comparison with 2015-2019.

    The spread of excess deaths across Europe does not track with the vaccinated % of populations. Go on, prove us wrong.

    The are recommending against vaccination because of the reduced severity of Omicron, and diminishing returns from additional doses, and a small increased risk in mild side effects. Nothing connected to your allegation. Linking the two together here is entirely without foundation.

    This is the UK excess deaths from 2020-2022 graphed.


    https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/deaths/bulletins/deathsregisteredweeklyinenglandandwalesprovisional/weekending28october2022

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users, Subscribers Posts: 5,801 ✭✭✭hometruths


    The are recommending against vaccination because of the reduced severity of Omicron, and diminishing returns from additional doses, and a small increased risk in mild side effects.

    Just as the conspiracy theorists feared. The more you inject the less safe and less effective the vaccine becomes.



  • Registered Users Posts: 28,338 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    Really, that's what the conspiracy theorists feared? That and that alone and nothing more?

    The actual reasons why hardly matches the actual claims of the conspiracy theorists does it?

    You have stated the minimal case 'less safe & 'less effective' - they were claiming an awful lot more than that, weren't they?

    And besides, doesn't it prove the grand conspiracy theory wrong? The authorities are tracking vaccine effectiveness, are tracking side effects, and this is the decision they have made. This is contrary to most of the conspiracy theory claims against the authorities on this thread.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 24,087 Mod ✭✭✭✭robinph


    No, nothing about the safety of the vaccines.

    More like it not being worth the effort to vacconate people like it's not worth your time to bend down and pick up a 1c coin on the street. Doesn't mean that the vaccine is dangerous due to the recommendations changing, and it doesn't mean that the 1c coin is worth any less. Just it's not worth the hassle in both cases.



  • Registered Users, Subscribers Posts: 5,801 ✭✭✭hometruths


    And besides, doesn't it prove the grand conspiracy theory wrong? The authorities are tracking vaccine effectiveness, are tracking side effects, and this is the decision they have made. This is contrary to most of the conspiracy theory claims against the authorities on this thread.

    Correct, they are tracking vaccine effectiveness and side effects and have decided that the risk/benefit is not the same for all.

    They have decided the benefit side of the equation is strongly weighted in favour of the elderly/vulnerable and the risk side of the equation is strongly weighted against the young/healthy.

    Exactly what conspiracy theorists have been arguing for over a year.



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  • Registered Users, Subscribers Posts: 5,801 ✭✭✭hometruths


    Saying the vaccine has diminishing returns from additional doses, and a small increased risk in mild side effects literally means the vaccine is less effective and less safe with every additional dose.

    More like it not being worth the effort to vacconate people like it's not worth your time to bend down and pick up a 1c coin on the street.

    I'd totally agree with this. Again it is what conspiracy theorists have been claiming for a long time. Administering these vaccines that don't prevent infection or transmission to young healthy individuals when they are at very little risk from severe disease/death is a futile exercise.



  • Registered Users Posts: 28,338 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    That's not "exactly what conspiracy theorists have been arguing" and it is utterly disingenuous to suggest it. If it is exactly what they have been arguing, you should be able to find legions of posts on this thread to support your claim.

    Conspiracy theorists on this thread have argued that the vaccines aren't vaccines. Some that they are actively harmful. Some that they are placebos. Some that they are only of benefit to vulnerable people.

    If you read and comprehend the article you linked, you will see that is contradicted by the experts in the article which stress the benefits to adults of being fully vaccinated.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users Posts: 28,338 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    You have made a statement of fact that vaccines don't prevent infection or tranamission.

    This statement is false medical disinformation without foundation.

    It is contradicted by studies and evidence you yourself have posted to the thread.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users, Subscribers Posts: 5,801 ✭✭✭hometruths


    I have argued this on numerous occasions on this thread. Am I no longer a conspiracy theorist now that this is a mainstream view?



  • Registered Users Posts: 28,338 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    You said it was exactly what conspiracy theorists argued...

    Your statement appears to be false on both counts.

    Others dont make that specific argument and you and they make much wider claims than that.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



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  • Registered Users, Subscribers Posts: 5,801 ✭✭✭hometruths


    Therein lies the problem of lazily labelling anybody who questions the vaccines a conspiracy theorist.



  • Registered Users, Subscribers Posts: 5,801 ✭✭✭hometruths


    Is there anybody left other than you who is seriously still arguing that the vaccines prevent infection/transmission?

    Certainly the Australian experts are not advising against further booster shots because they believe it prevents infection and transmission.



  • Registered Users Posts: 28,338 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    I dont think anybody who questions vaccines is a conspiracy theorist, as long as they do so from a position of genuine engagement with the data.

    There are also conspiracy theorists who question the vaccines, and obviously believe they are part of a wider conspiracy yet refuse to disclose what that is because they know they have no data to support the theory so must engage in indirect attacks.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users Posts: 28,338 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    You linked studies from Sweden showing they do. That was you wasnt it?

    The Qatar study also cited on this thread also showed they significantly reduced infections v Omicron albeit less effectively and for shorter duration.

    You are now attempting to retcon 4th booster v Omicron as if it applied to all vaccines and variants.

    This is medical disinformation, contradicted by your own posts on this thread.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users, Subscribers Posts: 5,801 ✭✭✭hometruths


    I've linked a lot of studies on this thread, so I've no idea whether it was me or not.

    "Retcon" - I had to google that, this is what I found:

    a piece of new information that imposes a different interpretation on previously described events,

    Thanks, I like learning new stuff. And that seems particularly apt in the context of covid vaccines discussion.



  • Registered Users Posts: 28,338 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    You have forgotten that you posted a link to the Swedish Lancet study and made dozens of posts discussing it?

    You posted a link to the study in post #9588.

    It is difficult to debate a topic in good faith when studies are posted - so it is reasonable to assume the bona fides of the authors are accepted - but then disowned, especially where the contents of said studies are inconvenient for the present claim being made. I point this out to highlight inconsistencies in and between your posts on this thread pertaining to this specific claim.

    You are making statements of facts about vaccines which are medical misinformation - unsupported by any linked articles or referenced evidence. You are not stating it merely as your interpretation of findings but a declaration. These claims have been repeatedly debunked, including by studies you posted onto the thread.

    And here is a more recent debunking:

    These assertions — that being vaccinated does not significantly reduce the transmission of COVID-19, or that COVID restrictions were due to the “common cold” — are false.

    https://www.thejournal.ie/do-covid-19-vaccines-prevent-transmission-5919387-Nov2022/

    Post edited by odyssey06 on

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 24,087 Mod ✭✭✭✭robinph


     and less safe with every additional dose

    Where has anyone, other than you, claimed that the vaccines are less safe with each additional dose?

    That is not the same as the vaccines being less beneficial with each dose.



  • Registered Users, Subscribers Posts: 5,801 ✭✭✭hometruths


    You have forgotten that you posted a link to the Swedish Lancet study and made dozens of posts discussing it?

    You posted a link to the study in post #9588.

    It is difficult to debate a topic in good faith when studies are posted - so it is reasonable to assume the bona fides of the authors are accepted - but then disowned, especially where the contents of said studies are inconvenient for the present claim being made. I point this out to highlight inconsistencies in and between your posts on this thread pertaining to this specific claim.

    As always it helps to be specific, so no, now that you are specific, I haven't forgotten that study that I posted to discuss the waning effectiveness.

    And the data from that study was pre-Omicron.

    This is relevant because the present claim being made is that there is nobody "left other than you who is seriously still arguing that the vaccines prevent infection/transmission?"

    Still arguing. i.e today. With the Omicron variant.

    You are making statements of facts about vaccines which are medical misinformation - unsupported by any linked articles or referenced evidence. You are not stating it merely as your interpretation of findings but a declaration. These claims have been repeatedly debunked, including by studies you posted onto the thread.

    If it helps you get over it, and avoids a pointless tit for tat, I'll qualify that by saying the vaccines do not prevent transmission/infection in my opinion.

    There are numerous reasons for that opinion, not least the fact that few health services, if any, around the world are saying getting vaccinated to prevent infection. Most appear to be saying get vaccinated to prevent serious disease/death.

    For example the Australians, as we've been discussing:

    He noted the primary goal of the vaccination program is to “minimise the risk of severe disease, including hospitalisation and death”.

    The fact that the data on performance against severe disease is so clear cut, is precisely because of the fact that performance against infection has been so poor.

    And this why advice to get vaccinated always comes first and foremost as protecting yourself from severe disease, not from infection or for protecting others.




  • Registered Users, Subscribers Posts: 5,801 ✭✭✭hometruths


    Well odyssey for a start - "diminishing returns from additional doses, and a small increased risk in mild side effects"

    And the Australians, in article linked above:

    Australia’s vaccine advisory body is unlikely to approve a second Covid vaccine booster for under-30s due to the increased risk of myocarditis and diminishing benefit of successive doses.





  • Registered Users Posts: 17,799 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe



    At the height of the pandemic, when cases were threatening to overwhelm national health services, it was a no-brainer to get as many people vaccinated as possible. However since the pandemic has now subsided, the situation has changed and will further change. While there's still a threat (and threat of future mutations) looks like we're gradually moving more towards a "seasonal flu" type situation.

    Vaccines reduce the risk of dying from Covid, in pretty much all age-groups. You're a fit healthy 30 yr old with no underlying conditions? You're unlikely to die from Covid, but you are less likely to die from it with the vaccine. And since we're all pretty much going to catch Covid, in terms of personal risk, it's better to be vaccinated than unvaccinated.

    Anti-vaxxers attempt to turn that on it's head by overplaying about any side effects of vaccines, whilst ignoring the risks from Covid (and the millions of deaths from it)

    As for the conspiracy theorists (who are nearly all anti-vaxxers by default), they have been claiming everything under the sun; that it's all a global plan to install communism, that it's being used to control us, that there are chips in the vaccines, that there's a nefarious plan behind the vaccines they can't explain, etc, etc. You're one of them. Like the rest of them you can't explain or detail your conspiracy.

    Whatever it is about vaccines, they drive a certain personality type nuts.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 17,799 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe



    Whether it's flat-earthers, 9/11 truthers, moon landing hoaxers, chemtrail fanatics, lizard-people types - almost all are anti-vaxxers. That's not a coincidence.

    There were anti-vaxxers long before Covid. These are cemented beliefs completely impervious to fact/reason.



  • Registered Users Posts: 28,338 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    The vaccines do prevent transmission and infection (full stop). You are again making unqualified claims about vaccines, without reference to specific variants and points in time. So does your claim relate to all variants, or just Omicron? When you say "prevent" do you mean if they don't prevent it 100% they don't 'prevent' it? It really isn't clear which is why I have queried these statements and on what basis they are made

    That vaccines provide significant protection infection and transmission is established in the Swedish Lancet study for pre-Omicron variants. That clearly shows thousands of cases prevented - how could this be possible unless the vaccines prevent infection in the sense of significantly reduce the chances of getting infected. You cited it on this thread therefore I think it is reasonable for me to assume you accept the bona fides of the expert authors.

    It demonstrates that the rationale for vaccine mandates when they were in place had a scientific justification - this effect would mean reduced spread, reduced risk, reduced cases.

    Other studies such as the Qatar study cited on this thread, and the studies cited in The Journal article above all show that even versus Omicron, vaccination has a significant effect versus infection. It may not be significant enough versus Omicron to justify nationwide campaigns for what is a less severe variant, but it still a significant effect and it is a strawman argument to claim that because it doesn't do so to X% it does not do so at all.

    More recently, a Danish study of variants of Omicron, the current dominant strain, found that the probability a vaccinated person infected with Covid-19 would pass it to a household member was about 23% or 33% lower than if they were unvaccinated, depending on the subvariant. A preprint posted online last week corroborated these findings, saying that vaccinated prisoners in California were 33% less likely to spread Omicron variants to close contacts.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users, Subscribers Posts: 5,801 ✭✭✭hometruths


    And since we're all pretty much going to catch Covid, in terms of personal risk, it's better to be vaccinated than unvaccinated.

    A statement that sums up how effective the vaccines are at preventing infection. No doubt odyssey will be on to you about spreading misinformation.

    Anti-vaxxers attempt to turn that on it's head by overplaying about any side effects of vaccines, whilst ignoring the risks from Covid (and the millions of deaths from it)

    The other side of that coin is that vaccine fanatics overplay the risks from Covid to promote the vaccines.

    If the IFR for a fit healthy 30 year old is 0.011%, the risk of death is pretty small.

    Your fit, healthy 30 year old is overwhelmingly likely to get infected whether or not he gets the vaccine, overwhelmingly likely to get a mild dose whether or not he gets the vaccine, and overwhelmingly unlikely to die whether or not he gets the vaccine.

    That statement seems to be broadly accepted.

    Thus why the problem if a fit, healthy 30 year old looks at the risks/benefit and decides for himself not to get vaccinated at all?



  • Registered Users Posts: 17,799 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    Thus why the problem if a fit, healthy 30 year old looks at the risks/benefit and decides for himself not to get vaccinated at all?

    Up to them, I don't see an issue at this point. The problem was during the pandemic when the wards were stuffed with anti-vaxxers and people who were refusing to be vaccinated. They were using up hospital resources. They were also dying. Unnecessarily. Some of whom are only there because they swallowed vaccine-denial stuff on social media.

    The kind of stuff that's spread in a thread like this. There's no value to it.

    If one of your older family members or grandparents started refusing to be vaccinated against Covid due to disino, you'd be the first to encourage them to get vaccinated. Why? Because you don't want them to risk dying unnecessarily.

    Long before you appeared in here, we asked the resident anti-vaxxers at the time their vaccination status, most were vaxxed. It's all a load of BS.



  • Registered Users, Subscribers Posts: 5,801 ✭✭✭hometruths


    the studies cited in The Journal article above all show that even versus Omicron, vaccination has a significant effect versus infection.

    Really? All of your Journal article sources were pre Omicron except the one you highlight here. And it is only concerned with transmission not infection.

    Look at the Covid cases in Ireland, when from Dec 1st 2021 i.e Omicron - with almost 90% of population vaccinated, we had an almighty spike, with a colossal amount of cases over the next three months. Now maybe in your opinion that Danish study is saying we would have had even more cases without the trojan work of the vaccines stopping the transmission.

    But in my opinion, the sheer volume of cases, and allowing for the fact that the majority of cases are undiagnosed, is real world evidence that the vaccines are not effective at preventing infections or transmission.

    Irrespective of what the Journal says.



  • Registered Users, Subscribers Posts: 5,801 ✭✭✭hometruths


    Up to them, I don't see an issue at this point. The problem was during the pandemic when the wards were stuffed with anti-vaxxers and people who were refusing to be vaccinated. They were using up hospital resources. They were also dying. Unnecessarily. Some of whom are only there because they swallowed vaccine-denial stuff on social media.

    Unfortunately we have never got to see the exact data of how many fit healthy 30 year olds the wards were stuffed with, using up hospital resources and dying unnecessarily. Very, very few I would suspect. The data we did see confirms this.

    If one of your older family members or grandparents started refusing to be vaccinated against Covid due to disino, you'd be the first to encourage them to get vaccinated. Why? Because you don't want them to risk dying unnecessarily.

    You're correct I would encourage them to get vaccinated, because as I have said time and time again on here age is a significantly higher risk factor than your vaccination status. I'd also be the first to discourage fit, young healthy members of my family.

    Long before you appeared in here, we asked the resident anti-vaxxers at the time their vaccination status, most were vaxxed. It's all a load of BS.

    This is true, but that is no more an argument that a specific anti-vaxxer claim is BS than your favoured flat earth handwaving. Plenty of people got vaccinated willingly and enthusiastically in the early roll out because they bought into #forusall and herd immunity etc. Once they discovered that was BS they were disillusioned at best.

    Also plenty of people who were willingly vaccinated #forusall did not like the coercion and division that took place when the pandemic of the unvaccinated narrative took hold.

    It's more nuanced than simply saying "Flat earthers spreading disinformation".



  • Registered Users Posts: 17,799 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    You're correct I would encourage them to get vaccinated

    Exactly.

    Whether it's you with your bitterness over what you thought the vaccines would do, or the poster who thinks there's magnets in them or the other one who thinks they are poison - you all feed and fuel the same general anti-vax sentiment.

    If other people didn't bother to challenge this nonsense, it would just be like any other internet anti-vax feed. The kind of stuff your grandparents could read, start to develop views which could put their lives at unnecessary risk.

    Thankfully there are some masochists here who tackle this stuff. Again, it's never to convince the fanatics, that's impossible, but it could help other more vulnerable people from falling down into the rabbit hole.



  • Registered Users Posts: 28,338 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    That is my opinion of the Danish study yes.

    So are you only talking about Omicron or not?

    You see, when I queried the exact claim you are making and on what basis, you don't actually clarify it.

    You challenge the evidence presented versus Omicron, yet not the evidence prevented for other strains - which includes evidence you yourself introduced onto this thread.

    Yet you continue to repeat the vague and unspecific claim that "vaccines are not effective at preventing infections or transmission". So what exactly do you mean by this claim? It really isn't clear. It appears to be a strategy of deliberately keeping it vague so that other posters cannot refute it.

    So I think it is entirely reasonable to point out that this (unqualified) claim made by you is contradicted by your own previous posts on this thread and experts you have cited e.g. you talk of waning effectiveness. How can it wane if it was not effective to begin with?

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users, Subscribers Posts: 5,801 ✭✭✭hometruths


    Whether it's you with your bitterness over what you thought the vaccines would do

    I have asked you this a few times but you've never given me a straight answer.

    You often throw this out that I am bitter over what I thought the vaccines would do - ie prevent infections and thus give us a path to herd immunity.

    But I suspect this is exactly at the same time - i.e December 2020 in the initial euphoria of approval etc.

    Did you think the same as me or did you think that preventing infections and achieving herd immunity was wishful thinking?



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  • Registered Users, Subscribers Posts: 5,801 ✭✭✭hometruths


    Let me put it another way.

    The mantra is the vaccines are safe and effective.

    Well that's great. But effective at what? When you hear that mantra do you think that means they are effective at preventing infection and transmission or effective at preventing severe disease and death?



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