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Racing Uncertainties

[Deleted User]

I am starting this with the intention of posting selections for Horse Racing.

Nowt is certain in this game. Hence the title.

One to start off with.

Wolverhampton 7.15 Zafaranah

Mrs Barclay's Mare had a return to form last week when 2nd at the course over the extended mile. The horse has won before at this time of year, and is twice a Course and Distance winner off ratings higher than what she's assessed at tonight.

Available to back at 15/2 and bigger, I give it an each way chance here. Drawn 9 of 11 aint ideal, but I had no say in the box allocation.

I wish myself the best of luck with my thread, and hope to provide many winners and big priced placers.

That's all for now.

Gluck

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[Deleted User]

3.10n Majestic Tejaan win 9/1

Bit of value this outsider in this 4 runner event methinketh

[Deleted User]

4.10 Newcastle Primo's Comet 5/1 win

[Deleted User]

Deleted User wrote: »

15/01

12.40 Newcastle Iconic Belle 33/1 e/w
1.10 Newcastle Splash Of Verve 5/1 e/w
5.00 Southwell Makambe 4/1 e/w

No joy with the first two - Iconic Belle travelling well, and challenging round the home bend, but didn't really stay, and finished a well beaten 4th... Wasn't watching Splash Of Verve's race, but was well beaten coming 2nd last

[Deleted User]

Not great yesterday - was looking good going into Chelmsford, when I figured I was even or close to, at that point. Thought I had a few with proper chances, but alas only the one placer. That's the way it goes. I haven't even looked at tomorrow's jumps meets, as they could well be abandoned the way things are going.

That leaves Kempton, and Lingfield, and they don't look too appealing either. Have a speculative one I'm looking at at Kempton tomorrow, and I hope 12s can be got like the probable SP under the racecard; but it'll probably be something measly like 13/2

Will see what the prices are like tonight..

What a sh1t time to be a "racefan"

(racefan my ass many would say :pac: , if there was no punting involved I wouldn't be one, but as there is; regardless of my reasons for being so, I am indeed a "racefan") with all the fixtures being called off, and no bookies open to have a proper shout at the telly :mad: It's not the same at home, where one is more limited in how they can roar, or fk the jockey out of it... Unless ya live in the middle of nowhere, that is

[Deleted User]

Deleted User wrote: »

Time for a few AP bets

Grand National Burrows Saint 18/1 e/w (1/5 1-5)
Cheltenham Gold Cup Santini 10/1 e/w (1/5 1-3)
2000 Guineas Battleground 8/1 e/w (1/5 1-3)
Derby High Definition 6/1 e/w (1/5 1-3)

The two flat races are in May and June, so I would say by then things should be okay travel wise for the Irish contingent.

GN in April, so that looks good too.

If Santini turns up, he's definitely good enough to be involved in the Gold Cup. Too good imo to be going to a National; at least yet.

Deleted User wrote: »

Another one for the AP list

Waiting Patiently in the Ryanair Cheltenham. 12/1 e/w (1/5 1-2-3)

10yrs old now is Ruth Jefferson's stable star. Never ran before at Cheltenham; never mind the festival. This horse is surely running out of time to get a Cheltenham festival win - has been in the betting for various races at the Prestbury Park venue this last few years without showing up.

Off for just over a year when finishing a good second in the King George at Kempton last month. Horse does carry a health warning for punting purposes, as could well go to Ascot, or Aintree (assuming racing goes ahead) for one of the big races at either of those meets, which flank the Cheltenham festival.

Horse is also entered in Champion Chase and Gold Cup, but I hope the Ryanair is the likely target. 12s is good enough for me, and am happy to take a chance he'll go for O'Leary's race..

Reserve Tank 50/1 e/w (1/5 1-2-3) Stayers Hurdle Cheltenham
Well, he has an entry, and was alright over the sticks a while back - hasn't ran in over a year though.. A big priced winner in this last year too,

[Deleted User]

1.40 Newcastle Archippos 20/1 e/w

[Deleted User]

15/01

12.40 Newcastle Iconic Belle 33/1 e/w
1.10 Newcastle Splash Of Verve 5/1 e/w
5.00 Southwell Makambe 4/1 e/w

[Deleted User]

14/01

Running P & L + 14.3pts

Invested (not including Catterick, as that whole meeting was abandoned) 33pts. 3.20 Lime Drop NR @ 2pts. 31pts in play

Returns:

1.30 Hasankey (done e/w) places at 10/1 at a fifth the odds returning 3pts
1.30 Gustavian (done win @ 15/8) wins returning 1.8pts
3.30 Inspireus (done e/w @ 22/1) places at a fifth the odds with a 25p rule 4 returning 4.3pts
3.20 Lexi's Choice (done e/w) places at 100/1 at a fifth the odds *returning 21pts
4.55 Dors Toyboy (done e/w @ 8/1) places at a fifth the odds returning 2.6pts

*I was expecting a 10p rule 4 (trying to keep an eye on NRs at time/and after bet placed to gauge likely returns) but none applied.. Perhaps horse was NR before bet was put on. 21pts was my return in this instance anyway.

Total in play 31pts - returns 32.7pts

Profit for the day 1.7pts

Running invested total - 1,173 pts

Total P & L + 16pts

[Deleted User]

No joy in the 5.30 - Gracie's went for home challenging Little Floozie; I think, about 2 1/2fs out, but faded in the last furlong...

[Deleted User]

And Dors Toyboy comes 2nd in a thrilling finish 4.55; beaten only a neck - another place, and keeps thread ticking over nicely for the day

[Deleted User]

And Karannelle finishes down the field in the 3.50; having been in contention for a lot of the race... Chelmsford to come, with the first selection going in just under an hour... Pretty good day for the thread so far

but1er

Deleted User wrote: »

Pity that - annoying alright when one doesn't back a winning selection,,,

this is great tough working from home nothing else to do. very entertaining to follow it.

[Deleted User]

but1er wrote: »

the one i dont back.

how that horse keep going to get home in second ill never know

Pity that - annoying alright when one doesn't back a winning selection,,,

[Deleted User]

And young Connor Brace never gives up on Inspireus in the 3.30 to come 2nd for another tasty place.... 22/1 not too shabbee - a 25p rule 4 I think, but it's still more profit..

but1er

Deleted User wrote: »

A HUNNNNDREEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEDDDDD TO 1
placer:P
with a 10p rule 4 I think....... Gwan Lexi's choice

Thread back in profit :

the one i dont back.

how that horse keep going to get home in second ill never know

[Deleted User]

A HUNNNNDREEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEDDDDD TO 1

placer:P

with a 10p rule 4 I think....... Gwan Lexi's choice

Thread back in profit

[Deleted User]

Strike Hollow falls at the first

[Deleted User]

Another one bites the dust - Kala Noire no good

Only way is up - 7pts in the red :pac:

[Deleted User]

Just an observation, but The Glancing Queen 3.20 at 1/5 :eek: best price surely has to be a lay for win and place.. 'Won't get poor' doing that bet - heavy going that she's never won on, plus it's only her third outing over hurdles and those were over 2 1/2m, and 2m5fs on gd to soft - soft in plcs, and soft - gd to soft in places. Who backs horses at these prices in this sort of an event????????

Madness!

[Deleted User]

Down about 5pts so far - still time, and a few upcoming have seen a little money

[Deleted User]

Late Shipment not good enough in the 2.20 - ended up a moderate 5th, or thereabouts..

[Deleted User]

but1er wrote: »

hope you done the forecast

Not too pushed, as I had the winner and a placer... Paid about £17 if anyone done it - well less than that if the three were combined, as it would have been 6 lines, so about 2/1 from the total outlay....

[Deleted User]

Deleted User wrote: »

Kilpin no good.... That's 0 from 2.. Have three here in the 1.30, so hopefully

Not too bad... Had the fav (knew he was 'value' at 15/8 the shortie :P ) , who won at 6/4, and the gallant drifter Hasankey, who was worn down on the run-in to come 2nd at 10s. The other pick (jaisalmer) ran well for about 2 thirds of the race, so had a run from him too...

but1er

Deleted User wrote: »

Kilpin no good.... That's 0 from 2.. Have three here in the 1.30, so hopefully

hope you done the forecast

[Deleted User]

Kilpin no good.... That's 0 from 2.. Have three here in the 1.30, so hopefully

[Deleted User]

A few NRs since selections put up, but the NRs notwithstanding some of the selections have shortened more than what the Rule 4 would necessitate.. Also a few have shortened in races where no NRs, like Kilpin in the next (1.20), who's currently available to back just before the slightly delayed off at 4s... Was 5/1 when I put him up.

[Deleted User]

No joy in the first

Ran a good race, but when pace increased at the end Delgany was found wanting in the 1.00, and only managed 5th.

[Deleted User]

1.30 Fontwell Gustavian 15/8 win

A bit short, and has seen some money today, but he should be good enough to get his head in front down in trip, and grade, and on this heavy going that the selection thrives on. Have already picked 2 each way in this, but now with the going being 'Heavy' , and not Soft-Heavy in places I think the ground's possibly gone against Hasankey, who has drifted - still think they both could run decent races though.

[Deleted User]

Catterick Abandoned - what were the odds? :rolleyes:

A waste of time looking at cards subject to a precautionary

:mad: :mad:

Maybe it's 'Confirmation Bias' but it sure seems to this poster that these Precautionary Inspections are sure punching above their weight with regards to the the concerned meeting/s being abandoned - lol, joke of a system; with no consideration to punters, or trainers. If I was in charge there would be no such thing as precautionary inspections - maybe for the big meets only :mad:

[Deleted User]

Deleted User wrote: »

14/01

Thursday's pin jobs

Chelmsford

4.55 Dors Toyboy 8/1
5.30 Gracie's Girl 11/1
6.30 Junoesque 12/1
7.00 Strawberry Jack 8/1
7.30 Essgee Nics 8/1

Fontwell

1.00 Delgany Monarch 9/2
1.30 Hasankey 11/2 , Jaisalmer 16/1
3.30 Inspireus 22/1

Bangor

1.20 Kilpin 5/1
2.20 Late Shipment 40/1
2.50 Kala Noire 8/1
3.20 Strike Hollow 6/1 , Lime Drop 66/1 , Lexi's Choice 33/1
3.50 Karannelle 40/1

All EW

Good luck :pac: Will be doing well to make a profit today, but one never knows... Am just ahead at the minute and want to stay that way - 3 wins and 5 places would be grand :pac:

Lime Drop NR 3.20 Bangor