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Covid 19 Part XXXV-956,720 ROI (5,952 deaths) 452,946 NI (3,002 deaths) (08/01) Read OP

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 77 ✭✭ganoga


    don't even bother trying to argue with this poster's false equivalences.

    Besides, It's clear they are 100% set in their way and will not change their mind no matter what us lowly boards posters say



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,052 ✭✭✭✭titan18


    I mean if we're quoting family members, I've a brother doing a phd in pharmacology and has been working on covid items since April 2020 (and he's published papers on it) and he doesn't see the need for boosters for the majority of people (some will need it, most don't). You've no way to verify that (unless I tell you my and his name but I'm not doing that) much as I've no way to verify yours.

    Very few in NPHET are experts in their fields too. Hell, the thing I do know is data as that's what I actually do and I'd strongly object to Nolan being an expert.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,627 ✭✭✭MerlinSouthDub


    The only way any pandemic has ever ended is through the build up of immunity amongst the population over time. We are fortunate with this pandemic that vaccines have reduced the damage done along the way.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 858 ✭✭✭jolivmmx


    And you are set in your way also.

    i don’t think that anything that I could say would change your mind either.

    Neither your opinion nor my own actually matter in the grand scheme



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,287 ✭✭✭mackerski


    If it was 1912 and that was the state of the art for cars, and if travelling 100km wouldn't have been an option otherwise, then I might be happy enough.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,367 ✭✭✭✭hotmail.com




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 858 ✭✭✭jolivmmx


    the purpose of me mentioning family members is that now everybody thinks that their opinions are equal. That non-medical person in my family sees her opinion as equivalent to the medical person’s opinion. People read stuff online now and they think that they are an expert.

    you are only half-reading my posts because you are deducing the wrong thing altogether



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,749 ✭✭✭✭ACitizenErased


    It’s ridiculous to say that the reason staff are out is illness. The reason is isolation guidelines.



  • Site Banned Posts: 5,975 ✭✭✭podgeandrodge


    I'd agree with you other than that it's highly unlikely Norma had anything to do with the decision, or any influence at all, other than being told what was going to happen.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 858 ✭✭✭jolivmmx


    The poster above tried to make it seem like hospital numbers were worse in Jan 2019. This is not true. Staff absenteeism was not a big issue back then.

    Hopefully, if we are all sensible, things will settle down in the next couple of weeks.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,893 ✭✭✭the kelt


    How many are ill or forced to remain at home now to an outdated isolation policy? Since we are talking about family members i have one an icu nurse doing her nut because of this!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 858 ✭✭✭jolivmmx


    Well, 6,000 staff are out due to Covid. I do not have the breakdown of the situation.

    If close contacts who subsequently test positive, they can end up transmitting it to all their colleagues. What will we do then? And what about the vulnerable patients that would get sick from the infected healthcare worker?

    I am certain that they are doing their best to hold up the health service. I am sure that the government would love the healthcare workers to come to work and to get through the busy lists, rather than paying out all the sick leave

    ps hat off to your ICU nurse family member.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,367 ✭✭✭✭hotmail.com


    I would agree with that. Herself and Donnelly have been sidelined.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,611 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    Your argument is an appeal to authority (a logical facllacy)- you never stated the brother had any involvement in vaccines, immunology or covid19 vaccines - just that he was going a PhD in a tangentially related field.

    Its a weak argument and a weak point to attempt to make - and finally its a pseudo-anonymous post on boards with no evidence backing it, so again, worthless. You could be arguing with an actual expert right here in this thread and you wouldnt know it - and yet you try and pull appeal to authority as some kind of backing for your opinion? Lol



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 858 ✭✭✭jolivmmx


    I could say the same right back to you re: who you might be speaking to on Boards.

    I think that somebody with a medical degree, the relevant postgrad exams, MSc in clinical trials and doing a PhD in systematic review methodology has a better understanding and hence more informed opinion than his non-medical sister ?

    Everybody thinks that they are an expert these days. Knowing a few buzz words and reading a few articles online is no comparison for years of study and clinical practice



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 578 ✭✭✭VillageIdiot71


    Can we also note that some medical people have been happy to put their names to statements that are obvious nonsense. For example


    "A Professor of Anaesthesia and Consultant in Critical Care at Beaumont Hospital has said previously healthy people aged in their 30s are dying each week with Covid-19." This is obvious nonsense, as anyone able to read numbers can tell. There simply haven't been weekly deaths of people in their 30s. There have only been a small amount of deaths of people aged under 44 since Covid started.

    Doctors probably have good motives for trying to scare people into getting vaccinated and boosters, but making statements that are obviously pants just undermines their credibility if a security guard who reads the internet can point out that the facts don;t support the statement made.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 77 ✭✭ganoga


    people are fed up of having their lives dictated by measures implemented without logic or reason. We deserve to know why things are being handled the way they are. If measures are imposed based on science, then they should stand on their own merit and not "trust us we are the experts" committee you dumb boards posters wouldn't understand.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 68,190 ✭✭✭✭seamus


    2.5m cases of covid worldwide yesterday according to Worldometers. We exceeded 1m cases worldwide for the first time on 29th December and exactly one week later that number is 2.5 times the size.

    Omicron is an absolute marvel of evolution. The scientist in me is in awe. Once again humanity is humbled by the forces of the universe. We are but a speck floating in a sea, with minimal control over our fate.

    Very positively though, worldwide the death rate is taking a nosedive as Omicron kicks in.


    Israel are starting to find out that their "keep boosting" plan is futile;


    Worldwide we're going to see a pretty insane number of cases in the next couple of months. China despite their success with brutal closures, will also discover that suppression is futile and we'll see them calling in well over a million cases a day at some point, if not 10m or more.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 858 ✭✭✭jolivmmx


    Before you accuse the Professor of ICU of lying, let’s look at the HSPCC report.

    They examine deaths by age between 01/03/2020 and 04/01/2022 (about 90 weeks):

    Looking at the cumulative total of deaths in those (<45 years), there were 73 deaths overall.

    These deaths occurred in clusters (see page 6). So yes, his statement is based in fact.

    https://www.hpsc.ie/a-z/respiratory/coronavirus/novelcoronavirus/surveillance/weeklyreportoncovid-19deathsreportedinireland/COVID-19_Weekly_Death_Report_Website_v1.6.1.pdf



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 77 ✭✭ganoga


    Worldwide we're going to see a pretty insane number of cases in the next couple of months. China despite their success with brutal closures, will also discover that suppression is futile and we'll see them calling in well over a million cases a day at some point, if not 10m or more.

    Most countries outside of the west haven't been bothered by this virus. I think they will simply stop testing instead



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,462 ✭✭✭✭WoollyRedHat




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 858 ✭✭✭jolivmmx


    I hope that we can get back to normal as well!

    Let’s take a walk in the hospital and ask them do they feel the pressure right about now. The Kelt, you mentioned that your loved one is an ICU nurse. I am sure that she will tell you how hard the hospitals are working at the moment to keep the show on the road. I don’t know how much more pressure they can take. I admire anybody working in healthcare.

    Surely, that’s the rationale for the restrictions. And hopefully in a few weeks, when things settle down, we will return to a more normal way of life.

    I just get annoyed that everybody thinks that there opinion is fact these days. I would be pretty annoyed if I spent 10 years of my life working on something and some randomer with no background told me that they understand my field better and that their opinion was more significant than mine



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 578 ✭✭✭VillageIdiot71


    I'm saying he's fibbing, not lying (there's a huge difference), and you need to read your release through the way your relative the security guard would during her long shift.

    84% of deaths have underlying conditions, across all age groups.

    So the chance of all of those 73 deaths under 44 being of previously healthy people is very, very low. I suspect you know this, your relative who's studying evidence based medicine knows it and I expect every professor in every hospital in Ireland knows this.

    Are you seriously going to pretend otherwise?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,621 ✭✭✭FintanMcluskey


    Israel are starting to find out that their "keep boosting" plan is futile;

    When did vaccinations become futile?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,611 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    Thats exactly the point - your tales of master/postgrad etc man are as valid as me telling you on boards that I work in Pfizer in Ireland doing the same thing and I know better - totally unverifiable slop. The appeal to authority is a fallacious argument - the data should speak for itself. Indeed there are many research papers out there already which spell out the data in easier terms for the layman/woman to understand, but the data itself is the real truth - NOT the regurgitations of a self-proclaimed "expert".



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    From latest HSE briefing

    25% of all cases in the past five months have occurred since Christmas Day.

    This week, up to 300,000 PCR tests were completed along with an additional approx. 350,000 antigen tests distributed.

    In ICU, 51% had no vaccination at all while 3% are partially vaccinated.

    Big increases of positive cases are among younger age groups; cases in the 19-44 age group are up 200%




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,611 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    There were 55 deaths that could have possibly been in their 30s. So unless it was near 1/2 deaths per week, very unlikely to be seeing weekly deaths of people in their 30s. Those deaths figures are far more likely to be biased towards the 44 part of that age group (35-44) as age is the #1 indicator of mortality risk from covid.

    It was a scaremongering nonsense statement from someone who should have known better - and you are digging a bigger hole for yourself in defending it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 858 ✭✭✭jolivmmx


    I take my blue inhaler a few times a year. I have never been in hospital before. I would be classed as having an underlying condition due to my asthma

    Just under 1/3 of Irish adults are obese in 2019. These obese people would be classed as having an underlying condition.

    people think that underlying condition means bed-bound at home. But it may be as simple as a few puffs of the inhaler in the cold season, or a cholesterol tablet once a day.

    So, while the people probably had for all intents and purposes underlying conditions, they were probably for all intents and purposes, healthy otherwise



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 858 ✭✭✭jolivmmx


    On Boards, qualifications are irrelevant. However, I am sure that you have all seen countless examples of people with no expertise in a topic thinking that they are experts because of some articles they read online.

    anybody can read any piece of data. But if you do not know what PICO is, what internal validity means, what external validity means, then your interpretation will be poor at best. experts translate for us. It is not as simple as quoting the data. You have to be able to put them into the clinical context that they were examined in. How rigorous was the methodology. To whom can we extrapolate. It would be great if it was just a case of numbers. But they are not dealing with integers, they are dealing with clinical data.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,446 ✭✭✭✭namloc1980


    And way down on the average weekly winter admissions from 2015-2018 for respiratory illnesses which saw an average of c.1,300 weekly admissions.

    Our hospitals are in more or less the same place now as they are every winter. There were 258 occupied ICU beds last night of which 90 are Covid related.

    There is no Covid emergency here, it's a busy winter with respiratory illnesses like it has been for decades. The sooner people realize that, the better.

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