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Ukraine (Mod Note & Threadbanned Users in OP)

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,984 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    War is far from over, could drag on for months or longer. Make no mistake the Russians still have a lot of fighting power, but it's not out of the realms of possibility that the Ukrainians may recapture some towns and areas, it's also possible they might not settle for a carved up S and E Ukraine. For now Ukr forces are chewing through the Russian military machine at the rate of 3 to 1, I've also read from Russian military analysts and ex commanders that their stocks of long-range missiles (Iskander's, cruise missiles and hyper-sonic missiles) are not that great, among many other comments about the state of their military forces (including warehouses of tanks being discovered with crucial equipment like optics stripped en masse from the vehicles)

    Ukraine is still in a dire situation but they have huge manpower with high morale/resolve, the same certainly can't be said of Russian forces. I'm not going to call anything, but I certainly wouldn't say this is "over".

    As for your other opinions, Ukraine is a democracy, recent elections were largely without issue, the two key problems they've had are endless Russian meddling in their political system meaning they have had to counter it, and of course the country's high levels of corruption, which in fairness they've been trying to drag themselves out of it. I would suspect if/when the dust settles that the EU would accept them, certainly in light of recent events. Turkey is a different kettle of fish altogether, I wouldn't make a comparison.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 434 ✭✭tooka


    You may not make a comparison , but the EU have

    Ukraine is not a democracy

    as an aside good to see a Mayo hotel offering up free accommodation and food to refugees

    true Hero’s

    https://www.rte.ie/news/regional/2022/0326/1288651-ukraine-refugees-mayo/



  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 11,599 Mod ✭✭✭✭Hermy


    Thanks for the replies.

    In asking the question I'm wondering about two things - firstly, I would hope that the sanctions would remain in place for the longest time and that the mere cessation of military action does not mean we go back to business as usual the following day.

    And secondly, I'm wondering about the legal basis for such sanctions - does there have to be active conflict in order to impose sanctions or is any country free to impose them at will?

    Genealogy Forum Mod



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,947 ✭✭✭✭VinLieger


    You literally claimed in the last few days letting Ukraine into the EU would be a solution to this war.

    You've always argued this? Really? show me where?

    Also calling former USSR members colonies might be the most pig ignorant thing you've posted to date.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,984 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    Sanction removal may be part of a peace agreement (unfortunately), that's always on the table.

    Not an expert on this by any stretch but my understanding is that any country can sanction in the same way that can apply trade tariffs and so on, and for e.g. financial sanctions, they will usually be implemented through the national regulator (central bank)



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 440 ✭✭myfreespirit


    Why is anyone responding to this foolish, ignorant nonsense? Clearly, it is uneducated drivel,piffle and waffle.

    Alternatively, it could reasonably be called russian propaganda...



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 434 ✭✭tooka


    Please do not reply to my posts if you don’t want.

    I am not seeking to join a circle jerk



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 665 ✭✭✭goldenmick


    @VinLieger - You literally claimed in the last few days letting Ukraine into the EU would be a solution to this war.

    You've always argued this? Really? show me where?

    Also calling former USSR members colonies might be the most pig ignorant thing you've posted to date.


    @myfreespirit - Why is anyone responding to this foolish, ignorant nonsense? Clearly, it is uneducated drivel,piffle and waffle.

    Alternatively, it could reasonably be called russian propaganda...

    Murphy's Law: Never argue with a fool, people might not be able to tell the difference.


    I'll second all of the above.

    You cant argue or raise a valid point with @pooka as he totally ignores what you've said. He's only interested in pushing his own make believe stuff, and just comes back with more gibberish. One of the worst trolls I've seen, yet here he is still getting free rein to post his garbage and taint what was once a decent thread.

    Incidentally his nickname is bungalow. Because there's nothing upstairs.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,363 ✭✭✭rolling boh


    Have to agree about the war being far from over much as we would all like that to be the case hearing about tented accomadation being needed here to cope with the expected numbers that will put a a lot of strain on everything .



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,369 ✭✭✭liamtech


    It is certainly complicated - leaving the war aside for a moment (not at all intended as undermining the importance of ending the war) - Russia has behaved disgracefully in recent weeks

    • The Putin regime effectively gave permission for its national airlines to 'steel foreign aircraft' - The lease agreements on Aviation equipment clearly signify that the aircraft should be returned to the west. Russia now intends to ignore this
    • Russia is now, supposedly, in the process of nationalizing the property of Foreign Companies that are currently refusing to do business in their country.
    • The regime has effectively banned Foreign news agencies from publishing content for consumption in Russia -
    • Russia has disgraced itself diplomatically (questioning whether Germany was denazified in 1945, stated that Japan is 'backing the NAZIS for a second time, stated that they will not afford foreign volunteers 'POW' status if their are captured)

    The above cannot be taken lightly at all, imho. Even in a bizarre hypothetical where sanctions were reduced dramatically, i cannot see a complete return to business as usual. The above signifies that Russia (under Putin) cannot be trusted

    My opinion is that normalization cannot occur while Putin remains in charge. Now whether he retires, or steps aside, or is forced out (or suffers an unfortunate accident involving a stairs, and machine gun fire) - i think a lot will then depend on who replaces him. And what actions are taken to right the wrongs of the last month.

    I think it important that Biden (gaffs aside) made a point of stating that the west's quarrel is NOT with Russia, or its people - but with its current leadership

    EDIT - i can provide links/citations for the above but its all been linked in previous posts on this thread

    here is a video explaining the aviation situation and consequences


    Sic semper tyrannis - thus always to Tyrants



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 665 ✭✭✭goldenmick


    Good post.

    The "complication" you mention in your first sentence is of course entirely due to Putin's access to a massive arsenal of nuclear weapons. The West would have taken him out long ago were it not for that single fact.

    I do believe that he'll either be taken out internally or it will escalate to a third world war. A third option of a peaceful resolution with Putin still in power seems wishful thinking in the extreme.

    In a country the size of Russia it would be impossible for all 140 million people to have been brainwashed by Putin and the Kremlin propaganda machine. There will be quite a few of his inner circle, higher echelons of the army, oligarchs, major business owners, senior cabinet members and civil servants who fully realise that this is Putin's war, and not Russia's.

    Of course the problem is access and timing. Putin maintains an iron grip on the country in much the same way as Hitler did with Germany, yet Hitler did eventually meet his downfall. If close access can be got to Putin, and the timing is right, then I can see an assassination or coup happening. If not then I foresee an escalation in Russian hostilities and the use of either chemical weapons, nukes or both. Everything in Putin's make-up tells you that he would rather be the instigator of another world war than lose face at home. Sadly the West will do nothing about it now, but at some stage I fear they will simply have to intervene, for mankind's sake.

    It's squeaky bum times we live in. And a future fraught with danger that our children have to grow up in.

    Post edited by goldenmick on


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 20,361 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    I think there are very many things to sort out before all sanctions are removed, and also many sorted out before any sanctions are removed.

    For example, would a cease fire declared by Russia be trusted to be honoured, or would it just allow Russia to resupply and re-arm, and would they actually stop the shooting?

    Also, would Ukraine consider that it would be better to keep on fighting while there are gaining their own territory back?

    Would reparations be required to be paid for all the wanton destruction to Ukraine infrastructure, buildings, homes, and the huge number of civilians and troops killed and injured?

    I cannot see there would be any appetite for a simple - 'OK, Russia, so you want to stop fighting if we forget about all the sanctions' - well, that is not going to happen before a lot of things are sorted first.

    Remember, Cuba is still suffering USA sanctions after over 60 years since the corrupt Batista regime was deposed. The USA can have a very long memory when they want to - and if it benefits them, they can be more amenable. Clearly good cigars are not as important to them as oil.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 434 ✭✭tooka


    Let Putin have the parts he wants

    nato and the EU must agree no further expansion east

    Ukraine agrees to calm down the rhetoric and get control of their right wing nazis who have been using east and south Ukraine as a playground the last 10 years

    and let that be the end of it



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,498 ✭✭✭Fighting Tao


    Educate yourself on the Nazi situation please. It’s just one of a multitude of things you are deliberately ignorant of.


    And stop being an apologist for kidnap, murder, destruction of property, a multitude of war crimes, and disrespect for democratically elected governments.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,984 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    Lol, mental stuff. Not sure if the is above is parody but..

    Ukraine has every right to apply for EU membership and the EU can decide on it's admission. Countries can choose to join NATO if they so wish. Putin has now demonstrated beyond any doubt the necessity of this defensive alliance and I strongly suspect we'll see more countries join in the future (a majority of the Swedish and Finnish public are now in favour of joining). Ukraine has no issue with the far-right, their political representation is among the lowest in Europe.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,218 ✭✭✭Economics101


    If he isn't a Putinbot, Tooka is probably some twisted kid who gets pleasure in having people on and generally annoying and provoking them with his drivel.

    For heaven's sake ignore him: that will annoy him more than anything. I never thought that cancelling anyone was a good idea until I came across Tooka.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,369 ✭✭✭liamtech


    I appreciate your post too - i will say that the complication i mentioned was more related to 'de-escalation' in the event of Russia stepping back and 'peace breaking out' - the previous poster had asked whether a return to normalcy would be possible, and i was highlighting that, war aside, Russia has not been behaving 'normally' in many ways

    However, 'complicated' applies too (more so) RE the Russian Nuclear Arsenal. absolutely

    Your assessment is stark. Certainly the above is possible - but, i would suggest a third option, that being the commencement of a Second Cold War/Iron Curtain.

    I have said previously that the staggering nature of Russian actions, even aside from the war, suggests that Russia does not intend to return to the International System. Stealing planes, nationalizing foreign assets, banning the press, insulting western leaders and state actors, - all of these actions have consequences - IMHO Russia continuing to act this way, signifies this: They do not intend to suffer the consequences, because they are not coming back (under Putin)

    I certainly do hope he is taken out domestically - at this stage, he is the only Bulwark against sanity returning to the situation. And if he isnt, a Second Cold War is not a pleasant arrangement. The position on China RE that situation will also be interesting.

    All we can do is hope - and watch obviously - and remain informed

    Interested to see what you think RE the outlined 'Third' option as i described

    Sic semper tyrannis - thus always to Tyrants



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,984 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    Yeah seems like a deliberate act now looking at the posts, and the fact that it's a new poster. Anyway moving on.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,369 ✭✭✭liamtech


    Very powerful piece by the BBC - summarizes in a nut shell what many of us have been saying - especially in response to certain posters

    Sic semper tyrannis - thus always to Tyrants



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,498 ✭✭✭Fighting Tao


    It sure is, but unfortunately people that should watch it either won’t, or will ignore what it says.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 434 ✭✭tooka


    If you have a look at the news media outlets Russia Ukraine is barely mentioned

    it’s all over bar the shouting because the reality is it barely started

    russia invaded and used bluster and propaganda to scare NATO and the west into doing nothing militarily

    they pretended to be over the top dangerous lunatics who would use nukes, the west bought it

    The west blinked and Putin knew he has us, he now gets an unstable Ukraine with zero chance of nato membership

    I think his next target will be certain parts of Moldova and from there he will use Belarus as a base to enter Lithuania to get a land link to Kaliningrad

    you may not like him but you must respect him , Putin is a man on a mission



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,507 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    Its the #1 news item on BBC and RTE.

    Something you could have checked in a matter of seconds

    But then you couldnt have poured out this rant.

    Your lies and disinformation in this thread have been called out - invented stories of posts that predate your join date - and still you plough on with posts devoid of facts or merit.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 55,672 ✭✭✭✭Headshot


    Thread is gone to hell and you have to wonder where are the mods



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,498 ✭✭✭Fighting Tao


    It would be more fitting if you took your soap box to the top of Henry Street and replaced that crazy fanatical religious guy than using this thread for your nonsense.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,248 ✭✭✭✭iamwhoiam


    It wouldn’t be as bad if people would just stop replying to the obvious WUM

    i treat WUMS like toddlers , when a toddler kicks and dances for attention and tries to push you its best if they are completely ignored until the eventually find something else to play with



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,849 ✭✭✭Brussels Sprout


    Same. I muted that poster weeks ago but unfortunately I still see the content of their posts every time someone quotes them in response.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,751 ✭✭✭✭josip


    Is the Report button working yet? If not, can the Forum Mods be stickied or included in the OP?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 665 ✭✭✭goldenmick


    @liamtech - Interested to see what you think RE the outlined 'Third' option as i described


    I don't believe that another Cold War/Iron Curtain scenario would ever materialise... which is why I never mentioned it. Although I will say that I did give it a good deal of thought. I have many decades of business experience dealing with tens of thousands of people during that time. What that has done is make me pretty accurate on character assessment based on the presentable facts, with a sprinkling of intuition. I see it like this:

    Putin, in his vanity - and Russia itself to a great extent - see their place in the world hierarchy as the head, or as close as, to the top of the pecking order, when the reality is they are more towards the middle. No country can live or thrive on past glories and lands... as with the British Empire, and now the British Commonwealth which is gradually fragmenting and will be a thing of the past in xx years time. Yet as Putin sees his influence on world affairs waning, he seeks to re-establish his sense of importance by land grabbing via war in Ukraine. I believe this is partly due to his distorted view than the land belongs to Russia, and partly it's his message to the world to remind them that Russia is a big player (in his eyes) to be ignored at your peril.

    I cannot envisage Putin festering away behind a new Iron Curtain as his country is being economically strangled and effectively paralysed for the foreseeable future, his army has been totally embarrassed, the oligarchs have lost vast chunks of their wealth, business and world trade has been decimated, numerous countries will no longer trade with them, world banks will show them the exit door, and Russia spirals back into living standards of 100 years ago. If it were to happen then I believe Putin's threat to humanity would then be more potent than ever (cornered dog, etc).

    I think that the bottom line is that Putin's inflated ego and sense of self-importance tells us that he wont back down, or surely he would have done so by now. That leaves us with the two scenarios I outlined. I also believe that the longer this war continues the greater the chances of assassination or a coup. Yet the mental fortitude of a man who can do what he's done by starting this war (plus poisonings, blocking any form of free speech, imprisoning or killing any political opposition, things you mentioned such as stealing planes, etc), tells us in no uncertain terms not that he's irrational, but that he's a man who will stop at absolutely nothing to get his own way. Which brings us to my second scenario of another World War.

    I believe Putin will prod, provoke and threaten for a long time yet. Whilst it could cause nuclear confrontation, at what level of outrage does the free world say enough is enough, we're going in. IMHO there will be nuclear weapons used at some stage should Putin remain in his seat of absolute power, and unchallenged, for any further decent length of time.

    I hope I'm wrong, and I also hope if he's not taken out by a coup or assassinated then he does as you say and retreats behind another Iron Curtain, quietly. But I just cant see that happening.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,849 ✭✭✭Brussels Sprout


    I must say, what really irritates me about the "What about Yemen?" crowd is that in 90% of cases they:

    • Couldn't locate Yemen on a map nor name a Yemeni city
    • Couldn't tell you the two sides fighting in the war
    • Don't actually care about Yemen but think it gives them some kind of moral high ground when they "call out" well meaning people posting about Russian atrocities in Ukraine

    There is another civil war waging right now, just across the Red Sea from Yemen - in Ethiopia. The government are fighting separatists in the northern Tigray region. Estimates are that up to 50,000 civilians have been killed - blatant acts of genocide have been claimed. I haven't heard a single person say "What about Ethiopia?" Why is that? It's because the Russian's aren't pushing it as a narrative towards their useful idiots in the west.

    Russia (and China) are heavily backing the government side in Ethiopia and have used their veto power at the UN to prevent any statements or actions - even at one stage when the government forces were preventing international food aid from reaching Tigray in an effort to starve the Tigrayans out.

    The Russian troll factories that create the "What about Yemen?" memes and content therefore entirely ignore the Ethiopian civil war. Take this image that was created by Russian backed Redfish:


    Untitled Image


    What about Ethiopia??



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  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Entertainment Moderators Posts: 36,711 CMod ✭✭✭✭pixelburp


    Just for clarity, this same user tried the exact same tactic the other day, only with China and Taiwan. When called out on it, they refused to even back up their claim, made an àss of themselves by trying to presume my opinion on China then disappeared until now. They're a troll, clear as day and using "concern trolling" as a transparent attempt to gain moral superiority over the thread for no other reason than bullish arrogance/boredom. If not China, then Yemen and next week it probably will be Ethiopia. We are better off ignoring them cos they're getting what they want through their disingenuous attempts to affect concern for other conflicts on the globe



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