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Convective/Thunderstorm Discussion : Summer 2021

  • #2
    Registered Users Posts: 7,184 ✭✭✭ Gaoth Laidir


    Wednesday ECM is looking interesting for some fairly widely scattered elevated thunderstorms, with a high-Theta-E tongue moving up over the country during the late afternoon hours. K-Indices of 32-34 suggest a 70-80% probability, though soundings suggest that it won't be surface-based.

    % probability = 4 x (KI -15)

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