Coronavirus Pandemic Information- Local and Worldwide

yosemitesam1 · 27-12-2020 11:35AM

whelan2 wrote: »

Almost 1300 cases today... this is crap

We are in a phase of rapid growth in testing. We have gone from 78,000 tests a week two weeks ago to somewhere around 125,000 for the week ending tomorrow.
This will level off, but the changes in testing numbers make it look like numbers are growing much faster than they actually are at this point in time

yosemitesam1 · 27-12-2020 12:09PM

yosemitesam1 wrote: »

I think it's pretty much a given, unless changes are made to testing. As a small to moderate rise will lead to test numbers being ramped up by 20+% over a short period of time giving the illusion of a much faster rise than actually is going on.
We still have no way of knowing what the test results actually represent

Posted at the start of this month.
We went from 75k tests last week of November to 76k test the first week of December to 82k tests 2nd week, 91k in the third week and for the last 7 days we are currently on 110k tests with the rate of testing still on the increase.

dh1985 · 27-12-2020 04:40PM

yosemitesam1 wrote: »

Posted at the start of this month.
We went from 75k tests last week of November to 76k test the first week of December to 82k tests 2nd week, 91k in the third week and for the last 7 days we are currently on 110k tests with the rate of testing still on the increase.

That's a 50% increase in testing ability but the resultant has been a 300% increase in positive cases in the same time frame. Going by those figures there been a 200% increase in cases in 4 weeks

Reggie. · 27-12-2020 06:46PM

dh1985 wrote: »

That's a 50% increase in testing ability but the resultant has been a 300% increase in positive cases in the same time frame. Going by those figures there been a 200% increase in cases in 4 weeks

744 cases today. Nearly a 40% drop

Water John · 27-12-2020 06:52PM

Saying there are more positive because of more testing is an old Donald Trump argument. More testing is because more have symptoms and thus the virus is spreading more. We know a lockdown during Jan/Feb will be the only way to lower the figures. With vaccine rollout, esp first to the vulnerable, it will the the last one.

yosemitesam1 · 27-12-2020 07:04PM

Reggie. wrote: »

744 cases today. Nearly a 40% drop

There was a fairly large drop in samples collected on Christmas day, we were on 110k tests in the 7 days up until yesterday, todays update is 106 for the last 7 days

yosemitesam1 · 27-12-2020 07:24PM

Water John wrote: »

Saying there are more positive because of more testing is an old Donald Trump argument. More testing is because more have symptoms and thus the virus is spreading more. We know a lockdown during Jan/Feb will be the only way to lower the figures. With vaccine rollout, esp first to the vulnerable, it will the the last one.

Testing lags spread and then rapidly closes the gap. Giving the illusion of an exponential growth.
We've seen the exact same thing happen in October, fast rise in testing then testing numbers fell off a cliff. But the falling trend in covid positives was never sustained because it was never on quite as high a trajectory as testing indicated.

whelan2 · 27-12-2020 07:26PM

The 14 day incidence rate in donegal and wexford is very high. 21 deaths in northern Ireland reported today :eek:

Water John · 29-12-2020 06:53PM

Cabinet meeting tomorrow to consider further Level 5 restrictions. Numbers at 1,566 in NI today.
Great to see vaccine rollout here.

Reggie. · 29-12-2020 07:23PM

Water John wrote: »

Cabinet meeting tomorrow to consider further Level 5 restrictions. Numbers at 1,566 in NI today.
Great to see vaccine rollout here.

1500ish here too

29-12-2020 07:41PM

Large number of people have arrived around here for New Years.

whelan2 · 29-12-2020 07:52PM

Deleted User wrote: »

Large number of people have arrived around here for New Years.

Very disheartening to hear of shopping centres being full etc.

Water John · 29-12-2020 07:57PM

Will all non essential shopping and services be stopped and all work from home be brought in for one last push. A lot of the highly vulnerable will be fully vaccinated by the end of Feb.

Reggie. · 29-12-2020 08:01PM

Water John wrote: »

Will all non essential shopping and services be stopped and all work from home be brought in for one last push. A lot of the highly vulnerable will be fully vaccinated by the end of Feb.

Looking that way I'd say

dzer2 · 29-12-2020 08:14PM

Water John wrote: »

Will all non essential shopping and services be stopped and all work from home be brought in for one last push. A lot of the highly vulnerable will be fully vaccinated by the end of Feb.

Me hole more important to have a bank holiday than vaccinate. It will be end of February before my dad gets it. He is very high on the vulnerable list in a nursing home. Haven't seen him since March. Guarantee there will be no vaccinations done on the weekend

Dinzee Conlee · 29-12-2020 08:51PM

[Deleted User] wrote: »

Large number of people have arrived around here for New Years.

Where is that Herd if you don’t mind me asking?
You’d wonder what people are thinking...

Say my name · 29-12-2020 09:09PM

[Deleted User] wrote: »

Large number of people have arrived around here for New Years.

I was coming behind a yellow reg car today.. Well it was a bmw yellow reg that passed me out and I caught up with them miles down the road when they got stuck behind a car on a twisty road.
I'd swear they were straight off the boat.
Anyway a few miles more of them taking turns at junctions and me still following on my way home. They indicated and pulled over to let me past. So on I goes.

There wouldn't be too many roads left the way they were going. I'd say they were getting worried that I was either the guards going to ask questions or a nosey neighbour wondering which house they were going to pull into.

Dinzee Conlee · 29-12-2020 09:13PM

Say my name wrote: »

I was coming behind a yellow reg car today.. Well it was a bmw yellow reg that passed me out and I caught up with them miles down the road when they got stuck behind a car on a twisty road.
I'd swear they were straight off the boat.
Anyway a few miles more of them taking turns at junctions and me still following on my way home. They indicated and pulled over to let me past. So on I goes.

There wouldn't be too many roads left the way they were going. I'd say they were getting worried that I was either the guards going to ask questions or a nosey neighbour wondering which house they were going to pull into.

And which house did they pull into Say?

Say my name · 29-12-2020 09:15PM

Dinzee Conlee wrote: »

And which house did they pull into Say?

A beech tree.

29-12-2020 09:47PM

Dinzee Conlee wrote: »

Where is that Herd if you don’t mind me asking?
You’d wonder what people are thinking...

Way out West Dinzee. Merchants opened again today so I was on the road picking up a few bits. Met several "convoys", which aren't usual for normal traffic. See the village parking spots filled up and cars around tourist houses. People will moan but they're "at home", bull, they'll waddle off back East again Jan 2nd.

Big outbreak in the local town thanks to an after funeral pub session.

Some are too stupid to think. I don't particularly give a toss about the stupid ones, but you can bet they bring this virus on those who don't want it.

wrangler · 29-12-2020 10:16PM

dzer2 wrote: »

Me hole more important to have a bank holiday than vaccinate. It will be end of February before my dad gets it. He is very high on the vulnerable list in a nursing home. Haven't seen him since March. Guarantee there will be no vaccinations done on the weekend

I was amused at the civil service explaining on the telly their slow movement on vaccination. Already they're on the back foot,
I know the supply will be slow but it'll be amazing if they don't cock it up

whelan2 · 29-12-2020 10:19PM

wrangler wrote: »

I was amused at the civil service explaining on the telly their slow movement on vaccination. Already they're on the back foot,
I know the supply will be slow but it'll be amazing if they don't cock it up

If they can do it with the hpv vaccine during the summer they should be able to replicate it with the covid vaccine .

wrangler · 29-12-2020 10:32PM

whelan2 wrote: »

If they can do it with the hpv vaccine during the summer they should be able to replicate it with the covid vaccine .

Numbers of HPV vaccine is miniscule compared with this, it's important now that the civil service gets their act together, people are suffering hugely mentally and financially because of covid.
Vaccinators not working weekends at it would be similar to you not working weekends during the calving season

whelan2 · 29-12-2020 10:41PM

wrangler wrote: »

Numbers of HPV vaccine is miniscule compared with this, it's important now that the civil service gets their act together, people are suffering hugely mentally and financially because of covid.
Vaccinators not working weekends at it would be similar to you not working weekends during the calving season

When we went during the summer they were really well organised. Can't see why the same teams cant be used for covid. They were getting through a few hundred a day in the centre we went to

wrangler · 29-12-2020 10:48PM

whelan2 wrote: »

When we went during the summer they were really well organised. Can't see why the same teams cant be used for covid. They were getting through a few hundred a day in the centre we went to

It'll take a year and a half to vaccinate the whole population at 10000/day......wonder how many they're planning to do per day
I forgot about the second vaccine so it'll have to be 20000/day

dzer2 · 29-12-2020 11:31PM

wrangler wrote: »

It'll take a year and a half to vaccinate the whole population at 10000/day......wonder how many they're planning to do per day
I forgot about the second vaccine so it'll have to be 20000/day

Not a hope they will pull the finger out.

I am a front line worker repairing machines in all industries. Only my dad is vulnerable. I am travelling the length and breath of the country and the UK. We are in the lucky position as the whole family are really healthy. The missus works in the HSE and says they are poorly prepared for the incoming deluge.

alps · 30-12-2020 01:48AM

They've promised that if the supply of vaccine arrives as planned, everyone will have been vaccinated by the end of August...

Don't know if they've run the calculator on it, but it equates to 240,000 a week...starting now..

Just cant find the information on spec sheets or anywhere, but I'm concerned it could end up that we'll need a 6 month booster..

How will that work out if all of us are not vaccinated by June or July...?

yosemitesam1 · 30-12-2020 10:26AM

Very much looking like a repeat of October.
We'll close everything and introduce 5km limit in place until a minimum of March, things will even off in the next 10 days and we'll be told how well the new restrictions are working when really it's too early for anything to show up.
Things will probably settle at about 500ish cases a day and hold at that until March when covid naturally starts to drop with the arrival of spring.
At which point we will be very slow to reopen things properly because we will be told that we are so close to getting large amounts of the population vaccinated so hold firm that we can save every last life.

With the number of vaccinations growing, the choice will have to be made whether or not to test previously vaccinated people.
Either we will not test them and assume they cant be infected or else the sh1t might hit the fan if the vaccine does not actually prevent infections at anywhere near the same efficacy that they prevent symptoms.

Lots of different possible scenarios but will all our great scientists and pharma companies be willing to fade into the background and be forgotten about? Unless people start to call out the scaremongering and hysteria we might never fully return to normal for a very long time

Reggie. · 30-12-2020 11:34AM

yosemitesam1 wrote: »

Very much looking like a repeat of October.
We'll close everything and introduce 5km limit in place until a minimum of March, things will even off in the next 10 days and we'll be told how well the new restrictions are working when really it's too early for anything to show up.
Things will probably settle at about 500ish cases a day and hold at that until March when covid naturally starts to drop with the arrival of spring.
At which point we will be very slow to reopen things properly because we will be told that we are so close to getting large amounts of the population vaccinated so hold firm that we can save every last life.

With the number of vaccinations growing, the choice will have to be made whether or not to test previously vaccinated people.
Either we will not test them and assume they cant be infected or else the sh1t might hit the fan if the vaccine does not actually prevent infections at anywhere near the same efficacy that they prevent symptoms.

Lots of different possible scenarios but will all our great scientists and pharma companies be willing to fade into the background and be forgotten about? Unless people start to call out the scaremongering and hysteria we might never fully return to normal for a very long time

Like a novel

30-12-2020 11:46AM

I read some ICU's in the UK are running out of oxygen.

Coronavirus Pandemic Information- Local and Worldwide

Comments