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Russia - threadbanned users in OP

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,235 ✭✭✭Pussyhands


    Does the Ukrainian government stay in power while Russia army goes back to Russia.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,580 ✭✭✭Economics101


    Attached to your post is a picture (also on the RTE website main page today) of the 65 km Russian convoy approaching Kyiv. Vehicles are closely packed together and sometime side-by-side along the road. They look very vulnerable to attack, even (or especially?) from RPGs, Javelins etc. I really hope the Ukrainians take advantage of this.

    A pity they can't get some A10s.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,496 ✭✭✭✭rob316


    Looking at it now, should NATO have made concessions on admitting Ukraine to NATO. Russia did try the diplomatic route since 2008 but they got no assurances that Ukraine wouldn't be accepted and if they were, there would be no missiles and bases in Ukraine. You know NATO can preach their principles of their "open doors policy" but we have spent centuries doing deals to keep peace, the world is not always black or white.

    Does the ordinary person in the Ukraine, really care about been in NATO, they just want to live in peace.

    I keep thinking, what would the US do if Mexico allowed Russian bases and missiles on the US/Mexico border?

    We have lived in peace in the western world for so long, do we have a blinkered view of how fragile it may actually be.



  • Posts: 7,946 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Isn't it the same picture. Is it even logistically possible to get a 65km convoy this packed together? I'd need more evidence of this.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 15,555 ✭✭✭✭josip


    The Ukraine government will relocate westwards to Lviv and continue to administer free Ukraine from there. The supply lines from Poland and other European countries by then will be sufficiently strong for the Ukrainians to hold out in Western Ukraine for considerably longer.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,767 ✭✭✭tigger123


    Ukraine could well end up turning into an Afghanistan or Vietnam for Russia.

    Alongside Russia being turned into a massive, isolated, North Korea.

    Putin is a headbanger. He wouldn't be allowed to stay in power indefinitely by those around him.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,779 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    The Belarussians are invading on the northwesternmost side near Brest allegedly, which is probably to secure that western border with Poland and intercept arms and munitions.



  • Posts: 7,946 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    You think this is the reason Putin has invaded Ukraine? Look up the word Pretext in the dictionary.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 58,485 ✭✭✭✭Necro


    Except the reserves had actually been transferred to euro and are now frozen.

    Untitled Image




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,501 ✭✭✭dalyboy


    Yep. I only thought of the google translate late last night. Also , ‘google images’ connected to those businesses with some inserted translated hard hitting text could be uploaded for maximum effect. (Maybe even more impactful) , the more that are awakened the better.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,214 ✭✭✭wylo


    There probably is a point that some concessions should have been considered from December onwards. US knew they were going to invade. They warned everyone and it doesnt seem like anyone truly believed it. I know hindsight is 20/20 but Russia spent the bones of a year building up troops. December or January was probably the time to have real talks about Ukraine joining NATO. Putin may have taken a concessions/guarantees. It may have least bought more time until Putin begins to resign or even die from ill health or something.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,501 ✭✭✭dalyboy


    just choose any big multinational business and type their name and “Moscow” in google and if they’ve a location there it’ll show in the search results under business listings. Click their business listing and it’ll display their reviews. Then click to leave your “review’.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 38,093 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    There was a summit planned, which could have discussed this topic... where one of things that could have been discussed would be an agreement on what kinds of missiles and weapons could be stationed in bordering states Ukraine, maybe Baltic States, Belarus, Kalingrad ... if Ukraine were admitted to NATO. If that was Putin's real concern it could have been achieved by diplomacy.

    The Ukranian people don't just want to live in 'peace' if peace also means subject to Russian control over which they have no say whether through puppet rulers or soldiers, anymore than the people of Poland, Hungary, Baltics etc did during the Cold War.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,779 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    The reserves were diversified from USD to a mix of CNY, EUR, GBP, YEN

    EUR was the biggest portion to be frozen, but they still have the largest foreign reserve of CNY in the world. And with Chinese agreeing to trade with them using CBIPS to circumvent SWIFT, they'll still keep things ticking over.

    After first sanctions in 2014 they moved to be less reliant on foreign powers, becoming self sufficient in food and things like cheese and "champagne"*, as well as more conventional foods. It won't be as simple as cutting them off from Europe and counting down the days until the crumble, unless China do a 180 and block them off.


    *In Russia, Champagne is Russian. All foreign versions are sparkling wine, much to the ire of Moet et al.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,774 ✭✭✭storker


    I'd say that's a strong possibility, and there are a number of scenarios in which it might happen:

    1. Putin comes to his senses (or his rich buddies help him to do so) and decides the game isn't worth the candle and withdraws his forces, possibly with for-home-consumption claims that the "punishment incursion" against Ukraine has been successful.
    2. Russian army morale collapses and the front line units melt back across the border, as in 1917.
    3. Putin looks like dragging the world into nuclear war and someone at home removes him from power and withdraws the army from Ukraine.
    4. Other scenarios such as the Russians stopping and hanging on as much as possible to existing territorial gains.
    5. Relocation of the Ukrainian government to the west e.g. Lviv.

    Victory for Ukraine doesn't have to take the form of a major battlefield defeat of Russian formations. All it takes is a Ukrainian government still in place, and/or Russian units going home. At the moment they're helping bring such an scenario about by inflicting tactical pain on the Russians, keeping the west on-side, motivating their own people and winning the propaganda war. The victory doesn't always require annihilation of the enemy, and doesn't always go to the biggest battalions.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 521 ✭✭✭DontHitTheDitch


    China don’t need Russia. At best it’s a depot for goods moving further west.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Yurt2


    That Albanian security council rep has been very impressive



  • Posts: 7,946 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    But, a guarantee Ukraine would not join NATO, could never join NATO was a guarantee Russia would invade a Ukraine that was west leaning. Is this too hard to grasp? Or was a further compromise to be that Ukraine could have free and fair elections as long as a pro Russia government was elected? You have seen Putin's speeches of late where he demands the maps redrawn.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 894 ✭✭✭Bayonet


    The NATO angle is a ruse by Putin. First of all, if he takes Ukraine he ends up with more NATO nations on his border. Secondly, there was no imminent Ukraine admission into NATO. As far as I'm aware, there were no talks recently.

    He's also broken the Russian promise of defending Ukraine's integrity which the Russians signed onto when the west convinced Ukraine to give up its nukes.

    Putin has always deeply felt that the USSR was 'unfairly' broken up and that the countries that went their own way are still Russian. His motivation is Russian glory and power. He's knocking on 70 which is 85 in western years. He knows he doesn't have long to bring this glory to Russia, hence his ill-advised move.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 521 ✭✭✭DontHitTheDitch


    Latvia and Albania are already in NATO, as is Poland, on its largest western border.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,858 ✭✭✭zv2


    Time is against Putin. An expensive war + sanctions and economic disaster in Russia will eventually bring an end to the Russian federation. That is the plan. And it seems to have got off to a good start.

    It looks like history is starting up again.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,657 ✭✭✭combat14


    60km war criminal murder convoy now - if only the americans could tactically nuke it without reprucusions..



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,657 ✭✭✭combat14


    Screenshot_20220301-100238_Chrome.jpg

    appears as if we are in a war (economic & financial) according to the french......



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 58,485 ✭✭✭✭Necro


    We already have been in all but declaration of same since the EU agreed to send weapons to Ukraine, make no mistake about it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,679 ✭✭✭✭El_Duderino 09


    They include the reasons Russia is doing the invasion, the disputed election in 2014, the other illegal wars The West has undertaken in recent years and the war crimes withinn those wars, the nazi angle in Ukraine.

    If those things are mentioned in our side's storytelling, they're dismissed pretty quickly.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 637 ✭✭✭Absolute Zero




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,049 ✭✭✭Mecanudo


    Why did he tell you that personally or maybe I just missed Putin's own comments claiming that on this thread 🤔

    I get it your a big fan but with Putin already threatening nuclear armagedon against those making what he called "aggressive statements" and imposing economic sanctions despite his own invasion of an independent country, this fuckwit thinks he can do what he likes regardless.

    If left to do what he likes in Ukraine, then the only question then is which country will he set his sights on next.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 894 ✭✭✭Bayonet


    Getting ominous now. Massive Russian convoys converging on several cities. Looks like they've learned from their mistake of sending in too few units and getting roasted. Kherson has fallen to Russian troops.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Yurt2


    While it may sound bellicose, it's probably better for the west to say what they mean and mean what they say with this crisis. It's not a declaration of a shooting war, but it's war by another means, and that needs to be made clear to the European people. Lean times ahead.

    Russia has been sneaking around disguising its intentions calling an all-out-war 'peacekeeping operations', making a mockery of language and engaging in hybrid warfare trying to get all and sundry to believe whatever lie they think suits circumstances best that day.

    It's important to remember that Russia aren't merely at war with Ukraine, they are at war with the rules based order. They're going back to the future and rebooting great power poliltics. Multilateralism is a joke to Putin - he thinks it's weakness and a western indulgence to weakness.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 894 ✭✭✭Bayonet


    One criticism of the Ukrainian response - total lack of snipers. The Russians have ill discipline when patrolling and are sitting ducks, but no Ukrainian sniper action as far as I can tell.



This discussion has been closed.
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