Racing Uncertainties

Deleted User wrote: »

2.05 Wetherby Sao 9/2 win

And he wins

A bit of an ungainly conveyance, who didn't travel or jump great (not poor either, but just does seem to not be too interested in the game) , and thanks to a faller at the last he won comfortably enough, with one gaining towards the line, but that one had too much ground to make up.

A few fallers, and the one that benefitted the winner the most fell at the last (Eragone - who was just marginally ahead of the selection at the time, and looked favourite to me to prevail at that stage... And looking at how the selection finished the race off, I think that Becky Smith's mount would have won had he stayed up) . Skelton's horse fell earlier, so hard to assess how he'd have done, but I don't think he'd have been in either of the top two spots.

Selection won though, and that's all that counts :pac:

In the 2.15 Lingfield the well-backed Hotalena didn't do much..

Deleted User wrote: »

3.50 Lingfield Decora 16/1 e/w

2nd. Happy enough with that, after a long layoff, and first run for a new stable.

Came wide and late, but couldn't get past the well backed topweight; and the both were clear of the remainder.....

Deleted User wrote: »

12/01

Newcastle

4.30 Glasvegas 4/1

A graveyard that far rail side - Darragh Keenan's mount was travelling well enough, but faded into 4th, after looking like he'd come with a winning run - I think he even decided he wanted to switch outside late on :P , but there was no room - between a loose horse, and another upsides there was nowhere really to go. The horse's chances had gone anyway at that stage, with 2 or 3 having passed him, and pulling away....

14/01

Thursday's pin jobs

Chelmsford

4.55 Dors Toyboy 8/1
5.30 Gracie's Girl 11/1
6.30 Junoesque 12/1
7.00 Strawberry Jack 8/1
7.30 Essgee Nics 8/1

Fontwell

1.00 Delgany Monarch 9/2
1.30 Hasankey 11/2 , Jaisalmer 16/1
3.30 Inspireus 22/1

Bangor

1.20 Kilpin 5/1
2.20 Late Shipment 40/1
2.50 Kala Noire 8/1
3.20 Strike Hollow 6/1 , Lime Drop 66/1 , Lexi's Choice 33/1
3.50 Karannelle 40/1

All EW

Good luck :pac: Will be doing well to make a profit today, but one never knows... Am just ahead at the minute and want to stay that way - 3 wins and 5 places would be grand :pac:

Subject to a "Precautionary" :pac: :pac: :pac: inspection at 7.30; but should it get the go ahead, here are my picks at:

Catterick

12.40 Caldwell 13/2
1.10 The Reaping Race 4/1
2.10 Sheriff Garrett 11/1
2.40 Brian Boranha 8/1
3.10 Milanvera 16/1
3.40 Nefyn Point 3/1

Caldwell looks a good price for at least a place methinks - I see the jolly in that 12.40 is an ex 'her maj' horse (Punctuation) , who's now with different connections, and having his first outing over obstacles priced at about 2/1 - not for me today though... The selection is still a colt too, so another reason to be hopeful...

2.10 Sheriff Garrett partnered by the champ BS Hughes was doing pretty good in 2018 over similar trips/grades/going , but was off for about 2 years until last November - admittedly he hasn't done much in the three outings he's had since the layoff, but he's only 7, should be fit, and has the assistance of Hughesie for the first time.

2.40 Brian Boranha. A standing dish at these staying trips. He hasn't won on proper soft going before, but was going well in this race last year on soft before coming to grief at the last, and would have most likely finished third in a fast run race. He is down 9lbs since then, has the tonguestrap applied for the first time, and is only ten, which is not ancient for this staying event.

3.10 Milanvera has done little so far, and today sports first time cheekpieces. She ran an okay race two runs back, was well supported lto, and it doesn't look like a very strong race, and at a decent price will do me.

The other two selections are 4/1, and 3/1, so if going solely on prices should be bang there.

Gluck, and will hope the fixture goes ahead

_____________________________________________

In the spirit of the 'bs' talk as mentioned earlier I have some supplementary Bullshit to add :pac:

Supp BS No 1: I shall give a 'favourable mention' to Wise Eagle in the 12.40 (he used to be co-owned by a popular poster on this forum when owned by YTR, and in the care of Tom Clover). He had a good first outing over the sticks, when coming 2nd over C & D last backend (or last month ) . It wouldn't surprise me to see him go close, and I will give myself an appreciative pat on the back should he oblige. All bs aside though, and available at 7/2, I think he's the one to beat on form, and probably should threaten the ex Queen's horse for favouritism; indeed one feels he shall verily usurp the current jolly come the off, does one ..


Supp BS part two: The highly touted, and well regarded Kevin Brogan (who claims 7) has rides in the 4th, 6th, and 7th (last) race here..

So there you have some bs talk, and favourable mentions that I can take credit for, even though I haven't as much as a Rex on any of the 4 referenced :pac:

WISE EAGLE should go well; all rubbish aside - figured I'd just go 1 selection per race (for a change :pac:)

*Alas, I am not the first on this site to mention the above horse, but I have given myself an advance pat on the back for noting him, and another couple of pats for mentioning K Brogan

As an aside there are some snide lurking types around theses herees pawrts, so I've got bothy barreles loaded , and several mags too (figuratively speaking that is ) , so if any kernt wants tae have a go u've ben worned.. Take effin note, cos I'll reciprocate with interest.
*Cos they might no like my opinion/s, or how I give 'em, but they're no rudy oblijed to read me thread :mad: Kerrrnts :mad::mad:

Good luck all

Deleted User wrote: »

14/01

Thursday's pin jobs

Chelmsford

4.55 Dors Toyboy 8/1
5.30 Gracie's Girl 11/1
6.30 Junoesque 12/1
7.00 Strawberry Jack 8/1
7.30 Essgee Nics 8/1

Fontwell

1.00 Delgany Monarch 9/2
1.30 Hasankey 11/2 , Jaisalmer 16/1
3.30 Inspireus 22/1

Bangor

1.20 Kilpin 5/1
2.20 Late Shipment 40/1
2.50 Kala Noire 8/1
3.20 Strike Hollow 6/1 , Lime Drop 66/1 , Lexi's Choice 33/1
3.50 Karannelle 40/1

All EW

Good luck :pac: Will be doing well to make a profit today, but one never knows... Am just ahead at the minute and want to stay that way - 3 wins and 5 places would be grand :pac:

Lime Drop NR 3.20 Bangor

1.30 Fontwell Gustavian 15/8 win

A bit short, and has seen some money today, but he should be good enough to get his head in front down in trip, and grade, and on this heavy going that the selection thrives on. Have already picked 2 each way in this, but now with the going being 'Heavy' , and not Soft-Heavy in places I think the ground's possibly gone against Hasankey, who has drifted - still think they both could run decent races though.

A few NRs since selections put up, but the NRs notwithstanding some of the selections have shortened more than what the Rule 4 would necessitate.. Also a few have shortened in races where no NRs, like Kilpin in the next (1.20), who's currently available to back just before the slightly delayed off at 4s... Was 5/1 when I put him up.

but1er wrote: »

hope you done the forecast

Not too pushed, as I had the winner and a placer... Paid about £17 if anyone done it - well less than that if the three were combined, as it would have been 6 lines, so about 2/1 from the total outlay....

Down about 5pts so far - still time, and a few upcoming have seen a little money

Another one bites the dust - Kala Noire no good Only way is up - 7pts in the red :pac:

A HUNNNNDREEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEDDDDD TO 1 with a 10p rule 4 I think....... Gwan Lexi's choice

Thread back in profit :

And young Connor Brace never gives up on Inspireus in the 3.30 to come 2nd for another tasty place.... 22/1 not too shabbee - a 25p rule 4 I think, but it's still more profit..