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Russia - threadbanned users in OP

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 943 ✭✭✭Detritus70


    It's funny how these creatures always paint the west as some kind of Siberian Gulag where any dissenting opinion is suppressed but Russia is this wonderful paradise of freedom where milk and honey flows.

    Fully Automated Luxury Gay Space Communism



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,104 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    Subs are probably the single most complicated to operate military system. The time needed to train the crew would be in years. Also, one hit and your sunk. 8 cruise missiles can be dispersed and concealed in the same way they did with the Neptune launcher in Odessa.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,135 ✭✭✭✭tom1ie


    You want to give Ukraine nuclear missiles?

    Wow.

    That’s a fairly crazy suggestion tbh.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,337 ✭✭✭fly_agaric


    On pro Russia rallies:

    I think rallying to show support for an invasion, and possibly a fresh genocide being done in Europe yet again, is a bit...on the nose right now (putting it mildly).

    There's limits to freedom of speech. Seems like it is risk to public order + decency (that sounds old fashioned, but 🤷‍♀️) and should be shut down, possibly for participants' own health if we have 25-30 k or so Ukrainian refugees (fleeing the same war the "Z" fans would be celebrating) in Ireland now.

    Some of the "this is Ireland" (yes, and not the USA) and "we have freedom of speech here" notions strike me as idealistic and detached from reality. Hopefully nothing violent happens if pro war rallies take place.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,919 ✭✭✭ronivek


    While drones are clearly a huge benefit they're not able to make artillery fire (using standard shells at least) "pin point" accurate. Many of the videos we've seen are cut to show the hits or near misses; but often the much wider misses aren't shown. Note how in certain landscapes you can see dozens if not hundreds of randomly scattered craters; that's the reality of artillery accuracy.

    The really scary part is drones with laser/radio and/or GPS designators which can be used alongside guided shells. Those shells are general accurate to within metres of a target.

    It's not really clear to what extent Ukraine has had access to guided shells until now: but hopefully they're getting a bunch of them with the latest shipments from NATO. Also hopefully they're getting a bunch of advanced fuse types which they haven't seemed to have access to until now.

    Also the newer NATO artillery should in general be more accurate at longer ranges than most of the soviet stuff they've been using. So hopefully we'll get to see even more devastating artillery fire in future.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,467 ✭✭✭zv2


    It looks like history is starting up again.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,171 ✭✭✭TheRepentent


    He also suffers from "Parkinson's disease and schizoaffective disorder", which carries symptoms of schizophrenia including hallucinations and mania.


    fukking hell



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,043 ✭✭✭Polar101


    Of course there will be trouble if the 'Z' rallies happen. And then that kind of stuff will be used by the Kremlin as 'proof' about anti-Russian discrimination in the west.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,916 ✭✭✭eire4


    I totally get the point your making and have a lot of time for it. Personally however for me I would not ban the rally. I would though have arrested and prosecuted any person at said rally who displays the z symbol and or any other act or symbol which clearly shows their support for the genocide etc that Russia is perpetrating in Ukraine. Free speech does have limits.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,104 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    Absolutely. The lack of nuclear weapons is the root cause of this disaster.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,467 ✭✭✭zv2


    It looks like history is starting up again.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,135 ✭✭✭✭tom1ie


    Or nuclear weapons are the problem………….



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,337 ✭✭✭fly_agaric


    Also get your point on it. Just think myself that not only is it revolting (akin to a Nazi rally - I mean a real, live, full on Nazi rally, not just some far right types marching) but if this is being announced quite far in advance, there is potential for trouble. May not be ideologically sound as regards perfect freedom of speech, but perhaps better and safer in this case just to tell organisers it is not wanted here, and for the guards to be ready to disperse (or arrest if they won't go) those showing up to hold it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,062 ✭✭✭✭briany


    Speculation mounting that Putin will officially declare war on Ukraine soon (presumably May 9th?).

    How this would change things, I'm not sure, other than giving Putin licence to conscript every able-bodied Russian male and pile them into the Donbas. At the very least it might mean some of those cocky Russian Tiktokers would be unwillingly sent to the front and have to witness first hand what they've been supporting.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 665 ✭✭✭goldenmick



    What line of common sense can you offer that supports your view that an invading army that rapes, tortures, murders and displaces over 10 million people, can have their nuclear weapons pointed at all corners of the globe - yet a country such as Ukraine, subjected for months to the most barbaric of crimes against countless children and civilians, and fighting for its very existence, yet you think its a crazy suggestion for them to have a few nukes.

    I would think that if the threat were there, right on their doorstep, that if they don't get the hell out of Ukraine in 24 hours then Ukraine would obliterate Moscow and St.Petersburg, there's a reasonable chance of an end to the war. While Putin is allowed to carry on with his total destruction of Ukraine, with no fear of military reprisals on Russian territory, then there's none.

    If Putin can have nuclear weapons, and threaten to use them, then a country that has just been invaded by this madman is equally entitled to them.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,039 ✭✭✭jackboy


    It would mean extermination of the Russian population. What would untrained poorly equipped troops achieve in Ukraine beyond consuming Ukrainian ammunition. Surely a move will be made on Putin if he tries it, can’t be more risky than heading to Ukraine.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,441 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    Tom Clonan was on RTE News this evening pointing out that that Kremlin TV nut was effectively talking b*****ks and he doubts they have the capacity to launch even one of their undersea missiles. He also said the idea that they could set off a super tsunami with a single missile is beyond laughable, they would need thousands of them...they've been watching too many James Bond movies. Spoofers and playground school bullies, that's what we're dealing with.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,104 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    Oh I can play this one: Or humans are the problem...



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,062 ✭✭✭✭briany


    Putin could simply respond with, "If you nuke me, I will nuke you and everyone else. You have a few nukes, but I have thousands."

    Maybe a nuclear threat from Ukraine would genuinely be the quickest way to get Russia out of Ukraine, but there's no way any western nation will roll the dice on providing them, for the same reasons NATO is not currently prepared to directly engage Russian forces.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,062 ✭✭✭✭briany


    Yeah, I've been doing more reading on the feasibility of 'tsunami bomb' since my post about it the other day, and it looks like the idea is probably hot air. Or super-heated water vapour, more accurately.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,246 ✭✭✭Economics101


    Don't ban the rallies, even though they are way beyond obnoxious. Two reasons: one, they are against our hopefully liberal principles which is to tolerate freedom of expression unless there is a pretty direct threat of violence; two, any such ban will be used by the Kremlin as "evidence" of Western suppression of "anti Nazi" political opinion.

    We are bigger than these goons.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,104 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    "General Staff of Ukraine: Russian army prepares evacuation of families of officers in Transnistria"


    There seems to be a lot of attacks on the power grid and internet in the western part of Ukraine right now.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,140 ✭✭✭Gregor Samsa


    If Ukraine somehow got a few nuclear weapons, and if the gave Russia a 24 hour ultimatium that Moscow and St. Petersburg would be obliterated unless Russia withdrew, then Ukraine would 100% be obliterated by Russia's nuclear weapons before that 24 hour period was up. Any country with a nuclear arsenal has it as the first point on their nuclear doctrine that they will use the weapons against anyone who threatens them with nuclear weapons. This is just a fact. Ukraine can have all the ethical justification in the world to actively protect themselves in such a way, but the cold reality is that it would result in their nuclear obliteration, and almost certainly an escalation to global nuclear conflict. There is no way that Russia would back down to that threat. The entire point of having a nuclear arsenal is that you're willing to use it in exactly this scenario, and there is absolutely no reason to think that Russia are not willing to do so.

    The good news is that none of this is going to happen. No-one is going to give or station nuclear weapons in Ukraine while this war is ongoing. It would be an insane thing to do. It doesn't matter how ethically justified it might be, or how wrong and evil Russia are. The realities of the situation, and the inevitable outcomes, have to be taken into account. Would the worst Pyrrhic victory of all history be worth it? Almost any reasonable person would say no.

    One could make a good argument that Ukraine would not have been invaded in the first place if they had kept their nuclear weapons from the breakup of the Soviet Union. However, that ship has sailed. Maybe there'll be a chance again to revisit that after this war, but that will entirely depend on how it ends and what strength is left in Russia when it does.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,104 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui





  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 665 ✭✭✭goldenmick



    Putin has been telling all of Russia and the world that part of the reason for his invasion is that Ukraine has ballistic missiles, as well as "Nazi's" So he couldn't exactly blame that on the West if it were suddenly to become common knowledge that they do in fact have nukes.

    If they were smuggled in to secret locations all over Ukraine, set up, then a discreet "leaking" of their possession of these... perhaps Zelensky and a few of his commanders pictured with them, then plastered all over the internet. Hell, they could even set one off in a remote part of Ukraine as a warning.

    It doesn't matter that Putin has thousands of nukes. The majority probably are not active or don't work. But that's besides the point. What it boils down to is would Putin be willing to take the risk that Moscow and St.Petersburg would be obliterated from the map, at the expense of continuing his futile and irrational war?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,140 ✭✭✭Gregor Samsa


    Whatever about Parkinson's and cancer, the idea that Putin has schizoaffective disorder is ludicrous. It a very serious and debilitating mental health condition that impacts every aspect of the sufferer's life. People with schizoaffective disorder would have great difficulty holding down a regular job and functioning in normal society, let along running an entire country for 22 years.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 665 ✭✭✭goldenmick



    Very well put, Gregor, but rather contradictory...


    @Gregor Samsa - Any country with a nuclear arsenal has it as the first point on their nuclear doctrine that they will use the weapons against anyone who threatens them with nuclear weapons.


    Russia HAS threatened using nuclear weapons. Several times.

    So by your logic Ukraine has every right to reciprocate that threat, or even use them... as per your above quote. As do all the Western powers.

    If there's no threat in return then he's just going to carry on. And I believe it will escalate more and more and more, until the time comes when Putin has nothing left to fight with, and then we'll see nuclear fireworks, regardless.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,062 ✭✭✭✭briany


    When it comes to using nukes, the doctrine of any right-thinking Western nation has to be one of surety, or as close to surety as you can get. So no moves would be made on the possibility that most of Russia's nukes are not in working order or that Putin may blink if faced with a nuclear threat from Ukraine.

    It would never happen that the West provides Ukraine with nuclear weapons to use, anyway. NATO forces entering Ukraine from the West to enforce a red line I would see as being infinitely more probable, but even that's currently pretty remote.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,104 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    I'd like to reiterate that the sole purpose of the supplying nuclear weapons to Ukraine idea was as a deterrent against the Horde getting desperate and thinking the could get a win just by nuking Kyiv, with negligible consequences, which unfortunately they are likely right about.

    These should absolutely not be used to threaten the Horde with get out of Ukraine, or else... And the possession of them should be kept secret from the public, but with a enough of a leaking that Putrid is let in on the secret.



This discussion has been closed.
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