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Fancies For Today III

18485878990100

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,723 ✭✭✭zimmermania


    BarOne went 5 to 4 a d I thought that was value



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,723 ✭✭✭zimmermania




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,723 ✭✭✭zimmermania


    im Bolgers LEVEL PITCH looks good to win the 5.20 at Gowran,got messed about at the start last time missed the break and hampered when ridden by a 7 lbs claimer over 7 furlongs.

    Over a mile today and the long stiff straight will allow LEVEL to come with a strong run,do not be put off by the draw because while the papers may say a low draw is best the stats clearly show that over a mile there is no advantage.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,723 ✭✭✭zimmermania


    Tip ran badly yesterday,horse almost pulled up ,have not got the reason for the poor run yet but will share it when I do.

    Back to my own picks today to try to continue the good run.

    I backed two today.

    5.30 Bath Fearless Angel ran very well in a good race in France and that form may be good enough to win the 5.30 Bath we at 9 to 2.

    Hortzadar 3.oc Newmarket 4 to 1,ran very well in the Lincoln and while getting on in years David OMeara knows how to keep them sweet and does well with older horses looks a good ew bet at 4 to1.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,723 ✭✭✭zimmermania


    Hortzadar 4th,may have won if not messed about at the start but that happens.

    The lucrative good friday metting switches from Lingfield to Newcastle (Lingfield race as well) and as it is probably a fairer track and a bit stiffer thats not a problem.

    I am backing three horses and then heading to Killarney until monday though i will be backing a few on saturday in Killarney..

    My OBERON 2.oc Newcastle is top rated and probably should win,however backing MY OBERON in the morning BOG online for a tenner almost guarantees a free bet,as PP are giving a free bet if a horse you back finishes in the first 4 and thats very likely to happen.

    MY OBERON should win on form and is worth having more on more than the PP tenner bet offered.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,723 ✭✭✭zimmermania


    BOUTTEMONT 2.35 is french trained and has won at a mile but could be strong at the finish in this 6 furlong race (finished very strongly over 6 and 1/2 furlongs to win lto.

    In my opinion french raiders are often overpriced and mostly represent good value.

    I have already backed BUTTTEMONT at 14s ew and i believe he will come late with a strong late run and at 14/1 is aq good ew bet.

    EL CABALLO 3.10 is my 3rd bet,he has won his last 4 races and can beat Tiber Flow who may go off favourite.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,547 ✭✭✭RocketRaccoon


    Zimmer, you're on fire again. First 2 are winners, just waiting on the 3.10 now with a €5 treble. You'll have to set up some form of system where we can throw you a few quid.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,817 ✭✭✭✭thesandeman


    It's a Good Friday alright for you Zim. Two from two so far 👍



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,723 ✭✭✭zimmermania


    You must be joking,i love racing and i love to take money off the books whenever we can.

    I can put up plenty of losers too but it is great when we catch a good winner,i told a few of my punting buddies to back the french horse as i have always liked horses coming back in distance and many a good sprinter has been developed this way.

    It is hard to believe that BOUTTEMONT won its first race over a mile.

    Killarney here i come and the books are paying!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,547 ✭✭✭RocketRaccoon


    I don't post here as often as other places but you've won me a serious wedge over the years, I'll always keep an eye out for your fancies through here. Great to see someone so knowledgeable sharing their thoughts.


    Great price on the French horse too, 14/1 earlier this morning. Enjoy the kingdom.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,547 ✭✭✭RocketRaccoon


    And El Caballo makes it 3. My treble is up, €659 back off a fiver. You're a hero Zimmer.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,958 ✭✭✭Cherry_Cola


    Good Friday to a Great Friday, good man Zimmer!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,817 ✭✭✭✭thesandeman


    I'm going to have to spend my winnings on 💓 tablets. Two short heads and a nose 😌😲



  • Registered Users Posts: 716 ✭✭✭Konny Rool


    Looks wide open the last race Newcastle where six runners take part. At 4.45 FELIX has proven his liking for small fields. Has been campaigned on turf/in pattern company, and in fields of eight or more since finishing back to back seconds at Lingfield in Feb 2021. Prior to them two runs he won over 9 1/2 furlongs at Wolverhampton.

    The French horse Charlesquint is a bit of an unknown quailty here, but the rest usually like to go from, or close to the front. Race should be ran to suit my pick here. Hollie Doyle could have possibly got the mount on Felix as she's ridden him before, but she goes on the top one Al Zaraqan instead.

    Felix is a very good price I feel, and I expect him to give a good account for messrs Botti and Callan. He's trading at a massive looking 14/1 with a few books including Paddy Power



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,547 ✭✭✭RocketRaccoon


    The last one was a bit too close for comfort, I thought he had been grabbed on the line.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,723 ✭✭✭zimmermania




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,723 ✭✭✭zimmermania


    If only it was always this easy




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,582 ✭✭✭bassy


    good stuff zimmer unfortunately i only seen it to late,well done............................................................



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,817 ✭✭✭✭thesandeman


    Slightly off topic.

    I presume you know already, but it's money back on all losers in the 2:25 and 3:14 races today with PP. Max €10 per race I think.

    Hope there's a shop in Killarney. Enjoy.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,570 ✭✭✭MyStubbleItches


    Across the road from the speakeasy pub, one of the grandest little pubs in the town. Hope you get to spend some of your winnings in there Zimmer. They’d usually have the racing on there too.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,723 ✭✭✭zimmermania


    I have word for Bolgers in the last in Cork 5.45 I Have a Voice stepped up in trip expected to go well around 8s.and I give a small chance to The Macon Lugnatic at 14s in the 4.29 Haydock.

    A good card at Newbury but nothing strikes me as a good bet.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,313 ✭✭✭munster87


    I got word about the same horse today. That may be a good sign! Or not! We’ll see!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,723 ✭✭✭zimmermania


    PO was money back for tenner all losers and I stuck a tenner ew on Enemy in a race I was not interested in.

    Sometimes you would almost feel sorry for the bookie



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,313 ✭✭✭munster87




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,723 ✭✭✭zimmermania


    The National is always tough JP,OLearyand Muillins are mob handed and fir me its a tenner ew kind of race,I have backed Its Time to Get Up at 14s,a real stayer who has managed to get a drop of about 5 lbs and would not be here is he has not got not some chance 14 to 1 6 places.

    Post edited by zimmermania on


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,723 ✭✭✭zimmermania


    A 3 mile amateur riders handicap at 5.16 Perth may provide an interesting bet today for small stakes.

    The fav is Farmers Gamble and the only reason i can find for the horse being fav is that its trained by Skelton,well beaten in 4th last time over 2 1/2 miles was a winner of a novice hurdle over 2 miles before that and may not be suited by 3 miles today.

    My idea of the winner is AUDITORIA 9/2 who ran well enough in a class 3 and class 4 in last two runs,dropped in class today,

    her last run was a staying on 4th over 2 1/2 miles running on at the finish to suggest she will stay the trip today.

    One who will get the trip is last years winner WORLD'S TRIP who is trained by Olly Murphy who also trains AUDITORIA.

    It could be close between the two Murphy mares and i wouldnt put anyone off backing WORLD'S TRIP ew.

    I will do a reverse forecast on the two.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,723 ✭✭✭zimmermania


    Auditoria travelled very well and looked like she was in with a real chance before sprawling on landing and unseating rider.

    Worlds Trip looked like pulling up until galloping on strongly to take 2nd,had she consented to run on earlier she may well have won,maybe she needs extreme distances to show her best.

    I put Auditoria in the tracker ab she should win again.



  • Registered Users Posts: 832 ✭✭✭Nevin Parsnipp


    Well done Zimm ....good info ..



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,723 ✭✭✭zimmermania


    A lot of racing to distract us today so i am only backing David OMeara's horses,stable is flying and i am confident he will have a few winners.

    Ripon is one of his local tracks and he has two topweights worth supporting.

    2.20 HORTADAR was veyr unlucky last time when squeezed out at the start before running on well and should win today.

    NOMADIC EMPIRE is a smart sprinter and even though this is his first run for 6 months if ready should have too much speed for these.

    Stable jockey Danny Tudhope could have ridden these but goes instead to Haydock and has a couple there with chances.

    He rides Love Interest in the 2.40 but i will not back it as some of the big boys have good entries.

    I think he is in Haydock primarily to ride DARKNESS one of OMearas typical buys from France that he does so well with.

    DARKNESS had his first run for OMeara in the Lincoln when well down the field but not disgraced btn 7 lengths eased when chance was gone,ran ok in his next run and having dropped a few lbs should be competitive today in the 3 .45.

    A 3 time winner in France and ran ok in group company over there i expect this one to contest all the big handicaps and maybe the Cambridgeshire later on but in the meantime can go very close today.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,849 ✭✭✭crushproof


    I missed last week's successes but a nice start with Hortadar already today.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,435 ✭✭✭Scoundrel




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,320 ✭✭✭liamtech


    New comer here - just wanna thank @zimmermania for today's result - took 2W 3P off a EW-Canadian today which has nicely ended a dry run (took boardman at 2:05 for the extra win) - im not a big gambler but i LOVE a flutter at the weekend, and enjoy the races - :)

    Sic semper tyrannis - thus always to Tyrants



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,723 ✭✭✭zimmermania


    Nomadic Empire was easy to back,today was not the day and we were lucky to get the place money the way the race unfolded,he has had his run now and I am certain he will be aimed at one of the big sprint handicaps like the Great St Wilfrid at Ripon.

    Make note of this one,he is useful and for whatever reason he was hunted up the inside today without being asked to get competitive

    Darkness is also well weigted for the top handicaps over a mile or 9 furlongs,got messed about today and still ran well,another for the notebook.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,723 ✭✭✭zimmermania


    Punchestown never used to get all of my attention coming as the jumps are fading and the flat getting into full swing.

    However there is some first class racing and some real betting opportunities (though not today with two bumpers and a hunters chase) in the coming days.

    The 4.50 a handicap hurdle is the only race worth looking at from a betting point and most winners of this in the last 20 years were priced between 10 and 20/1 and normally carry less than 11 stone.

    One that caught my eye is HEARTS ARE TRUMPS owned by J P and trained by Des McDonagh who trains just a few nowdays but can still get one ready.

    He was beaten by Glancalso owned by J P 10 days ago and is now 7 lbs better off.JP likes to win these races and we can be sure both will be going all out to win.

    HEARTS ARE TRUMPS has won here before and has also won at the Gaway festival off higher marks and is worth a little ew 5 places at the 14 or 16/1 thats available on ground that suits.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,817 ✭✭✭✭thesandeman


    I presume it's a typo, but the bookies must be watching you if you brought a horse in from 200/1 to 14/1.

    Hugh Taylor better watch out 😀




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 305 ✭✭hudhastings


    I hear Patrick Mullen's. Is fancied for 2 bumpers expected to win maybe a double . I'm on two singles and a double.👍



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 305 ✭✭hudhastings





  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,723 ✭✭✭zimmermania


    Of course it was way too early to determine how the race would have worked out but i was happy with the way he travelled to 4 out before he made a mistake and fell.

    I will not be surprised if he is not competitive again before Galway.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,723 ✭✭✭zimmermania


    LIFE IN THE PARK won a qualifier for the for the Adare Manor handicap hurdle in Tramore by 17 lengths two and a half weeks ago,galloping all over the field.

    The handicapper may have let him in lightly off a mark of 119,he may not have beaten much in the Tramore race but he did it very easily.

    Lightly raced (only 3 runs) he may be even better than he has shown to date,in his first run over hurdles he was beaten 6 lengths running on well at the finish by Freedom to Dream in a maiden hurdle when he started 9/4 2nd fav.

    Freedom to Dream is 5/2 to win the valuable hurdle at 4.15 and Sams Choice who was 2nd that day also runs in the race.

    Freedom to Dream is rated 133 suggesting LIFE IN THE PARK is well handicapped on 119 and with 6 places available is an ew bet at around 8s.

    And just for good measure De Bromhead bought him after he fell at the last when 15 lengths clear on his only run in a point to point.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,723 ✭✭✭zimmermania


    TAHITIAN PRINCE was ready to win first time out last year and never stopped improving all season winning 3 on the AW and one on turf,should have nearly won off this mark on last run over c and d but did not get a run in time.

    The ground is a slight concern (has run well on good) as no way of knowing if as good on firm,the ground is good to firm now and that might be ok.Drifting a little to 9/2 and may drift a little further and is an ew bet in the 1.50 at Ascot.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,723 ✭✭✭zimmermania


    Was in Pp shop and I see it's only 5 places in the 3.40,its still 6 places online where I did my bet.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,241 ✭✭✭realdanbreen




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,723 ✭✭✭zimmermania


    I do not fancy getting involved in the big field handicaps today so i am backing 3 in an ew patent at Punchestown.

    GRANGE WALK 4.15 would probably have beaten Mt Leinster last time but for falling and a clear round will probably be good enough,Paddy goes 4 places.

    GO ANOTHER ONE is running to a level of form that may be good enough in the 4.50 a race that may not take a lot of winning.

    3rd selection is the enigmatic PAISLEY PARK who is big enough at 15.2 and if doing his best could win the 5.25,though this is a race that could provide a different winner if run every week,i will not go mad but a fiver ew patent (7 bets) will provide an interest.

    Odds are 3/1 9/2 and 15/2.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,723 ✭✭✭zimmermania


    No joy today,the patent was probably the right idea as nothing stood out and i donated 70 euro to Paddy.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,723 ✭✭✭zimmermania


    Ladbrokes go 3 places in the listed fillies race at 3.15 at Goodwood and that is where i will be backing two ew against the field.

    Number 2 has no chance,num 3 is offf for 587 days and has a bit to find,num 1 is rated 87 and is fav on possible potential rather than what she achieved,num 7 has form in group company in ireland for Jessica Harrington but disappointed in last couple of runs and is now trained in the UK.

    Roger Varian saddles 2 and i prefer the chance of SAVE A FOREST who was 4th in the group 1 Oaks and can do well this year,he also saddles Lady Hayes who has a chance on form.Both are rated 100

    Both are around 9/2 with Ladbrokes and i will back both ew with a bigger amount on SAVE A FOREST.

    I tipped up Cicely at a good price when she won and though a bit disappointing last time she can get back to winning ways in the 4.oc Wol the scene of her last win,around 9/2. Boyles go 4 places.

    Fingers crossed for rain in the Curragh before monday where Cailin Cliste is due to run again.

    Post edited by zimmermania on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,723 ✭✭✭zimmermania


    The 1.50 at Doncaster is a good contest with 21 runners and 6 places available

    Horses carrying between 8 and 9 stone used to win this but like a lot of big handicaps these days classier horses are taking part and horses carrying over 9 stone have won the last 4 runnings.

    JUMBY is one i like and even with 9 stone 9 on his back can he win this.

    Two and a half weeks ago over the course and distance JUMBY missed the break but ran on well in the last half furlong to snatch 3rd,however that was a group 3 and JUMBY may prove to good for these despite his big weight.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,723 ✭✭✭zimmermania


    NOTRE BELLE BETE has been winning AW handicaps by coming late and running on strongly,lightly raced on turf his last run in the Lincoln on soft ground was not as bad as it seemed finishing in 9th not beaten all that far without ever really getting into the race.

    He has form on grass in ireland and ran in listed company and was even thought good enough to send to Ascot to run in a group 3.

    An ew bet at 8s in the 2.25 Newmarket,nothing else stands out and i am backing both ew.

    The 2,000 gns looks like being a great race to watch,if Perfect Power does not get lit up he might test Native Trail but that is a big if.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,723 ✭✭✭zimmermania


    I have been told that Jim Bolger expects Boundless Ocean to run ok in the 2000 gns as its money back all losers in Paddys it's worth having a few win bets for small money.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,320 ✭✭✭liamtech


    so full refund if your horse doesnt win or place?

    Sic semper tyrannis - thus always to Tyrants



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,849 ✭✭✭crushproof


    Must be in store for Paddy's only, not appearing online



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