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Ukraine (Mod Note & Threadbanned Users in OP)

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Comments

  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 20,361 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    Ukraine won the Eurovision last night by getting 67% of the maximum possible that they would have got if every jury and every peoples vote gave the 12 points. I think that says a lot about the standard of their song and the European support for the Ukrainian people.

    I hope they get to host the contest next year. We managed to host it in a horse shed in Milltown in 1993, and even won it that year with 'In your eyes', and the next year in the RDS with 'Rock and roll kids'. Oh, those were the days.

    Hope Ukraine does the same.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Entertainment Moderators Posts: 36,711 CMod ✭✭✭✭pixelburp


    The huffing and puffing from some on Boards about the "politicisation" of Eurovision has been eye-rollingly hilarious to read. Too many Edge Lords abound trying to play the neutral, intellectual superior.

    Apparently Russia are being turfed out of it next year.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 20,361 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    'Apparently Russia are being turfed out of it next year.'

    I presume 'IT' refers to Eurovision Song Contest rather than the Ukraine - but perhaps both.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Entertainment Moderators Posts: 36,711 CMod ✭✭✭✭pixelburp


    Yeah, the Eurovision but indeed the idea of Russia sent packing back to their border would be great. If Ukraine reclaimed Crimea it'd be one for the (military) history books.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 20,361 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    Well, a few more capital ship losses like the flagship Muskva might cause the Russians to rethink Crimea, and indeed Ukraine.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,065 ✭✭✭✭Danzy


    Turkey is obviously going down the toilet at the moment. An economic dog house.


    It's on the edge of Europe.


    A country that size with the dire economic problems it has,is going to be a concern.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Entertainment Moderators Posts: 36,711 CMod ✭✭✭✭pixelburp


    Well the Ukrainian head of military intelligence seems to think Crimea is on the cards, so maybe this thing is there for the taking. I wonder is he simply assuming that EU/US support continues, and russian morale and tactics stubbornly stick to it, victory might be a question of when, not if. And not like you can just change an entire army's logistical structuring midwar. The officer also claimed wheels are already turning against Putin internally so ther was a degree of wishful thinking to the whole interview



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,405 ✭✭✭✭TheValeyard


    Two months ago Ukraine just surviving would have been remarkable. Now, Crimea is definitely on the table.

    How things have turned around is remarkable.

    All eyes on Kursk. Slava Ukraini.



  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 94,878 Mod ✭✭✭✭Capt'n Midnight


    Turkey is inside the EU customs union for most industrial products but many agricultural, marine, coal and steel products must have proof of origin to qualify for preference. EU accounts for 41% of Turkey's exports. The balance of trade is nearly equal with nearly €80Bn in each direction.

    You could argue that the EU strategy was to do the same with Russia. Trade enough to make peace the only option.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,367 ✭✭✭paul71




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  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Entertainment Moderators Posts: 36,711 CMod ✭✭✭✭pixelburp


    At the risk of being a backseat moderator, maybe we all move on from Turkey and the self-confessed bored troll trying to boost their country for some inane reason.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,978 ✭✭✭growleaves


    I don't agree re the standard of the song itself.

    It starts off like an ethnic folk song then it breaks out into rapid-fire rapping (which no English-only speaking person can understand the lyrics to).

    Fair enough to anyone who likes this unusual folk-rap fusion song but I don't think the voting proves it's a strong piece of music. It just proves that the voters like it, or claim to.

    In fairness odd songs make the Eurovision a fun event in the first place.

    Post edited by growleaves on


  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Entertainment Moderators Posts: 36,711 CMod ✭✭✭✭pixelburp


    Not sure how good their info is, but the British Ministry of Intelligence is speculating that Russia might have lost a third of its overall invasion force. If true, that's an incredible loss. Doesn't say what the original force totalled mind you. Does seem like the momentum is increasingly swinging towards Ukraine that humiliation might just be on the cards for the Red Army




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 116 ✭✭Charrychar


    Fun fact: The Ukraine army now issues the IRA green book from the 70s, 80s and 90s to all soldiers and new recruits.

    The green book was an IRA induction manual setting out code of conduct as well as guerilla and psychological warfare tactics.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Arts Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 18,505 CMod ✭✭✭✭Nody



    I'd argue the red army is already humiliated; at this point it's a question of how far will Russia allow Ukraine to go (i.e. digging out Russians is a whole different game compared to repelling and pushing back a disillusioned invading army as among others the Nazis got to learn the hard way). Personally I'd guess old borders pre-invasion or at best old borders minus Crimea (rental deal or similar) is the best Ukraine can hope to achieve because I can't see Russia ever giving up their navy base at Crimea. Then again; it's a question of getting a leader who's competent enough to realize the invasion has failed and allowing them to switch to defense instead to make that happen which is the $50k question.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,202 ✭✭✭amandstu


    Can Ukraine feel safe while Russia holds on to any of its illegal gains?


    But Ukraine is dependent on other countries for support if it cannot join Nato and those countries will press for a negotiated settlement I would have thought

    .

    So Ukraine will have to settle for less than it deserves ?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,986 ✭✭✭ambro25


    And just like that too, the Finnish and Swedish NATO accession issue was resolved 😉




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,982 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe



    Ukrainian intelligence obtained Ru officers telegram chat in the early stages of the war (someone has translated it on twitter), incredible insight into the chaos




  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Entertainment Moderators Posts: 36,711 CMod ✭✭✭✭pixelburp


    Tangential, and very trivial in the grand scheme of things*, but McDonald's announced it was permanently closing all 850 branches in Russia; the units being sold up.

    * In context of Ukraine it's irrelevant, but one wonders might this only embolden and further the local narrative of Russia Vs the West.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,492 ✭✭✭McGiver


    You got my point of criticism. They aren't doing enough. It's all wishy-washy. And the little that was done was done only after the US, UK and CEE countries exerted serious pressure on the German leadership.

    Scholz is talking nonsense - and had to be corrected by experts on Russia yet again

    Anders Åslund is right here:

    And here:

    Macron ain't much better though - the Estonian PM is very clear in what "calling Putin achieves" exactly with Russia (and especially Putin)

    I listened podcasts with her in January and early February and she predicted exactly what would happen in February and onwards, so far everything she said about Putin and Russia turned out to be correct and very accurate reading of the situation. Western European politicians completely failed at reading the situation correctly and have no experience with crisis management and dealing with a dictatorship regime of this type. Many are still out of touch and paralysed (Scholz, Macron, Nehammer, Draghi at the least).

    Again, Anders Åslund is right here:

    https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrainealert/western-advocates-of-appeasement-need-a-crash-course-in-putinology/



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,327 ✭✭✭fly_agaric


    ^^What do you see that indicates that Macron and Scholz are busy working hard to finalise some Munich type peace deal that betrays Ukraine and hands a chunk of it that is currently occupied to Putin as a "win", or that they can even do that. How would they do it exactly...?

    I mean if Putin suggests something he might be amenable to to end the war in one of those hated calls with "Quisling/Weak" Macron (or with likes of Erdogan), he and/or Russian govt. negotiators are going to have to sit down with Ukraine's leader and/or his own negotiators and sort it out aren't they?

    The article names "Western audiences" (we've had plenty of them posting that Ukraine should surrender on the thread) and Western politicians and commentators rather than Scholz and Macron (and by extension French/German govts.) specifically too.

    One of the replies to that tweet is:

    "At some point, maybe this stupid stuff is only Russian propaganda, everyone calls him to ask him to surrender. So sowing discord between the EU and Ukraine is useful and even necessary." Sounds apt IMO.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20 Howok


    Everyone,pray for Ukraine



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    They don't need prayers .


    They have St Javelin in their hearts



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,902 ✭✭✭beggars_bush




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,106 ✭✭✭Christy42


    We will invade if you join NATO!

    ...

    Actually we never cared anyway.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,492 ✭✭✭McGiver


    @fly_agaric

    I mean if Putin suggests something he might be amenable to to end the war in one of those hated calls with "Quisling/Weak" Macron (or with likes of Erdogan), he and/or Russian govt. negotiators are going to have to sit down with Ukraine's leader and/or his own negotiators and sort it out aren't they?

    This is the point which is naive and simply incorrect. This is the core issue of the misguided Scholz/Macron/Nehammer policy and largely of the popular opinion in the Western Europe (not Northern, Central or Eastern).

    Putin doesn't negotiate, you don't negotiate with dictators of this sort and especially Kremlin on steroids, the current regime. Pointless, waste of time, sign of weakness to Putin, to Kremlin, actually makes them feel superior and embolden them in continuing what they are doing and they also use it to boost their propaganda. It's just embarrassing to "the West" (global democratic alliance) and completely counterproductive. Better focus on sending gear to Ukraine, pursuing international war tribunal in The Hague and drafting war reparation scheme in the meantime.

    We don't negotiate, we completely deafeat them, then they either come to negotiate with us or we invite them only then. That's what the Estonian PM means. Kind of similar to end of WW2 German and Japanese surrender situation.

    A good example is the First Chechen War, it was Kremlin who came to negotiate:

    Despite Russia's overwhelming advantages in firepowermanpower, weaponry, artillerycombat vehiclesairstrikes and air support, the resulting widespread demoralization of federal forces and the almost universal opposition of the Russian public to the conflict led Boris Yeltsin's government to declare a ceasefire with the Chechens in 1996, and finally a peace treaty in 1997.

    You simply don't negotiate with these sort of people. The disgusting kleptocratic imperialistic regime must be brought to its knees, then we might talk (read - they accept our/Ukrainian conditions)...



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,492 ✭✭✭McGiver


    Finland and Sweden have submitted their applications to NATO 🇸🇪🇫🇮📄

    NATO 2, Russia 0.



  • Posts: 5,917 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Do you think Turkey will back down on their refusal to allow them join?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,339 ✭✭✭✭StringerBell


    Ultimately yes, but it is going to cause a delay to get past that first phase alright.

    "People say ‘go with the flow’ but do you know what goes with the flow? Dead fish."



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,492 ✭✭✭McGiver


    Very likely. Mr Biden et al will have a talk with Erdoğan if needed. Turkey can't really block anything. Finland and Sweden add significant manpower, and gear and strategic value to NATO (from defensive point of view obviously).

    Erdoğan is going to run in "elections" in a year so I'm pretty sure it's all about that. Plus he's in real danger of revolt or being overthrown (yes, he's sort of a mini-Putin) because of failed stupid monetary policy experiments causing inflation to rise to 70%! When high inflation kicked in, instead of increasing the interest rates the Turkish central Bank cut them leading to the 70%. It's as smart as using petrol to put out a fire instead of water...



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