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Covid 19 Part XXXIII-231,484 ROI(4,610 deaths)116,197 NI (2,107 deaths)(23/03)Read OP

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,507 ✭✭✭harr


    I really don’t want to be negative and am trying to see all the positives .. but two months into level 5 restrictions and still having 600 plus people a day getting infected is disheartening.
    Must be a large scale non compliance for us to getting those numbers.
    With Fine weather last weekend, protests in Dublin and street parties in Limerick I hope we aren’t going to edge back up close to 1000 a day again.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,306 ✭✭✭✭Drumpot


    Next year, or any year thereafter, where there is a flu outbreak — will you advocate lockdown? No, because you will not see lockdown as being a proportionate response to the scale of death. Does that man that your view of those who “fear for their lives” because of flu is simply “f**k them and let them die”? Does it make you some sort of degenerate if at all times you are not utterly conscious that you could be spreading a virus to someone that will kill them? Of course not.

    This post actually proves my point. Do you understand the concept of risk? Me going for a drink during a normal flu season and meeting up with friends is not the same as me going for a drink while there is a novel virus outbreak. If you think its comparable then I fear you lack perspective on the topic because they simply are not comparable.

    You are waving the spectre of people fearing for their lives due to Covid at me as if you had unearthed some great moral finding that I was unaware of. But I can just as easily wave back at you the fact that every year of your life up to last year, and I would venture every year of your life after this pandemic ends, you did not and will not lose a second’s sleep over strangers who will continue to fear for their lives from infectious respiratory illness or whatever else. You will not call for lockdown laws that might prevent them getting those diseases. That doesn’t make you a bad person, simply someone who understands that the preservation and prolongation of life exists in delicate balance with other interests. .


    In normal times Quite often people do make decisions that will impact others and they are completely unaware of it, maybe some ignorance and sometimes genuine mistake and sometimes they are just selfish and dont care.

    A person choosing to go on a session with a group of other people today is a person making a very conscious choice to do something they know for a fact may have serious potential ramifications. Far more serious ramifications then a person doing the same thing 14 months ago, you cant ignore it. There can be no ambiguity or confusion, a person breaking the restrictions to socialize in this manner is doing so with full knowledge of how it could affect somebody.

    I do not judge or define people by their mistakes or even by being selfish. Its the sum of their parts. I can understand certain proportion of the population wanting certain social norms returning , but this is a part of their character that's deficient (maybe just ignorant) as far as I am concerned. They have chosen to let their wants override common sense (forgetting about the impacts on others, it is ridiculously stupid to do this when you don't know how the virus might impact your life) for a piss up.

    Law is not a creation of some higher power — it is a man made concept which differs greatly in many contexts around the world. Disobedience with law is not invariably “acting the bollocks” or being immoral or antisocial — it can also reflect the fact that a law or the way in which it is implemented is not workable. When people do not comply with policy, it is not always because the people are inherently selfish degenerates, it can also simply be a reflection of a policy that is not sustainable. Personally I think invoking the spectre of “anarchy” because a few young ones met up for a drinking session is spectacularly hyperbolic — but even if we followed that logic — ask yourself why it would lead to anarchy? People would stop complying with laws when they lose their sense of buy-in — when it becomes apparent to them that the law is no longer the proportionate response to the evil it is supposed to prevent. If it is anarchy you fear, the you should fear unsustainable laws, not Irish teenagers who fancy a can and meeting their mates

    But most people are adhering to the law. Most people have bought into the Lockdown whether they like it or not. A few hundred people on Grafton street and extreme posters on boards do not represent the majority.

    None of this addresses the heart of my post which is that Many people are suffering in different ways, but most are trying to manage it in a way that doesn't affect the efforts to suppress the virus spread.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,134 ✭✭✭caveat emptor


    titan18 wrote: »
    I have the option whenever I want to of getting one illegally of course. I'm avoiding it atm but might end up if they're not opened in April.

    You could stop off at a sheeben after the haircut. Perhaps get some fireworks for the craic then drive home :pac:


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,132 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    harr wrote: »
    I really don’t want to be negative and am trying to see all the positives .. but two months into level 5 restrictions and still having 600 plus people a day getting infected is disheartening.
    Must be a large scale non compliance for us to getting those numbers.
    With Fine weather last weekend, protests in Dublin and street parties in Limerick I hope we aren’t going to edge back up close to 1000 a day again.
    Hospital cases are below 500 cases and falling.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 897 ✭✭✭seamusk84


    With the vaccinations increasing we need to switch focus from daily cases to hospital admissions/ICU.

    Maybe 1,000 cases a day is OK if nobody is being hospitalized.

    Exactly. Just focus on ICU and Hospital cases now.

    At this stage with the 80+ and higher risk getting the jab, genuinely it is all that really matters. Once the hospitals are not being swamped with COVID, it's time to open up and move on carefully.

    The mental and physical health of the population is what will matter in the months ahead. Bad enough at the moment the way people are starting to act after this marathon lockdown.
    I think we have done some serious damage to the chizzlers, teenagers and students with how we have handled this. That would be my concern.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,057 ✭✭✭✭titan18


    You could stop off at a sheeben after the haircut. Perhaps get some fireworks for the craic then drive home :pac:

    Might do and all (although I don't drink and fireworks are stupid anyway) Might go 5.1km outside my house and spread covid to loads of people :D


  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 12,562 Mod ✭✭✭✭Amirani


    With the vaccinations increasing we need to switch focus from daily cases to hospital admissions/ICU.

    Maybe 1,000 cases a day is OK if nobody is being hospitalized.

    Hospitalisations are too lagged. Once they start rising, any actions you take will be too late to stop the wave.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,132 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    Amirani wrote: »
    Hospitalisations are too lagged. Once they start rising, any actions you take will be too late to stop the wave.
    It's unlikely they'll rise that much, if at all, as we are slowly taking the at risk people out of the firing line.


  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 12,562 Mod ✭✭✭✭Amirani


    is_that_so wrote: »
    It's unlikely they'll rise that much, if at all, as we are slowly taking the at risk people out of the firing line.

    Half of all hospitalisations have been under 70s in recent months though. So we're a while away from stopping hopsitalisations (this is partly in response to poster above suggesting 1000s of cases a day might be okay with certain cohorts vaccinated).


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,599 ✭✭✭timsey tiger


    seamusk84 wrote: »
    I think we have done some serious damage to the chizzlers, teenagers and students with how we have handled this. That would be my concern.

    I think people are a hell of a lot more resilient than some give them credit for. Six months out the overwhelming majority will have forgotten all of this.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,525 ✭✭✭Curious_Case


    With the vaccinations increasing we need to switch focus from daily cases to hospital admissions/ICU.

    Maybe 1,000 cases a day is OK if nobody is being hospitalized.

    Precisely, an infection rate of X per 1000 of the general, pre-vaccine population is not as serious as an infection rate of X per 1,000 of a healthier, sub-section of the general population.

    Having said that, I wouldn't want to lose my sense of smell and/or taste.


  • Posts: 12,836 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Drumpot wrote: »
    This post actually proves my point. Do you understand the concept of risk? Me going for a drink during a normal flu season and meeting up with friends is not the same as me going for a drink while there is a novel virus outbreak. If you think its comparable then I fear you lack perspective on the topic because they simply are not comparable.





    In normal times Quite often people do make decisions that will impact others and they are completely unaware of it, maybe some ignorance and sometimes genuine mistake and sometimes they are just selfish and dont care.

    A person choosing to go on a session with a group of other people today is a person making a very conscious choice to do something they know for a fact may have serious potential ramifications. Far more serious ramifications then a person doing the same thing 14 months ago, you cant ignore it. There can be no ambiguity or confusion, a person breaking the restrictions to socialize in this manner is doing so with full knowledge of how it could affect somebody.

    I do not judge or define people by their mistakes or even by being selfish. Its the sum of their parts. I can understand certain proportion of the population wanting certain social norms returning , but this is a part of their character that's deficient (maybe just ignorant) as far as I am concerned. They have chosen to let their wants override common sense (forgetting about the impacts on others, it is ridiculously stupid to do this when you don't know how the virus might impact your life) for a piss up.



    But most people are adhering to the law. Most people have bought into the Lockdown whether they like it or not. A few hundred people on Grafton street and extreme posters on boards do not represent the majority.

    None of this addresses the heart of my post which is that Many people are suffering in different ways, but most are trying to manage it in a way that doesn't affect the efforts to suppress the virus spread.
    You're stating this as fact when it simply isn't. For a 20 year old, the reason not to socialise right now is to save other people. If it were simply about their own health it wouldn't even be a debate to be had, they'd take the (minimal) risk.

    They wouldn't be stupid to do so either, the statistics are clear in that regard. The reason for them to not socialise is for society as a whole, not their own health.

    This is why as time goes on you'll lose people, regardless of whatever moral high ground you want to take. How long can somebody justify putting the needs of others over their own? It will vary person to person but that's what is being asked of them.

    Personally my compliance goes once my parents get vaccinated (though realistically restrictions will ease around then anyway)


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 62 ✭✭SeaMermaid


    Amirani wrote: »
    Hospitalisations are too lagged. Once they start rising, any actions you take will be too late to stop the wave.

    This is correct. So many people are writing publicly, that once a certain age group is finished with vaccinations - the pandemic and the restrictions come to an end for themselves when that's very dangerous. That mentality is going to contribute to virus spread and it will also encourage the readers to do the same. It's very dangerous and it makes no sense to vaccinate the older population and encourage the spread of disease in the under 70s.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,290 ✭✭✭✭Goldengirl


    Glad you agree that we can't say where it came from including schools. Who knows?

    Do you think that a year into this we should probably try and find out?

    I won't labour the point. What about Tony being less than forthcoming with the truth? what's your take on that.

    That is really splitting hairs, Caveat!
    They have always said that teenage schoolchildren can spread it like adults.
    Not the same as younger children under 12 years who are not obliged to even wear masks.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 968 ✭✭✭Str8outtaWuhan


    I think people are a hell of a lot more resilient than some give them credit for. Six months out the overwhelming majority will have forgotten all of this.

    you think this will be over in 6 months ? lol


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,039 ✭✭✭Ficheall


    I see NUIG students who broke covid guidelines have been asked to write a 2k word "reflective essay" as punishment. Sweet Jesus.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,653 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    SeaMermaid wrote: »
    This is correct. So many people are writing publicly, that once a certain age group is finished with vaccinations - the pandemic and the restrictions come to an end for themselves when that's very dangerous. That mentality is going to contribute to virus spread and it will also encourage the readers to do the same. It's very dangerous and it makes no sense to vaccinate the older population and encourage the spread of disease in the under 70s.

    Of the deaths in under 65s, I think something staggering like 98% had a significant underlying condition. This cohort would be the next to get vaccinated (18-65 with underlying conditions)

    Once they are vaccinated there is nothing to fear.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,709 ✭✭✭c68zapdsm5i1ru


    Well Bella, if you can promise me right now that you will advocate lockdown every single year to save / prolong the lives of all sick and elderly people who die in winter, I will concede the argument.

    I doubt you will though — and furthermore you will never accept that this effectively means that you are supporting the condemnation of whatever number people to death via infectious illness on an annual basis.

    Instead, you will blame others for being morally deficient and continue to portray yourself as a saint who has never “knowingly” put anyone at risk — because that way you can point fingers at everyone bar yourself.

    Why do you have to be a Saint to never knowingly put people at risk. Out here in the real world that's considered normal behaviour.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 2,431 ✭✭✭Stateofyou


    Goldengirl wrote: »
    That is really splitting hairs, Caveat!
    They have always said that teenage schoolchildren can spread it like adults.
    Not the same as younger children under 12 years who are not obliged to even wear masks.

    That contradicts Mike Ryan of WHO saying that children aged 10 years of age contract and spread the virus at least as well as adults do. Therefore, older primary students should be obliged to wear masks.

    WHO and Unicef actually recommend from the age of 6 under certain circumstances (such as lack of social distancing) and the CDC from the age of 2. Why the big discrepancy from NPHET's view?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,709 ✭✭✭c68zapdsm5i1ru


    Ficheall wrote: »
    I see NUIG students who broke covid guidelines have been asked to write a 2k word "reflective essay" as punishment. Sweet Jesus.
    Any student who breaks the laws around covid should have their entitlement to free fees removed, not told to write an essay as if they've been caught smoking behind the bike shed.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 12,653 ✭✭✭✭Plumbthedepths


    Any student who breaks the laws around covid should have their entitlement to free fees removed, not told to write an essay as if they've been caught smoking behind the bike shed.

    Free fees? This will be news to thousands of parents who pay registration fees every September.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,306 ✭✭✭✭Drumpot


    AdamD wrote: »
    You're stating this as fact when it simply isn't. For a 20 year old, the reason not to socialise right now is to save other people. If it were simply about their own health it wouldn't even be a debate to be had, they'd take the (minimal) risk.

    They wouldn't be stupid to do so either, the statistics are clear in that regard. The reason for them to not socialise is for society as a whole, not their own health.

    This is why as time goes on you'll lose people, regardless of whatever moral high ground you want to take. How long can somebody justify putting the needs of others over their own? It will vary person to person but that's what is being asked of them.

    Personally my compliance goes once my parents get vaccinated (though realistically restrictions will ease around then anyway)

    I advise people on life assurance. Nobody who takes out a life assurance policy ever thinks they will die. It is the same with Serious Illness cover and Income protection cover, people take these covers out and quite often don't think about it. The people who take it seriously are those who either know somebody who really needed these policies or if they personally experienced a reason to make a claim and generally people in the health industry have a decent understanding.

    This is how I view a lot of peoples views in these threads. They have little experience/understanding with risk or the effects of what is happening and they just don't think anything bad is going to happen. And so, because they dont percieve what is going on as a threat to them , they cant fully understand why certain measures need to be in place and why they need to follow them.

    The risk that anybody will catch this virus is still quite high and while its high, its unwise for people to gather in groupings with alcohol. Our knowledge and understanding of the virus is not comparable with the Flu as this is a novel virus only around a year. There is still a lot we do not know about it, including how different variants may evolve and what that may mean. Do not confuse this with sentiments that there should be indefinite lockdowns, this is said from the viewpoint that while the virus is widely prevalent and still relatively little data on the new variants it is more prudent to be more cautious at this time.

    This is part of the reason why there is such a scare mongering agenda in the media, because rightly or wrongly, the majority of people will be influenced by fear. A lot of people lack the capacity for critical and objective thinking when a proposal is put on front of them that is taking away something they want. Quite often people find it hard to conceptualize a danger and COVID has certainly exposed this deficiency in a lot of people who will only seek out the data and information that paints the picture they want to believe.

    There is a lot of noise surrounding discussions in these forums. There is a global pandemic and every country is doing what it feels it needs to do to reduce spread. Nobody has all the right answers or perfect way of managing this This is the simple truth . People making arbitrary decisions on how they will respond to restrictions is at best not helping. At the absolute best case scenario it will be a cost neutral situation where through sheer luck nobody gets the virus or passes it on. At a worst case scenario , people will get infected that can start clusters.

    In terms of people meeting up. If it was people meeting up , outdoors, without Alcohol, you would have more of a reasonable point. Why is alcohol a necessity with socializing? It is quite remarkable, this countries relationship with alcohol and the blind spot when trying to discuss it.

    Alcohol while Socializing is fine in a normal time. Alcohol while socializing in a time when we need people to keep their distance and general faculties while being around other people is unwise (some might say stupid). I can understand why people want to ignore common sense for a good night out, but it doesn't change the fact that its just the wrong thing on pretty much every level for a significant portion of the last 12 months.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,132 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    Ficheall wrote: »
    I see NUIG students who broke covid guidelines have been asked to write a 2k word "reflective essay" as punishment. Sweet Jesus.
    Meh, that's barely 5 pages. With a can of Red Bull to hand you'd easily bang that out in under an hour!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,435 ✭✭✭✭hotmail.com


    Those people partying in Limerick have been infiltrated by the far right perhaps.

    Most rule breakers seem to be far right now.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,134 ✭✭✭caveat emptor


    Ficheall wrote: »
    I see NUIG students who broke covid guidelines have been asked to write a 2k word "reflective essay" as punishment. Sweet Jesus.

    That'll be to weed out the die hards. Any one that includes phrases like "the constitution" or "I am a freewill human person" will be carted off for further reeducation. :pac:


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,599 ✭✭✭timsey tiger


    you think this will be over in 6 months ? lol

    bar the shouting


  • Site Banned Posts: 5,975 ✭✭✭podgeandrodge


    Stateofyou wrote: »
    That contradicts Mike Ryan of WHO saying that children aged 10 years of age contract and spread the virus at least as well as adults do. Therefore, older primary students should be obliged to wear masks.

    WHO and Unicef actually recommend from the age of 6 under certain circumstances (such as lack of social distancing) and the CDC from the age of 2. Why the big discrepancy from NPHET's view?

    I personally don't understand the mindset of parents that don't have older kids wearing masks, just "because" they don't have to. Is it that difficult to make a kid over 7 or 8 wear a mask ffs.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 410 ✭✭Icantthinkof1


    Drumpot wrote: »
    I advise people on life assurance. Nobody who takes out a life assurance policy ever thinks they will die. It is the same with Serious Illness cover and Income protection cover.

    Sorry to go off topic- just wanted to say thanks for posting this as it reminded me I need to look into illness benefit and income protection cover


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,306 ✭✭✭✭Drumpot


    Sorry to go off topic- just wanted to say thanks for posting this as it reminded me I need to look into illness benefit and income protection cover

    And there is my wife complaining about me wasting my afternoon on boards while there is work to be done in our home office. I can tell her that my posting has led to me reminding somebody to look at their own protection needs . . #justified :P


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,217 ✭✭✭FionnK86


    is_that_so wrote: »
    Meh, that's barely 5 pages. With a can of Red Bull to hand you'd easily bang that out in under an hour!

    They’ll have it done an hour before it’s due and all plagiarised!


This discussion has been closed.
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