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Relaxation of Restrictions, Part XI *Read OP For Mod Warnings*

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,134 ✭✭✭✭JRant


    Boggles wrote: »
    No you are just perpetually ranting and raving how they increased whilst bemoaning restrictions.

    So you didn't really have anything worthwhile to offer?

    That would be a matter of opinion as to whether it is ranting or raving. I don't think it is but others may disagree.

    I feel this is getting in the way of the standard nitpicking and pedantry that you so love and is denying others of your amazing insights.

    "Well, yeah, you know, that's just, like, your opinion, man"



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,134 ✭✭✭✭JRant


    Graham wrote: »
    Said nobody ever

    You certainly didn't say it.

    "Well, yeah, you know, that's just, like, your opinion, man"



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,536 ✭✭✭Silentcorner


    I haven't got a crystal ball, can't see into the future. I've no idea if we will even go into any sort of lockdown at all. But, and here's the important part which you previously missed, I'm not the one making paranoid predictions about the certainty of which levels we'll hit.

    If you can't see into the future then what give's you the right to call someone else's prediction "paranoid"?

    Unless of course you can point me to a Government Minster that has ruled out future lock downs...


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Hooter23 wrote: »
    With over 4,000 + vaccine deaths around the world RTE and the media worldwide are now guilty of mass murder by giving false information saying the the vaccines are perfectly safe when they are clearly not

    3.8m covid deaths from 160m cases

    4000 vaccine deaths (source?) from 2.45 billion doses

    If you gave out 2.45 billion bottles of water it would likely kill at least 4,000


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,925 ✭✭✭ArthurDayne


    Boggles wrote: »
    You are looking at it in clinical isolation with the benefit of hindsight.

    And TBH given what happened in England this week you would imagine certain people would be far more measured.

    If they succumbed to UEFA bully tactics and agreed to their terms, there would have been a collective shít attack nationally by invested groups claiming they wanted the same treatment.

    It's exactly what is happening in England this week, the net effective is it sows divisions and píssés large groups off. A line has to be drawn somewhere.

    Obviously the narrative on this thread that it's a national embarrassment not to host them and we are a laughing stock of Europe resides only peoples minds, the reality is no one cares.

    Yes, hindsight is always an advantage — but it doesn’t negate the expectation that the State shows foresight in its decision-making. The question was only ever whether allowing the Aviva to be 25% full was off-kilter with what the government was planning ahead on doing — and I don’t think that there was ever any serious expectation on their part that outdoor drinking etc would be a big feature by June, especially given that last summer was able to go as far as indoor drinking without vaccines and with less experience of the virus. In addition, it would be interesting to understand how the State applied its foresight in a way which seemed to differ from the other national authorities who decided to host.

    The “UEFA bully tactic” line of argument seems deflective. They have no power to compel the State — and creating a narrative of a brave resistance by a sovereign nation against the limited power of some bureaucrats in a sporting association doesn’t seem to ring right. I also don’t agree with this ‘slippery slope’ argument that the floodgates of demands would have rolled in in any way that would have made the decision to host a bad one. The government has quite willingly accepted that the restrictions affect some businesses more than others — and that some business had to remain closed much longer. I do not see how this resolve would have just melted away at the scenario of the Aviva being 25% full — the balance between restriction and relaxation has been bitterly divisive since March 2020 anyway and the government has ploughed on.

    I don’t subscribe to the view that it’s a national embarrassment, simply that once again it seems to have been based on a fairly arbitrary level of over-caution


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 324 ✭✭zackory


    The poster said that we'll have an increase in cases if we have more large events.

    No that is not what I am referring to. His words were

    The point is that if we held these events, reopening would likely have to be pushed back.

    That is absolute bollox.

    You then went further and made a claim as 100% fact.

    If numbers go back up, we WILL see reintroduction of restrictions, 100%.

    Again, that is absolute bollox.


  • Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 56,276 Mod ✭✭✭✭Necro


    Hooter23 wrote: »
    With over 4,000 + vaccine deaths around the world RTE and the media worldwide are now guilty of mass murder by giving false information saying the the vaccines are perfectly safe when they are clearly not

    Provide a source for that to me via PM please, until then don't post in this thread again


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 324 ✭✭zackory


    growleaves wrote: »
    What does cognitive dissonance have to do with that?

    The "anti-lockdown" side aren't an airtight organisation with a Chief Whip but a loose bunch of people in general agreement.

    I agree with you that a rise in cases this winter could lead to more restrictions, and I've been saying so since January.

    More to the point Martin and Varadkar have said so and the political logic of this does not require a crystal ball before anyone starts waffling about our inability to know the future.

    Of course if the situation deteriorates enough restrictions might be reintroduced.

    But that is a lot different to

    If numbers go back up, we WILL see reintroduction of restrictions, 100%.

    Especially in the context of this statement
    I haven't got a crystal ball, can't see into the future. I've no idea if we will even go into any sort of lockdown at all.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,771 ✭✭✭✭Inquitus


    Hooter23 wrote: »
    With over 4,000 + vaccine deaths around the world RTE and the media worldwide are now guilty of mass murder by giving false information saying the the vaccines are perfectly safe when they are clearly not

    Is that you Gemma?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,293 ✭✭✭CalamariFritti


    Necro wrote: »
    Provide a source for that to me via PM please, until then don't post in this thread again

    Well to be fair it is a matter of definition it appears.

    When someone dies within 28 days of a positive corona test they are deemed to have died with covid and included in the hallowed numbers.

    When someone dies within 28 days of vaccination on the other hand....

    I'm not saying the OP is right but I guess its more a case of pointing out the contradiction, no?


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,996 ✭✭✭✭gozunda


    JRant wrote: »
    Good to know you are happy with so many people out of work and over 1 million on waiting lists.

    Eh?

    So finished with going off on a rant irrelevant to the original comment - you are now telling people what they think?

    Well done there .


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Well to be fair it is a matter of definition it appears.

    When someone dies within 28 days of a positive corona test they are deemed to have died with covid and included in the hallowed numbers.

    When someone dies within 28 days of vaccination on the other hand....

    I'm not saying the OP is right but I guess its more a case of pointing out the contradiction, no?

    If the numbers are right, its 1 in 650,000. Less chance than being struck by lightning


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,419 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    The question was only ever whether allowing the Aviva to be 25% full was off-kilter

    That certainly may have been the question but the potential consequences are far more nuanced.

    But again it's a peripheral issue, that is being falsely made into a substantive one on here, in reality no one cares.

    Like I explained if the 4 matches were to proceed here it would have created potential animosity, negative behaviors and a demand by other vested interests to have a level playing field.

    Restaurant Associations taken the government to the high court because they opened Hotels and not standalone restaurants a more recent example here.

    There has to be a line drawn somewhere, you can argue where you think the line may be, but you can't argue against a line having to exist.

    Again it was UEFA who pulled out, the offer to host remained, it just had to be done on our terms.

    As for examples in England in cancelling "Freedom Day", it began last week.

    "Well there is X-1000 in Wembley, how come I can't have dancing at my wedding"

    "Wimbledon will be full but I can only have 6 at my childs birthday party"

    Ranting and raving on every platform going forward which will filter down to the general populous and have potential negative outcomes.


  • Posts: 5,869 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    zackory wrote: »
    No that is not what I am referring to. His words were

    The point is that if we held these events, reopening would likely have to be pushed back.

    That is absolute bollox.

    First off, your earlier segue into Sth Anne Street makes even less sense now.

    Secondly, It's really not bollox.

    If we'd held large events,the numbers would only go one way....higher. I mean, unless there were mass vaccinations at these events, and the more events there are, the higher the numbers.

    The higher the numbers, the more likely it is that the restrictions would be introduced. It is by no means a stretch of the imagination (never mind absolute bollox) to suggest that plenty of large gatherings would likely have pushed back reopening.
    zackory wrote: »
    You then went further and made a claim as 100% fact.

    If numbers go back up, we WILL see reintroduction of restrictions, 100%.

    Again, that is absolute bollox.

    Thirdly, apologies, I omitted a word from that sentence. It should read "If numbers go back up sufficiently, we WILL see reintroduction of restrictions, 100%.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,419 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    JRant wrote: »
    That would be a matter of opinion as to whether it is ranting or raving. I don't think it is but others may disagree.

    TBH I don't really know what it is.

    You are calling the waiting lists caused by the pandemic a failure, but you are also not calling for them to be reduced, but somehow you think less restrictions would have done this.

    Go figure.

    I can't.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,925 ✭✭✭ArthurDayne


    Boggles wrote: »
    That certainly may have been the question but the potential consequences are far more nuanced.

    But again it's a peripheral issue, that is being falsely made into a substantive one on here, in reality no one cares.

    Like I explained if the 4 matches were to proceed here it would have created potential animosity, negative behaviors and a demand by other vested interests to have a level playing field.

    Restaurant Associations taken the government to the high court because they opened Hotels and not standalone restaurants a more recent example here.

    There has to be a line drawn somewhere, you can argue where you think the line may be, but you can't argue against a line having to exist.

    Again it was UEFA who pulled out, the offer to host remained, it just had to be done on our terms.

    As for examples in England in cancelling "Freedom Day", it began last week.

    "Well there is X-1000 in Wembley, how come I can't have dancing at my wedding"

    "Wimbledon will be full but I can only have 6 at my childs birthday party"

    Ranting and raving on every platform going forward which will filter down to the general populous and have potential negative outcomes.

    Yes, it’s somewhat of a peripheral issue but is still actually a useful one to weigh up how the government approached and is approaching the question of risk, especially in contrast to decisions made elsewhere. In this instance, it all looks a bit arbitrary (which is to me pretty typical of the State’s approach to the more severe restrictions generally). It just seems that the government didn’t really have any fleshed-out understanding of the risk, they just saw a risk and deemed it not worth painting another target on their back for Told-You-So’s, like post-Christmas. A mere suspicion of course, but I don’t think it’s beyond the realms of realism.

    And yeah, like I’ve said, bitterness, division and animosity over the restrictions are horses that bolted some time around March 2020. Using the prospect of disagreement and discord as a decisional factor on this topic doesn’t hold water to me — when literally every decision made has been or will be divisive to greater and lesser extents. And as I’ve also said, those examples of people saying “They can allow this so why can’t they allow that? have been a fairly common feature here too — there’s not point pretending it has just appeared out of the blue in England, or that it would only have appeared Ireland because the Aviva was allowed a 25% crowd.

    Yeah, I don’t complain about a line having to exist (as you say), so long as there is sound and consistent rationale for why the line is where it is.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,718 ✭✭✭robbiezero


    Boggles wrote: »
    That certainly may have been the question but the potential consequences are far more nuanced.

    But again it's a peripheral issue, that is being falsely made into a substantive one on here, in reality no one cares.

    Like I explained if the 4 matches were to proceed here it would have created potential animosity, negative behaviors and a demand by other vested interests to have a level playing field.

    Restaurant Associations taken the government to the high court because they opened Hotels and not standalone restaurants a more recent example here.

    There has to be a line drawn somewhere, you can argue where you think the line may be, but you can't argue against a line having to exist.

    Again it was UEFA who pulled out, the offer to host remained, it just had to be done on our terms.

    As for examples in England in cancelling "Freedom Day", it began last week.

    "Well there is X-1000 in Wembley, how come I can't have dancing at my wedding"

    "Wimbledon will be full but I can only have 6 at my childs birthday party"

    Ranting and raving on every platform going forward which will filter down to the general populous and have potential negative outcomes.

    This has been the case all through the pandemic, its a stupid reason not to do something, but it has been our general mode of operation.

    "Lockdown to avoid lockdown"
    "Delay easing of restrictions to avoid having to delay easing of restrictions".
    "Don't open up one thing because others will want to open up another thing".


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,419 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    Yes, it’s somewhat of a peripheral issue but is still actually a useful one to weigh up how the government approached and is approaching the question of risk,

    I don't think it is that useful or any way cryptic in nature.

    When assessing risk, you evaluate potential reward.

    There was none. Virtually the entire population would have been watching the games at home, as they are now.

    I have all ready listed the potential negatives.

    These have been eliminated, no one cares.

    As for the mainland UK where this problem does exist in reality, 9000 seasonal cases today.

    Must be a fair cold Summer over there.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 324 ✭✭zackory


    If we'd held large events,the numbers would only go one way....higher

    There is no certainty in this, we are talking 13000 outdoors, broken into small groups, a large number vaccinated and a small incidence rate in the community.

    We've had a large number of uncontrolled gatherings in recent months, indoors and outdoors, including Holohans "Jones Road" moment and cases are falling all the time.

    I am still calling bollox on the suggestion that these UEFA games would lead to a likely delay in restrictions being relaxed.



    Thirdly, apologies, I omitted a word from that sentence. It should read "If numbers go back up sufficiently, we WILL see reintroduction of restrictions, 100%.


    Apology accepted. Nobody disputes that if cases got to a certain level where the health services are under pressure restrictions could be reintroduced.

    I doubt anybody expects that to materialise though.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,419 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    robbiezero wrote: »
    This has been the case all through the pandemic, its a stupid reason not to do something, but it has been our general mode of operation.

    "Lockdown to avoid lockdown"
    "Delay easing of restrictions to avoid having to delay easing of restrictions".
    "Don't open up one thing because others will want to open up another thing".

    I don't know any country who has incorporated that nonsensical "mode of operation".

    I mean the UK just delayed the easing of restrictions because their scientists are telling them they could be balls deep in a 3rd wave in a couple of weeks.

    Obviously you know better?


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  • Posts: 5,869 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    zackory wrote: »
    There is no certainty in this, we are talking 13000 outdoors, broken into small groups, a large number vaccinated and a small incidence rate in the community.

    We've had a large number of uncontrolled gatherings in recent months, indoors and outdoors, including Holohans "Jones Road" moment and cases are falling all the time.

    I am still calling bollox on the suggestion that these UEFA games would lead to a likely delay in restrictions being relaxed.

    We've had large gatherings, but we haven't had large gatherings of 10,000+ people. And it's not just sitting in the stadium. It's the pubs, shops, buses, queues, toilets etc. that are also part of the experience.

    You're correct that there is no such thing as a certainty, but if you're hiding behind that to pretend that having tens of thousands of people in close proximity wouldn't cause an increase, then you're lying to yourself in order to lend credence to your argument.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,134 ✭✭✭✭JRant


    gozunda wrote: »
    Eh?

    So finished with going off on a rant irrelevant to the original comment - you are now telling people what they think?

    Well done there .

    You did say our COVID response did fairly well.

    "Well, yeah, you know, that's just, like, your opinion, man"



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,718 ✭✭✭robbiezero


    Boggles wrote: »
    I don't know any country who has incorporated that nonsensical "mode of operation".

    I mean the UK just delayed the easing of restrictions because their scientists are telling them they could be balls deep in a 3rd wave in a couple of weeks.

    Obviously you know better?

    Nope, the UK are right to delay easing of restrictions, they are mostly open already with not much to go so they might as well hold off a month.

    They have delayed with good reason and data.
    We delay because maybe we might have to delay. Our default position is "ultra caution" and the "Trials" that we undertake are laughable.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,842 ✭✭✭Don't Chute!


    Ciaran Cuddihy was just tearing into the government and nphet on newstalk there. Saying they have absolutely no ambition. Was great to hear.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,718 ✭✭✭robbiezero


    We've had large gatherings, but we haven't had large gatherings of 10,000+ people. And it's not just sitting in the stadium. It's the pubs, shops, buses, queues, toilets etc. that are also part of the experience.

    You're correct that there is no such thing as a certainty, but if you're hiding behind that to pretend that having tens of thousands of people in close proximity wouldn't cause an increase, then you're lying to yourself in order to lend credence to your argument.

    So we should expect a sharp increase in hospitalizations in every city that has held a Euro 2020 game, starting in about a weeks time?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,419 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    robbiezero wrote: »
    Nope, the UK are right to delay easing of restrictions, they are mostly open already with not much to go so they might as well hold off a month.

    They have delayed with good reason and data.
    We delay because maybe we might have to delay. Our default position is "ultra caution" and the "Trials" that we undertake are laughable.

    So you would prefer if we sped up the easing and have to delay in 4 weeks or potentially row back in 4 weeks because of data?

    I mean should we not take note of what is actually happening on the rest of these islands and at least take some reassurance from it?

    Or should we do what we are doing which seems to be working, vaccinate and ease?


  • Posts: 5,869 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    robbiezero wrote: »
    So we should expect a sharp increase in hospitalizations in every city that has held a Euro 2020 game, starting in about a weeks time?

    Some, yes. Every city? No.

    Closer to two weeks' time than one week.

    Have a look at the crowds in Portugal and Hungary yesterday. I will be amazed if the cases don't spike. Whether or not that spike is countered by other measures remains to be seen.

    Do you expect there to be zero transmission of the virus in a stadium packed to the gills with 60,000+ fans, even with their high % of vaccinations?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 98 ✭✭haskellgeek


    Possibly the wrong thread but with the rules relaxing is anyone else annoyed at being restricted by being unvaccinated by age alone, essentially with travel being allowed by July 19th for those vaccinated with no pcr test well I have probably 0 chance on age alone being in that group, wonder will other things be restricted too, anyone under the age of 30 is probably in this group if they aren't getting it from the age distribution.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,718 ✭✭✭robbiezero


    Boggles wrote: »
    So you would prefer if we sped up the easing and have to delay in 4 weeks or potentially row back in 4 weeks because of data?

    I mean should we not take note of what is actually happening on the rest of these islands and at least take some reassurance from it?


    Of course. That approach makes sense. Beats being the slowest in Europe just because of what MIGHT happen (which I note you take for granted would happen.

    Things go slightly wrong like in the UK, we probably only have to delay to the point we are doing now anyway.

    Things go right as they quite likely would have, we are open 2 months earlier, we likely have an idea what areas actually contribute to rises, what can remain open, what needs to be delayed etc.

    And people actually buy into that as they can see the data and rises in hospitalizations etc. Everyone bought into it in Jan and Feb and most in March. Most people that I can know think the pace of easing since then has been ridiculous and have widely ignored them.

    The clownish trialling we are doing now could and should have been done in March.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,137 ✭✭✭✭niallo27


    Some, yes. Every city? No.

    Closer to two weeks' time than one week.

    Have a look at the crowds in Portugal and Hungary yesterday. I will be amazed if the cases don't spike. Whether or not that spike is countered by other measures remains to be seen.

    Do you expect there to be zero transmission of the virus in a stadium packed to the gills with 60,000+ fans, even with their high % of vaccinations?

    Look at the crowds out drinking every weekend on the street of Dublin and limerick, thousands of people drunk packed together, I'd be amazed if we don't see a spike. Oh wait..


This discussion has been closed.
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