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Covid 19 Part XXXV-956,720 ROI (5,952 deaths) 452,946 NI (3,002 deaths) (08/01) Read OP

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,042 ✭✭✭Ficheall


    I was wondering moreso about the actions/precautions in question. Again, different people acted in different ways at various points.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,132 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so



    It's her job to express medical opinions in very general terms. Such individuals also want us not to do lots of other things we as humans enjoy. There is nothing wrong with these kinds of views but it should also serve as a reminder that life is so much more complex than just a medical commentary.



  • Posts: 1,077 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Congrats to the UK on today. This pandemic is over, showing good leadership at last.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 706 ✭✭✭TefalBrain


    They have the intelligence to realise the vaccines have won and the virus and it's variants are unable to bypass it.


    It is over.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,202 ✭✭✭✭hmmm


    Yeah. I've no problem with people wanting to be cautious and make their own risk assessment, but we can't build public policy around the most risk-averse and cautious people. Unfortunately I think there is a large block of people who don't really understand risk, and will have to be brought on a journey to explain that Covid isn't going away, people are going to get sick, people are going to die from it - we can't let it get out of control, but we can't also remain in an extreme lockdown once vaccinations are completed. This is a different situation to last year where none of us had any protection, the vaccines are as good as they are probably ever going to get (with some caveats), this is it.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,604 ✭✭✭Amadan Dubh


    If we didn't have social media and a 24/7 media environment we would not have noticed much about covid last year even. It is still the case, without vaccines, that the vast majority of people have little to no symptoms from it. The age profile of those dying makes it clear that simply being at the life expectancy in Ireland was enough to create a risk factor for you. For younger people, obesity is a big factor in vulnerability which is not a reason for locking down all of society - put out a message for people to lose the gut, do exercise and cut down their alcohol but of course those yellow covid awareness posters make no mention of the best defence against covid; protecting your own immune system! At a certain point, I'm not sure when perfectly healthy people started to shift into a mindset of "I am terrified to contract covid" as this is entirely irrational.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,604 ✭✭✭Amadan Dubh


    I've noticed some serious sour grapes about them reopening that says more about those criticising it than it does about the UK. 90% of adults have had at least one dose of a vaccine and almost 70% are fully vaccinated (and climbing). There is no legitimate reason to prolong restrictions which makes me question the genuineness of those creating uncertainty and even fear about it. The anti-vaxx extremists have met their direct opposites in those crying wolf over the UK easing today.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 68,173 ✭✭✭✭seamus


    This is a fair comment. We already know many (most?) people are really bad assessing risk. Whether that's because they're far too cautious for the scenario, or not cautious enough, we've seen crazy behaviour from all ends of the spectrum throughout this pandemic.

    Like you say, there will need to be some level of "reset" of expectations to be done. Plenty of people who've lost sight of the fact that protecting the hospitals was ALWAYS the end goal here. Not getting overwhelmed so that they could continue to provide all services. No matter what way you spin it, there is a fundamental truth that people die, people die of viruses, and if herd immunity is possible, then great, if not then we have to do what we can to protect ourselves while allowing life to continue. We eliminated many diseases through vaccination, but we didn't restrict society indefinitely while vaccination was taking place. We cannot keep ourselves restricted in order to save every single life. We cannot save every single life. We are animals living in an ecosystem that is beyond our control. Infection is part and parcel of that. Deaths from infection are part and parcel of that. We have to strike a balance between acceptable deaths and acceptable restrictions.

    People die of 'flu every year and aside from infection controls in hospitals, we don't do anything else. Once we're at the same threshold with covid, then we have no rational basis for restrictions.

    On Twitter the cry is often, "what about long covid?!". But it's not a rational basis for maintaining restrictions. For a start, it's poorly defined. But also, if people didn't die of covid and a certain % developed long covid, then we would never have locked down in the first place. From a healthcare standpoint, long covid is manageable, even if we end up with hundreds of thousands of sufferers.

    It's clear that those running the show know all this. NPHET are not recommending further restrictions. Reid spoke yesterday about a "bumpy ride". They have no intention of locking down again if it can at all be avoided, and they believe that we can probably weather this surge because our vaccination rates are so high. We will vaccinate enough people before there is enough time for this virus to do any serious damage. If anyone still thinks that NPHET are itching for a lockdown, consider that we've had an average of 1,200 cases a day for the last 4 days. And nobody is talking about it. "Stay safe". International travel is open again today. Indoor dining most likely next Monday. Incomprehensible last year. The whole game has changed, and people are going to have to accept that a certain level of infection and ICU admissions are acceptable.

    Yes, those 22 people in ICU are someone's mother, father, sibling. But so are the thousands of people who've had serious medical care removed or restricted.

    Because the primary aim here is not to prevent Covid deaths. It's to prevent other deaths from occurring due to all our health resources being consumed by covid.



  • Posts: 1,077 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Great summary. Thanks



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,042 ✭✭✭Ficheall


    I don't think "sour grapes" are the reason people are criticising the UK's opening up..



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 788 ✭✭✭Pdoghue


    Yes, I've noticed the same, notably from how RTE are covering it. RTE's angle is that it is a big gamble, but as RTE have repeatedly showed during the pandemic, they are straying into opinion territory, rather than strictly reporting what is happening. There are people/medical professionals who are criticising the UK's reopening, and that may be a valid criticism, but RTE are presenting the decision to reopen as reckless as if it is a given.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,597 ✭✭✭Charles Babbage


    "Yes, those 22 people in ICU are someone's mother, father, sibling. But so are the thousands of people who've had serious medical care removed or restricted"

    Why do people deny that the second group are caused by Covid and the solution to their problem is to restrict Covid?.

    We have had endless dangerous misleading nonsense posted here and elsewhere to the effect that removing restrictions on pubs will somehow help cancer patients, when the exact opposite is true.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,307 ✭✭✭Royale with Cheese


    I know of a couple of people in their 60s who are fully vaccinated but are going to be unwilling to go inside anywhere anytime soon as vaccinated people are still getting the virus. I explained to one that the vaccination stops you from getting seriously ill as opposed to you not getting the virus at all but they weren't interested, you don't want to get it even after being fully vaxxed. That's completely his call but as said above we can't base public policy on that mindset, I'd imagine numbers for hospitality will be down for sometime even after indoor dining finally reopens.



  • Posts: 4,806 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    It is ultimately the government and NPHET's fault that people are so afraid and unable to move forward. At every possible opportunity, both have massively exaggerated how deadly Covid is and both wanted to keep the public afraid. Even now, criticizing the UK approach is giving the impression that normality cannot return even after huge numbers are vaccinated. Leo talking about no nightclubs for "quite some time" and suggesting that we might even need to vaccinate teenagers before we have immunity just adds to the storm they have caused.


    People now have ridiculous and unrealistic expectations. It is time that the government start communicating to people that fully vaccinated is as good as you are going to get. That doesn't mean you won't catch Covid. It doesn't mean you won't end up in hospital. It doesn't mean you can't die. We also need to start reminding people that we don't have a magic money tree. We can't lockdown forever.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 860 ✭✭✭OwenM


    "It's clear that those running the show know all this. NPHET are not recommending further restrictions. Reid spoke yesterday about a "bumpy ride". They have no intention of locking down again..."

    My biggest fear is Micheal Martin, he has fewer vertebrae than a jellyfish and could spook when cases get higher and ISAG are presenting the Scare Byrne show again.

    The recent numbers in the UK have in part been attributed to the Euro soccer matches so the absence of that driver might mean 'freedom day' won't have as much impact.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,042 ✭✭✭Ficheall


    You mean you explained getting the vaccine significantly reduces the chance of getting seriously ill? As opposed to eliminating it completely.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,513 ✭✭✭lee_baby_simms


    I was talking with a friend and he told me he met a mutual friend of ours in the park and this guy was masked up and very careful to stay 2 meters away. Outdoors. A fully vaccinated healthy man in his early 40s.

    That kind of caution and fear is not justifiable given the low relative risk. It seems to be quite common.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,132 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    Had a similar conversation this morning where an 82 year old father was trying to persuade a fully vaccinated 40 something son to relax some of his cautious measures.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,445 ✭✭✭Cork2021


    Only good thing is Claire Byrne won’t be on tv during the summer only her daily frightening session in the mornings, surely she’s due a holiday to her garden shed soon??



  • Posts: 4,806 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    I haven't seen a friend of mine in his early 30's since March 2020. I reached out again this weekend to see if he wanted to meet outdoors and he still won't. We both already have one dose of the vaccine.

    Difficult to know how some of these people will ever function properly again. Maybe counselling will be needed.

    At this point I think I will have to leave that friendship behind for now at least



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 68,173 ✭✭✭✭seamus


    I don't think Michael has listened much to all that rubbish tbh. ISAG recommendations have never been taken up by the government and there doesn't seem to have been a lot of attention paid to the doom-mongerers on RTE. He's very cautious and unwilling to deviate from NPHET advice; but that's both in terms of opening up and in locking down.

    Yeah, I should have phrased that better. There has been this constant undercurrent that lockdowns are the disease and not a symptom. And that it's the lockdowns which are causing people to miss out on appointments. When in reality it's the explosions in case numbers which have required restrictions, and therefore impacted on hospital services.

    I think for many people this "what about the cancer patients" cry has been a useful smokescreen when in reality they just want the pubs open. But my point really was that the need to maintain restrictions needs to be balanced against the impact it has on the rest of the healthcare system. We cannot aim to keep covid suppressed to the detriment of the rest of the system. Provided we are managing, then we need to move forward.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 706 ✭✭✭TefalBrain


    A lot of people's mental health has been totally destroyed by this and the constant doom mongering. I still see people crossing the road to avoid others on the footpath and treating this like the black death or Ebola. People underestimate how damaging this is for one's own ability to use sense and logic.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 860 ✭✭✭OwenM


    "I don't think Michael has listened much to all that rubbish tbh"

    I doubt if he does either but he does listen to the electorate that are terrified by it, there are people afraid to leave their houses even now who think going to the supermarket is dangerous but driving at 120km/h on the motorway doesn't bother them.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 207 ✭✭Drexel_3


    Has there been any work done in increasing the number of hospital and ICU beds the last year and a half?


    Anything at all?? I feel like until we have increased capacity we will always have the lingerig threat of a lockdown hanging over us.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,079 ✭✭✭Sweet.Science


    Yeah that's pretty much it . Just hope they hold their nerve over the next month



  • Posts: 4,806 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 391 ✭✭sekiro


    Its sad and probably true that many will need counselling when things really start to open up again.

    I get the sense that people feel that opening up is like being told by the government "off you go now, it's up to you to take it from here" and they don't really want this.

    Once a person is fully vaccinated they should have a lot more freedom and be able to go back to normal. People who are not vaccinated should be advised on how to take care of themselves and be cautious.

    Like, if Temple Bar is fully opened and people are congregating and going in and out and drinking then it's not like people who are not vaccinated are being forced to attend.

    The same rules as last year would more or less apply. Avoid crowds. Wash hands regularly. Just it won't be mandatory anymore.

    Masks seem to be a really big point of conflict and I wonder if that's because it's such an easy way to judge someone. Look at this guy not wearing his mask! I'm in danger!


    Many people will probably need quite a lot of time to get over all this. Which makes sense as the whole scenario is ongoing and can be quite traumatic.



  • Posts: 3,733 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Ah sorry. For example deciding that regardless of being vaccinated and others in their company the same then they must use social distancing and wear masks. Also deciding not to leave the country and will avoid indoor dining when it resumes.

    The motivation for this is pretty much as Seamus said, restricting their lives in order to potentially prevent death.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,132 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    One of the reasons comparisons to the UK are ill-advised. Surprised it is so many but it does explain their rates of infection.





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  • Posts: 2,050 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Don't discount the section of society who like the new social distancing for purely personal reasons, not related to the virus. Some people just don't like to be too close to strangers and the pandemic has thrown up an excellent excuse to justify keeping your distance. It's no longer considered weird to make a wide berth to avoid meeting someone. Even wearing masks, I like putting mine on because it makes it far less likely someone will stop you in the supermarket aisle for a 20 minute chat.

    Will be interesting to see how the social dynamic evolve in England the next few weeks. Will mask wearers be stared at instead of the other way around now, and will there be friction because of it.



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