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Covid 19 Part XXXV-956,720 ROI (5,952 deaths) 452,946 NI (3,002 deaths) (08/01) Read OP

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 5,945 ✭✭✭Widdensushi


    People will go to awful lengths to get one over the system, antivax have their own "intelligence" network, you are obviously in a different network seamus, the amount of people who have quit good jobs etc over this is frightening, it's an obsession, the same way some people can't start going back to normal life, imo the covid pandemics biggest effect is it has exposed the mental health fragility worldwide



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,132 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    581 in hospital now. Two weeks ago it was nearly 900.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,463 ✭✭✭Cork2021


    Ticking along, slower but still reducing that’s the main thing!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,787 ✭✭✭mohawk


    With it being so prevalent in the community right now there is probably a floor on how low the numbers in hospitals go. They might stabilise at some point instead of drop. Some procedures can be postponed if you test positive pre admission to hospital, but in the likes of maternity hospitals you can’t postpone the admission so they will always be in the numbers.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 68,173 ✭✭✭✭seamus


    Id say we're pretty close to stability for the time being. 500 give or take 100. Come March, we'll probably start to seeing a decline again as respiratory infections recede in general.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 13,335 ✭✭✭✭Cluedo Monopoly


    What are those clowns at in Austria ? Idiotic move.

    What are they doing in the Hyacinth house?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,627 ✭✭✭ultrapercy


    I had a quick scan of the CSO Website for annual deaths. For the 18 months of 2020 and first half of 2021, total deaths per month was only about 70 more than previous years figures. When taking into account rising population, rising age profile and other factors such as increasing death rate from factors aside from covid, it becomes apparent that nowhere close to 5k people died from the virus in Ireland. The actual figure is less than 1000 and probably much closer to zero.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 784 ✭✭✭daydorunrun


    There was a figure of circa 650 people with no underlying conditions that died with covid- the average age was 82.

    “You tried your best and you failed miserably. The lesson is, never try.” Homer.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,627 ✭✭✭ultrapercy


    What is the source of that figure? Why does the CSO stats not support the almost 6k deaths that are claimed to have occured due to covid?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 675 ✭✭✭Apothic_Red


    The deaths/excess deaths will be debated for years to come. I don't believe that underlying conditions come into it, we live in an era where only 12% of US adults are considered metabolically healthy, I'd guess we're not far behind. Age & obesity seem to have been the 2 main determinants for poor outcomes.

    I posted the FT stats here earlier i the week from the UK. Omicron is currently running at twice as deadly as seasonal flu in the over 50s yet is 3 times as transmissible.

    There will surely be tribunals in years to come but we already know when the ball was dropped. Moving staff into the nursing homes without heavy testing early days, the meaningful Christmas & then not opening more last summer. The cost benefit will never be undertaken, how many of those who died with an average age of 84 would have seen another summer & was the 30 billion in debt dumped on the working generations justifiable. It's a conversation that will never be had.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 9,290 ✭✭✭corkie


    Were lockdowns ineffective?


    PDF Paper been discussed linked in video description.

    LITERATURE REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS OF THE EFFECTS OF LOCKDOWNS ON COVID-19 MORTALITY, January 2022, Studies in Applied Economics.

    Conclusion While this meta-analysis concludes that lockdowns have had little to no public health effects, they have imposed enormous economic and social costs where they have been adopted. In consequence, lockdown policies are ill-founded and should be rejected as a pandemic policy instrument.

    Written by economists, principle, damage that lockdowns did to the economy. Were papers chosen to support the theme?

    Those who were going to die were going to die whether you locked down or not

    expert reaction to a preprint looking at the impact of lockdowns, as posted on the John Hopkins Krieger School of Arts and Sciences website


    "Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it." ~ George Santayana
    "But that's balanced out by the fact that it's a mandate not to do very much." ~ Prof. Eoin O'Malley



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,901 ✭✭✭giveitholly


    I see Orla Hegarty is still having her daily meltdowns on Twitter!!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,803 ✭✭✭✭Jim_Hodge




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,901 ✭✭✭giveitholly




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,803 ✭✭✭✭Jim_Hodge


    Then stop complaining about what she's saying.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,901 ✭✭✭giveitholly


    Where did I say I was complaining? I actually enjoy reading her tweets



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,782 ✭✭✭✭freshpopcorn


    I do think people look up some of these people on Twitter to get a laugh out of them. There like Gemma O'Doherty in reverse!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,836 ✭✭✭FintanMcluskey


    Lockdowns were a response based on fear and hysteria.

    It was an emotional response as opposed to a data based repsonse.

    Lives were lost, lockdowns didn't save any



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,896 ✭✭✭✭Geuze


    The CSO publish the Vital Stats Annual Report about 22 months after end of year:

    The 2020 report (due in late 2022) should publish the official figure for deaths due to COVID in 2020, generated from the GRO. I expect that the figure will be substantially below the HSE figure of 2,299, by that I mean several hundred below.


    I worry that some people will think that these reported 6,228 deaths are in addition to the typical approx 30,000 deaths per year. Of course they aren't. Many or most of these people would have died anyways.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,896 ✭✭✭✭Geuze


    Although the Vital Stats annual report 2020 won't be out until end 2022, let's have a look at Vital Stats Yearly Summary 2020

    Deaths due to COVID:

    COVID-19 Virus Identified and Virus Unidentified:

    There were 1,672 registered deaths where COVID-19 was assigned as the underlying cause of death in 2020. There were a further 167 mortality records where there was a mention of COVID-19 in the narrative of the death certificate and where the underlying cause of death was not COVID-19.  A new information note is available outlining how the CSO assigns COVID-19 as the underlying cause of death.

    So the figure is 1,672.

    Let us compare that to the HSE figures = 2,299

    So the difference is 627, quite substantial.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,132 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so



    The initial one was effective as it cut people off from each other, gave us some preparation for how things would be and allowed us to see just how vulnerable our care homes were. It also helped limit the pressure on the health system, its primary purpose. Given that we had very limited testing ability and no therapeutics it was about the only move we could make.

    You might also argue that the Christmas one had a rationale and was a data based response even if it went on for far too long. But now we've learnt these things along with an understanding of just how serious things need to be before we'd ever even consider something like a lockdown again.

    I don't get why people are still going on about the CFR two years on. Apart from some very obvious groups it can disproportionately affect, it's always been the risk to health systems, something borne out worldwide.



  • Site Banned Posts: 5,975 ✭✭✭podgeandrodge


    Someone was telling me if you are travelling to Portugal you still require a negative antigen test even if fully vaccinated incl. booster.


    I don't understand this carry on now. With the WHO saying Europe is riddled with Omicron, what's the point?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,836 ✭✭✭FintanMcluskey


    That's all theory though

    Have we any evidence that case numbers were not going to peak and decay naturally without lockdown?

    To remove basic freedoms in such a way, I would like to see irrefutable proof lockdowns saved many lives.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,239 ✭✭✭jackboy


    It is a scandal that we are not using this phase of low hospital admissions to fast track introduction of hepafilters or equivalent measures in schools and workplaces.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,132 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    They probably didn't but it's the wrong metric. They certainly did help out health systems, ours especially, by putting the brakes on the spread of it at very specific times. With vaccines and now Omicron that argument no longer exists. Antivirals, widely accessible testing and other therapeutics mean we we probably won't ever do it again and I'd put it down to a needs must, despite its overuse.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 682 ✭✭✭Pablo Escobar


    What I’ve noticed since the start of the pandemic is the confusion that basic numbers seem to cause people in general. Given that this disease impacts people that are largely in quiet close to end of life (in general), to not factor this into an excess death analysis makes very little sense.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,661 ✭✭✭VG31




  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 13,087 Mod ✭✭✭✭igCorcaigh


    It finally caught up with me... Minor head cold symptoms, antigen test just turned out +ve.



  • Posts: 895 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    I see Martin on the radio suggesting masks could become advisory, rather than a legal requirement soon enough. Also looking to remove the poxy things from schools, but only committing to a ‘hopefully before the summer break’.

    So, nothing massively concrete really.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,987 ✭✭✭Markus Antonius


    When RTE did their little street interviews in the last 6 months, about 90% of the people they cherry-picked randomly asked in the street would always say that they would refuse to eat in a resturant if they didn't either check their covid cert and even check their ID too. I also noticed quite a few boards posters who shared similar extreme views.

    What is the story with this now that the restrictions have been lifted? Are people furious that they now have to share the same air-space with ANtiVaxrs and such?



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