Why would anyone give away good tips.

Beersmith wrote: »

What is the alternative to singles? Got him at 151!!

With the really high odds the % value my system calculates could be in excess of 40%. ie true price is less than 101. Most odds on favs in horse racing have negative value on the place in the region of -1% to -5%. So if you did a double with a horse which has a calculated value of say +40% along with a horse that has negative value of -5% then the overall bet has a total value of 1.40 x 0.95 = 1.33. ie 33% value. This gets your money on the real value horse but has you taking a hit on the negative value hot fav but allows you get the ££ down without it looking blindingly obvious what horse you have your eye on.



1 min tutorial in betting.

Take 2 legs in a double which have negative value of -10% each. Doing these type of bad value bets in doubles gives you a longterm loss of approx -19.0% ( Negative value esp in multiples is the bread and butter of 95% of punters )
However, finding bets with +10% positive value and doing these in doubles gives you longterm value of approx 21%. Betting is all about finding value and then finding a way to maximise that value.

Chepstow 14:50 Young Oleary 33/1 (34.00)
Chepstow 13:50 Real Stone 5/2 (3.50)
Catterick 13:00 Machios 9/1 (10.00)
Chepstow 14:50 Lies About Milan 5/2 (3.50)
Catterick 15:30 Mcgintys Dream 20/1 (21.00)
Chepstow 15:50 Straight Swap 11/1 (12.00)
Catterick 13:00 El Jefe 25/1 (26.00)
Chepstow 14:50 Wind Tor 33/1 (34.00)
Catterick 13:00 Warranty 5/1 (6.00)
Catterick 16:05 Adelphi Prince 10/1 (11.00)

Catterick 13:00 El Jefe 25/1 (26.00)
Catterick 16:05 Wonderful Woman 40/1 (41.00)
Catterick 13:00 Machios 9/1 (10.00)
Chepstow 16:20 Twasnt The Plan 33/1 (34.00)
Catterick 16:05 Adelphi Prince 10/1 (11.00)

all 365

Leopardstown 16:40 Betty Zane 40/1 (41.00)
Musselburgh 13:55 Carlos Felix 7/1 (8.00)
Musselburgh 14:25 The Golden Rebel 7/2 (4.50)
Southwell 14:35 Little India 10/1 (11.00)
Leopardstown 16:40 Take Tea 10/3 (4.33)
Leopardstown 16:10 Farclas 11/2 (6.50)

Wolverhampton 19:15 Pinball Wizard 25/1 (26.00)
365

Southwell 15:15 Secret Identity 33/1 (34.00)
Southwell 15:15 Navajo Dawn 7/1 (8.00)td {border: 1px solid #ccc;}br {mso-data-placement:same-cell;}

Dundalk 16:30 Cousin Harry 100/1 (101.00)
Dundalk 17:00 Clondaw Hollow 33/1 (34.00)

Beersmith wrote: »

Yeah the price was gone 10min after the post unfortunately

Beersmith, did ye manage to get on that one yesterday before he dropped?

Southwell 16:50 Dodgy Bob 40/1 (41.00)
Punchestown 16:30 Midnight Maestro 15/2 (8.50)

Lingfield 13:10 Annie Moore 80/1 (81.00)
Lingfield 13:10 Okhotsk 4/1 (5.00)
Wolverhampton 17:30 Stargazer 33/1 (34.00)
Lingfield 13:10 Caroles Tzarina 13/2 (7.50)
Warwick 14:20 Fil Dariane 22/1 (23.00)


365

Kelso 14:20 Court Baloo 33/1 (34.00)
Fakenham 15:42 Catamaran Du Seuil 20/1 (21.00)
Dundalk 16:30 Anna Bunina 5/1 (6.00)
Lingfield 14:30 Arlecchinos Arc 16/1 (17.00)