Advertisement
If you have a new account but are having problems posting or verifying your account, please email us on hello@boards.ie for help. Thanks :)
Hello all! Please ensure that you are posting a new thread or question in the appropriate forum. The Feedback forum is overwhelmed with questions that are having to be moved elsewhere. If you need help to verify your account contact hello@boards.ie
Hi all! We have been experiencing an issue on site where threads have been missing the latest postings. The platform host Vanilla are working on this issue. A workaround that has been used by some is to navigate back from 1 to 10+ pages to re-sync the thread and this will then show the latest posts. Thanks, Mike.
Hi there,
There is an issue with role permissions that is being worked on at the moment.
If you are having trouble with access or permissions on regional forums please post here to get access: https://www.boards.ie/discussion/2058365403/you-do-not-have-permission-for-that#latest

Average V Median wage Ireland?

17891113

Comments

  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 27,258 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    Knowing the number of full time workers and knowing who those workers are is simply not the same thing.



  • Registered Users Posts: 684 ✭✭✭Benedict


    The number of full time workers cannot be calculated without knowing the identity. If you have a road with 100 houses on it. How can you calculate the number of ft workers without knowing who they are? This is a straight question now.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,091 ✭✭✭Sarn


    The number of FT workers can be based on aggregated data e.g. Company A reports that they have 57 FT workers and 13 PT workers. Do this for every employer and you would then be able to get a FT figure with no, or virtually no link to the individual.



  • Registered Users Posts: 684 ✭✭✭Benedict


    We already know how many ft workers there are. Apart from CSO publishing very precise figures, Leo could not have given his "average" ft income without knowing the how many ft there were. Are you saying that the number of ft workers has been arrived at by examining company reports?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,532 ✭✭✭crossman47


    As I have told you above, the number of full time workers is estimated from a household sample survey. Therefore the idea that each of them is an identifiable person is nonsense.



  • Registered Users Posts: 684 ✭✭✭Benedict


    Sorry, not interested in "household sample surveys" - I'm sure they make interesting reading as regards trends and such like but we are dealing with very precise measurements here of the number of ft which you don't get with "household sample surveys".

    The number of ft workers is known along with their gross income. Achieving that data had to involve interaction with figures which would include who is earning what. Let's go back to our Anywhere Road. 100 people working and the stats say 80 are ft earning a total of 40k per week.

    So how do I arrive at that figure unless it is by knowing who earns what? By doing a "household survey" on the corner house and extrapolating from there?

    Sorry, not good enough.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,091 ✭✭✭Sarn


    It took me about a minute of googling to find where the figure of 1.8 million FT workers came from. The CSO show their methodology here:

    As you can see it is based on a quarterly survey of a sample of private households.

    “Survey Size: 

    The original quarterly sample 26,000 households has been increased incrementally by 1,300 households from Q3 2017 to account for the additional attrition as a result of the introduction of mixed mode data collection. This has resulted in a total sample of 32,500 from Q3 2018 onwards.”



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,676 ✭✭✭✭Peregrinus


    Your first statement here is logically flawed - it's obviously possible to know the number of things in a set without knowing the identity of each thing in the set. And we've explained to you several times statistical methods for calculating the size of a set without identifying all the members of the set - real-life statistical methods routinely used by real-life statistical agencies like the CSO.

    And, without your first statement, the rest of your argument collapses.

    It's time to give up, Benedict. What you should be pressing for is for the CSO to gather the data from which median full-time earnings could be extrapolated; not trying to persuade us that they have already gathered the data but for unstated reasons fail or refuse to make the calculation. You're in conspiracy theory territory there.



  • Registered Users Posts: 684 ✭✭✭Benedict


    Firstly, let me be clear, I'm not the slightest bit interested in persuading anyone to believe anything. I'm simply amazed that in a 21st Century high-tech Western European democracy, nobody knows the median wage for ft workers. Forget "persuading" - it just intrigues me, that's all.

    I agree that the argument has become silly - but not because of me! Of course "it's obviously possible to know the number of things in a set without knowing the identity of each thing in the set." and I've never suggested otherwise and it would be moronic to do so. On the matter of identity, I was being specific and not speaking generally - so you need to be careful not to make that logical error yourself.

    Everyone knows that average ft income bears little relationship to what most ft workers actually earn - but that doesn't appear to matter!

    When Leo proudly trotted out that the "average [ft] person" in 2020 was earning 47k, the fact that most ft workers didn't earn within an ass's roar of that didn't seem to matter. There was "high-fiving" all 'round and everyone went home happy.

    It's just the way it is it seems!



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,717 ✭✭✭✭Geuze


    Even though the 47k is not the median for FT workers, there will still be plenty of FT workers earning close to 47k.



  • Registered Users Posts: 684 ✭✭✭Benedict


    The problem is that there is a widespread belief that if the "average" is 49k (that's what the current estimate seems to be) then that is what most are getting and if you are earning less than that you are sub-normal in income terms whereas in fact that is not true.

    If there was an announcement on the six o'clock news that although the "average" is 49k, most people don't earn anything like that amount, then the vast majority of ft workers earning maybe 750 per week might realise that they are not doing all that badly.

    The notion that it is impossible to get a fairly accurate estimate of the median ft income is not credible. But who want to campaign at election time by announcing that most ft workers earn, say, 37k?

    49k sounds so much more impressive.

    It's high time the Irish people demanded truth in respect of what MOST ft workers earn.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 27,258 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    It's high time the Irish people demanded truth in respect of what MOST ft workers earn.

    The median isn't going to tell you much about that either.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,717 ✭✭✭✭Geuze


    Eurostat publish median annual earnings data for FT workers.

    https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/labour-market/earnings/database

    In 2018, the figure is 40,074.

    EARN_SES_ANNUAL

    So we know what median annual earnings are in 2018.



  • Registered Users Posts: 684 ✭✭✭Benedict


    For some reason I couldn't locate this from your link. Could you possibly take a snapshot of where it says the median ft wage (2018) for an Irish worker is E40,074?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,532 ✭✭✭crossman47


    Back in February, I said:

    In 2018 for all workers, the median was 36k when the mean was 44k. Based on that, I would think the median for full time workers must be in the region of 38 to 41K. I don't think its possible for CSO to calculate a median as they base their data on aggregate data from employers. They van do it for all employees by using Revenue data.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users Posts: 684 ✭✭✭Benedict


    Only yesterday, Geuze stated that he knew that the median wage for ftw 2018 was E40,074. I've requested a screenshot of the data and hopefully it will be forthcoming soon.

    During the next election campaign we will probably be told that the average ft worker earns 49k (if may have risen to 50k by then). If nobody knows what the median wage is then the public should be reminded that the "average" and what most ft workers earn are two very different things.

    If the median ft wage were higher than the average (which it could be in certain circumstances) we would quickly be presented with the median figure and not the average.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 27,258 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    Here




  • Registered Users Posts: 684 ✭✭✭Benedict


    At last there seems to be a direct hit. This chart appears to tick all the boxes - it's full time workers, it's Ireland and it's the median wage.

    The figure is for 2018 but I reckon it won't have increased since then and if anything - given the effects of the pandemic on wages - the median figure will have decreased (though the "average" may have increased).

    So the ft workers of Ireland can now be confident that if they are earning around E770 p/w they are not sub-normal in wage terms.

    I hope the powers-that-be now take note of this figure and stop pretending that most Irish ft workers earn E940 p/w. because they don't.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,532 ✭✭✭crossman47


    Do you ever give up? Nobody ever said most Irish workers earn the mean salary.



  • Registered Users Posts: 684 ✭✭✭Benedict


    With respect, crossman, you need to focus. My argument along has been that most Irish ft workers do not earn the mean/average.

    Concentrate!



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,091 ✭✭✭Sarn


    Just to point out again that the median figure reported above is based on survey data collected by the CSO. The methodology used has been explained previously and will be the best that we have available.

    It is also difficult to know what effect the pandemic will have on the median wage. If people lost their jobs or moved to part time they would be removed from the FT survey.

    Would it be reasonable to think that a higher percentage of lower paid workers would have been affected? E.g. restaurant staff, hairdressers etc. The effect that PUP and other payments could make it even more difficult to work out. In reality though I would think that more people are worse off.



  • Registered Users Posts: 684 ✭✭✭Benedict


    Various methodologies, surveys etc. have been pointed out by a number of contributors but the E40,074 report was the first complete answer to the question "What is the median ft wage in Ireland?". Other contributions, without exception, had omissions of some kind so any suggestion that this question has been answered before is simply wrong. Some contributors seem to think the question has been answered before - but it hasn't - not fully answered.

    Yes, it is difficult to know how the pandemic will affect the average or median ft wage. My guess is that both the average and median since the pandemic will both rise because so many lower earners will be excluded. But it's hard to say.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,091 ✭✭✭Sarn


    My point is that it is not the complete answer that you have claimed to be seeking all this time. It is based on the survey data obtained by the CSO, with all of the caveats that have been highlighted previously. This is not a different set of data, but is as good an answer as we will get.



  • Registered Users Posts: 684 ✭✭✭Benedict


    "What is the median ft wage in Ireland?". That was the question. What is incomplete about the answer given?



  • Registered Users Posts: 71 ✭✭ckeng



    It's based on a statistical sample, not on the complete set of full time workers and their respective salaries. If you're happy with that then 40074 is the answer, but you've previously rejected answers based on samples...



  • Registered Users Posts: 684 ✭✭✭Benedict


    I never rejected any median figure which was presented together with a credible basis for it. Not even one time. Can you pinpoint where you think this happened?



  • Registered Users Posts: 71 ✭✭ckeng


    The Eurostat data comes from the CSO. The CSO data comes from the household survey which you're not interested in.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,259 ✭✭✭twin_beacon


    "if you want to see what people are earning, look up job.ie - and read the ads in the papers."

    jobs.ie and newspapers will not give you the full picture, for the most part it will have medium to low paid jobs. I'm a software engineer, and we are hiring at the moment. However we only use recruitment agencies that focus on IT related jobs. Our open jobs will be listed on our corporate web site and our agencies web site, but most of our hires comes from a recruitment agent either head hunting someone, or from a list of people they have with the qualifications that are looking to change job.



  • Registered Users Posts: 684 ✭✭✭Benedict


    "I never rejected any median figure which was presented together with a credible basis for it. Not even one time. Can you pinpoint where you think this happened?"

    You haven't pinpointed where a "median figure" was "presented together with a credible basis for it" prior to the 40074 estimate.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,717 ✭✭✭✭Geuze


    One thing that I find odd is that the Structure of Earnings Survey (SES) obviously takes place here.

    Yet the CSO do not publish any data series titles SES.

    They publish earnings data under the heading Structural Earnings, I wonder is that the same survey?

    https://www.cso.ie/en/statistics/earnings/structuralearnings/



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,717 ✭✭✭✭Geuze


    I now see some more information on the SES in Ireland:


    The survey size is 50,000 workers.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,717 ✭✭✭✭Geuze


    Benedict,

    this distribution and info may be helpful:


    Q: The CSO Earnings and Labour Costs release contains average earnings data, how are these averages calculated? 

    A: The Earnings and Labour Costs quarterly release publishes statistics on average weekly and hourly earnings and labour costs where these average earnings figures are mean earnings. For example, average weekly earnings are calculated by summing the earnings of all employees in a sector and dividing by the sum of all the employees in that sector whereas average hourly earnings are calculated by summing the earnings of all employees in a sector and dividing by the sum of all hours worked by employees in the sector.

    As is typical in earnings distributions, a relatively small number of high earners result in a positively skewed earnings distribution of employees in Ireland. In a positively skewed earnings distribution, mean earnings are greater than median earnings as the mean is increased by those higher earners. In such cases median earnings (the middle earner in the economy or sector) may be a more reflective figure of the average earnings of employees in the economy or sector. Please see the graph below which illustrates the earnings distribution of employees in Ireland in 2018. This data is taken from the Earnings Analysis using Administrative Data Sources 2018 publication. This release produces both mean and median earnings statistics.

    The Earnings and Labour Costs release is based upon firm level earnings data which is used to produce mean earnings statistics and thus cannot produce median earnings statistics.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,717 ✭✭✭✭Geuze


    Here is a chart of earnings distribution in 2018:




  • Registered Users Posts: 684 ✭✭✭Benedict


    I'm sure that the NACE (40074) figure is not perfect but at least they are emphatic when it comes to differentiating ft from pt and they give a firm figure - not just for Ireland but for a long list of countries. Unless NACE credibility is called into question, I think that their figure is the one to go for.

    There needs to be much more emphasis given in official circles to distinguishing between ft and pt. Even in the section you quoted the lines appear to be blurred. I quote "In such cases median earnings (the middle earner in the economy or sector) may be a more reflective figure of the average earnings of employees in the economy or sector". What is he talking about? Median earnings being "reflective" of average? I'd love to hear him proving that!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,676 ✭✭✭✭Peregrinus


    It's not a particularly enlightening comment = the median is one kind of average, the others being the mean and the mode. I'm not sure what it means to say that that the median "is reflective of the average earnings" but, whatever it means, it must be equally true to say that the mean is reflective of the average earnings, and that the mode is reflective of the average earnings. Which is not a lot of help.

    Probably he would have done better not to have used the word "average" at all in this context. I suspect he meant something like "median earnings may be a more reflective figure of the typical/usual earnings of employees in the economy or sector".

    Whether you go with the mean, the median or the mode, most workers do not earn that figure - they earn either more or less than that figure. But if the individual worker wants to know how he is faring, relative to others in the economy or to others in his his sector, then the median for the economy or the sector is the most meaningful average figure for him.



  • Registered Users Posts: 684 ✭✭✭Benedict


    Politicians like to give the impression that every Tom Dick and Harry is earning more than the median because it looks good.

    They don't want to say "The average ft worker is getting 48k - but most ft workers don't get anything close to that".

    It's the truth - but it doesn't sound good!

    What will the "average person" be earning by the time of the next election? 50K maybe?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,676 ✭✭✭✭Peregrinus


    The mean, the median and the mode all exist, and are used, because they are all useful in different ways. As I said, if you want to judge how you yourself are doing relative to other workers, the median is useful. But if you are looking at labour costs in the economy overall, the mean is much more relevant. Politicians tend to be looking at the bigger picture - the health of the overall economy, more than the welfare of the individual household - and so the mean will cross their desk/turn up in their briefings far more often. But voters listening to politicians tend to be focussed on their own situation. Hence the frequent misunderstandings.

    The solution, as identified about a zillion posts ago, is not to compel politicians to quote median figures, since to do their jobs properly they should in fact be focussed mostly on mean figures. It's to educate people about what the mean does and doesn't represent.



  • Registered Users Posts: 684 ✭✭✭Benedict


    You may well have pointed out the "solution" a "zillion" posts ago - but your "solution" was to a question nobody was asking!

    The quest all along has been to establish a credible median figure for ft workers and Podge supplied that a couple of weeks ago.

    Your "solution" (to "educate people") could hardly be described as an answer to "what's the median wage for ft workers?"



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,676 ✭✭✭✭Peregrinus


    Pretty much from the get-go you've been banging on about how politicians use the mean figure - I think you first raise the point in post 3. The whole reason you've been looking for a median figure is because you think quoting the mean suggests that most workers earn close to the mean.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users Posts: 684 ✭✭✭Benedict


    This is gobbledygook! Nothing personal but you've really lost the plot. You state - "The whole reason you've been looking for a median figure is because you think quoting the mean suggests that most workers earn close to the mean"? What on earth are you on about?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,676 ✭✭✭✭Peregrinus


    I'm basically quoting you, from the fifth post in this thread:

    "What I meant was that by using the average instead of the median, politicians give the impression most people are doing better than they are because people believe that average means most and politicians know that . . . .

    The politicians proudly trot out statements suggesting that most workers earn nearly 50k pa - in truth, the vast majority of workers earn nothing like that figure"

    Are you saying now that what you said then was actually gobbledygook?



  • Registered Users Posts: 684 ✭✭✭Benedict


    What I've said in the 5th post is perfectly fine taken within the context in which it occurs. I'm saying the following statement is gobbledygook - so read it carefully

    - "The whole reason you've been looking for a median figure is because you think quoting the mean suggests that most workers earn close to the mean"?

    Also - do you still think that "educate people" is a good answer to "what is the median ft wage".



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,676 ✭✭✭✭Peregrinus


    I don't see that the statement is gobbledygook - it seems to me a fairly accurate summation of your position (but feel free to correct me, of course). Your quest for the median figure was prompted by your annoyance at the widespread quotation by politicians of the mean figure, which - you thought - either intentionally or unintentionally created a false impression of what most people earn. Am I wrong?



  • Registered Users Posts: 684 ✭✭✭Benedict


    .

    I never said "quoting the mean suggests that most workers earn close to the mean" - and I don't think it!

    I don't know where you saw that written - it's a dumb statement and I certainly didn't write it!

    The only "quest" was to find a credible figure for ft workers' wage and I think we finally found one.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,676 ✭✭✭✭Peregrinus


    I quoted what you said, and I'll quote it again:

    "What I meant was that by using the average instead of the median, politicians give the impression most people are doing better than they are because people believe that average means most and politicians know that . . . .

    The politicians proudly trot out statements suggesting that most workers earn nearly 50k pa - in truth, the vast majority of workers earn nothing like that figure"

    So, you said that the politicians statements quoting the mean suggest that most workers earn nearly the mean. What you wrote seems fairly clear to me; if there's another way to understand it I'm not seeing what it is.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users Posts: 684 ✭✭✭Benedict


    "quoting the mean suggest that most workers earn nearly the mean"

    Avoid long passages, please show me exactly where you think I made this statement.

    You're obviously badly misinterpreting something!

    What is this - "nearly the mean"?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,676 ✭✭✭✭Peregrinus


    I quoted two sentences of yours. Two sentences is a "long passage" now? It's no wonder you're having difficulty keeping up with your own arguments.

    "Nearly the mean" is my paraphrase of your language, "nearly 50k pa". It seemed fairly obvious in the context that you chose the figure of nearly 50k because that's the mean. Maybe you chose it for some other, more obscure, reason. If so, you have so far stoutly resisted the temptation to say what the figure signifies or, despite explicit invitation, to explain what it was you were trying to say in that post.

    All you've said so far is that I have misunderstood your position in that post, but the claim would be a bit more plausible if you were to offer what you consider to be the correct understanding of your position in that post.



  • Registered Users Posts: 684 ✭✭✭Benedict


    My only "difficulty" is trying to figure out exactly what you're on about.

    Being facetious is no substitute for intelligent argument and doesn't impress anyone.

    You need to engage in a lot of re-reading and a little humility would not go amiss.

    You are still talking in riddles.

    My arguments have been very clear and concise at all times.

    My advice would be to re-read .... carefully.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,532 ✭✭✭crossman47


    I've given up. Maybe you'd be as well doing the same.



  • Registered Users Posts: 587 ✭✭✭CrookedJack



    As someone who has not taken any sides here, an impartial observer so to speak, can I point out that the post by Pereginus is clearly understandable and not at all a riddle.

    It also accurately summarises MY understanding of your main point, as i understand it from reading your posts.



  • Advertisement
This discussion has been closed.
Advertisement