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Cold Spell - Feb 7th to 13th 2021 - Chat

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Comments

  • #422
    Oscar Bravo
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,456 ✭✭✭✭Oscar Bravo


    BBC news weather outlook gave no notice of the low out to the west. jet well to the south. cold remains. of course things could change after wed/thurs but for now:

    Cold is coming
    Snow for parts of the east
    Dry and brighter further west
    Something for everyone. enjoy.


  • #423
    Chalkitdown147
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 49 ✭Chalkitdown147


    kegg wrote: »
    I know a few terms etc in here but what is the "pub run"?

    It's the last run by the models, done after pub closing time and is usually drunk!!!


  • #424
    kegg
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 249 ✭✭kegg


    Chalkitdown147 wrote: »
    It's the last run by the models, done after pub closing time and is usually drunk!!!

    Ah thanks. Great name for it. Lol.


  • #425
    Danno
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,913 ✭✭✭Danno


    kegg wrote: »
    I know a few terms etc in here but what is the "pub run"?

    The GFS 18z (or 6pm output in Winter, 7pm in Summer) model run. By the time it has completed and put online it is usually near 10pm/11pm.

    The term "pub run" is a throw-back to the days when folks went for a pint or two after a day's work (6pm).

    The 18z run has a habit of throwing out outlandish scenarios, be it winter blizzards or summer heatwaves, hence "the run is drunk".

    Hope this little weather folklore has been an interesting nugget for you! :D


  • #426
    An Ri rua
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,641 ✭✭✭An Ri rua


    kegg wrote: »
    Why are you crushed? You may get 3 days of snow while here in mayo looks like nothing. Maybe you aimed too high with your "1947esque" comment a day or 2 ago.

    White '47...


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  • #427
    compsys
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,166 ✭✭✭compsys


    Danno wrote: »
    The GFS 18z (or 6pm output in Winter, 7pm in Summer) model run. By the time it has completed and put online it is usually near 10pm/11pm.

    The term "pub run" is a throw-back to the days when folks went for a pint or two after a day's work (6pm).

    The 18z run has a habit of throwing out outlandish scenarios, be it winter blizzards or summer heatwaves, hence "the run is drunk".

    Hope this little weather folklore has been an interesting nugget for you! :D

    Does it genuinely throw out more crazy scenarios than other runs? If so, why? It is based off different data?


  • #428
    Danno
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,913 ✭✭✭Danno


    BBC 10 DAY FORECAST:

    https://www.bbc.com/weather/features/55895894

    Bank it!


  • #429
    Rougies
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,807 ✭✭✭Rougies


    compsys wrote: »
    Does it genuinely throw out more crazy scenarios than other runs? If so, why? It is based off different data?


    Well it has less data. For example, only the 00z and 12z runs use the weather balloon sounding data from around the world which is important for gaining upper atmosphere measurements.


    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Weather_balloon#Launch_time,_location,_and_uses


  • #430
    ari101
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,835 ✭✭✭ari101


    Rougies wrote: »
    ...the 00z and 12z runs...

    Finally realising these are times :D would have helped if my brain copped that before I read 400 posts with ;)

    I'll understand weather basics yet!


  • #431
    scart
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 251 ✭✭scart


    Danno wrote: »
    BBC 10 DAY FORECAST:

    https://www.bbc.com/weather/features/55895894

    Bank it!


    Fantastic forecast by the BBC.
    Their graphics are amazing and explain everything very well. RTE/ME, still in the dark ages


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  • #432
    Storm 10
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,059 ✭✭✭Storm 10


    scart wrote: »
    Fantastic forecast by the BBC.
    Their graphics are amazing and explain everything very well. RTE/ME, still in the dark ages

    RTE don't do weather they broadcast what weather ME give them .


  • #433
    smellyoldboot
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 1,075 ✭✭✭smellyoldboot


    scart wrote: »
    Fantastic forecast by the BBC.
    Their graphics are amazing and explain everything very well. RTE/ME, still in the dark ages

    Having watched that, agree completely. I didn't even turn on any sound and could follow it grand. RTE/Met Eireanns gammy static images/Windows 95 screensaver animations look like pure arse(not the nice kind) in comparison.


  • #434
    Danno
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,913 ✭✭✭Danno


    scart wrote: »
    Fantastic forecast by the BBC.
    Their graphics are amazing and explain everything very well. RTE/ME, still in the dark ages


    The UKMO's are even better again!

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QZUFfFiZYkE


  • #435
    JCX BXC
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,492 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    Met Éireann app has snow for me on Wednesday, a bit bullish for West Clare!

    Some exciting weather coming up and some nice weather watching to be done. I can't imagine it'll be a particularly memorable event but it will be fun to enjoy the weather for a while.

    Thousands of times better than Atlantic wind and drizzle.


  • #436
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 3,842 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    JCX BXC wrote: »
    Met Éireann app has snow for me on Wednesday, a bit bullish for West Clare!

    Some exciting weather coming up and some nice weather watching to be done. I can't imagine it'll be a particularly memorable event but it will be fun to enjoy the weather for a while.

    Thousands of times better than Atlantic wind and drizzle.

    That Wednesday snow is the Atlantic low hitting cold air. Could end up as rain but might not. Anyway the track of the low isn’t determined yet


  • #437
    JCX BXC
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,492 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    [Deleted User] wrote: »
    That Wednesday snow is the Atlantic low hitting cold air. Could end up as rain but might not. Anyway the track of the low isn’t determined yet

    Much too early to tell at the moment anyways.

    Wouldn't mind a nice dumping, but the only easterly that's ever delivered here was storm Emma. When expectations are low, you can be surprised.


  • #438
    igCorcaigh
    Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 12,517 Mod ✭✭✭✭igCorcaigh


    https://twitter.com/Schafernaker/status/1357228151265517570?s=19


  • #439
    Mimon
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,472 ✭✭✭Mimon


    scart wrote: »
    Fantastic forecast by the BBC.
    Their graphics are amazing and explain everything very well. RTE/ME, still in the dark ages

    Looks like showers just in the greater Dublin area from that.

    I know it is just a rough representation of what we might get but hopefully the showers go a little further inland.


  • #440
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 4,060 ✭ [Deleted User]


    Met Eireann 5 to 8 forecast radio one
    Bitterly cold sleet and snow showers from Monday mainly over the north of Leinster
    Rain showers up to then
    Siobhán Ryan did the forecast


  • #441
    Humberto Salazar
    Closed Accounts Posts: 624 ✭✭✭Humberto Salazar


    Literally is a nowcast rather than a forecast situation. I'll only get excited when the first flakes of this spell fall. It's your best bet to avoid emotional damage.


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  • #442
    Pangea
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,584 ✭✭✭Pangea


    Danno wrote: »
    The UKMO's are even better again!

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QZUFfFiZYkE
    Do these broadcast on any TV channel?


  • #443
    bazlers
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 840 ✭✭✭bazlers


    Exciting times ahead now. Maybe not for the south yet according to MTs forecast still time. South can still do well for battleground scenario as 850s wont necessarily need to be as low.

    As long as that contrasting line of cold and less cold doesnt move further north closer to Monday!
    Stay tuned.


  • #444
    Burts Bee
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 272 ✭✭Burts Bee


    Can anyone give any guidance on the Limerick/Tipp boarders? Nearer to Tipp town than Limerick city??


  • #445
    Slashermcguirk
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,031 ✭✭✭Slashermcguirk


    I saw a bbc tv forecast last night, they have rain for UK up until Saturday, the fun begins on Sunday. Only Scottish highlands to get snow before Sunday. Then fun and games from Sunday onwards
    AuntySnow wrote: »
    Met Eireann 5 to 8 forecast radio one
    Bitterly cold sleet and snow showers from Monday mainly over the north of Leinster
    Rain showers up to then
    Siobhán Ryan did the forecast


  • #446
    munsterlegend
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,597 ✭✭✭munsterlegend


    bazlers wrote: »
    Exciting times ahead now. Maybe not for the south yet according to MTs forecast still time. South can still do well for battleground scenario as 850s wont necessarily need to be as low.

    As long as that contrasting line of cold and lessen cold doesnt move further north closer to Monday!
    Stay tuned.

    We seem to be holding onto the milder uppers further South. Hopefully that can change and some kinks can appear in the flow giving showers more widespread.


  • #447
    bazlers
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 840 ✭✭✭bazlers


    If we do get flakes they wont be of the small variety. Not to say that is really good its just temps wont be as cold as 2018.


  • #448
    obi604
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,339 ✭✭✭obi604


    AuntySnow wrote: »
    Met Eireann 5 to 8 forecast radio one
    Bitterly cold sleet and snow showers from Monday mainly over the north of Leinster
    Rain showers up to then
    Siobhán Ryan did the forecast


    Just curious really ;)
    Why the mention of who did the forecast?


  • #449
    bazlers
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 840 ✭✭✭bazlers


    No expert here but to me again the sweetspot looks to be roughly North Kildare. ( early days of next week anyhow) Obviously further North will be colder but may not get same precipitation.

    Even north Kildare could end up been marginal yet too.
    All to play for.


  • #450
    Neddyusa
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,144 ✭✭✭Neddyusa


    Burts Bee wrote: »
    Can anyone give any guidance on the Limerick/Tipp boarders? Nearer to Tipp town than Limerick city??

    Cold and dry til Wednesday


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  • #451
    nacho libre
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,649 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    If i could ever bank a run it would be the latest ECM! A snowy run for many and the cold hangs on for 8 days. Thats more than a brief cold spell in my view!


This discussion has been closed.
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