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Covid 19 Part XXXV-956,720 ROI (5,952 deaths) 452,946 NI (3,002 deaths) (08/01) Read OP

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,789 ✭✭✭PowerToWait


    Absolutely no point in questioning these people. They’ll guffaw and splutter in the face of all and every fact.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,248 ✭✭✭✭iamwhoiam




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26 rp79


    Know of several cases being picked up because of antigen that otherwise would have gone undetected. Christmas plans changed for those but better than attending family dinners. The resistance to antigen tests and their representation as snake oil was and is still is absolutely bizarre



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,248 ✭✭✭✭iamwhoiam


    Me too . No PCR tests available but people being sensible and using antigen

    The public are way ahead of NPHET



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,248 ✭✭✭✭iamwhoiam


    Everyone I know have been using antigens for months



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,288 ✭✭✭Backstreet Moyes


    He has been consistently wrong at every stage in this.

    Between 8000 and 20000 is something a child could do.

    The fact is people can't get tests so it's probably way over 20000 and the numbers will be higher over the next few weeks.

    An absolute spoofer is all he is, that's before even going into his comments on Antigen tests.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,459 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    People need to be a bit more cautious with the 'let it rip' mantra.

    One of the reasons Leopardstown Festival has voluntarily gone behind closed doors is the massive level of illness and self-isolation among their usual casual staff complement in that 18-30 cohort.

    I do know the Government is concerned about infrastructural protection, as in preventing illness and isolation in such great numbers that it threatens essential services, like supermarkets, utilities and especially the health service which is already down so many staff with the virus.

    I think many of the posters here would want to cop on over the simplistic view they take of what is a far more complex situation than mere numbers.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,226 ✭✭✭Valhallapt




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,147 ✭✭✭Rosita


    But 13,000 in a situation where he said between 8,000 is not wrong.

    And 2+2=4 is something a child could do too, but it doesn't make it wrong.

    I realise there's much latent anger driving some of the commentary here but it would be good if people used words like "wrong" and "sane" in the traditional sense of their meaning.

    Nolan appears to have correct on this. There are plenty of grey areas and counter-factuals on which Nphet can be challenged I'm sure, but if facts (e.g. 13,000 is a number between 8,000 and 20,000) are not accepted to be facts then what's the point of any discussion?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,942 ✭✭✭✭bucketybuck


    I predict that in January there will be between 1200 and 5000000 covid cases reported. Now, where do I collect my funding?



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,288 ✭✭✭Backstreet Moyes


    People cant get tests the number is far higher than his worst possible scenario already.

    After christmas and new years the numbers are going to explode, way beyond his worst case scenario of 20000.

    He is an absolute spoofer, he should have went between 8000 and 50000 to cover himself.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,558 ✭✭✭Leftwaffe


    With the amount of people isolating And none of them sick, surely to god the rules have to be changed to respond to the severity of Omicron?

    I know about 8 people isolating and none with more than a stuffed nose, some of them with no symptoms. Society can’t function like this.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,936 ✭✭✭✭Frank Bullitt


    I’d be one of them.

    Wont lie, this Christmas is worse for me than last years. We had food dropped off by a family member and he said the same.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,147 ✭✭✭Rosita


    But those numbers are very different from 13,000 to 21,000 in an environment where it was said Nolan's figures were rubbish. As for your funding, I'm sure when you sit down in front of a peer review group and they go through your predictions they'll just be throwing money at you.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,532 ✭✭✭Gusser09


    People saying that we wont see the full impact of case numbers on hospitals for 2 weeks is nonsense. Omicron is less severe than a head cold. The same people are the ones who say nobody wants further restrictions. Its usually them that champion lockdowns and restrictions.

    This is pretty much over folks.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,147 ✭✭✭Rosita


    I've no idea what'll happen in the new year - some people here are saying the pandemic is now over so maybe we'll have zero cases.

    Meanwhile back in the space where we deal with actual data, his prediction has been accurate. Let's be honest, a few days ago on this forum all slightly higher figures were explained away as some mysterious backlog but not a real rise. Looks like Big Phil has had the last laugh.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,623 ✭✭✭FintanMcluskey


    Looks like Big Phil has had the last laugh

    He certainly has.

    He has managed to convince some he knows what he's talking about.

    He's a genius if you ask me



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,226 ✭✭✭Valhallapt


    Brilliantly put. Man who knows nothing about modelling has one model which no longer looks ridiculous due to a new and unexpected variant. He’s neither a genius or a soothsayer. Quite the opposite.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,941 ✭✭✭User1998


    Illness? No. Having covid and not being allowed to work? Yes



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,420 ✭✭✭Cork2021


    Plus that deepti wan is just as bad as Tomas Ryan or even worse! She’s been misleading from the start! Pure an utter zero covid nut job!!



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,398 ✭✭✭Deeper Blue


    So because there are 13000 cases today Nolan has had the "last laugh" despite being a million miles off with everything so far?

    GTFO



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 375 ✭✭Jimi H


    https://www.nytimes.com/2021/12/24/world/africa/south-africa-covid-quarantine.html

    S. Africa ends quarantine for asymptomatic cases and contact tracing requirements:


    South Africa’s government, buoyed by encouraging data showing that infections from the Omicron variant aren’t as severe, has dropped quarantine restrictions for all but symptomatic people.


    That includes allowing people who have tested positive but show no symptoms to gather with others, so long as they wear a mask and social distance. A top health official explained that since the variant spreads so quickly, there are likely many infected people socializing with others and it no longer made sense to quarantine only those who have tested themselves.


    The move was yet another step toward a slow acceptance that many countries around the world will likely need to find a way to live with Covid, rather than avoid it. The new measures follow recommendations from a committee of experts who called for focusing on vaccinations rather than contact tracing and quarantining.


    “There is greater recognition that, in the face of a hyper-contagious variant like this, quarantining and isolation are no longer effective as public health containment measures to contain the virus,” said Professor Francois Venter, a researcher at the University of the Witwatersrand in Johannesburg and a former member of the committee.


    The new protocols go into effect immediately, the health ministry said in a notice to local health department heads. The revisions were based on data showing that immunity resulting from previous infections was as high as 80 percent. That, coupled with a vaccination rate of nearly 45 percent among adults in the country, has kept hospitalizations lower, the South African government said.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,183 ✭✭✭Neamhshuntasach


    Something will have to give. It can't continue on like this especially when it is now very much appearing that Omicron is fast becoming the dominant strain, but is pretty much a mild to moderate cold for those that are vaccinated.

    I don't have a friend or family member that has not had plans today altered due to a positive antigen test. Pretty much the same for my wife. I've gone through almost 2 years of this without knowing many with any sort of positive result. And without exaggeration, this week I know about of 50.

    The group chats where we have talked about it, it seems most are similar to me in symptoms. A few aches, bit of a cough and a scratchy throat. If I had this pre 2020, I'd have thought I just had a bog standard cold.

    Think it's time to move to a common sense and personal responsibility approach. Open everything and if someone clearly has symptoms. They should have a bit of cop on and maybe stay home or away from crowds indoors until symtoms have past. None of that 10 day isolation sh1te.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,623 ✭✭✭FintanMcluskey


    How about from now on, only those who are sick will isolate?

    They way society has always been



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,518 ✭✭✭fun loving criminal


    I love your last paragraph about moving to common sense and personal responsibility. Someone came into work coughing last week, said they had a chest infection and they thought it was ok to go into work. That is far from common sense. And not the only idiot that came in with a self diagnosed "cold" either.


    Even if they were tested and a negative result, the HSE says to isolate until 48 hours after symptoms disappear but that message seems to get lost with people.


    Most people have lost all common sense because they couldn't care less anymore.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,420 ✭✭✭Cork2021


    We can’t keep testing! The time will come that the only time we’ll test people is when there’s hospitalisations to confirm is it flu or covid!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,385 ✭✭✭✭Cluedo Monopoly


    What are they doing in the Hyacinth House?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,183 ✭✭✭Neamhshuntasach


    Well that's basically my point. Stop having people that aren't sick isolate. Most will follow that principle. There'll always be some idiots who will rock up somewhere while looking like death though. But trust should be given to the people.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,876 ✭✭✭bokale


    Isolation while sick is a new thing since Covid for me



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,248 ✭✭✭✭iamwhoiam


    Actually I do . My daughters friends , our friends , my family and people i met at the school gates .



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