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Covid 19 Part XXX-113,332 ROI(2,282 deaths) 81,251 NI (1,384 deaths) (05/01) Read OP

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,677 ✭✭✭Happydays2020


    Prof Nolan Rte radio

    Cases will peak at between 3-6000 a day.

    Hopefully at the lower end but what will be the effect on the real numbers if close contacts now not tested.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,376 ✭✭✭Funsterdelux


    bazermc wrote: »
    I wonder will they drip feed the 9000 back log or do it one go.

    Numbers today will include some of those 9000

    Nolan said


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,077 ✭✭✭Away With The Fairies


    50 was yesterday evening's number. Its released twice a day

    So we should get another update on numbers hospitalised and in ICU later on. I think these are the real numbers to be looking at now and it's not looking good, is it?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,474 ✭✭✭✭GreeBo


    growleaves wrote: »
    They must have whopper pensions if they can afford to stay retired and also pay for everything.

    Ah, back to the "it's only pensioners" storyline I see?

    Btw pensioners have more disposable income then pretty much everyone else, but carry on.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,150 ✭✭✭TonyMaloney


    Some scary hospitalisation analysis if you can stomach it. Thread

    https://twitter.com/johnmcclean_ie/status/1345351040930078721?s=19


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,767 ✭✭✭✭blade1


    Can you post the quote, it’s very easy to give a different context to what someone said without actually quoteing them. It’s a tactic I see used here for point scoring.
    Can't quote as it's from the last thread that's closed so here's a screenshot

    Screenshot-20210102-131927.jpg


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,077 ✭✭✭Away With The Fairies


    Some scary hospitalisation analysis if you can stomach it. Thread

    https://twitter.com/johnmcclean_ie/status/1345351040930078721?s=19

    Feel so sick looking at this.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,474 ✭✭✭✭GreeBo


    You'd go to A&E with a stomach bug! What other things do you go with out of curiosity?

    Only in Ireland is a dose of the sh1ts a job for A&E.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 486 ✭✭Psychedelic Hedgehog


    The damage is done at this stage. Infections from two weeks ago will have resulted in confirmed cases a week ago, and some of those will be today’s hospitalisations.

    All we can do is to not add to those statistics by staying safe. Hopefully the infection rates will have been dropping off since the 27th.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,191 ✭✭✭RandomViewer


    So, what are the main downsides from not being able to produce the real case figures? If its 4k a day rather than 2k how does this help us?

    Are hospitalisation figures not more important?

    Someone mentioned that a doctor said cases are likely 10 times higher? If we are running at that level with an exponential virus does half the country not have it at this stage!

    Well it's pretty pathetic if in the 21st year of the 21st century we cant count past 2000, the "Ah shure it will do" attitude that seem to prevalent in every level of state really isn't something we should be happy with,


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,474 ✭✭✭✭GreeBo


    TomSweeney wrote: »
    Haven't been here in a while, I visit today ....

    giphy.gif

    Where the f uck is your mask grandpa!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,599 ✭✭✭✭CIARAN_BOYLE


    So we should get another update on numbers hospitalised and in ICU later on. I think these are the real numbers to be looking at now and it's not looking good, is it?

    I do agree that these are important numbers and they look bad.

    For decision makers they suck because the lag is too high.

    I believe one of the nphet guys described it once as being 7-10 days between a lot of cases and their associated hospitalisation.

    So for a decision making point of view (with tests on close contacts stopped) we are

    Infection 5-14 days to symptoms
    1-2 days to test
    1-2 days to positive result
    7-10 days to hospitalisation

    So in a worst case scenario it's about a month from infection to hospitalisation.

    That's too long for decision making so instead they look at cases (presumably swabs now) when making their decisions.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,038 ✭✭✭Ficheall


    fits wrote: »
    *My worry is that with virus circulating at high levels in many countries it will be given every opportunity to evolve into a vaccine resistant strain. It really needs to be suppressed alongside vaccination program to give us the best chance of moving on. .

    * completely unscientific opinion.
    That's not unscientific, unfortunately - it's basic maths. Though using "mutate" instead of "evolve" is more straightforward.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,377 ✭✭✭Indestructable


    I feel so glum the last few days. Managed to have a lovely Christmas with my Wife and Mother as we didn't stir out since 20th Dec. Back to work from Monday where being in contact with people is unavoidable which means no visiting with parents or anyone for God knows how long.

    I'm usually a very positive person but this is tough. I'm worried for my older relatives.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,917 ✭✭✭✭iguana


    mandrake04 wrote: »
    Really what has changed?

    Living through a pandemic. I've never been anything close to a germaphobe. Tbh, I've always had more of a 'bit of dirt is good for you' mindset. But I had an instinctive, no-no-no-no, reaction to the conveyor belt of food. I'm still not fully recovered from a March viral infection either. So I think I'll need a few months of full health before I'd feel even remotely comfortable with that sort of perceived risk.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,474 ✭✭✭✭GreeBo


    Rang yesterday and got two tests booked in for this morning. In and out in 5 mins, excellently run, hygienic environment and no hanging around or queuing.

    They are doing a great job imo.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,677 ✭✭✭Happydays2020


    GreeBo wrote: »
    Rang yesterday and got two tests booked in for this morning. In and out in 5 mins, excellently run, hygienic environment and no hanging around or queuing.

    They are doing a great job imo.

    What were your symptoms? Were you a close contact so as not to have to do it via a GP? Hope it is not positive and you are ok.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,193 ✭✭✭Ger Roe


    GreeBo wrote: »
    Rang yesterday and got two tests booked in for this morning. In and out in 5 mins, excellently run, hygienic environment and no hanging around or queuing.

    They are doing a great job imo.

    Are you willing to give any more general details - where in the country and who are you referring to when you say 'they' are doing a great job? Public or private test?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,137 ✭✭✭✭niallo27


    GreeBo wrote: »
    Ok then, by how much should they have increased hospital capacity? What percent increase would not be inept?

    Bonus question, how much public spend on unused capacity would be inept?

    Our icu capacity should be brought in line with the EU average of 11 beds per 100k instead of being the worst in Europe. As for your bonus question, we have had issues with capacity for years in this country with 100s on trolleys every winter, are you saying extra capacity might be a waste of money.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,474 ✭✭✭✭GreeBo


    niallo27 wrote: »
    Our icu capacity should be brought in line with the EU average of 11 beds per 100k instead of being the worst in Europe. As for your bonus question, we have had issues with capacity for years in this country with 100s on trolleys every winter, are you saying extra capacity might be a waste of money.

    Extra capacity to handle a once in s generation pandemic?


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,038 ✭✭✭Ficheall


    So, what are the main downsides from not being able to produce the real case figures? If its 4k a day rather than 2k how does this help us?
    People thinking it's under control at a consistent level and continuing as they have been while cases continue to climb. It's the old complacency chestnut again.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,004 ✭✭✭✭AlekSmart


    Feel so sick looking at this.

    Taking a broader perspective may help to allay the sickness ?

    https://covid19ireland-geohive.hub.arcgis.com/pages/hospitals-icu--testing
    Total Tests Completed
    2,401,599.
    Total Positive Tests
    107,293
    Total Positive Rate (%)
    4.5

    The case fatality ratio,as in those positively tested who then die,was 2.2% on 28th Dec 2020.

    https://www.cso.ie/en/releasesandpublications/br/b-cdc/covid-19deathsandcasesseries15/

    NB: The CSO data lags behind the Headline rates.

    The reality remains that for most healthy individuals returning a positive CV-19 test does not equal a death sentence.

    I certainly do not want to catch it,but neither do I wish to see an entire species lose it's collective reason,and surrender many aspects of life that have been hard fought for.

    As our former European partner might say,Keep Calm & Carry On :D


    Men, it has been well said, think in herds; it will be seen that they go mad in herds, while they only recover their senses slowly, and one by one.

    Charles Mackay (1812-1889)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,950 ✭✭✭✭yourdeadwright


    Are kids play grounds still open?




  • Apologies if it's already been explained but on the 9000 positive cases not reported yet:

    What dates are they from?
    Why are they not included in the HSE daily update so the numbers can be delivered in the most timely manner possible to the public?
    What is the purpose of the backlog reporting?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,137 ✭✭✭✭niallo27


    GreeBo wrote: »
    Extra capacity to handle a once in s generation pandemic?

    No extra capacity to bring us in line with the EU average, I'm not even asking to be the best, just being mediocre would do me.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,677 ✭✭✭Happydays2020


    niallo27 wrote: »
    Our icu capacity should be brought in line with the EU average of 11 beds per 100k instead of being the worst in Europe. As for your bonus question, we have had issues with capacity for years in this country with 100s on trolleys every winter, are you saying extra capacity might be a waste of money.

    We do not have enough capacity - full stop.

    That does not mean it is easy to ramp up capacity - issues are systemic including recruitment, planning process, pay, vested interests, lack of funding, poor use of existing funding etc etc. One thing we need is to have a serious national question after this of how we fund our health service and how we as taxpayers will pay for this. No more kicking the can down the road.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,474 ✭✭✭✭GreeBo


    Ger Roe wrote: »
    Are you willing to give any more general details - where in the country and who are you referring to when you say 'they' are doing a great job? Public or private test?
    What were your symptoms? Were you a close contact so as not to have to do it via a GP? Hope it is not positive and you are ok.

    Public in Dublin, booked through edoc.
    Runny nose, chesty cough, aches and pains.

    No temp though.

    My sister tested positive a few days ago and I met her at a grave for a few mins before Christmas and we exchanged gifts for kids, possibly not but all 4 of us here are coughing and spluttering, any other time I'd have called it cold/flu but no point in risking it with crèche opening up next week imo.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 128 ✭✭Solar2021


    Well it's pretty pathetic if in the 21st year of the 21st century we cant count past 2000, the "Ah shure it will do" attitude that seem to prevalent in every level of state really isn't something we should be happy with,

    If they can't count the cases, does that mean people are not getting a txt message to say they are infected or not?

    If they are getting the txt

    Why not count the positive txt messages that got sent out?

    Must be some thicko's working for HSE

    If we couldnt count sale orders above 2000 with our ERP I'd be fired

    Stone age stuff


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,137 ✭✭✭✭niallo27


    AlekSmart wrote: »
    Taking a broader perspective may help to allay the sickness ?

    https://covid19ireland-geohive.hub.arcgis.com/pages/hospitals-icu--testing



    The case fatality ratio,as in those positively tested who then die,was 2.2% on 28th Dec 2020.

    https://www.cso.ie/en/releasesandpublications/br/b-cdc/covid-19deathsandcasesseries15/

    NB: The CSO data lags behind the Headline rates.

    The reality remains that for most healthy individuals returning a positive CV-19 test does not equal a death sentence.

    I certainly do not want to catch it,but neither do I wish to see an entire species lose it's collective reason,and surrender many aspects of life that have been hard fought for.

    As our former European partner might say,Keep Calm & Carry On :D

    They are going eat you alive for them comments.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,591 ✭✭✭bennyl10


    bazermc wrote: »
    I wonder will they drip feed the 9000 back log or do it one go.

    Not all of that 9000 is going to be a confirmed new case so it will take time

    Especially with the outdated system they’re using


This discussion has been closed.
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