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Ninja Snow - February 17th-18th 2021 - Inland West/Midlands/High Ground

  • 16-02-2021 4:58pm
    #1
    Registered Users Posts: 8,409 ✭✭✭ Danno


    Just a heads up on a period of snow tomorrow night for a time:

    GFSOPUK12_35_53.png

    GFSOPUK12_37_53.png

    FAX:

    PPVI89.gif?31415

    A double cold front pushes eastwards across Ireland introducing a brief cold spell ridging in from the west/northwest.


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Comments

  • Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,115 Mod ✭✭✭✭ DOCARCH


    Met Eireann mentioned this in their forecast and even Gerry said the word 'snow' in his 7.55am forecast this morning!


  • Registered Users Posts: 8,409 ✭✭✭ Danno


    Wednesday night: Heavy rain will spread northeastwards over Ireland with a risk of flooding and some sleet or snow in places, mainly on high ground in the west. Some icy patches may form as lowest temperatures fall to between -1 to +3 degrees. Fresh to strong and gusty southerly winds in the southeast, elsewhere moderate to fresh and gusty cyclonic variable breezes. Winds will veer moderate to fresh westerly everywhere by morning.

    FROM: http://archive.met.ie/forecasts/


  • Registered Users Posts: 348 ✭✭ Donegal Ken


    Ecmwf and ICON has the risk further west up across Connacht into west Ulster now. Latest Gfs also trending westwards. Interesting watch.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 2,254 ✭✭✭ Nqp15hhu


    Hope it’s not another Letterkenny only event, which seems to happen a lot lately.


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,570 ✭✭✭ Tyrone212


    Weather on tv just mentioned the North West.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 348 ✭✭ Donegal Ken


    Saturday was not a Letterkenny event it was rather widespread. Very marginal all the same tomorrow night. Could be a few surprised faces on Thursday morning.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 2,254 ✭✭✭ Nqp15hhu


    The marginal events have been Letterkenny only events. The NW we had before the easterly is an example.

    Anyway I would wager this will be a 200 metre + event for wet snow here and the vast majority of NI, maybe even higher for eastern NI.

    The two usual suspects on netweather might get a dusting though.


  • Registered Users Posts: 348 ✭✭ Donegal Ken


    Areas like Ballybofey, Barnesmore & Lifford for example normally do well in these marginal events.


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,570 ✭✭✭ Tyrone212


    Nqp15hhu wrote: »
    The marginal events have been Letterkenny only events. The NW we had before the easterly is an example.

    It wasn't just letterkenny. Large parts of Donegal(especially Eastern)and West Tyrone. Parts of Derry. I'm sure other areas as well. Would be very weird if only letterkenny got snow and nowhere else.


  • Registered Users Posts: 21,818 ✭✭✭✭ Kermit.de.frog


    Cold enough for a frontal situation. Decent enough chance of some snowfall in these locations overnight tomorrow. Won't amount to much but it would be nice to see falling.

    iconeu_uk1-42-39-0.png?16-16

    iconeu_uk1-16-39-0.png?16-16

    iconeu_uk1-18-40-0.png?16-16

    iconeu_uk1-41-39-0.png?16-16


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  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 2,254 ✭✭✭ Nqp15hhu


    And further east later on of course.


  • Registered Users Posts: 5,852 ✭✭✭ pauldry


    Kermits spoken. So it WILL snow.

    Why does thread title say midlands inland SW


  • Registered Users Posts: 348 ✭✭ Donegal Ken


    First of all the risk was in the east and south now models have started to bring it more westwards up over Connacht and west Ulster. Waiting for some of the models to verify.


  • Registered Users Posts: 8,409 ✭✭✭ Danno


    pauldry wrote: »
    Kermits spoken. So it WILL snow.

    Why does thread title say midlands inland SW

    Updated thread title to keep in tune with shifting model trends.


  • Registered Users Posts: 756 ✭✭✭ davidsr20


    Athenry looks rite in the firing line


  • Registered Users Posts: 348 ✭✭ Donegal Ken


    Most likely be a Rainfall warning issued with a mention of some sleet and snow for a time in places.


  • Registered Users Posts: 756 ✭✭✭ davidsr20


    Most likely be a Rainfall warning issued with a mention of some sleet and snow for a time in places.

    Wow thanks lol


  • Registered Users Posts: 15,847 ✭✭✭✭ Villain


    Th difference across models on this is very interesting!


  • Registered Users Posts: 5,852 ✭✭✭ pauldry


    Ninja Sleet now forecast bar mountains


  • Registered Users Posts: 21,818 ✭✭✭✭ Kermit.de.frog


    Sleet and snow risk has now transferred to the south Midlands. Temporary wet snow for a time. Wicklow getting some snowfall on high ground.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 5,364 ✭✭✭ highdef


    Sleet and snow risk has now transferred to the south Midlands. Temporary wet snow for a time. Wicklow getting some snowfall on high ground.

    Is that according to one particular model or a blend of models?


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,447 ✭✭✭ pad199207


    Status Yellow - Wind warning for Wexford, Wicklow and Waterford

    Met Éireann Weather Warning

    Southerly winds tonight will reach mean speeds of 50 to 60km/h with gusts of 80 to 100km/h, highest in coastal areas. Where winds are onshore there is a risk of coastal flooding around high tide.

    Valid: 23:00 Wednesday 17/02/2021 to 05:00 Thursday 18/02/2021

    Issued: 09:00 Wednesday 17/02/2021


  • Site Banned Posts: 109 ✭✭ iagreebut


    According to Looks like there is a lot of pasting on the way, well that's my synopsis of MT'S forecast


  • Registered Users Posts: 5,364 ✭✭✭ highdef


    iagreebut wrote: »
    According to Looks like there is a lot of pasting on the way, well that's my synopsis of MT'S forecast

    I must be reading the wrong thing as the closest thing I can see to anywhere being mentioned as getting a pasting in todays forecast by MT is "sleet over higher parts of west Munster and Connacht" tonight and you would be very well pushed to describe that as a pasting :confused:


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 2,254 ✭✭✭ Nqp15hhu


    The ECM and Arpege says snow for the Western half of the island but gfs doesn’t.

    All depends on how far west the warm front heads and the intensity of precipitation.


  • Registered Users Posts: 5,852 ✭✭✭ pauldry


    Nqp15hhu wrote: »
    The ECM and Arpege says snow for the Western half of the island but gfs doesn’t.

    All depends on how far west the warm front heads and the intensity of precipitation.

    ECM v GFS

    Who wins?
    Well see.

    Incidentally enormous thunder just a while ago in Sligo


  • Site Banned Posts: 109 ✭✭ iagreebut


    highdef wrote: »
    I must be reading the wrong thing as the closest thing I can see to anywhere being mentioned as getting a pasting in todays forecast by MT is "sleet over higher parts of west Munster and Connacht" tonight and you would be very well pushed to describe that as a pasting :confused:


    lol sorry,I'm in West Munster myself, should be in line for a pasting.

    I should have mentioned my location,and I'm up high too .


  • Registered Users Posts: 8,409 ✭✭✭ Danno


    Sleet and snow risk has now transferred to the south Midlands. Temporary wet snow for a time. Wicklow getting some snowfall on high ground.

    85270087.jpg


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 2,254 ✭✭✭ Nqp15hhu


    iagreebut wrote: »
    lol sorry,I'm in West Munster myself, should be in line for a pasting.

    I should have mentioned my location,and I'm up high too .

    Nobody is getting a pasting. It will just be wet snow.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 6,033 ✭✭✭ Oneiric 3


    I have zero interest in this from a snow perspective, but will be keeping an eye on the small potential for a sharp squall line feature to develop south of that shallow low that is expected to move up through the country later this evening: (blue circle indicates area where it would be more likely to develop if it were to)

    SyU1ACw.png

    At the small chance that it does, then east Munster, Leinster and later east Ulster would be most at risk.

    New Moon



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