Advertisement
If you have a new account but are having problems posting or verifying your account, please email us on hello@boards.ie for help. Thanks :)
Hello all! Please ensure that you are posting a new thread or question in the appropriate forum. The Feedback forum is overwhelmed with questions that are having to be moved elsewhere. If you need help to verify your account contact hello@boards.ie

Russia - threadbanned users in OP

1109510961098110011013690

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,287 ✭✭✭brickster69


    Spain inflation rises to 10%, that is now ! Imagine having rapidly rising inflation and having interest rates @ - 0.5 %

    spain.png


    "if you get on the wrong train, get off at the nearest station, the longer it takes you to get off, the more expensive the return trip will be."



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,287 ✭✭✭brickster69


    I can't buy them because of the sanctions but i would yes. Better to have something that is backed by assets than mountains of debt.

    "if you get on the wrong train, get off at the nearest station, the longer it takes you to get off, the more expensive the return trip will be."



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    Why should Russians sleep soundly in their beds while Ukrainians are being killed on a industrial scale ...

    What's the logic behind it ,

    Ukrainians are worth less than Russians.

    As for a hard on I said it once in several hundred Posts (possibly thousand + )

    Sure didn't people predict no invasion



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,467 ✭✭✭zv2


    You are advocating a crime against humanity. And what purpose would it serve? The Russian idea is to demoralize people by bombing civilians so they will surrender. But the Ukrainians won't surrender so it's wasted ammo as far as military objectives are concerned.

    It looks like history is starting up again.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,633 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    Why should Russians sleep soundly in their beds while Ukrainians are being killed on a industrial scale ...

    Source on Ukrainians being killed on an "industrial scale"? What is an industrial scale btw? 100s? 1000s? 10s of 1000s?

    Sure arent the Russians being killed at a ratio of like 10:1 compared to Ukrainians if you believe the Ukrainian MoD. Do you not believe them?


    If you seriously cheer for bombing of russian cities then you are delusional as to Ukrainian forces strength, or you are sick and just want more death.

    Bombing russian cities will galvanise their support and the response would be bombing of Ukrainian cities at a scale not seen yet. Think Chechnya, Grozny type scale. You would have to be sick in the head to be "happy" about the prospect of that.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,138 ✭✭✭✭Ash.J.Williams


    P&O took the front pages in the UK over the last week also



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,246 ✭✭✭✭Dyr


    Thats the problem with making stupid decisions, it hurts when you have to correct them. Europes whole energy strategy has been stupid decision after stupid decision.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,467 ✭✭✭zv2


    It was mainly a business decision rather than a political one to buy gas from Russia. When I first heard of this business deal some decades ago I knew straight away it was bad news.

    It looks like history is starting up again.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,066 ✭✭✭HerrKuehn


    I suppose the logic is (which I don't agree with), the Russians are bombing Ukrainian Civilians in cities so why should they not have to put up with the same. I certainly don't think it is a good idea to bomb Russian cities, but we need to make sure the cost to Russia for this war is enormous and that all of them feel it. The best way to do that is economically. Obviously this will not result in regime change necessarily, but it might make them think twice about doing the same thing again.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    Level Crimea and Donbas and send a warning , just because your Russian it doesn't mean you get to sleep without the threat of being bombed 24/7 .

    Grozny have you looked at Mariupol at all ,it's been razed to the ground

    It's called war for a reason



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 269 ✭✭Ahorseofaman


    An industrial scale is bombing numerous cities to rubble killing thousands of civillians and displacing millions from there homes.

    Simple really



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,023 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    Russia is propping up the rouble (for now) and obviously some of this is the short term correction from the panic/shock drop a few weeks ago. The sanctions on Ru central bank assets (which the Kremlin admitted they never expected) mean it will be increasingly difficult to do that over the long term. Internationally the rouble is quite toxic, and over the medium to long term (if sanctions persist) then it's expected the rouble will continue to slide. Even if there is peace-deal reached, Russia under Putin will experience a lot of permanent damage to international trade, finance and trust.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,633 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    Target Russian civilians, and the Russians will target Ukrainian civilians but ten times as effectively. It is a stupid strategy that will achieve nothing but galvanize support for Putin and for the war.

    So you think Ukraine should bomb their own citizens and own territory.. strategic masterclass from yourself Gatling as always

    So "killing citizens on an industrial scale" also includes those who were displaced and not killed?

    Forbes lists civilian deaths at 1,119+ and injuries at 1,790.

    Not good, but hardly death on an industrial scale is it?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,043 ✭✭✭Polar101


    So you want Ukraine to do what Russia has been using as an excuse for the war - killing civilians in Donbass and Crimea (=Ukraine). That sounds quite stupid.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,633 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    Russia announcing a gold buyback at a rate of 500 roubles per gram gold may stabilise the currency.

    That and the announcement that gas must be paid for in roubles will also bolster demand for the currency. The Vatican were the first state to buy roubles for that reason.

    The big question is if EU states will switch to roubles or disconnect from russian gas entirely by Friday. It would cripple several economies, german industry in particular (reliant on gas for manufacturing)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,137 ✭✭✭Jinglejangle69


    Not to mention all of Europe including us here are paying for refugees fleeing.


    We all have to pick up the tab for Putins war so it’s only fair Russian citizens pay a price too.


    They didn’t start the war but neither did we.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,741 ✭✭✭firemansam4


    So Russia has significantly reduced Ukrainians milatary combat power by providing them with tanks and ensuring a vast supply of advanced weapons from the west to help against the invasion..... Hmmm



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,246 ✭✭✭✭Dyr


    Forbes lists civilian deaths at nearly 3,000 not 1,000 and states that:

    "The number of people killed and injured in the conflict is likely to be “considerably higher” as the number does not include figures from areas with intense hostilities like Mariupol."


    So the question is, do you just read headlines when posting links or do you lie for the Motherland?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,023 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    These are short-term "tricks" really. In the medium and long-term the rouble is under significant pressure.

    The Vatican bought peanuts worth. The G7 countries have rejected paying in roubles, so there's a game of chicken going on. Russia gets about 400mm eur per day from gas sales to the EU, as much as it's going to hurt EU countries (especially Germany) and create an energy crisis, it's going to hurt Russia much more. Personally I suspect they'll come to some deal in the short-term.

    Do you think EU should capitulate to Putin breaking the contracts and pay in roubles?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,633 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    Literally, the first line of the article:

    Nearly 3,000 civilians have been killed or injured in Ukraine

    Killed OR injured, i.e. thats the combined figure. I listed both figures separately in my post. The only one lying here is you.

    I await your retraction.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,066 ✭✭✭HerrKuehn


    Oh, but the Russian civilians are responsible for the war. They are the ones who have enabled this situation with their support for Putin. I just hope western governments have woken up to the reality of the way Russia is. We need to have a long term plan to make sure they would find it difficult to do this again. Losing a lot of equipment and troops will certainly help in this direction, but it needs to be followed up with longer term strategy from western governments:

    • Move away from buying Gas and Oil from Russia.
    • Facilitate the demographic decline by encouraging highly educated young people to migrate to the EU.
    • Discourage FDI (either officially or unofficially) to slow/disrupt Russian economic growth.
    • Make it difficult for them to re-arm by restricting access to certain technologies, computer chips and other things.
    • Create an EU defensive military that would work with NATO (but not in overseas missions).
    • Help rebuild a democratic Ukraine which would also be a source of stable energy supplies.

    We certainly can't change the fact that we have a malignant neighbour, but we can make it difficult for it to cause problems in the future.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,633 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    In a perfect world we would refuse to pay at all.

    This is not a perfect world, and due to short sighted energy policy in the EU we are now heavily reliant on Russian oil and gas. Trying to cut it off totally would cripple several EU members in ways you would not believe. While all efforts should be made to become energy independent in the union, now is not the time to play chicken as we have far more to lose.

    At the end of the day russia is the one with the resources (oil & gas), net exporter of food, and still has close trade links with china. They can survive without euros, but we will really struggle without their resources.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,062 ✭✭✭✭briany


    Yeah, but what's he going to say? "We got no food. We got no ammo. OUR GENERALS' HEADS ARE FALLIN' OFF!"?



  • Posts: 25,611 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Makes it so it makes even more sense to borrow and keep fuelling it. On the small/individual level I mean. If you can borrow at a rate 10% below inflation that's an instant profit.

    ECB need to get off their arses, some kind of hardship is coming but they don't seem to want to act. This goes back to the end of 2020 when demand had rebounded but things were still well behind. For a year til the Russians invaded all the people who "should" know were claiming it was just a little bump in the road and things would go back to normal. Not realising that in real life prices were going up, rents have massively increased leaving less disposable income for people and self-employed people in a lot of cases hadn't put up prices in 5-10 years while absorbing those higher costs.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,246 ✭✭✭Economics101



    If Western countries were to pay for Russian oil and gas in Roubles, then somewhere they must first pay € or $ for these Roubles. The sellers of said Roubles are likely to be Russian financial or trading entities of some sort (no sane Western institution would hold significant stocks of Roubles).

    So directly or indirectly Russian entities acquire € or $ for oil/gas. There might be a very short time lag when Western importers hold depreciating Roubles. I assume that oil and gas are prices in $; it would be insane for the Russians to denominate their exports in terms of their own rubbish currency.

    So maybe there is no harm in giving in to Vlad on this one, as the whole thing is either window-dressing, macho-nonsense, or sheer financial illiteracy.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,100 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    I heard a commentator on the BBC say that to get an idea of Russias true thinking you only have to look at how the state media are potraying things where a couple nights ago they were going big with pushing the views of a Russian philosopher, who about 90 years ago said that the very idea of a Russia that didn't include Ukraine was unthinkable and to think it possible was to make a huge mistake - essentially saying Russia couldn't be considered to properly be Russsia without the inclusion of Ukraine.

    Which is depressing in that it means Putin's aim is to take the whole of Ukraine. There is no point saying it can't be done and it's impossible if Putin thinks otherwise. Why wouldn't he? He has successfully eliminated all opposition voices within Russia, he has an overwhelming ability to quash dissent through employing 2 million special police who descend on any and all outbreaks of protest with overwhelming numbers and quash them. Why wouldn't he think he can do the same to Ukraine given RUssia is such a good example of what can be achieved? The main key is to get rid of the leaders of Ukraine's civil society - the 2 million hit list I have mentioned previously. That plan is currently underway and it's been noted in the media that civil officials, politicians and their families are being aprehended and being disappeared together with journalists.

    "Kremlin denies it is forcibly disappearing civilians despite CNN and UN reports

    From CNN’s Eliza Mackintosh and Lindsay Isaac

    Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov said he is not aware of cases of missing Ukrainian journalists and activists, or of reports of arrested officials in Russian-held territories of Ukraine.

    Peskov's comments come after CNN reported that local Ukrainian officials had been arrested, and journalists and civil society members had disappeared and are still missing. ... At least 45 cases of civilian detentions have been recorded by the HRMMU since the war began on February 24, according to a HRMMU spokesperson.

    On Monday the mission said it had so far documented 24 cases of conflict-related detentions of local officials in Russian-occupied regions, 13 of whom have subsequently been released. 

    Its monitors have also recorded the disappearances of 21 journalists, civil society activists, protesters and civilians, who "vocally opposed the invasion in Kyiv, Kherson, Luhansk and Zaporizhzhia regions." https://edition.cnn.com/europe/live-news/ukraine-russia-putin-news-03-29-22/h_a35aaffc56bcf888261b7212ae4ecd19

    I think the talks of retreats and scaled back objectives are most likely a smokescreen to delay while Putin tries to desperately work out how to fix things so he can still acquire all of Ukraine in the face of the underestimated resistance. I don't think he's going to really come to a negotiatiang table until Russia's military is truly broken and rendered incapable of achieving his original objectives and that he is made to see that by someone brave enough.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,023 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    Okay but do you think the EU should capitulate to Putin's demand and pay in roubles?

    "They can survive without euros, but we will really struggle without their resources."

    Modern Russia can't really persist without export revenue. Half a billion dollars a day is significant revenue, not to be sniffed at, certainly not by a country locked in a very expensive war and an even more expensive economic crisis.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,801 ✭✭✭✭josip


    I thought that the Ukrainians were destroying most of the captured Russian tanks/APCs? There was mention of it in that article about the Russian 4th armoured division being wiped out.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,287 ✭✭✭brickster69


    "if you get on the wrong train, get off at the nearest station, the longer it takes you to get off, the more expensive the return trip will be."



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,023 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    I presume the energy consumers would go to money markets to exchange e.g. EUR for RUB, increasing the demand for RUB and driving it's value higher.

    Regardless, if Europe decides to cut Russia oil/gas, that will hurt Putin a lot but EU people will blame their governments for the energy crisis. In this scenario, it's straight up Putin's fault for breaking contracts.



This discussion has been closed.
Advertisement