Nobody on here, with the exception of 1/2 posters maybe able to answer who have knowledge of Russian politics,
Putin gets whacked tomorrow nothing changes in Ukraine,the current occupation force won't leave and whoever takes over putin will stay the course what ever that may be
Yes, when Putin is ousted or when his military is destroyed beyond repair, and it won't matter who replaces him. Russia will be a toothless tiger. He or his replacement will not be threatening anyone.
Nope there is absolutely nothing to suggest that Russia have the capabilities of a massive offensive from the North and South.
If anything it is the complete opposite, pillaging the villages for conscripts are at best for consolidation, the are not offensive trained or capable combat troops.
One of the main problems facing Ukraine in the next couple of months is what they will do with the 10s of 1000s of Russian POWs, a logistical nightmare, they will probably need help with.
Interesting thought now, there's been a number of discussions about how things may play out if internal politics decides to remove Putin...but what happens if he gets assassinated?
That is a ridiculous interpretation.
It's like saying why didn't the Iraq veterans abandon ship.
Muhammad Ali was banned from boxing for not going to Vietnam.
I don't understand how the guy(s) behind 1420 haven't accidentally fallen through a 12th storey window while coming back from the shop, but here is the latest video asking some more rural Russians their opinion on the mobilisation.
Looks like the Russian version of things is taking a bit better in these types of places.
Don’t think you quite get how the bond market works now do you?
All guns barrels eventually need replacing whether it be a carbine to 155 artillery they have a shelf life and will eventually fail if not properly maintained, ukraine currently has more tanks, artillery, armor and aircraft than they had months ago and still increasing on a weekly basis, leopards and Abrams won't make much of difference, unless you have them in large numbers along with the techs maintaining them along with the spare parts to keep them running.
The problem is the Russians didn't get punished for starting WW2 in conjunction with the Germans.
They played the victim card because they got attacked in 1941 and the carving up of Poland in 1939, the invasion of Latvia, Lithuania and Estonia in 1940 was forgotten and they were allowed to ferment this Russian martyr myth.
Yeah agreed - and never, under any circumstances, smile or laugh or be anything other than super serious. That's how REAL men behave.
They ratified the annexation today.
So game on now.
Neither did the Ukrainians, who had to do rapid mobilisation in February this year, with training given in NATO countries like Poland and the UK. They only have to get organised to bring their numbers into play in a meat grinder against the Ukrainians. Give it maybe 3 months for the Winter war to start in earnest.
The equipment only has to be good enough to complete the task. Ukraine has run down their equipment too and pulling from the scrap heap, they are asking NATO for Leopard and Abrams tanks. The barrels on artillery and tanks are only good for so many rounds before they must be replaced.
I feel that Putin's inner circle, might retire him out to pasture and present it to the World as he being in ill health.
The likes of Peskov, Lavrov and Abramovich might offer an olive branch to the West, agreeing to withdraw from the four regions but insisting on clinging on to Crimea and then selling it in Russia as the only way to end an unwinnable war with NATO.
I see this as the only way that the Russian ruling 'mafia' can be sure to hold on to their power. They are all cronies of Putin and have been hand picked by him for the last 20 years. If they can't negotiate/manage a way out of this debacle, they are likely to eventually be ousted by the army and the people.
Those around him calling for escalation are only spoofers and are attempting to frighten the West and to impress Putin.
Russia's cultural vision of masculinity is reminiscent of some insecure 16 year old.
"I'll just sit out here in near freezing temperatures, smoking non-filtered, wearing no shirt and lifting these rusty weights I found in a shed. No one will ever dare suggest I'm gay after this!"
I'm actually embarrassed for the Russian military at how they are being pushed back. Even allowing for the donations in weapons, the Ukrainian army still need to use them wisely and be tactically smart. It gives me hope in the power of democracy and meritocracy.
Remember a few months ago the contrast between the US military promotional ad featuring a feminist daughter of two lesbians, versus the masculine Russia army advert? At the time I believed I was looking at a declining empire versus an emerging power ready to flex its muscles. Now though Russia just remind me of a bully who when someone stands up to them they have no plan B.
I wouldn't be all sure the war will still be underway next March-April. This scenario assumes that Putin is safe in Moscow, but this might not be a given. I suspect something could happen politically before Ukraine has driven Russia completely out of the occupied territories (it would surely be evident to everyone in Russia at this point that the war had been long since lost).
Ruskies will freeze to death, this will be the first time in history when the cold weather is against them.
Nobody actually knows what going or who's behind the scenes saying and pushing for ,
Hawks a buzz word used across all of the American threads since the 90s oh the hawks are doing this ,the hawks are demanding that, Putin is a decent leader but the hawks made him do this ,
What's next the 5th column.
Some can't get the basics right never mind knowing whats happening in Moscow
Perhaps, but I just can't see a people's revolution happening. I think the screws are too tight for that to happen.
And I can't see how enlightened members of the inner circle could organize a change of leader and policy. They could, annouce that Putin had reached a point where his obsessive imperial fantasies were leading the country to destruction, but how do they reverse the current Ukraine/West doctrine, which has Russians thinking today it's Lyman, tomorrow its Moscow. It's very hard to see someone in the Kremlin saying "Russia is embarking on a new chapter in relations with its neighbour, in the spirit of peace and friendship". I just can't see how the Kremlin can get out of this trap of expanionism they have made for themselves. It's a conundrum.
Some things:
The last sentence is classic Kremlin 😂😂
So? If not him, it would've been others (and your article does name some other investors.) Looks like Bill emptied the cookie jar to buy those bonds, under $100m, he can probably find it in the sofa cushions.
@Pa ElGrande
After the current Ukrainian push, There will probably be a lull, followed by the Winter war when the ground is frozen and movement is possible. Probably the Russians will reopen the northern front, they are also gathering men and materials in Crimea so either a push to Zaparozhia or else finish off Donbass. If they can hold the west bank in Kherson over the Winter, that opens the possibility for a push to Nikolayev next year and on to their goal of Odessa. Whether that becomes a reality is another question.
Ukraine will be able to use a Winter rest period as well as the Russians can, only Ukraine will be getting more NATO weaponry and time to fortify what lines they think need fortifying. The Russians, on the other hand, will have to do an impromptu episode of Scrapheap Challenge.
Morale is not low for people who have not been stuck on the frontlines for several months and the expectation is they do their patriotic duty.
Where are all these high morale combat ready Russian soldiers?
We haven't had anything about washing machines in a while so here you go:
To protect his stolen washing machine until he can get it safely back to the nest, where his mate waits patiently with her brood of little Orcs, the male Orc cleverly fashions a shipping crate from ammunition boxes.
The Moscow ring road would make a good perimeter. 😁
Interviewer: The first bus with men are leaving, what do you think?'
Man on street: They are going to fight for the motherland, I'd say even for Stalin.
Interviewer: 'Who are we protecting the country form?'
Man on street: I don't know...
That's as bad as the kill "orcs", that pervades this thread. No wonder the Russian government pulls most of its mobilisation from outside the main cities. Bear in mind there is a public answer and a private answer and most people know what answer to give in public. Morale is not low for people who have not been stuck on the frontlines for several months and the expectation is they do their patriotic duty.
The combination official declaration of annexation and blowing up of the pipelines means the sides involved (Russia, Ukraine and NATO) have drawn their demarcation lines. I have a contact currently stationed in Romania who expects to be on the ground in Ukraine next year as part of a NATO force and are preparing with that in mind. Whether than happens is another question. A lot of mobilistion and concentration of forces happening in the Russian oblasts (Kursk,Belgorod and Vononezh) surrounding the Ukraine border. Regrettably this war is far from over.
They reproach me here that I drive people into depression with my news. Say, you need a positive. Well, the time is such, there will be no good news in the near future. Neither from the Kherson front, nor from now Lugansk.
In many of our sectors, let's say, fatigue has set in after a long offensive period, during which large territories were liberated. But there is no longer any strength left to hold them.
Why is that? Because there are not enough people. Although, for sure, in the “staff” everything looked different. These slaps in the face were needed so that everyone would understand how it really is. After that, they announced a partial mobilization.
The enemy, on the other hand, brings prepared reserves into battle, realizes an advantage in both manpower and intelligence. The time they spent retreating and on the defensive, Kyiv used to prepare new combat-ready formations.
You can sprinkle ashes on your head and tear your chest hair with a cry of “Everything is lost!” But now we need to do the same thing - to prepare people to dilute the bloodless units with them. Solve interaction and communication problems. Set up rears.
We drove now from Kremennaya to Svatovo. I don’t see panic, hatred either. The men are preparing for heavy battles for the territory of the Russian Federation. Which we have to win back when the operational crisis of the NWO is overcome.
No longer any strength!
While it was said that Russia's military comprised a million people, Russia's special counter-protest police number over two million. Russia is likely like China in spending considerably more to protect the ruling elite from the people than it does on protecting the country from external threats. Both countries could be viewed in essence as vast prison camps.
TOKYO, Oct 4 (Reuters) - Japan ordered a Russian consul in Sapporo to leave the country by October 10 in retaliation for the expulsion of a Japanese consul in Vladivostok last month, the foreign ministry said on Tuesday.
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