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Russia - threadbanned users in OP

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,760 ✭✭✭Pa ElGrande



    Interviewer: The first bus with men are leaving, what do you think?'

    Man on street: They are going to fight for the motherland, I'd say even for Stalin.

    Interviewer: 'Who are we protecting the country form?'

    Man on street: I don't know...

    That's as bad as the kill "orcs", that pervades this thread. No wonder the Russian government pulls most of its mobilisation from outside the main cities. Bear in mind there is a public answer and a private answer and most people know what answer to give in public. Morale is not low for people who have not been stuck on the frontlines for several months and the expectation is they do their patriotic duty.

    After the current Ukrainian push, There will probably be a lull, followed by the Winter war when the ground is frozen and movement is possible. Probably the Russians will reopen the northern front, they are also gathering men and materials in Crimea so either a push to Zaparozhia or else finish off Donbass. If they can hold the west bank in Kherson over the Winter, that opens the possibility for a push to Nikolayev next year and on to their goal of Odessa. Whether that becomes a reality is another question.

    image.png

    The combination official declaration of annexation and blowing up of the pipelines means the sides involved (Russia, Ukraine and NATO) have drawn their demarcation lines. I have a contact currently stationed in Romania who expects to be on the ground in Ukraine next year as part of a NATO force and are preparing with that in mind. Whether than happens is another question. A lot of mobilistion and concentration of forces happening in the Russian oblasts (Kursk,Belgorod and Vononezh) surrounding the Ukraine border. Regrettably this war is far from over.

    Net Zero means we are paying for the destruction of our economy and society in pursuit of an unachievable and pointless policy.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,739 ✭✭✭storker


    The Moscow ring road would make a good perimeter. 😁



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,202 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    We haven't had anything about washing machines in a while so here you go:

    To protect his stolen washing machine until he can get it safely back to the nest, where his mate waits patiently with her brood of little Orcs, the male Orc cleverly fashions a shipping crate from ammunition boxes.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,568 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    Morale is not low for people who have not been stuck on the frontlines for several months and the expectation is they do their patriotic duty.

    Where are all these high morale combat ready Russian soldiers?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,215 ✭✭✭✭briany


    @Pa ElGrande

    After the current Ukrainian push, There will probably be a lull, followed by the Winter war when the ground is frozen and movement is possible. Probably the Russians will reopen the northern front, they are also gathering men and materials in Crimea so either a push to Zaparozhia or else finish off Donbass. If they can hold the west bank in Kherson over the Winter, that opens the possibility for a push to Nikolayev next year and on to their goal of Odessa. Whether that becomes a reality is another question.

    Ukraine will be able to use a Winter rest period as well as the Russians can, only Ukraine will be getting more NATO weaponry and time to fortify what lines they think need fortifying. The Russians, on the other hand, will have to do an impromptu episode of Scrapheap Challenge.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,728 ✭✭✭✭Igotadose


    So? If not him, it would've been others (and your article does name some other investors.) Looks like Bill emptied the cookie jar to buy those bonds, under $100m, he can probably find it in the sofa cushions.



  • Posts: 1,886 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,728 ✭✭✭✭Igotadose


    Some things:

    1. You've got a friend in Romania and I'm Charles the III.
    2. Morale is not low: You know this because... your friend from Romania told you? Is this why they ran off to Turkey/Kazakhstan/Georgia rather than feck off to die, untrained and forced to pay for their own kit? Oh, right, Morale isn't low - if you admit to it, they kill you
    3. Remember, patriotic duty, like you're doing with this nonsense, means die for Stalin.
    4. Russian 'material' is rusty AK47s. 60,000+ dead troops in case you've forgotten


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 146 ✭✭Wes M.


    Perhaps, but I just can't see a people's revolution happening. I think the screws are too tight for that to happen.

    And I can't see how enlightened members of the inner circle could organize a change of leader and policy. They could, annouce that Putin had reached a point where his obsessive imperial fantasies were leading the country to destruction, but how do they reverse the current Ukraine/West doctrine, which has Russians thinking today it's Lyman, tomorrow its Moscow. It's very hard to see someone in the Kremlin saying "Russia is embarking on a new chapter in relations with its neighbour, in the spirit of peace and friendship". I just can't see how the Kremlin can get out of this trap of expanionism they have made for themselves. It's a conundrum.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    Nobody actually knows what going or who's behind the scenes saying and pushing for ,

    Hawks a buzz word used across all of the American threads since the 90s oh the hawks are doing this ,the hawks are demanding that, Putin is a decent leader but the hawks made him do this ,

    What's next the 5th column.

    Some can't get the basics right never mind knowing whats happening in Moscow



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,153 ✭✭✭Mike3549


    Ruskies will freeze to death, this will be the first time in history when the cold weather is against them.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,623 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    I wouldn't be all sure the war will still be underway next March-April. This scenario assumes that Putin is safe in Moscow, but this might not be a given. I suspect something could happen politically before Ukraine has driven Russia completely out of the occupied territories (it would surely be evident to everyone in Russia at this point that the war had been long since lost).



  • Posts: 3,773 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    I'm actually embarrassed for the Russian military at how they are being pushed back. Even allowing for the donations in weapons, the Ukrainian army still need to use them wisely and be tactically smart. It gives me hope in the power of democracy and meritocracy.


    Remember a few months ago the contrast between the US military promotional ad featuring a feminist daughter of two lesbians, versus the masculine Russia army advert? At the time I believed I was looking at a declining empire versus an emerging power ready to flex its muscles. Now though Russia just remind me of a bully who when someone stands up to them they have no plan B.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,215 ✭✭✭✭briany


    Russia's cultural vision of masculinity is reminiscent of some insecure 16 year old.

    "I'll just sit out here in near freezing temperatures, smoking non-filtered, wearing no shirt and lifting these rusty weights I found in a shed. No one will ever dare suggest I'm gay after this!"



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 91 ✭✭castor 1


    I feel that Putin's inner circle, might retire him out to pasture and present it to the World as he being in ill health.

    The likes of Peskov, Lavrov and Abramovich might offer an olive branch to the West, agreeing to withdraw from the four regions but insisting on clinging on to Crimea and then selling it in Russia as the only way to end an unwinnable war with NATO.

    I see this as the only way that the Russian ruling 'mafia' can be sure to hold on to their power. They are all cronies of Putin and have been hand picked by him for the last 20 years. If they can't negotiate/manage a way out of this debacle, they are likely to eventually be ousted by the army and the people.

    Those around him calling for escalation are only spoofers and are attempting to frighten the West and to impress Putin.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,760 ✭✭✭Pa ElGrande


    Neither did the Ukrainians, who had to do rapid mobilisation in February this year, with training given in NATO countries like Poland and the UK. They only have to get organised to bring their numbers into play in a meat grinder against the Ukrainians. Give it maybe 3 months for the Winter war to start in earnest.

    The equipment only has to be good enough to complete the task. Ukraine has run down their equipment too and pulling from the scrap heap, they are asking NATO for Leopard and Abrams tanks. The barrels on artillery and tanks are only good for so many rounds before they must be replaced.

    Net Zero means we are paying for the destruction of our economy and society in pursuit of an unachievable and pointless policy.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,798 ✭✭✭✭DrumSteve


    They ratified the annexation today.

    So game on now.



  • Posts: 3,773 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Yeah agreed - and never, under any circumstances, smile or laugh or be anything other than super serious. That's how REAL men behave.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,458 ✭✭✭✭gandalf


    The problem is the Russians didn't get punished for starting WW2 in conjunction with the Germans.

    They played the victim card because they got attacked in 1941 and the carving up of Poland in 1939, the invasion of Latvia, Lithuania and Estonia in 1940 was forgotten and they were allowed to ferment this Russian martyr myth.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    All guns barrels eventually need replacing whether it be a carbine to 155 artillery they have a shelf life and will eventually fail if not properly maintained, ukraine currently has more tanks, artillery, armor and aircraft than they had months ago and still increasing on a weekly basis, leopards and Abrams won't make much of difference, unless you have them in large numbers along with the techs maintaining them along with the spare parts to keep them running.



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  • Posts: 10,049 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Don’t think you quite get how the bond market works now do you?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,215 ✭✭✭✭briany


    I don't understand how the guy(s) behind 1420 haven't accidentally fallen through a 12th storey window while coming back from the shop, but here is the latest video asking some more rural Russians their opinion on the mobilisation.

    Looks like the Russian version of things is taking a bit better in these types of places.



  • Posts: 13,753 ✭✭✭✭ Marie Strong Pocketful


    That is a ridiculous interpretation.

    It's like saying why didn't the Iraq veterans abandon ship.

    Muhammad Ali was banned from boxing for not going to Vietnam.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,525 ✭✭✭RedXIV


    Interesting thought now, there's been a number of discussions about how things may play out if internal politics decides to remove Putin...but what happens if he gets assassinated?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,568 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    Nope there is absolutely nothing to suggest that Russia have the capabilities of a massive offensive from the North and South.

    If anything it is the complete opposite, pillaging the villages for conscripts are at best for consolidation, the are not offensive trained or capable combat troops.

    One of the main problems facing Ukraine in the next couple of months is what they will do with the 10s of 1000s of Russian POWs, a logistical nightmare, they will probably need help with.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,051 ✭✭✭jmreire


    Yes, when Putin is ousted or when his military is destroyed beyond repair, and it won't matter who replaces him. Russia will be a toothless tiger. He or his replacement will not be threatening anyone.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    Nobody on here, with the exception of 1/2 posters maybe able to answer who have knowledge of Russian politics,

    Putin gets whacked tomorrow nothing changes in Ukraine,the current occupation force won't leave and whoever takes over putin will stay the course what ever that may be



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    Screenshot_20221004-145626_Chrome.jpg

    It looks like beryslav is next destination for the Ukrainan army, which is only across the river from the Nova Kakhovka hydroelectric dam and power station, which is strategic to Kherson and Crimea Nova Kakhovka falls the water gets turned off to Crimea



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,568 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    Putin gets whacked tomorrow nothing changes in Ukraine,the current occupation force won't leave and whoever takes over putin will stay the course what ever that may be

    I wouldn't say that is absolute, it would be quite stupid not to use it as an off ram to get themselves out of this unwinnable pickle.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,395 ✭✭✭✭Furze99


    Cowardly feckers and should not be allowed into any EU country. Send them back pronto to face up to their masters. We don't need that sort of poison here.



This discussion has been closed.
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