Advertisement
If you have a new account but are having problems posting or verifying your account, please email us on [email protected] for help. Thanks :)
Hello all! Please ensure that you are posting a new thread or question in the appropriate forum. The Feedback forum is overwhelmed with questions that are having to be moved elsewhere. If you need help to verify your account contact [email protected]

Charts ( Up to T120 ) Autumn 2022 ** READ MOD NOTE IN FIRST POST**

  • 31-08-2022 7:38pm
    #1
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,519 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Over the weekend into next week will certainly draw a line between Summer and Autumn, temperatures dropping back with some cool nights, plentiful rain, windy at times and thunderstorms a possibility with possible hail . The charts are still evolving, would definitely call it a complex area of LP with some short waves developing into smaller deeper areas of LP that could bring strong winds with sharper gradients and more pronounced fronts giving thunderstorm potential. The Jet is a factor being close or over Ireland at times .Upper low a lot colder then we have seen for a number of months and given that the seas are at their warmest a lot of instability in the atmosphere is possible giving some very heavy local rain potential. Could see some warnings over the weekend into next week.






«13

Comments

  • Registered Users Posts: 6,649 ✭✭✭pauldry


    Yes Autumn begins Friday more especially into Friday evening so by this time next week a lot of places will have seen strong winds and rainfall totalling 100mm. The drought will be gone.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,519 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    ECM more in line now with the other models keeping the strong winds more to the East of the country from early Sun, not too strong at this stage but models still have a bit to go to putting a finishing look on this.




  • Registered Users Posts: 6,971 ✭✭✭pad199207


    Status Yellow - Rain warning for Ireland

    Met Éireann Weather Warning

    High rainfall amounts this weekend may cause disruption.

    Valid: 21:00 Saturday 03/09/2022 to 12:00 Sunday 04/09/2022

    Issued: 08:39 Friday 02/09/2022



  • Advertisement
  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,519 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    A general emphasis on the Eastern half of the country for the heaviest rainfall totals over the next 24hrs but could get some locally heavy rain anywhere if caught under a convective burst. The NE shows up as getting some high totals. Heaviest of the rain in the early hours of Sun morning possibly accompanied with embedded thunderstorms, in general adrier day Sunday until another band of heavy rain with potential thunderstorms moves up over the country Sun evening and into early Mon morning.




  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,519 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Potential accumulations up until after the Sun night rain band goes through,and second chart up until later Monday.




  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,519 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Guidance is quite divided even at this stage to the timing and strength for winds today and overnight into Sunday, models giving the small system moving up through th country slightly different tracks and depth. Could get a bit blustery along the East today but into the early morning sees the strongest winds in the SE, E and Northern counties .

    At this stage just a Gale sea warning along the SE. E, N, NE

    Small Craft warning from Slyne Head to Belfast Lough to Dungarvan

    East to southeast winds will reach force 6 or higher at times on Irish coasts from Slyne Head to Belfast Lough to Dungarvan.

    Valid: 04:36 Saturday 03/09/2022 to 10:00 Sunday 04/09/2022

    Issued: 04:36 Saturday 03/09/2022







  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,519 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    The status Orange Rainfall warning corresponding most with the ECM predictions.




  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users Posts: 15,098 ✭✭✭✭Supercell


    Danielle seems to be tracking in our direction, cant find the forecast path, is this a threat here?



    Have a weather station?, why not join the Ireland Weather Network - http://irelandweather.eu/



  • Registered Users Posts: 195 ✭✭CirrusBusiness


    Danielle currently looks like tracking our way and along our SW, then south coast, filling quickly on approach. There probably won't be much left of it by the time it gets to our SW (fingers crossed). MT will probably have a better update as Danielle's track and strength come into a more reliable timeframe.



  • Registered Users Posts: 13,060 ✭✭✭✭fits


    Have planned a final camping trip for next weekend so will be watching this closely.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,519 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58



    Some of the model predictions for 24 hr rainfall into Mon am, predictions have shifted a bit away from Kerry, big difference between N and S Kerry it would seem.






  • Registered Users Posts: 8,913 ✭✭✭Danno


    Looks rather chilly by night over this coming weekend for south central and mid-west and parts of the inland west.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,519 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    So a drier day tomorrow with light winds, approaching LP well off our NW sending frontal rain bands with strong winds from late Thurs night/ early Friday morning clearing the East in the afternoon, some heavy rainfall expected by the models more so in the W and NW . Maybe some thunderstorm activity in the NW.

    Temps Fri generally highs of 15 to 16C









  • Advertisement
  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,519 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Well that run above from the ECM was certainly an outlier, only minor rainfall showing up for Southern counties overnight.

    Overall a dry calm day for most tomorrow getting up to 15 or 16C and then on to Monday where it gets windy along Atlantic coasts and breezy to blustery in places overland into Tuesday. Rainfall totals building up in the W and NW with the W, NW under rainfall for much of Mon before bands of rain spread across the country from early Tues from W to E and later more rain spreading up from the SW /S into Weds.




    Mild and humid for most Mon and Tues getting up to 18C or so in places before falling back on Weds.





  • Advertisement
Advertisement