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The walking dead .. most of the wests car industry

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Comments

  • Registered Users Posts: 8 Gatorcar


    With Teslas soon being made in Germany, will that mean they will be cheaper in relation to taxes, as they are are being made in the EU as opposed to the USA? Like no 10% import duty



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,969 ✭✭✭enricoh


    I couldn't keep watching as yer man's undersized shirt looks rediculous!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,467 ✭✭✭vandriver


    Why is ridiculous misspelled so often?

    It's defiantly a thing.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,299 ✭✭✭SCOOP 64




  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    I think you'll just see the mainstreaming of EVs from the big brands in the next few years.

    They're not really that likely to suddenly just be wiped out. They've huge economies of scale in manufacturing, distribution and very strong design and branding capabilities.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,666 ✭✭✭✭silverharp


    I think it will be more gradual, there is still resistance in countries like Germany as they dont think twice about driving 1,000km or driving to the French coast for their holliers so that would be off putting for now

    A belief in gender identity involves a level of faith as there is nothing tangible to prove its existence which, as something divorced from the physical body, is similar to the idea of a soul. - Colette Colfer



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,081 ✭✭✭fricatus


    Yes, but I doubt they'll just drop the price by 10% or whatever. If demand continues to exceed supply, you can bet they'll just keep selling at the same price and pocket the tax difference.

    You're definitely right that there's resistance right now, but the shift to electric is gaining momentum. The pure EV market in Ireland has gone from under 1% in 2018 to over 7% this year. Don't underestimate the network effect of all those extra EV owners telling friends that it was a good decision and yes, you can actually travel long distances.

    Two years ago, we had to do some serious planning to get anywhere outside of 100 km from home. Compare that with a month ago, when we drove from Donegal to Waterford in six hours (including an hour for lunch). We didn't wait around charging any longer than it took to go to the bathroom, and the charging at lunchtime (on Ionity) was practically finished by the time we'd sat down with our food.

    It sometimes feels like slow progress, but the EV infrastructure everywhere is really improving. I'm looking forward to a trip to London at the end of October to see how the UK's network is coming on. Check out Gridserv's setup in Braintree - as people see these locations popping up, any resistance they had to EVs will fall away.



  • Registered Users Posts: 95 ✭✭Josephfromdowntheroad


    Would be great if Tesla's came down in price for us if they set up production in Europe but I won't hold my breath.

    If they want everyone to be driving EV's then everyone needs to be alone to afford to drive one.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,031 ✭✭✭✭Del2005


    Since they never sold their $35k model 3, as they could make more money on more expensive versions, I don't see them doing much apart from announcing their $25k vehicle, but you won't be able to buy a $25k Tesla new



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,400 ✭✭✭sk8board


    Not only will the Tesla price not come down, it’s gone up.

    the model 3 LR (the only Tesla you need) is near as dammit €65k now, or €70k if you’re using their financing.

    it’s bonkers.

    as for “the Wests” Kodak moment, if you check the data, VW sold more ID4’s here in Ireland from March to July than Tesla has ever sold in Ireland ever across all their models.

    ”the West” is very much awake to this, and cars like the ID4 are right in the sweet spot of range, functionality and price. why would anyone buy a Tiguan is the real question.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,617 ✭✭✭celtic_oz


    The west includes America ( def )

    as per the OP : Serious Kodak moment for some ** big names coming over the next 3 years. Eg GM, FORD, BMW etc

    ** Not VW, Tesla or Volvo or anyone who is all in on electric

    When the Chinese avalanche of cheap EVs hits over the next few years its curtains for ICE




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,354 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    I have to ask again, what is the absolute obsession with Teslas? They are total shytboxes as regards materials and build quality?!

    The big car conglomerates are making huge leaps to be out of ICE earlier than anticipated or demanded. Its far more likely that they will have the economies of scale to invest in development and keep their prices lower and therefore eat the lunch of the likes of Tesla quite quickly.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,617 ✭✭✭celtic_oz




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,861 ✭✭✭✭mfceiling


    I'm a tesla owner and it's a bit disingenuous to call them shyteboxes. The materials used are pretty decent. The leather seats in my model 3 are very comfortable, electrically adjustable and heated (all 5 are heated). The build quality is good....not brilliant but not as bad as you make out.

    The software is streets ahead of anything else. So quick, user friendly and intuitive to use. To put it in context my wife has a new BMW 840d and the screen on it looks like something from the 80's with more buttons scattered around the cabin than a jumbo jet!!


    The Tesla charging network is a thing of beauty. Reverse in, plug in and you are charging in less than 10 seconds at high speed. Everything can be controlled off the app which is also incredibly user friendly. A friend dropped me a pin on Google maps on Monday past. I clicked on the link, shared it to the car and a couple of seconds later it was on the display screen. So simple.


    Have a read on the ev forum about the ID3 and ID4 software problems.



  • Registered Users Posts: 8 Gatorcar


    Hi mfceiling, just wondering as you are already an ev over with a model 3, I assume you are an ev convert, what are you doing with a new 840d? Genuinely curious



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,861 ✭✭✭✭mfceiling




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,297 ✭✭✭✭AMKC
    Ms


    Na the real question is Why would anyone buy a VW when they could have Audi if they were buying for the badge and prestige or a Skoda Enyaq if not which is much nicer than the VWs and cheaper as well as better equipped.

    The Renault Megane Ev will be cheaper than the VWs too and better in every way. It will outsell both the VWs.

    Live long and Prosper

    Peace and long life.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,561 ✭✭✭Markcheese


    People buy into brands -

    Styling / materials , whatever - a lot of people like VW ,

    Will the Megan be much cheaper than an Id 3? Probably not much .

    Better ? Depends on the buyer ..

    Slava ukraini 🇺🇦



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,617 ✭✭✭celtic_oz




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,395 ✭✭✭Dartz


    I smell Hyperbole.

    What'll kill a car company is a lack of people with money to buy its products. It needs to keep producing new cars to stay in business - and all companies are governed by this. Cars are fast reaching the point of non-affordability for people to own and operate - or are being propped up the PCP Ponzi schemes. I don't actually know where the money comes from if it's never actually paid off.....

    Anyway.

    That'll kill Tesla as fast as it'll kill BMW.

    Modern car combanies are not going to get Kodak'd. What happened to Kodak is the exact opposite of what people think. As digital started to become a thing, Kodak positioned itself as an Imaging company, rather than as a Film company. They made digital cameras that could dock with printers and would give you the exact same photos you normally got from the chemist. This was great until Whatsapp came along and people no longer wanted printed photos to show off. Fujifilm, on the other hand, realised that all their film experience made them a 'chemical' company, and they moved into stuff like cosmetics, and also still produce digital cameras and instant film.

    Anyway, for one thing - the transition away from dinosaur burners has been well telegraphed, so it can be planned for and product and technology roadmaps drawn up.



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  • Posts: 2,827 [Deleted User]


    According to management of Renault they aim for Megane to be 4 to 6% cheaper with more scope for dealer discounts and better like for like specification across the trim levels along with more aggressive financing deals. It will do well but many people will continue buying the VAG product even if the real world range in the Renault is better. Renault 5 and 4 are following on from the Megane. VAG and Renault will survive. BMW and Mercedes will have to hope their "Brand" is strong enough to carry them through. I can see Ford retrenching to U.S. like GM.

    That electric viking youtuber is just a shill for Tesla and avoid him.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,617 ✭✭✭celtic_oz


    There's a wooden horse at the gates .. drag it in quick





  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 51,289 ✭✭✭✭bazz26


    More copy and pasting of EV fanboy youtuber videos. Riveting stuff. I'll never look at kitchen appliances in the same light again.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,790 ✭✭✭✭galwaytt


    Indeed.

    So literally nothing to worry about, frankly.

    Chinese quality is, and will remain, suspect. I've imported vehicles (and other stuff) from China, btdt, have the T-shirt.

    And shipping costs now being what they are ($15k a container now versus €1100 a couple of years ago), means landed costs will be higher. Which means the gap between those and EU made ones will be smaller.

    One thing the whole pandemic and Suez crisis has brought home is that manufacturing now needs to take place closer to consumption. Having entire production lines running slow or closed for the want of a €1 part from the other side of the world has exposed the JIT model as not infallible.

    This is why you see the like of chip manufacturers rushing to build capacity in the EU & US.

    Ode To The Motorist

    “And my existence, while grotesque and incomprehensible to you, generates funds to the exchequer. You don't want to acknowledge that as truth because, deep down in places you don't talk about at the Green Party, you want me on that road, you need me on that road. We use words like freedom, enjoyment, sport and community. We use these words as the backbone of a life spent instilling those values in our families and loved ones. You use them as a punch line. I have neither the time nor the inclination to explain myself to a man who rises and sleeps under the tax revenue and the very freedom to spend it that I provide, and then questions the manner in which I provide it. I would rather you just said "thank you" and went on your way. Otherwise I suggest you pick up a bus pass and get the ********* ********* off the road” 



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,238 ✭✭✭saabsaab


    They major car makers would need to take note. China is a big threat to thenm in the future. I remember (barely) the huge UK auto industry looking down on Japanese cars. Too tinny, not safe too rusty, about 10 years later they were almost wiped out!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,790 ✭✭✭✭galwaytt


    a huge difference between the engineering ethos of Japan & China tbh.

    Ode To The Motorist

    “And my existence, while grotesque and incomprehensible to you, generates funds to the exchequer. You don't want to acknowledge that as truth because, deep down in places you don't talk about at the Green Party, you want me on that road, you need me on that road. We use words like freedom, enjoyment, sport and community. We use these words as the backbone of a life spent instilling those values in our families and loved ones. You use them as a punch line. I have neither the time nor the inclination to explain myself to a man who rises and sleeps under the tax revenue and the very freedom to spend it that I provide, and then questions the manner in which I provide it. I would rather you just said "thank you" and went on your way. Otherwise I suggest you pick up a bus pass and get the ********* ********* off the road” 



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,205 ✭✭✭cruizer101


    I wouldn't say nothing to worry about, don't see car companies collapsing because of them but they could well take a chunk of market share.

    A lot of the components have to com from China anyway.

    And in terms of quality reviews indicate it to be decent enough so long as they can meet safety standards and are cheap they will sell, look at dacias hardly high quality but they sell well.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,238 ✭✭✭saabsaab


    Yea now but my point is Japan was once in the marketplace as is China is now. Things change some younger people on this forum don't remember when Japanese meant cheap and poor quality.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,238 ✭✭✭saabsaab


    Dacia was one of the most reliable cars in a survey in the UK! Dacia seems to be in the place where Skoda was 30 years ago.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,151 ✭✭✭✭josip




  • Registered Users Posts: 729 ✭✭✭SupplyandDemandZone


    I think i'd trust the people in the Honda boardroom to know what the future holds more than this guy tbh. Will EV use increase yeah of course it will but some of his predictions seem hopeful more than realistic.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,238 ✭✭✭saabsaab




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,541 ✭✭✭Leonard Hofstadter


    Well said, a fridge freezer is still a fridge freezer no matter who makes it.

    Meanwhile, back in the real world, Toyota and BMW have both posted record profits despite their lack of white good on wheels, sorry I mean electric, options.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,617 ✭✭✭celtic_oz


    some fridge freezers are outselling 911's

    you can take some solice in the fact that they can make them sound like legacy ICE even though they are (or will be shortly) better in every other metric

    I think Nokia had their biggest profits the year the iphone 1 came out in 2007.

    Post edited by celtic_oz on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 138 ✭✭Turbolounge


    Didn't the Tesla model 3 outsell the BMW 3 series this year so far? Also far outsold the a4/a5, and c class.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,541 ✭✭✭Leonard Hofstadter


    60% of Porsches are still powered by just a petrol engine in Europe (at least in the first half of 2021), meanwhile the 911 is their third biggest seller of 2021, ahead of the Taycan. The Cayenne and Macan are their biggest sellers.

    https://www.carmag.co.za/news/best-selling-porsche-models-first-half-2021/



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,354 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    Joe Duffy VW on the news this evening. Half of their order books is now EV.

    Half.

    I wouldn't be worried about the West's car industry, not Europe and Korea and Japan anyway. And certainly not from China. Chinese makers would be at nothing without Western tie-ups, old tooling and rip-offs.

    If Western nations decide to prevent cheap Chinese crap from entering their markets, they will. The Chinese can't afford to reciprocate.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,238 ✭✭✭saabsaab


    You sound like the UK automakers talking about the Japanese in the 60's.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,354 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    We should be thankful, in that case, that the western car makers of today make far, far superior products, in relative terms, than the absolute crocks of shyt that UK makers were churning out in the 1960s and 70s.

    VW, Stellantis, Renault-Nissan, Toyota, Hyundai-Kia; none of these have anything to fear from Chinese independents.

    Ford, GM, JLR and indys like Honda and Mazda might do, but for different reasons. I see further consolidation in the future that might sort some of that, but if the best the Chinese can do is buy up floaters like Volvo or ship in low rent crap like the so-called MG, it wont worry the big euro makers.

    That said, they will have to keep working hard to be at the leading edge and thats good for everyone. What really left British makers vulnerable to the Japs in the 60s and 70s, apart from the Union troubles, was complacency.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 60,170 Mod ✭✭✭✭Wibbs


    Oh they did, but the UK industry knew it was in dire straits so that was a hail mary negative marketing drive. Even the early Japanese models were streets ahead in reliability, tech and included options when compared to the faltering British made offerings. They were initially more expensive but once their prices started dropping the British stuff was in trouble. That said the "British" stuff from Ford and Opel(as much German as British) were still big sellers well into the 90's Ditto for French and German.

    Rejoice in the awareness of feeling stupid, for that’s how you end up learning new things. If you’re not aware you’re stupid, you probably are.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,617 ✭✭✭celtic_oz




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,238 ✭✭✭saabsaab


    I remember that early Japanese cars (early 70's) were sold on their extras (radio, heaters tinted glass) they were reliable but rusted like hell. Techwise the UK wasn't behind, in fact early Japanese cars used modified copies of British engines.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 60,170 Mod ✭✭✭✭Wibbs


    To be fair the rusted like hell thing wasn't just a Japanese thing back then. Fiats were famous for it. And unlike the Japanese stuff were about as a reliable as a baby's arse; sooner or later they would poo themselves. Lancias would dissolve in the rain like a sugar lump and stayed that way well into the 80's. Other European stuff was a little better, but not by much. Mercs were about the best, though that wouldn't have been hard. I can just about remember as a car mad little kid in the 70's my dad and rellies mentioning the tin worm on a regular basis. Some garages were doing a roaring trade in underbody coatings and injecting wax into sills and the like. Jags could be ok in the underbody, mainly because they leaked so much oil out of the engine they coated themselves. 😁

    By the 90's the Europeans had got their skates on and rust protection got much better, so the car at least survived the terms of the warranty. Japanese even that "recently" didn't to near the same degree. A lot of 90's Japanese cars fell to the tin worm long before the running gear wore out. Japanese domestic market models had even less corrosion protection(in many ways the Japanese domestic market is even more throwaway than the Western). To find a 90's JDM car without rust and/or that hasn't been repaired with welding gear is a rare thing indeed. They also had the nasty habit of rusting from the inside out. 😮

    And yep they did use British engine designs early on, but made them better and more reliable than the originals. Better engineering, materials and manufacturing.

    Rejoice in the awareness of feeling stupid, for that’s how you end up learning new things. If you’re not aware you’re stupid, you probably are.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,151 ✭✭✭✭josip


    I remember going to athletics races as a kid in the early 80s. We'd all pile into the back of the coach's Datsun. There were a lot of back roads. One wet day we were driving through a larger puddle than normal and he warned us all to lift our feet. A few seconds later the rear footwells filled up with a couple of inches (because all we had back then were inches) of water. The floor under the carpet was riddled with holes.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,238 ✭✭✭saabsaab


    Yep. I've herard of people using bits of sheeting from old washing machines and old baking trays to replace rusted out footewells.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,354 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    Pretty well all volume cars of that era rusted through. I'm old enough to remember how quick new cars would deteriorate. Some more than others, Fiats, Datsuns, Toyotas, Lancias, Mazdas were very poor.

    My Da and Grandad drove Renaults and they spent huge time protecting them from rust, having them garaged, using protective coatings etc and still it was a losing battle.

    Our neighbour had a magnificent Citroën CX from new, but the rot wasn't long about setting in there either.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 60,170 Mod ✭✭✭✭Wibbs


    An uncle of mine collects classic Italian stuff and around 30 years ago he bought an early 60's Alfa from its first owner. The guy soon after he bought it had filled the cavities with used engine oil(an old if smelly hack that one) and later waxoyl and when the uncle got it to restore it badly needed a paintjob and an interior retrim, but when they got the old paint off and the interior out they were all shocked that the only bit that needed welding was at one bottom corner of the windscreen surround. The rest was as soild as a rock. I never liked the oul shutz underseal "protection" as more often than not the rust ran along underneath it where you wouldn't see it until something finally fell off. I swear by the wax type stuff in the cavities and back of panels.

    Rejoice in the awareness of feeling stupid, for that’s how you end up learning new things. If you’re not aware you’re stupid, you probably are.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,238 ✭✭✭saabsaab


    Yep, remember the Fiats as well don't remember the Renaults being bad back then. Our family had VWs and British makes and can't remember that much rust with them (maybe they were too new?)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    The resistance as you call it is around three factors. I actually don't think there is resistance but the three big blockers are high price, range anxiety and of course our current very poor charging infrastructure.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,238 ✭✭✭saabsaab




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