78% of all new cars sold in Norway are pure electric

Not pure EV though I'd guess.

Majority will be hybrids. Most people I speak to aren't ready for full ev yet.

If say it'll be a decade before 78% of new cars will be full ev in Ireland.

What did they do with all their old ICE cars?

I meant the majority in Ireland will be hybrids, in response to Unkels comment.

I wasn't chatting about Norway's sales figures.

Here is Ireland. Engine types across the years since 2007. New cars only

few yeasr? I'd say more than 5. Considering both HEVs and PHEVs are on upward trend and treated equal from taxation point of view with BEVs, imminent removal of most incentives, there will be very little push to go "full electric". Maybe the fuel price. Just passed by Ballymun Circke K and saw petrol @ 1.61&1.69/l. That's 100km for someone on night tariff.

Interesting to see how the recession and taxation flipped the fuel mix in 2008- 2011. Unfortunately there is so much FUD. Like to 1.2bn for 100k EVs vehiculated in media. It first appeared on a SEAI report, with the note that the figures were calculated based on 2019 incentives which now changed. Figures which were wrong anyway. All media outlets use this figure as what gov is using to fund the "green cars". When motor tax changed in 2008, there was a drop for a TDI Passat from 600+ to about 200 a year. Who complained? The EV is taxed @120 which is just less that a 100 quid from a Diesel. Everyone shouts about "loss in revenue". Really? This coupled with the hesitant policies would stall the momentum and if nothing changes 40% is max we can ever dream to. I want to be proven wrong.

The removal on incentives is already happening. First was reduction of grants for businesses, then complete removal. The VRT rebate was capped for 40k+ cars then drops and removed completely @50k. Grant was removed from 60k+. BIK is due to expire at end of 2022. (rumor has it it may be extended but right know it is in the law) . The IT article is based on some report of some governmental task force which contradicts another governmental task force which suggest more needs to be done. The gov set 900k+ plug-in cars by 2030. There is no clear cut way of how to achieve that. And nobody believes that it can be reached.

2 government papers have been produced this year that give opposing viewpoints.

The first one is from the department of Finance and is called "Climate Action and Tax Paper Tax Strategy Group – 21/09". Sorry I can't post the link directly but on page 35 it recommends consideration be given to capping VRT relief on vehicles upto 30k.

The other paper is from the department of Transport and is called "Electric Vehicle Policy Pathway Working Group Report 2021" it recommends continuing funding for VRT relief upto the end of 2022, funding permitting!

There seems to be an expectation from some car dealers that the VRT relief will be reduced.

Hybrid and phev are not the way to go. Laser discs of the car world. Upcoming regulation will render these engine types no better than ice and some manufacturers like skoda have already said they won't develop any more (and likely are planning phasing out what they have) they know which way the wind is blowing.

Range is an issue for an ever smaller % of people so fewer blockers. Price and availability are biggest challenges. The vast majority couldn't afford to switch as the proliferation of 2nd hand cars is still too low.