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FI Charts ( T120+ onwards) Winter 2020 **READ MOD NOTE IN FIRST POST**

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    #3092
    Gonzo
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,768 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    That beast is getting closer. Raw south-east winds screeching in from a frozen continent.

    GFSOPEU18_198_2.png


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    #3093
    Gonzo
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,768 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    The express is on it's way.

    GFSOPEU18_210_2.png


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    #3094
    Gonzo
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,768 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    The freezer is back

    GFSOPEU18_222_2.png


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    #3095
    TonyMaloney
    Registered Users Posts: 2,147 ✭✭✭TonyMaloney


    the pub run is ****ing amazing.shame it's the 18z

    gfs-1-216_sft7.png


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    #3096
    tikkamark
    Registered Users Posts: 536 ✭✭✭tikkamark


    Gonzo wrote: »
    The express is on it's way.

    GFSOPEU18_210_2.png
    Hopefully it brings a bit of precipitation off the Irish see with it!


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    #3097
    nacho libre
    Registered Users Posts: 16,692 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    Why has no one commented on tonights GFS run:confused:

    It's a stonker as Auntysnow would say:D


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    #3098
    Gonzo
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,768 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    nacho libre wrote: »
    Why has no one commented on tonights GFS run:confused:

    It's a stonker as Auntysnow would say:D

    the excitment got to me and I posted them all in the wrong technical thread!


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    #3099
    giveitholly
    Registered Users Posts: 5,596 ✭✭✭giveitholly


    nacho libre wrote: »
    Why has no one commented on tonights GFS run:confused:

    It's a stonker as Auntysnow would say:D

    They did but in the wrong thread,think they got a bit too excited and didn't realise where they were posting


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    #3100
    Gonzo
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,768 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    The posts now in this thread a few posts up.


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    #3101
    sryanbruen
    Registered Users Posts: 13,536 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    Yeah, difficult to contain excitement with an 18z like that. Proper cold air from the east. Day 10 though, let's not forget!

    Mad it never brings in the breakdown. Wouldn't be surprised this was an outlier but wow. I did see a fair cluster (no big outliers) of cold ensembles on the 12z, wonder what the 18z will be like. Obviously operational would be in that if there continues to be.

    VF3MemU.png

    Photography site - https://www.sryanbruenphoto.com/

    Weather photo portfolio - https://sryanbruen.myportfolio.com/weather-1



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    #3102
    Gonzo
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,768 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    something strange at GFS 12z at +258 hours, looks like a wrong chart.


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    #3103
    TonyMaloney
    Registered Users Posts: 2,147 ✭✭✭TonyMaloney


    Gonzo wrote: »
    something strange at GFS 12z at +258 hours, looks like a wrong chart.

    the whole run is fairly strange

    I'm not seeing any hiccups though


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    #3104
    arctictree
    Registered Users Posts: 4,299 ✭✭✭arctictree


    Gonzo wrote: »
    The freezer is back

    GFSOPEU18_222_2.png

    Does that chart actually show it being colder in Ireland than Svalbard and eastern greenland?


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    #3105
    Kermit.de.frog
    Registered Users Posts: 23,568 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    There's 'proper cold' from tomorrow too folks! :pac: Let's not lose sight of what's right in front of us by looking beyond it :too much :D


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    #3106
    Gonzo
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,768 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    arctictree wrote: »
    Does that chart actually show it being colder in Ireland than Svalbard and eastern greenland?


    We're given lapland, parts of Iceland and much of northern Scandi a run for their money. But were like an oven compared to Poland getting close to -30 there.

    GFSOPSC18_228_5.png

    that's some serious cold pool.

    GFSOPEE18_228_5.png


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    #3107
    Jizique
    Registered Users Posts: 1,858 ✭✭✭Jizique


    Kermit.de.frog wrote: »
    There's 'proper cold' from tomorrow too folks! :pac: Let's not lose sight of what's right in front of us by looking beyond it :lol:

    German weather forecast changes and now the midterm 10 day outlook is for Berlin to stay below freezing and the cold to spread south to Munich, which also remains in the freezer;this suggests the Atlantic makes little progress and the east wind remains in control


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    #3108
    Gonzo
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,768 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    Who here just ordered another beast? The pub run just drank every bottle of whiskey I think.

    GFSOPEU18_342_1.png

    GFSOPEU18_342_2.png


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    #3109
    Kermit.de.frog
    Registered Users Posts: 23,568 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    Here's the control run. Nice

    gens-0-1-186.png

    Just looking across the models there is a very good chance surface temperatures remain very low throughout next weekend which means snowfall from Thursday/Friday could last some time in many places.


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    #3110
    TonyMaloney
    Registered Users Posts: 2,147 ✭✭✭TonyMaloney


    what a time to be alive

    anim_zeo6.gif


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    #3111
    pad199207
    Registered Users Posts: 7,142 ✭✭✭pad199207


    Kermit.de.frog wrote: »
    Here's the control run. Nice

    gens-0-1-186.png

    Just looking across the models there is a very good chance surface temperatures remain very low throughout next weekend which means snowfall from Thursday/Friday could last some time in many places.

    Someone clearly gave a good mass


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    #3112
    Gonzo
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,768 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    The Beast has a daddy.

    GFSOPEU18_372_1.png

    GFSOPEU18_378_2.png


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    #3113
    ninebeanrows
    Registered Users Posts: 12,778 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    Ah jesus

    gfs-1-372.png?18


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    #3114
    pad199207
    Registered Users Posts: 7,142 ✭✭✭pad199207


    Ah here hold the phone!!!

    F81541-CB-AC3-F-4445-B7-BA-1-DBFDB044545.png


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    #3115
    nacho libre
    Registered Users Posts: 16,692 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    jeez if we could ever bank a run it would be this one; ice days, significant snowfall, cold reload. Not much more you cold ask for- well, aside from getting rid of the milder blip, but as Kermit said with snowfields even that might be modified.


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    #3116
    nacho libre
    Registered Users Posts: 16,692 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    pad199207 wrote: »
    Ah here hold the phone!!!

    F81541-CB-AC3-F-4445-B7-BA-1-DBFDB044545.png

    Somebody from here has taken control of the GFS supercomputers for this run:D


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    #3117
    Gonzo
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,768 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    I really don't think it's all going to play out like this till the 23 of February, that pub run is absolutely nuts.


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    #3118
    Kermit.de.frog
    Registered Users Posts: 23,568 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    Step away from the controls Gonzo (and the alcohol)


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    #3119
    JanuarySnowstor
    Registered Users Posts: 2,910 ✭✭✭JanuarySnowstor


    Extraordinary runs tonight
    Another early start tomorrow lol


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    #3120
    TonyMaloney
    Registered Users Posts: 2,147 ✭✭✭TonyMaloney


    Lads, it's not going to happen like that.

    It was good fun, but that was a load of indulgent nonsense. Right?


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    #3121
    Nqp15hhu
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 2,254 ✭✭✭Nqp15hhu


    TonyMaloney wrote: »
    Lads, it's not going to happen like that.

    It was good fun, but that was a load of indulgent nonsense. Right?

    Considering we have had three SSW events and the GFS has a tendency to simulate milder air coming in quickly. I wouldn’t put it out of the realms of possibilities for us to have a continuous cold spell for two weeks.

    I think a cold spell out to Saturday is at least very possible now.


This discussion has been closed.
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