Ninja Snow - February 17th-18th 2021 - Inland West/Midlands/High Ground

Danno · 16-02-2021 03:58PM #1

Just a heads up on a period of snow tomorrow night for a time:

FAX:

A double cold front pushes eastwards across Ireland introducing a brief cold spell ridging in from the west/northwest.

DOCARCH · 16-02-2021 04:13PM

Met Eireann mentioned this in their forecast and even Gerry said the word 'snow' in his 7.55am forecast this morning!

Danno · 16-02-2021 04:24PM

Wednesday night: Heavy rain will spread northeastwards over Ireland with a risk of flooding and some sleet or snow in places, mainly on high ground in the west. Some icy patches may form as lowest temperatures fall to between -1 to +3 degrees. Fresh to strong and gusty southerly winds in the southeast, elsewhere moderate to fresh and gusty cyclonic variable breezes. Winds will veer moderate to fresh westerly everywhere by morning.

FROM: http://archive.met.ie/forecasts/

Donegal Ken · 16-02-2021 07:13PM

Ecmwf and ICON has the risk further west up across Connacht into west Ulster now. Latest Gfs also trending westwards. Interesting watch.

Nqp15hhu · 16-02-2021 07:16PM

Hope it’s not another Letterkenny only event, which seems to happen a lot lately.

Tyrone212 · 16-02-2021 07:16PM

Weather on tv just mentioned the North West.

Donegal Ken · 16-02-2021 07:18PM

Saturday was not a Letterkenny event it was rather widespread. Very marginal all the same tomorrow night. Could be a few surprised faces on Thursday morning.

Nqp15hhu · 16-02-2021 07:20PM

The marginal events have been Letterkenny only events. The NW we had before the easterly is an example.

Anyway I would wager this will be a 200 metre + event for wet snow here and the vast majority of NI, maybe even higher for eastern NI.

The two usual suspects on netweather might get a dusting though.

Donegal Ken · 16-02-2021 07:21PM

Areas like Ballybofey, Barnesmore & Lifford for example normally do well in these marginal events.

Tyrone212 · 16-02-2021 07:23PM

Nqp15hhu wrote: »

The marginal events have been Letterkenny only events. The NW we had before the easterly is an example.

It wasn't just letterkenny. Large parts of Donegal(especially Eastern)and West Tyrone. Parts of Derry. I'm sure other areas as well. Would be very weird if only letterkenny got snow and nowhere else.

Kermit.de.frog · 16-02-2021 08:29PM

Cold enough for a frontal situation. Decent enough chance of some snowfall in these locations overnight tomorrow. Won't amount to much but it would be nice to see falling.

Nqp15hhu · 16-02-2021 08:39PM

And further east later on of course.

pauldry · 16-02-2021 08:58PM

Kermits spoken. So it WILL snow.

Why does thread title say midlands inland SW

Donegal Ken · 16-02-2021 09:04PM

First of all the risk was in the east and south now models have started to bring it more westwards up over Connacht and west Ulster. Waiting for some of the models to verify.

Danno · 16-02-2021 09:41PM

pauldry wrote: »

Kermits spoken. So it WILL snow.

Why does thread title say midlands inland SW

Updated thread title to keep in tune with shifting model trends.

davidsr20 · 16-02-2021 09:51PM

Athenry looks rite in the firing line

Donegal Ken · 16-02-2021 09:54PM

Most likely be a Rainfall warning issued with a mention of some sleet and snow for a time in places.

davidsr20 · 16-02-2021 10:30PM

Donegal Ken wrote: »

Most likely be a Rainfall warning issued with a mention of some sleet and snow for a time in places.

Wow thanks lol

Villain · 17-02-2021 08:21AM

Th difference across models on this is very interesting!

pauldry · 17-02-2021 09:07AM

Ninja Sleet now forecast bar mountains

Kermit.de.frog · 17-02-2021 09:37AM

Sleet and snow risk has now transferred to the south Midlands. Temporary wet snow for a time. Wicklow getting some snowfall on high ground.

highdef · 17-02-2021 09:44AM

Kermit.de.frog wrote: »

Sleet and snow risk has now transferred to the south Midlands. Temporary wet snow for a time. Wicklow getting some snowfall on high ground.

Is that according to one particular model or a blend of models?

pad199207 · 17-02-2021 10:18AM

Status Yellow - Wind warning for Wexford, Wicklow and Waterford

Met Éireann Weather Warning

Southerly winds tonight will reach mean speeds of 50 to 60km/h with gusts of 80 to 100km/h, highest in coastal areas. Where winds are onshore there is a risk of coastal flooding around high tide.

Valid: 23:00 Wednesday 17/02/2021 to 05:00 Thursday 18/02/2021

Issued: 09:00 Wednesday 17/02/2021

iagreebut · 17-02-2021 10:32AM

According to Looks like there is a lot of pasting on the way, well that's my synopsis of MT'S forecast

highdef · 17-02-2021 10:36AM

iagreebut wrote: »

According to Looks like there is a lot of pasting on the way, well that's my synopsis of MT'S forecast

I must be reading the wrong thing as the closest thing I can see to anywhere being mentioned as getting a pasting in todays forecast by MT is "sleet over higher parts of west Munster and Connacht" tonight and you would be very well pushed to describe that as a pasting

Nqp15hhu · 17-02-2021 11:36AM

The ECM and Arpege says snow for the Western half of the island but gfs doesn’t.

All depends on how far west the warm front heads and the intensity of precipitation.

pauldry · 17-02-2021 11:56AM

Nqp15hhu wrote: »

The ECM and Arpege says snow for the Western half of the island but gfs doesn’t.

All depends on how far west the warm front heads and the intensity of precipitation.

ECM v GFS

Who wins?
Well see.

Incidentally enormous thunder just a while ago in Sligo

iagreebut · 17-02-2021 12:37PM

highdef wrote: »

I must be reading the wrong thing as the closest thing I can see to anywhere being mentioned as getting a pasting in todays forecast by MT is "sleet over higher parts of west Munster and Connacht" tonight and you would be very well pushed to describe that as a pasting

lol sorry,I'm in West Munster myself, should be in line for a pasting.

I should have mentioned my location,and I'm up high too .

Danno · 17-02-2021 12:37PM

Kermit.de.frog wrote: »

Sleet and snow risk has now transferred to the south Midlands. Temporary wet snow for a time. Wicklow getting some snowfall on high ground.

Nqp15hhu · 17-02-2021 01:17PM

iagreebut wrote: »

lol sorry,I'm in West Munster myself, should be in line for a pasting.

I should have mentioned my location,and I'm up high too .

Nobody is getting a pasting. It will just be wet snow.

Oneiric 3 · 17-02-2021 01:56PM

I have zero interest in this from a snow perspective, but will be keeping an eye on the small potential for a sharp squall line feature to develop south of that shallow low that is expected to move up through the country later this evening: (blue circle indicates area where it would be more likely to develop if it were to)

At the small chance that it does, then east Munster, Leinster and later east Ulster would be most at risk.

Ninja Snow - February 17th-18th 2021 - Inland West/Midlands/High Ground

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