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What exactly is happening with AstraZeneca?

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Comments

  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 24,146 Mod ✭✭✭✭robinph


    You also have to remember there’s already huge vaccine hesitancy in France in particular, but also Germany, so this stuff could end up causing more of a problem from rollout than any logical issues.

    Ireland doesn’t appear to have the same issues and here it’s been more a frustration relative lack of speed of supplies coming on stream.

    Here is a comparison of flu vaccines take up across several countries. UK old folks love their flu vaccines compared to the rest of Europe.

    https://www.nuffieldtrust.org.uk/resource/adult-flu-vaccination-coverage#background


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,246 ✭✭✭✭Dyr


    Pete_Cavan wrote: »
    If a few of the big EU nations had bought as a group vaccines and left the remainder of the EU to scrap over whats left, the stats for overall EU vaccinations would likely be a lot worse than they are now. The select few would be racing ahead with plentiful supply while everyone else waits in hope. Would Ireland for example have received much supplies at this stage had we been on our own competing with every other nation? Probably not and we'd be paying through the nose for whatever we could get. For all the pıssing and moaning about the EU vaccine purchase, the alternative is almost certainly far worse.


    The big EU countries did cut side deals, Germany picked up 30 million vaccines outside of the EU scheme and the EU will let them away with it, as they always let Germany breach EU rules whenever Germany wants to. Meanwhile our gob****es were more interested in being the good student in class instead of behaving like a national government and acting in our interests

    But seems as how you've wandered into the realms of conjecture, theres only four million of us, we probably could have cut a pretty good deal oursevles, especially if we'd... gasp...coordinated with the Brits :eek:


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 21,219 ✭✭✭✭Bass Reeves


    Bambi wrote: »
    The big EU countries did cut side deals, Germany picked up 30 million vaccines outside of the EU scheme and the EU will let them away with it, as they always let Germany breach EU rules whenever Germany wants to. Meanwhile our gob****es were more interested in being the good student in class instead of behaving like a national government and acting in our interests

    But seems as how you've wandered into the realms of conjecture, theres only four million of us, we probably could have cut a pretty good deal oursevles, especially if we'd... gasp...coordinated with the Brits :eek:

    AFAIK you are incorrect. While Germany has accessed extra vaccine. I think any contracted EU supplies has to be filled before Germany will get any supply. The only other side deal is the Hungarian government who are getting a supply of the Russian Spudnik vaccine. The EU has no contracted supplies there and did not intend to get any when the contract was signed

    Slava Ukrainii



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,447 ✭✭✭embraer170


    You also have to remember there’s already huge vaccine hesitancy in France in particular, but also Germany, so this stuff could end up causing more of a problem from rollout than any logical issues.

    Ireland doesn’t appear to have the same issues and here it’s been more a frustration relative lack of speed of supplies coming on stream.

    And there is an even worse vaccine hesitancy in Eastern Europe. In Bulgaria, the AZ vaccine is offered to anyone who wants it (no appointment needed, no age restriction).


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 221 ✭✭Tippbhoy1


    Bambi wrote: »
    The big EU countries did cut side deals, Germany picked up 30 million vaccines outside of the EU scheme and the EU will let them away with it, as they always let Germany breach EU rules whenever Germany wants to. Meanwhile our gob****es were more interested in being the good student in class instead of behaving like a national government and acting in our interests

    But seems as how you've wandered into the realms of conjecture, theres only four million of us, we probably could have cut a pretty good deal oursevles, especially if we'd... gasp...coordinated with the Brits :eek:

    I seriously doubt we could have cut a better deal with pharmacy companies than the Eu, we are 1.1% of the size of the total EU. We’d barely have any coming in yet, if any at all, without EU collective bargaining. Why would we go in with the UK, we are in the EU.

    The Uk are ahead in vaccinations because they “approved” over a month earlier than EU and they have managed to effectively nationalise all uk production of AZ. If they didn’t have control over those factories and de facto control over AZ they would be no better off than any other western country, USA excluded. They backed themselves fair play to them, I hope it works out for them but they’ll have less friends after it if that’s even possible at this stage.

    Lots of light at the end of the tunnel for Ireland


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,726 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    I think however there's a fairly strong political link in the case of the AZ vaccine. Vaccinations in general were one of the areas that the UK were predicted to suffer heavily due to Brexit. The EU argued that their buying power would place them way ahead in terms of both price and volume and took over from several EU members that had banded together to purchase vaccines and other countries were strongly discouraged from doing their own private deals.

    Now however the opposite has occurred and it is Brexit Britain that is racing ahead and the countries that set out to do their own deals initially are rightly angry.

    That is not what happened at all. Why would the EU want to be 'ahead' of the UK or anyone else? It would be of zero interest to them whether Britain vaccinated 1m people or 60m.....it's not a race.

    The real reason was to stop a vaccine bidding war within the EU, where the big member states get all the vaccines and all the others are left behind.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,246 ✭✭✭✭Dyr


    AFAIK you are incorrect. While Germany has accessed extra vaccine. I think any contracted EU supplies has to be filled before Germany will get any supply. The only other side deal is the Hungarian government who are getting a supply of the Russian Spudnik vaccine. The EU has no contracted supplies there and did not intend to get any when the contract was signed

    "The German government signed two preliminary deals with German biotech firms BioNTech and CureVac in the summer to secure 50 million doses of their COVID-19 vaccines, according to a health ministry document and an official.

    The deals, which were not announced when they were signed, are controversial because EU governments had agreed not to negotiate bilateral supply agreements with vaccine makers in a effort to avoid vying for shots.

    The ministry official, speaking on condition of anonymity, said Germany signed a memorandum of understanding with CureVac on Aug. 31 for the supply of 20 million doses of its vaccine under development."

    https://www.politico.eu/article/germanys-coronavirus-vaccine-side-deal-at-odds-with-legally-binding-eu-pact/

    https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-vaccine-germany-idUSKBN29D1WU

    One minute google search. Why didnt you bother?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 221 ✭✭Tippbhoy1


    Bambi wrote: »
    "The German government signed two preliminary deals with German biotech firms BioNTech and CureVac in the summer to secure 50 million doses of their COVID-19 vaccines, according to a health ministry document and an official.

    The deals, which were not announced when they were signed, are controversial because EU governments had agreed not to negotiate bilateral supply agreements with vaccine makers in a effort to avoid vying for shots.

    The ministry official, speaking on condition of anonymity, said Germany signed a memorandum of understanding with CureVac on Aug. 31 for the supply of 20 million doses of its vaccine under development."

    https://www.politico.eu/article/germanys-coronavirus-vaccine-side-deal-at-odds-with-legally-binding-eu-pact/

    https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-vaccine-germany-idUSKBN29D1WU

    One minute google search. Why didnt you bother?

    “Deliveries to Germany under both deals would start only after EU countries were supplied under EU deals”


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 289 ✭✭AngeloArgue


    Tippbhoy1 wrote: »
    If they didn’t have control over those factories and de facto control over AZ they would be no better off than any other western country, USA excluded.

    There is hundreds of thousands of doses of AstraZeneca vaccine in storage in Germany because they are refusing to take them.

    But they are still accepting their allocated deliveries


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 289 ✭✭AngeloArgue


    https://www.dw.com/en/covid-astrazeneca-vaccine-remains-unpopular-in-germany/a-56630827

    only 87,000 of the 736,800 AstraZeneca vaccine doses delivered to date have been used, according to Germany's disease agency, the Robert Koch Institute (RKI)


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 21,219 ✭✭✭✭Bass Reeves


    Bambi wrote: »
    "The German government signed two preliminary deals with German biotech firms BioNTech and CureVac in the summer to secure 50 million doses of their COVID-19 vaccines, according to a health ministry document and an official.

    The deals, which were not announced when they were signed, are controversial because EU governments had agreed not to negotiate bilateral supply agreements with vaccine makers in a effort to avoid vying for shots.

    The ministry official, speaking on condition of anonymity, said Germany signed a memorandum of understanding with CureVac on Aug. 31 for the supply of 20 million doses of its vaccine under development."

    https://www.politico.eu/article/germanys-coronavirus-vaccine-side-deal-at-odds-with-legally-binding-eu-pact/

    https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-vaccine-germany-idUSKBN29D1WU

    One minute google search. Why didnt you bother?

    As I posted they did not violate the EU deal as any doses will.only be supplied after the EU doses are supplied

    Slava Ukrainii



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,995 ✭✭✭McGiver


    Tippbhoy1 wrote:
    “Deliveries to Germany under both deals would start only after EU countries were supplied under EU dealsâ€

    And they are both German companies. Cough cough.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,550 ✭✭✭ShineOn7


    Ah lads ffs

    I'm exhausted

    https://twitter.com/fergalrte/status/1364267063628414988


    J & J's approval will make up for it?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,518 ✭✭✭fly_agaric


    ShineOn7 wrote: »
    Ah lads ffs

    I'm exhausted

    https://twitter.com/fergalrte/status/1364267063628414988


    J & J's approval will make up for it?

    Seems to be a story on RTE website about it (below):

    https://www.rte.ie/news/coronavirus/2021/0223/1198890-eu-astrazeneca-vaccine/

    Is it really a shock after what happened previously?

    They must be a write off as far as depending on them for any significant proportion of EU vaccine supply this year (+ as you say, have to hope other manufacturers will be willing & able to fill orders as expected).

    I can't exactly see the EU/member states being enthusiastic about shovelling even more money at them to "help" with whatever is going on.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,055 ✭✭✭✭Frank Bullitt


    https://twitter.com/Reuters/status/1364275125214969866

    Jesus Christ, who the hell is running this company?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,041 ✭✭✭Call me Al


    https://twitter.com/Reuters/status/1364275125214969866

    Jesus Christ, who the hell is running this company?

    It makes you wonder about the caliber of some of the people running this business.
    Are they just plucking their forecasting projections out of thin air?

    At least they didn't wait to announce this until 29th March. They found their calendar at least.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,276 ✭✭✭IRISHSPORTSGUY


    https://twitter.com/Reuters/status/1364275125214969866

    Jesus Christ, who the hell is running this company?

    Moderna are basically the Internet Explorer of vaccines but seem to get off quite easy in comparison.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,550 ✭✭✭ShineOn7


    Moderna are basically the Internet Explorer of vaccines but seem to get off quite easy in comparison.


    Have they fecked up too?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 21,277 ✭✭✭✭Stark


    We've got a whole 5,000 doses delivered since they were approved.


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 14,824 Mod ✭✭✭✭marno21


    Thankfully our Living with Covid plan has factored in this into our vaccination programme.

    The “gamechanger” vaccine will make up less than 20% of vaccinations in Q2.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 269 ✭✭deeperlearning


    It seems like the FDA in the US could reject AstraZeneca's COVID-19 vaccine on efficacy and manufacturing shortfalls.

    https://www.fiercepharma.com/pharma/fda-could-reject-astra-zeneca-s-covid-vaccine-efficacy-and-manufacturing-shortfalls-analyst


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,780 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    It seems like the FDA in the US could reject AstraZeneca's COVID-19 vaccine on efficacy and manufacturing shortfalls.

    https://www.fiercepharma.com/pharma/fda-could-reject-astra-zeneca-s-covid-vaccine-efficacy-and-manufacturing-shortfalls-analyst

    That be great if it can open up extra supplies!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,995 ✭✭✭McGiver


    Jesus Christ, who the hell is running this company?

    I've been telling that the whole AZ story stinks.
    It's a dodgy company, the vaccine is cursed, and riddled with issues since the beginning. Completely discredited bogus company.

    1. Contracts with the UK and the EU signed at the same time with essentially the same clauses.
    2. AZ applied late to EMA - to avoid 2020 Q4 delivery., I suspect.
    3. AZ prioritised Q1 deliveries to the UK over the EU.
    4. AZ lied about production issues causing Q1 delivery shortfall - there were none.
    5. AZ gave late warning to the EU about the Q1 shortfall.
    6. AZ might deliver only 40% of the Q1 volume. Could be even less.
    7. AZ now saying they will deliver only 50% of the Q2 volume.
    8.... More surprises to come.

    Good that we, the EU, didn't put high stake on this vaccine in the overall portfolio, it was only 18%, now with the shortfall and increases to other vaccine numbers it's going to be <10%.

    Pfizer ramping up, JJ coming in few weeks, then Novavax, then Curevac.

    We should forget the Great British National AZ Vaccine and move on. If we can get extra AZ doses then we good but else forget about it.

    JJ is going to be the key vaccine IMHO.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,108 ✭✭✭KrustyUCC


    RTE seem to have changed the AZ story

    AstraZeneca also confirmed that it aims to deliver the number of vaccines in line with its contract with the European Commission.

    A spokesperson for the Company, said: "AstraZeneca confirms today that its most recent Q2 forecast for the delivery of its COVID-19 vaccine aims to deliver in line with its contract with the European Commission.

    "As per this contract, approximately half of the expected volume is due to come from the EU supply chain, while the remainder would come from its international supply network. At this stage AstraZeneca is working to increase productivity in its EU supply chain and to continue to make use of its global capability in order to achieve delivery of 180 million doses to the EU in the second quarter."

    An EU source who spoke to RTÉ strongly questioned some of the figures attributed to the official in the Reuters report.

    https://www.rte.ie/news/coronavirus/2021/0223/1198890-eu-astrazeneca-vaccine/

    If AZ are right that should mean an extra 900,000 vaccines that we budgeted for will be available in Q2


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,726 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    KrustyUCC wrote: »
    RTE seem to have changed the AZ story

    AstraZeneca also confirmed that it aims to deliver the number of vaccines in line with its contract with the European Commission.

    A spokesperson for the Company, said: "AstraZeneca confirms today that its most recent Q2 forecast for the delivery of its COVID-19 vaccine aims to deliver in line with its contract with the European Commission.

    "As per this contract, approximately half of the expected volume is due to come from the EU supply chain, while the remainder would come from its international supply network. At this stage AstraZeneca is working to increase productivity in its EU supply chain and to continue to make use of its global capability in order to achieve delivery of 180 million doses to the EU in the second quarter."

    An EU source who spoke to RTÉ strongly questioned some of the figures attributed to the official in the Reuters report.

    https://www.rte.ie/news/coronavirus/2021/0223/1198890-eu-astrazeneca-vaccine/

    If AZ are right that should mean an extra 900,000 vaccines that we budgeted for will be available in Q2

    Naomi O'Leary of the Irish Times thinks Reuters got the wrong end of the stick and are quoting numbers that were already known to the EU a few weeks ago.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,726 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    McGiver wrote: »
    I've been telling that the whole AZ story stinks.
    It's a dodgy company, the vaccine is cursed, and riddled with issues since the beginning. Completely discredited bogus company.

    1. Contracts with the UK and the EU signed at the same time with essentially the same clauses.
    2. AZ applied late to EMA - to avoid 2020 Q4 delivery., I suspect.
    3. AZ prioritised Q1 deliveries to the UK over the EU.
    4. AZ lied about production issues causing Q1 delivery shortfall - there were none.
    5. AZ gave late warning to the EU about the Q1 shortfall.
    6. AZ might deliver only 40% of the Q1 volume. Could be even less.
    7. AZ now saying they will deliver only 50% of the Q2 volume.
    8.... More surprises to come.

    Good that we, the EU, didn't put high stake on this vaccine in the overall portfolio, it was only 18%, now with the shortfall and increases to other vaccine numbers it's going to be <10%.

    Pfizer ramping up, JJ coming in few weeks, then Novavax, then Curevac.

    We should forget the Great British National AZ Vaccine and move on. If we can get extra AZ doses then we good but else forget about it.

    JJ is going to be the key vaccine IMHO.

    It strikes me that AZ made a strategic mistake here : prioritising a single country whilst pissing off 27 others at the same time. If they'd had a bit more cop on, they'd have have prioritised the EU27 over the UK (failing to do so means they have taken a huge amount of criticism and generated a ton of negative publicity).

    Kaitlan Collins of CNN reports J & J could be authorised in the US as soon as next week.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,243 ✭✭✭lucernarian


    Public Health is not an EU competence. Consequently, the EU had to get agreement from all 27 member states, which takes time. The intention of their action was to protect smaller states such as ourselves against the larger state (Germany and France) from looking after their own population at the expense of the rest. Remember the scandal of the fight for PPE where states were outbidding each other to get hold of the stuff, some of which was useless.

    It took time.

    They also had to get the EMA to approve the vaccine which took more time. The UK took a risk by approving vaccines early (which they could - and so could we have done so), and by not adhering to the science as to the dosing regime as tested, they have given more people the first dose by delaying the second dose by 70 days. The appear to be lucky that it has worked out for them so far.

    They have yet to start the second dose of the programme.

    By not adhering to specific data, not so much the interpretation of that data. There's no precedent in 200 years of vaccines for a single dose regimen to be completely ineffective while 2 doses would surpass expectations in the same limited period of 2-6 months. HepB vaccines are a matter of stimulating the immune system enough to produce lifelong neutralising antibodies, which the phase 2 trials for Covid-19 in general did.

    To augment that, Dengue virus and HIV have differing escape mechanisms from antibody-mediated immunity that haven't been found with SARS-CoV-2. In the case of Dengue, that is an example of where infection by one strain can make the next infection by another strain worse. There has been literally nothing in the literature to describe cases where 2nd covid infections have resulted in fatal outcomes when controlled for comorbidities.

    I wouldn't describe all these factors as luck. Ultimately though I don't think the EU ****ed up or the UK was perfect, each were responding to their own circumstances and needs to drive infections towards 0


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 727 ✭✭✭NeuralNetwork


    Strazdas wrote: »
    It strikes me that AZ made a strategic mistake here : prioritising a single country whilst pissing off 27 others at the same time. If they'd had a bit more cop on, they'd have have prioritised the EU27 over the UK (failing to do so means they have taken a huge amount of criticism and generated a ton of negative publicity).

    Kaitlan Collins of CNN reports J & J could be authorised in the US as soon as next week.

    EMA expected timeline is early to mid March so, you’re looking really at late next week or the week after in Europe too, Monday being 1st March.

    The timeline from application being received to authorisation in the EMA has been very short. AstraZeneca took a lot longer to actually submit an application to the EMA than they did to the UK authorities, yet the EMA has been getting all the stick for that on various forums.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,243 ✭✭✭lucernarian


    McGiver wrote: »
    I've been telling that the whole AZ story stinks.
    It's a dodgy company, the vaccine is cursed, and riddled with issues since the beginning. Completely discredited bogus company.

    1. Contracts with the UK and the EU signed at the same time with essentially the same clauses.
    2. AZ applied late to EMA - to avoid 2020 Q4 delivery., I suspect.
    3. AZ prioritised Q1 deliveries to the UK over the EU.
    4. AZ lied about production issues causing Q1 delivery shortfall - there were none.
    5. AZ gave late warning to the EU about the Q1 shortfall.
    6. AZ might deliver only 40% of the Q1 volume. Could be even less.
    7. AZ now saying they will deliver only 50% of the Q2 volume.
    8.... More surprises to come.

    Good that we, the EU, didn't put high stake on this vaccine in the overall portfolio, it was only 18%, now with the shortfall and increases to other vaccine numbers it's going to be <10%.

    Pfizer ramping up, JJ coming in few weeks, then Novavax, then Curevac.

    We should forget the Great British National AZ Vaccine and move on. If we can get extra AZ doses then we good but else forget about it.

    JJ is going to be the key vaccine IMHO.

    Vaccine was developed by Oxford in the first place. But I agree AZ have been watching over their backs and maybe acted in an underhanded way. JJ have played a good PR game, and haven't let down any parties so far. Easy for them to take the high road. It's laughable that many describe mRNA vaccines as experimental when virus-vector vaccines are similarly experimental.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 727 ✭✭✭NeuralNetwork


    J&J are a huge outfit in comparison and they’re also heavily present in the EU, particularly though Janssen.

    You’ll note, in Europe, the application is from Janssen Pharmaceutica, not J&J USA.

    I strongly suspect that this and the huge uptick of Pfizer/BioNTech and with support of Sanofi will be the cornerstone of the vaccine rollout in Europe.

    There’s more to come with CureVac too, but that’s going to be more likely after April as they were further behind in their own R&D but they’re also partnered with Bayer on that so it will be potentially big rollout.

    If you look at AstraZeneca’s product line up they’re not a big vaccine maker by any comparison. That’s what always surprised me about this sudden prominence.

    Oxford had originally discussed working with Merck & Co on this product but they ended up with AstraZeneca instead.


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