Advertisement
If you have a new account but are having problems posting or verifying your account, please email us on hello@boards.ie for help. Thanks :)
Hello all! Please ensure that you are posting a new thread or question in the appropriate forum. The Feedback forum is overwhelmed with questions that are having to be moved elsewhere. If you need help to verify your account contact hello@boards.ie

Irish Property Market chat II - *read mod note post #1 before posting*

1384385387389390915

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,619 ✭✭✭Timing belt


    You have no idea of my personal circumstances nor do I of yours. I am just pointing out that a downturn doesn’t impact everyone the same way and if MNC’s lost jobs it would also be felt by people not working In Them. Whether it be increase in tax or a slow down at work



  • Posts: 14,769 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Surely the rise in property prices is also linked in no small part to the increasing number of well paying jobs in Ireland and full employment. Housing has synced to the point that those that are well paid can obviously buy more expensive houses. There may well be a growing disparity between the tech/pharma pay and other jobs, which allows them more buying power, but I don’t think eradicating those jobs is going to make life easier for you.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,909 ✭✭✭Villa05


    Which was the point of the original article, when developers are stopping, Gov be ready with shovel ready projects when builders are idle

    It's also important to understand why projects are potentially put on hold. Cian o Callaghan explains it well below on Pat Kenny

    Basically lobbyists are campaigning for lower standards on the promise of cheaper housing, then developers are submitting planning with more units, they then flip the land at a much higher price resulting in lower standards leading to higher prices.

    All the main lobbyists are former ffg politicians for developers, banks, investment funds and landowners

    It's also notable that raw materials have collapsed in price over the past 4 to 6 weeks in anticipation of recession




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,909 ✭✭✭Villa05


    When it's conservatively only the top 30% that can afford to buy and the remainder are pushed into the much more expensive rental sector, the market is broken and a parasite on the economy



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,388 ✭✭✭✭Bass Reeves


    And how do you intend to regulate house prices. Who decides what is a fair price. Not all houses that are sold are build, you have houses in different conditions for sale, some need as much or more than what they are paid for in upgrades

    If tomorrow morning we decided that there was a housing agency that would decide on a maximum price for all houses. What would happen. Money would be handed under the table and only benefit those that had money left over after the deposit.

    At present on one off houses there is massive resistance to present building costs. I know of houses that have come to a full stop at wallpaper level. Houses with windows installed and have come to a complete stop. A plumber said he had 10 houses where the preliminary pipe work was complete and the building have stopped. Similar I have heard of electricians who have multiple houses chased and the complete job has stopped.

    Unfortunately our build costs due to regulation, energy rating and size in many cases have become unaffordable. Materials have escalated in price exponentially. Some of this is due to supply, some due to increased supplier margin. Labour has increased exponentially as well.

    Twenty years ago planning and development costs were about 2-3k for a one off houses. Now it's nearer 15k. And you chance of getting planning is 20-40% less. The real cost when everything is factored in is nearer 25k

    Slava Ukrainii



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,839 ✭✭✭mcsean2163


    If you are approaching 40, working in a good job but unable to afford to move out of your parents home or if you are working married with kids, renting and about to be evicted into homelessness what does it matter how the MNC sector is doing?

    It's probably better for people in those situations if the government defaults on its debt obligations and MNCs exit. The resulting emigration might mean that the dispossessed get a stake in society.

    I know people in those situations. They haven't given up and are fighting to exist but realistically, an economic collapse would probably be hugely in their favour. That's the society we live in and the issue drogon is highlighting I think.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,959 ✭✭✭✭Cyrus


    its fair to say the estate agents involved should have a decent handle on prices in galway, its also fair to say that someone looking to build something similar, if they could get planning wont have much change from the asking price. Be interesting to see what they go for, they do seem toppy but i have given up being surprised at the prices paid (for new builds especially).



  • Posts: 14,769 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    That makes absolutely no sense.

    Full employment and high paying jobs in the market are what economies strive for, the fact that house building has not kept pace can hardly be described as parasitic.



  • Posts: 14,769 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    So they want the Government to default, accept the implications that would have on our economy, other people to lose their jobs and emigrate, so that they can afford a house?

    Why don’t they emigrate instead?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 132 ✭✭AySeeDoubleYeh


    What happens if all the under 40s emigrate, Dave?



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,612 ✭✭✭fliball123


    Well just anecdotal but the club I play ball with has seen 4 lads leaving for Canada, US and 2 to Oz in the last month, this has not happened for years mainly due to covid, 3 out of the 4 have said they don't intend on coming back either.



  • Posts: 14,769 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Twas ever thus, people emigrate if they can’t get what they want here.



  • Posts: 12,836 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    I fail to see the logic in people leaving due to the Irish housing crisis and moving to...Australia or Canada



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,612 ✭✭✭fliball123


    Well could it be that they might be able to afford to buy a house in the future in a different country, I dont know just saying what I see on the ground and wondering if anyone else is seeing a similar pattern.A agree with Dav people always head off for the year or so but its the first time I heard lads saying they wont be back.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 132 ✭✭AySeeDoubleYeh


    Agreed, but I also know people who have done this, specifically to Canada. And while I wouldn't move to those countries myself, what reason do people have to stay here?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,839 ✭✭✭mcsean2163


    Sounds like something the British said to the Irish in Leinster 😂😂

    Maybe James Larkin should have just emigrated. You must be having a laugh.

    Why do you think people should just accept being forced out of their country?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,085 ✭✭✭Jonnyc135


    Coal mines in Aus booming at the minute with General operatives getting 150,000 Aus dollars basic pay. Few buddies I know gone put there crazy how things go there were nearly winding them down a few years ago now putin tightening the gas has meant more coal power stations back in use



  • Posts: 14,769 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Your path to owning a house isn’t being hindered by a colonial power, it is by your fellow countrymen and women who can afford to pay more for a limited resource. And before you equate foreign investment funds with invading Brits, I think I am right in saying the State is the largest purchaser of property in this country, the amount bought by VF is much less than domestic buyers.

    If you can’t have the life you want where you want it, broaden your search, you won’t be the first, nor the last to do so.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,929 ✭✭✭yagan


    The only problem with laissez faire model is that it breaks down trust in the democratic system, and then you get a protectionist groundswell.



  • Advertisement
  • Posts: 14,769 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Do you mean a laissez faire approach to the housing market, or to Governing in general? I don’t think anyone can accuse this Government of having a laissez faire approach to property/rental market, if anything their autocratic approach has made the situation far worse as a result of the legislation/subsidies introduced without consideration of what affects it would have, and those it will affect,



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,839 ✭✭✭mcsean2163


    Didn't work out well for the French.

    I'm assuming when you say, "If you can’t have the life you want where you want it, broaden your search, you won’t be the first, nor the last to do so", you're not addressing me personally (as we have a house) but rather the general public.

    Would be interesting to see how your points fare with the various homeless families if the situation worsens. Families that may have elderly parents requiring support, deep roots in communities, children doing exams, parents too old to get an international work visa or families that just don't want to forced out of their own country.

    I suggest you go down to the working families currently being evicted and tell them your great ideas and report back to us here.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,909 ✭✭✭Villa05


    Eliminate all policies that increase price and push up land prices

    Copy and paste Northern Ireland's independent low cost regulation model

    Introduce a tax that covers the environmental and energy benefits of new homes. The tax would be based on the increasing savings of such technologies. The tax will be no greater than the benefit in financial terms and tied to the home. In effect 0 cost max energy rating.

    Introduction of such measures may put us on track for a median income couple to be able to afford there own home in most areas.

    For people under this income threshold, state build on state land for affordable rent prioritising working couples. The trickle down effect of increased supply eventually benefits all and for the state housing becomes a revenue stream rather than a yearly escalating cost



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,929 ✭✭✭yagan


    I do think it laissez faire when they fail to stop rent farming funds outbid home makers. Plus they actually made it worse by joining in the bidding too, so effectively first time buyers compete against international and domestic funds, and against their own government that taxes them. That would make it worse than laissez faire, we just haven't coined the term to describe it.



  • Posts: 14,769 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    I think you should take the time to look up all legislation/Government intervention in the property/rental sectors, you could be the only person who thinks the Government’s approach is “laissez faire”.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,929 ✭✭✭yagan


    Rent funds are still buying whole estates. Nothing is stopping them.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,909 ✭✭✭Villa05


    A number of posters asked why young people would leave for Canada/Aus/New Zealand to escape High housing costs in Ireland. The answer may well be in the recently completed construction defects report

    The state systems facilitate cowboy builders to build rubbish/firetraps through the use of shell companies. The shell companies are dissolved on completion of the project and the developers are held unaccountable for any defects

    Not only are they unaccountable, but serial offenders continue to operate today, many are "reputable" members of the Construction Industry Federation which through there ex ffgpd politician leader lobby the government for favourable conditions that benefit their industry

    The investigative panel attempted to find other redress schemes across the world that they could model ours on, however they could find none. This is guaranteed Irish problem

    Who would make the biggest purchase of their lives in such a market? Knowingly flouting fire regulations should be classed as mass attempted murder and be a criminal offence. Operators on medical device assembly lines are criminally liable for poor work




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,853 ✭✭✭quokula


    image.png

    Had my eye on an upcoming development for a while based on floor plans and location. They've just released some renders of the houses and is it just me or do they look unfinished? I wonder if the cost of materials has made them skimp on brickwork to keep costs to original estimates, or is this just the style these days? I think they look dreadful.

    These are large houses in a fairly desirable area so they won't be cheap when they go up for sale.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,839 ✭✭✭mcsean2163


    On 10-Sept-2021 there were 12,509 properties for sale on myhome. On 22 Jan 2022 there were 10711.


    AFAIK, today is the first time 15,000 has been breeched. Seems to be trending in the right direction.



  • Advertisement
  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Computer Games Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 8,685 CMod ✭✭✭✭Sierra Oscar


    Do you have any figures for what they were pre-pandemic?



Advertisement