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Covid 19 Part XXXI-187,554 ROI (2,970 deaths) 100,319 NI (1,730 deaths)(24/01)Read OP

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,450 ✭✭✭✭stephenjmcd




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 91,203 ✭✭✭✭JP Liz V1


    2488 cases
    61 deaths.

    1923 in hospital as of 2pm of which 210 are in ICU

    RIP


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,599 ✭✭✭✭CIARAN_BOYLE


    Yup my bad missed the 1 there.

    Post edited

    Figured.

    You almost had my hopes up.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 91,203 ✭✭✭✭JP Liz V1


    58 deaths occurred in January.

    There are 3 deaths where the date of death is under investigation

    The median age of those who died was 83 years and the age range was 41-100 years


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,119 ✭✭✭manofwisdom


    Seven day average is 2890 cases per day. This day last week it was 5440.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,599 ✭✭✭✭CIARAN_BOYLE


    Seven day average is 2890 cases per day. This day last week it was 5440.

    It's a fantastic decline in cases.


  • Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 51,690 Mod ✭✭✭✭Stheno


    It's a fantastic decline in cases.

    Tsk Ciaran :mad::(

    It's not fantastic enough!


  • Site Banned Posts: 5,975 ✭✭✭podgeandrodge


    So where are the majority of these cases coming from given that Xmas/NY all well over?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,578 ✭✭✭✭Turtwig


    So where are the majority of these cases coming from given that Xmas/NY all well over?

    Pre-seeded chains of transmission. Many of the cases and deaths in the coming weeks are already on train. We're making good progress. Unfortunately, it's going to be some time before case numbers drop into the 100s and possibly longer before deaths tail off.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,599 ✭✭✭✭CIARAN_BOYLE


    So where are the majority of these cases coming from given that Xmas/NY all well over?

    Spread in families or close contacts.

    The average case still has 2.5 close contacts. That's enough for spread to still happen.

    If we had 100,000 a day and went full lock down we might have 50,000 a day the next week. It would be a massive decline but its always relative based on the volume of cases.

    Full lockdown will never get an R number below. 5 imo which roughly halves every infection cycle (which is approx one week).


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 64 ✭✭y2k2020


    Seven day average is 2890 cases per day. This day last week it was 5440.

    Nice

    200 cases a day by end of Feb if that keeps up


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 686 ✭✭✭JazzyJ


    y2k2020 wrote: »
    That part is important

    People have other things wrong with them as well you know

    The UK have two numbers - those that died within 28 days of a positive test (93,290 at 20/01/21) and those with Covid on the death cert (95,829 on 08/01/21).

    https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/deaths


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,947 ✭✭✭0gac3yjefb5sv7


    y2k2020 wrote: »
    Nice

    200 cases a day by end of Feb if that keeps up

    You hope that's the minimum they are down too by then! Hopefully under 50


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,191 ✭✭✭RandomViewer


    Seven day average is 2890 cases per day. This day last week it was 5440.
    Didnt that include backlog cases?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 64 ✭✭y2k2020


    MattS1 wrote: »
    You hope that's the minimum they are down too by then! Hopefully under 50

    Don't think we will see 50 before summer

    That's with a vaccine.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,599 ✭✭✭✭CIARAN_BOYLE


    MattS1 wrote: »
    You hope that's the minimum they are down too by then! Hopefully under 50

    Unfortunately the resumption of testing of close contacts and the inevitable reopening of education and construction will most likely put paid to those hopes.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,059 ✭✭✭✭spookwoman


    20-01-2021-p1.jpg
    20-01-2021-p2.jpg
    20-01-2021-p3.jpg
    20-01-2021-p4.jpg
    20-01-2021-p5.jpg
    20-01-2021-p6.jpg
    20-01-2021-p7.jpg

    Discrepancies between the Briefing numbers and the confirmed numbers next day is seriously off in some cases.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,947 ✭✭✭0gac3yjefb5sv7


    y2k2020 wrote: »
    Don't think we will see 50 before summer

    That's with a vaccine.

    That would be outrageous if so.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 284 ✭✭DraftDodger


    Still so high unfortunately.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 107 ✭✭Newuser2


    I presume Penneys are closed?


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,151 ✭✭✭✭Gael23


    JP Liz V1 wrote: »
    58 deaths occurred in January.

    There are 3 deaths where the date of death is under investigation

    The median age of those who died was 83 years and the age range was 41-100 years

    So awful getting to 100 nd dying of Covid


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,151 ✭✭✭✭Gael23


    y2k2020 wrote: »
    Nice

    200 cases a day by end of Feb if that keeps up

    What do we need to get out of level 5?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    Newuser2 wrote: »
    I presume Penneys are closed?
    Yeah they are. No online sales either.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    Gael23 wrote: »
    What do we need to get out of level 5?
    Cases below 1,000 and falling plus far lower hospitalisations and ICU numbers, under 50 in ICU for sure.


  • Posts: 6,192 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Gael23 wrote: »
    What do we need to get out of level 5?

    Hospiteals in a safe position afaik


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,180 ✭✭✭Ohmeha


    Didnt that include backlog cases?
    Of course comparing 7 day rolling averages from one week with a substantial backlog to the next week with no backlog doesn't tell us much. Whatever reduction rate in new cases we're seeing will slow down once more close contacts are being tested again


  • Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 51,690 Mod ✭✭✭✭Stheno


    is_that_so wrote: »
    Cases below 1,000 and falling plus far lower hospitalisations and ICU numbers.

    It's less than 50 in ICU I think

    Cases below 1000 would be too high imo


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,178 ✭✭✭✭Eod100


    Gael23 wrote: »
    What do we need to get out of level 5?

    Think Varadkar mentioned 50 or less cases in ICU to ease restrictions significantly. Not sure what level specifically he means by that or how many cases though.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,059 ✭✭✭✭spookwoman


    Briefing vs confirmed numbers

    daily-report-20-01-2021.jpg


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,136 ✭✭✭Akabusi


    Gael23 wrote: »
    So awful getting to 100 nd dying of Covid

    My thoughts are more with the 41 year old. Terribly young and a reminder that this isn't just a disease that kills the over 80s.
    Anyhow RIP to all no matter what age they were.


This discussion has been closed.
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