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Covid 19 Part XXXIII-231,484 ROI(4,610 deaths)116,197 NI (2,107 deaths)(23/03)Read OP

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,262 ✭✭✭✭iamwhoiam


    Successive governments have never really given a flying f**k about mental health. The underfunding of the sector has always been an issue . Covid is the only show in town.
    Btw mentioning mental health here seems to attract the ire of a select few posters be careful.

    I think at this stage many ( maybe most I don’t know ) are looking after their own and others mental health and taking things into their own hands .
    Every single person I know has garden chats or chats at a good distance
    People I know who have never broken a law or parked on a yellow line are breaking that restriction for their own sanity

    We are extremely law abiding ourselves but have seen people in the garden with masks and at a distance. We know we are not being looked after by the Government in the context of mental health and we are very aware what people around us need

    Every person I speak say that they cannot be without personal contact of some description for 10 or 15 weeks , they are adults who know that it is completely impossible to do that with consequences for their own health .
    Asking people to stay home seeing no other humans is possible for a very short term and oddly enough NPHET were very aware of that way back in March 2020
    I remember well Leo saying that a lockdown is only possible for short periods and the timing must be right
    They seem to have forgotten that point and dragged this one out for so long that people quite simply did their own risk assessment and did what they felt was needed .
    Right now they are not reading the room and very close to loosing the people entirely .


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 965 ✭✭✭SnuggyBear


    What kind of loser watches those briefings


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,642 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    is_that_so wrote: »
    Contact tracing and finding the likely index patient. They have given some very detailed examples of clusters at times.

    They very rarely find the index patient. Contact tracing in ireland only goes back 48hrs from when you tested positive - despite the fact that you can be asymptomatic for an avg of 1 week after contracting the virus.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 12,653 ✭✭✭✭Plumbthedepths


    'iamwhoiam' I won't quote your post but well wrote as always. Good response thank you and as you said people need to look after themselves.
    I heard Professor Nolan this morning, I'm shocked at the causal attitude to imposing lockdown that Nphet and by extension the government has. Another 10 weeks of the present restrictions even mentioned a possible 10 more unless I misheard him.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,132 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    timmyntc wrote: »
    They very rarely find the index patient. Contact tracing in ireland only goes back 48hrs from when you tested positive - despite the fact that you can be asymptomatic for an avg of 1 week after contracting the virus.
    That's not completely true, they will go further back if they feel there is any merit to it. As I said there have been numerous very detailed analyses.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,132 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    SnuggyBear wrote: »
    What kind of loser watches those briefings
    Hmm, musings of a pre-adolescent at work here. We all did, this time last year, and for many months afterwards! They had a lot of value in understanding where we were and how they viewed the disease. These days HSE briefings are the place to be!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,301 ✭✭✭Marty Bird


    Successive governments have never really given a flying f**k about mental health. The underfunding of the sector has always been an issue . Covid is the only show in town.
    Btw mentioning mental health here seems to attract the ire of a select few posters be careful.

    Add obesity to that too the elephant in room pardon the pun.

    🌞6.02kWp⚡️3.01kWp South/East⚡️3.01kWp West



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,642 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    is_that_so wrote: »
    That's not completely true, they will go further back if they feel there is any merit to it. As I said there have been numerous very detailed analyses.

    Those analyses come from a patient A who tests positive, then contact tracing finds all his close contacts, and their close contacts etc.
    Patient A would be the root of the outbreak or cluster. It doesnt go in reverse however - if patient A had no symptoms at all and never tested positive/had contact tracing, it would just be a "community transmission".

    They almost never find the original transmission by going back.
    In other countries they dont stop until they do - thats how most of Asia has kept a lid on it so well, contact tracing that works.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,063 ✭✭✭Sweet.Science


    “In 10 weeks’ time we will be in a different place, and 10 weeks further down the line we’ll be in a much different place but I worry that we will squander the sacrifice of thousands of people over the last 52 weeks if we rush to do things too quickly in the next 10-20 weeks,”

    Lovely another 5 months . What a way to get the public onside


  • Posts: 6,775 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    This is why the Swedish model should have been approached.

    Yes, they had to impose further restrictions but at least they acted sensibly since the beginning: responsible, sensible measures and promoting safe environments, but not closing the entire country down for the best part of a year, which is what we have done.

    And yes, they do have greater mortality. They have double the population and 13,000 deaths. Half that, with 6,500, is what we would have if we kept the country open to a large and moderate degree. Given Ireland has had 4,500 deaths, we have to ask the question:

    Has the Irish strategy worked?

    The answer: absolutely not.

    Is it worth closing the economy for 2,000 COVID deaths, not forgetting that deaths can occur through other means (delayed hospital appointments, cancer etc.)?

    The answer: absolutely not.

    In the end, Sweden's approach has been proven the most optimum. Not without fault, but infinitely more appropriate than what the iatric triumvirate known as NPHET has imposed.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,132 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    “In 10 weeks’ time we will be in a different place, and 10 weeks further down the line we’ll be in a much different place but I worry that we will squander the sacrifice of thousands of people over the last 52 weeks if we rush to do things too quickly in the next 10-20 weeks,”

    Lovely another 5 months . What a way to get the public onside
    Is that something that someone said?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,132 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    This is why the Swedish model should have been approached.

    Yes, they had to impose further restrictions but at least they acted sensibly since the beginning: responsible, sensible measures and promoting safe environments, but not closing the entire country down for the best part of a year, which is what we have done.

    And yes, they do have greater mortality. They have double the population and 13,000 deaths. Half that, with 6,500, is what we would have if we kept the country open to a large and moderate degree. Given Ireland has had 4,500 deaths, we have to ask the question:

    Has the strategy worked?

    The answer: absolutely not.

    In the end, Sweden's approach has been proven the most optimum. Not without fault, but infinitely more appropriate than what the iatric triumvirate known as NPHET has imposed.
    Sweden's approach worked to an extent with Swedes, Irish people are not Swedish.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,063 ✭✭✭Sweet.Science


    is_that_so wrote: »
    Is that something that someone said?

    It is in this article https://www.independent.ie/irish-news/health/nphet-seeing-early-worrying-signs-philip-nolan-urges-people-not-to-squander-52-weeks-of-sacrifice-40187690.html

    The dog on the street knew the 'data' wouldn't look as good this week . With thousands of kids gone back to school . Why open them them if the affects werent going to be acceptable .


  • Posts: 6,775 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    is_that_so wrote: »
    Sweden's approach worked to an extent with Swedes, Irish people are not Swedish.

    The idea that Irish people are the only nationality worth locking down for almost an entire year is absurd.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 12,653 ✭✭✭✭Plumbthedepths


    is_that_so wrote: »
    Is that something that someone said?

    Professor Nolan on Morning Ireland , I thought I was wrong when he spoke about a cumulative 5 months. The poster you quoted suggests I wasn't.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,132 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    It is in this article https://www.independent.ie/irish-news/health/nphet-seeing-early-worrying-signs-philip-nolan-urges-people-not-to-squander-52-weeks-of-sacrifice-40187690.html

    The dog on the street knew the 'data' wouldn't look as good this week . With thousands of kids gone back to school . Why open them them if the affects werent going to be acceptable .
    I see, that's the scientist in him talking. Not a good way to inform the public though, even if it's true.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,392 ✭✭✭✭Professor Moriarty


    This is why the Swedish model should have been approached.

    Yes, they had to impose further restrictions but at least they acted sensibly since the beginning: responsible, sensible measures and promoting safe environments, but not closing the entire country down for the best part of a year, which is what we have done.

    And yes, they do have greater mortality. They have double the population and 13,000 deaths. Half that, with 6,500, is what we would have if we kept the country open to a large and moderate degree. Given Ireland has had 4,500 deaths, we have to ask the question:

    Has the Irish strategy worked?

    The answer: absolutely not.

    Is it worth closing the economy for 2,000 COVID deaths, not forgetting that deaths can occur through other means (delayed hospital appointments, cancer etc.)?

    The answer: absolutely not.

    In the end, Sweden's approach has been proven the most optimum. Not without fault, but infinitely more appropriate than what the iatric triumvirate known as NPHET has imposed.

    Per capita, Sweden's mortality rate is more than three times that of Denmark and ten times that of Finland and Norway.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,132 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    Professor Nolan on Morning Ireland , I thought I was wrong when he spoke about a cumulative 5 months. The poster you quoted suggests I wasn't.
    The concern would be how this will filter into a government message, 5 months more of this really is not an effective message at all and likely to encourage people to give up completely.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,435 ✭✭✭mandrake04


    Is this not Déjà vu? Like the long long long lockdown last year. Only instead of 2 weeks and maybe another 2 weeks it’s now a more realistic 10 weeks and another 10 weeks.

    I think the government is now addicted to heavy restrictions, the cases and Hospital/ICU are dropping which is good but they know that if they lift them history repeats itself. Lockdown to the government is like heroin to a junkie they know they can’t function without it.


    I don’t think Ireland can open normally until everyone is vaccinated and that variants are definitely not a threat or if boosters are needed. I NPHET are definitely worried and in the government ear telling them the facts.


  • Posts: 6,775 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Per capita, Sweden's mortality rate is more than three times that of Denmark and ten times that of Finland and Norway.

    Perhaps, but I'm suggesting that Sweden's approach has proven largely successful.

    Keep the economy open to some degree, offer freedom with responsibility, and no overwhelmed health system.

    That sounds like a successful approach to me.

    And even if it needs to be modified to Sweden Plus, to account for any circumstances relating to Ireland, then so be it.

    But terminal lockdown, as the only answer, is a failed strategy.


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  • Posts: 3,270 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    is_that_so wrote: »
    I see, that's the scientist in him talking. Not a good way to inform the public though, even if it's true.

    And what about that traveller super spreader event..nothing from him on that..hatd to believe we have gone from strict to highest lockdown since october......8 ****ing months....bastards.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,063 ✭✭✭Sweet.Science


    is_that_so wrote: »
    I see, that's the scientist in him talking. Not a good way to inform the public though, even if it's true.

    I agree its the scientist in him talking. These lads whole life is centred on stopping illness and death . They would genuinely live with some restrictions forever if they could

    Thats why its a disgrace the government are hiding behind them and putting them front and centre of everything.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,392 ✭✭✭✭Professor Moriarty


    Perhaps, but I'm suggesting that Sweden's approach has proven largely successful.

    Keep the economy open to some degree, offer freedom with responsibility, and no overwhelmed health system.

    That sounds like a successful approach to me.

    And even if it needs to be modified to Sweden Plus, to account for any circumstances relating to Ireland, then so be it.

    But terminal lockdown, as the only answer, is a failed strategy.

    Sweden's drop in GDP is much the same as that in Denmark, Norway and Finland.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,101 ✭✭✭✭Gael23


    So does that mean no changes on April 5th?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 12,653 ✭✭✭✭Plumbthedepths


    is_that_so wrote: »
    The concern would be how this will filter into a government message, 5 months more of this really is not an effective message at all and likely to encourage people to give up completely.

    I was struck by the causal nature of how it was conveyed, I understand the concern of Nolan et al when their focus is only one issue, my main concern is the government seems to have been captured aswell with only focusing on one issue. Everything else takes a backseat.
    I note that Ireland is now paying to borrow money, negative interest rates gone. I don't expect the present restrictions to last another 5 months as the financial cost will be too great, but it was a piss poor way to convey a message.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,132 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    I agree its the scientist in him talking. These lads whole life is centred on stopping illness and death . They would genuinely live with some restrictions forever if they could

    Thats why its a disgrace the government are hiding behind them and putting them front and centre of everything.
    In this environment April 5 is a very important date and they need to get the balance right. We need to hear dates, plans and the likes of outdoors being removed from a list of places where it's not safe to be. If they can't do that, then many will stop complying, some in small ways but others could be more defiant.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 12,653 ✭✭✭✭Plumbthedepths


    rusty cole wrote: »
    And what about that traveller super spreader event..nothing from him on that..hatd to believe we have gone from strict to highest lockdown since october......8 ****ing months....bastards.

    Don't you know it's only Students that cause the spread, Travellers are immune to the virus ( and the law) apparently.


  • Posts: 4,806 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Next 5 months are crucial.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 12,653 ✭✭✭✭Plumbthedepths


    Next 5 months are crucial.

    Winter is coming........


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,132 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    Gael23 wrote: »
    So does that mean no changes on April 5th?
    No, there may be some but seemingly it will be a case of not holding your breath for any length of time.


This discussion has been closed.
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