Covid 19 Part XXXIII-231,484 ROI(4,610 deaths)116,197 NI (2,107 deaths)(23/03)Read OP

Deleted User wrote: »

I dont trust the GP data at all. Seems very adhoc

I agree it's a bit "fluid", but the Test & Trace team seem to have gone to ground, so the GPBuddy data is the closest thing we have to good referral data.

Timmy O Toole wrote: »

Backlog cases will be used tomorrow for Patrick's day celebrations

https://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/forumdisplay.php?f=576

As flagged up last week it seemed to be a handful of counties causing any increase. It really is looking like local outbreaks

https://twitter.com/rwallirl/status/1371406355358228480?s=19

Monday 8th of March to the 14th compared to the previous Monday to Sunday we had 4528 extra tests carried out and it produced 249 extra positive swabs. I'd like to hear at the press briefing tonight the reason for such a rise in testing in a week and who are they testing?

Interesting on many fronts

https://twitter.com/gavreilly/status/1371503607439298564?s=19

stephenjmcd wrote: »

Interesting on many fronts

https://twitter.com/gavreilly/status/1371503607439298564?s=19

Is there a reason those age ranges are used? They are not consistent ranges and also vary widely in terms of population within each range

Sofa King Great wrote: »

Is there a reason those age ranges are used? They are not consistent ranges and also vary widely in terms of population within each range

They are the ranges used in the HPSC reports

Sofa King Great wrote: »

The low referrals and low positivity rate combined with fluctuations in case numbers and large numbers in specific counties speaks to large clusters somewhere in the system.

If it was just that the new variant was more transmissible, this should be coming across as minimal decline across the entire country but given some counties are so low, it cannot be due to just the new variant

Agreed.

I'm going to live up to stereotype now by being a Corkman looking at this through the prism of, well, Cork but, all jokes aside, as a county its a pretty decent micro version of the country as a whole and thus its worth examining its situation.

Specifically, Cork has ca. 600k people in total, with over half in a metro area, another, say, 20% in towns and villages and another 15 to 20% in rural areas. It thus covers urban, suburban, town, village and farm living. It is also geographically pretty big (7,500 Square km). Its population density is a little above the national average but it's very close.
And it now has a 14 day incidence rate of ca. 53 per 100,000. I'd like to see it plotted, but I suspect a graph showing cases here would show exactly the gradual decline you describe above.

So to my mind, the fact Cork can get down to the low 50s shows there is no reason the whole country can't - notwithstanding the new variants. Certainly around New Year Cork was top of the list so the fall since has been very much as you'd hope in lockdown.

All that having been said, well aware Cork could make its way to the top of the list next month for all we know....

caveat emptor wrote: »

Great to see it reducing across all age groups. The rate of decrease isn't the same but not a massive discrepancy in the reduction rate.

Here's the percentage difference for the percentage fans out there.

That looks great...Could they maybe discuss this a bit more in the news??!!

So with all primary school children back today what are the next steps to opening up and in what order?
Do we have dates for these milestones?
Is there a website with all this info?
Thanks.

tom1ie wrote: »

So with all primary school children back today what are the next steps to opening up and in what order?
Do we have dates for these milestones?
Is there a website with all this info?
Thanks.

I dont think you are going to like the answer to this

Sofa King Great wrote: »

I dont think you are going to like the answer to this

Which is.....,

is_that_so wrote: »

April 5 is the next milestone and no plan yet, apart from secondary after Easter.

Ok so we don’t know what will be next in line to open up after secondary schools go back.
That is bizarre.

Sofa King Great wrote: »

There are not the same amount of 0-4 year olds as 25-34 year olds so comparing actual case numbers is difficult.

5-12 is an 8 year range (noting it probably looks to capture all of primary school age) 19 - 24 is 5 years and 25 to 34 is 10 years

I get you know Still positive in terms of the majority of cases seem to be those under 50 (regardless of how many in each age bracket)...I wonder is it to do with vaccination? Those over 50 takes less chances socialising? I am just picking 50 as random really....